FC CincinnatiChicago Fire

FC Cincinnati v Chicago Fire result

Full-time · FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire

Major League Soccer · · TQL Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Cincinnati · Chicago Fire · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.3% of 515 landed (95% range 64.2–72.2%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 549 of 855 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire drew 3–3 at TQL Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 19 April. FC Cincinnati have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions. Chicago Fire have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Chicago Fire led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — Chicago Fire: H. Cuypers (26’, 48’), P. Zinckernagel (45’ pen) and an own goal by D. D'Avilla (86’); FC Cincinnati: Tom Barlow (42’) and Evander (79’ pen).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: FC Cincinnati out-shot Chicago Fire 23 to 18 and created the better chances, 4.12 xG to 1.75 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Malik Badawi, USA showed seven yellow cards — against 5.1 yellows a game across the last 14 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Cincinnati: Samuel Gidi (7’), Tom Barlow (11’), Pavel Bucha (90’) and Bryan Ramirez (90’); Chicago Fire: Dylan Borso (90’), M. Mbokazi (90+9’) and J. Elliott (90+9’).

What it changes

FC Cincinnati have scored 36 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). FC Cincinnati have conceded 37 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs.

Chicago Fire have scored 27 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 14 games, ranked per game). Chicago Fire have conceded 16 goals, the second-fewest of the 15 clubs.

FC Cincinnati are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Chicago Fire are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, H. Cuypers (Chicago Fire) 12.7, P. Zinckernagel (Chicago Fire) 12.2 and Evander (FC Cincinnati) 9.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

FC Cincinnati next host Nashville SC on 7 November 2026.

Chicago Fire next host Columbus Crew on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Chicago Fire: Chicago Fire v Columbus Crew, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: TQL Stadium · Cincinnati
  • Referee: Malik Badawi, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): FC Cincinnati 4 · draws 1 · Chicago Fire 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: FC Cincinnati 1W 1D 3L · Chicago Fire 4W 0D 1L

FC Cincinnati 3–3 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.63 / 0.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.29
Corners
against 4.38 / 5.43 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.75 / 4.14
Shots on target
against 5.38 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.13 / 2.75
Cards
against 2.38 / 1.63 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
5.07 yellows
Referee · Malik Badawi, USA
23.29 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 14 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameFC Cincinnati for / againstLineChicago Fire for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.29 for · 5.43 against n 7
Shots
12.75 for · 14.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12 for · 11.71 against n 7
Shots on target
4.75 for · 5.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.14 for · 4 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.63 for · 12.13 against n 8
21.5standard
14.29 for · 10.71 against n 7
Cards shown
3.13 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.75 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Malik Badawi, USA — 5.07 yellow cards a game, 0.07 red cards, 23.29 fouls over 14 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Goalkeeper

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Roman Celentano893744 min212.5 /90141.7 /9000 /90
Evan Louro394283 min61.9 /9072.2 /9000 /90
FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Roman Celentano n 893
2.56/5
Evan Louro n 891.6
3.17/6

FC Cincinnati Defensive

FC Cincinnati — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Robinson879632 min91.3 /9050.7 /9081.1 /90395.6 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Nick Hagglund873587 min71.1 /9020.3 /9050.8 /90304.6 /9071.1 /9010.2 /90
Gilberto Flores777536 min162.7 /9081.3 /9040.7 /90376.2 /9091.5 /9010.2 /90
A. Powell744309 min92.6 /9092.6 /9000 /90267.6 /9010.3 /9000 /90
T. Hadebe658348 min82.1 /9020.5 /9041 /90174.4 /9041 /9020.5 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tom Barlow n 855.1
1.66/1
0.84/0
—
Kévin Denkey n 885.4
1.47/3
28/5
—
Bryan Ramirez n 885.8
1.87/4
0.32/0
P. Zinckernagel
Pavel Bucha n 880.5
0.42/1
0.85/1
A. Saletros
Ender Echenique n 877.3
1.24/3
0.95/1
A. Saletros
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FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tom Barlow n 855.1
0.63/0
Kévin Denkey n 885.4
0.84/1
Bryan Ramirez n 885.8
2.98/7
Pavel Bucha n 880.5
1.36/2
Ender Echenique n 877.3
1.55/3
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FC Cincinnati Attacking

FC Cincinnati — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Tom Barlow1154594 min40.6 /9000 /90132 /90101.5 /9040.6 /9030.5 /90
Kévin Denkey1084841 min60.6 /9030.3 /90161.7 /9080.9 /90141.5 /9060.6 /90
Evander872579 min00 /9020.3 /90172.6 /9091.4 /90182.8 /90172.6 /90
Ayoub Jabbari749343 min30.8 /9010.3 /9092.4 /9051.3 /9030.8 /9030.8 /90
Kenji Mboma Dem436144 min21.3 /9010.6 /9053.1 /9031.9 /9031.9 /9000 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tom Barlow n 855.1
1.66/2
1.45/2
Kévin Denkey n 885.4
1.66/4
0.85/1
Bryan Ramirez n 885.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
Pavel Bucha n 880.5
0.85/1
0.43/0
Ender Echenique n 877.3
14/3
0.42/1
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FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tom Barlow n 855.1
0.42/0
00/0
Kévin Denkey n 885.4
0.53/1
0.32/0
Bryan Ramirez n 885.8
00/0
00/0
Pavel Bucha n 880.5
0.11/0
00/0
Ender Echenique n 877.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
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Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire Goalkeeper

Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Brady790630 min202.9 /9050.7 /9000 /90
Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Brady n 890
2.97/4

Chicago Fire Defensive

Chicago Fire — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Mbokazi790628 min91.3 /9071 /9081.1 /90284 /9020.3 /9000 /90
Leonardo Barroso778545 min71.2 /9030.5 /9000 /90193.1 /9071.2 /9010.2 /90
J. Elliott579397 min30.7 /9030.7 /9051.1 /90122.7 /9030.7 /9010.2 /90
J. Waterman566328 min41.1 /9051.4 /9030.8 /90113 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
M. Pineda448191 min83.8 /9020.9 /9010.5 /90125.7 /9031.4 /9000 /90
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Chicago Fire — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Saletros n 790
1.97/4
00/0
Ender Echenique
C. Brady n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Mbokazi n 789.7
0.32/0
1.15/3
—
P. Zinckernagel n 882.1
2.27/4
2.27/4
Bryan Ramirez
Leonardo Barroso n 874.4
1.56/3
0.21/0
—
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Chicago Fire — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Saletros n 790
1.45/3
M. Mbokazi n 789.7
1.36/3
P. Zinckernagel n 882.1
2.17/4
Leonardo Barroso n 874.4
1.45/2
M. Haile-Selassie n 871.3
0.63/1
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Chicago Fire Attacking

Chicago Fire — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Haile-Selassie775525 min10.2 /9000 /9071.2 /9030.5 /90122.1 /90111.9 /90
H. Cuypers490360 min41 /9000 /90123 /9071.8 /9041 /9051.3 /90
C. Mueller15555 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.6 /9000 /90
A. Saletros790630 min00 /9000 /9020.3 /9010.1 /90111.6 /9010.1 /90
P. Zinckernagel781567 min10.2 /9000 /9061 /9030.5 /9050.8 /9091.4 /90
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Chicago Fire — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Saletros n 790
0.32/0
0.11/0
C. Brady n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mbokazi n 789.7
0.62/1
0.42/1
P. Zinckernagel n 882.1
0.85/1
0.42/1
Leonardo Barroso n 874.4
0.53/0
0.32/0
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Chicago Fire — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 15 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Saletros n 790
00/0
00/0
C. Brady n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Mbokazi n 789.7
00/0
00/0
P. Zinckernagel n 882.1
0.11/0
00/0
Leonardo Barroso n 874.4
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC CincinnatiChicago Fire
55%Possession45%
4.12Expected goals (xG)1.75
23Shots18
9Shots on target6
10Shots off target4
4Blocked shots8
22Shots inside the box11
9Corners1
1Offsides0
11Fouls9
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
3Saves7
483Passes413
83%Pass accuracy77%

FC Cincinnati Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Roman Celentano9000000006
Nick Hagglund9000200006.3
Pavel Bucha90001112Y7.3
Samuel Gidi90000001Y6.6
Bryan Ramirez90002133Y7.2
Evander9010527008.2
Kenji Mboma Dem8500202207
Ender Echenique7000323007.5
Tom Barlow70101121Y6.9
M. Robinson6400110406.7
Gilberto Flores4500000006.2
T. Hadebe sub4500100006.3
A. Powell sub2600000007.2
Gerardo Valenzuela sub2000111007.2
Ayoub Jabbari sub2000000006.7
Kyle Smith sub1500000006.9

Chicago Fire Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. Brady9000000009.2
J. Elliott90000020Y6.5
M. Mbokazi90000003Y6.2
A. Gutman9000000306
A. Saletros9000100106.3
D. D'Avilla9000211206.3
H. Cuypers9020221308.3
M. Haile-Selassie8900310206.5
J. Dean8300002006.2
R. Lod8300003106.2
P. Zinckernagel7311223307.9
P. Dithejane sub1800000106.7
Dylan Borso sub18000000Y6.7
J. Waterman sub1700000006
V. Radojevic sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Cincinnati v Chicago Fire — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
FC CincinnatiLLWLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.8 scored / 3.8 conceded per game
Chicago FireLWWWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
FC Cincinnati 4 · 1 draw · Chicago Fire 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2025-07-05 FC Cincinnati 2–1 Chicago Fire
  • 2025-04-20 Chicago Fire 2–3 FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-07-17 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Chicago Fire
  • 2024-03-03 Chicago Fire 1–2 FC Cincinnati
  • 2023-06-03 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Chicago Fire
  • 2023-03-19 Chicago Fire 3–3 FC Cincinnati
League standing · 2026
FC Cincinnati#7 pos46 pts33 pl-6 GD
Chicago Fire#4 pos55 pts33 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
FC Cincinnati scored2.03
Chicago Fire scored1.85
FC Cincinnati conceded2.21
Chicago Fire conceded1.52

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Cincinnati v Chicago Fire?
TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Cincinnati v Chicago Fire was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire?
In their last 6 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 4, Chicago Fire won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire?
Recent form — FC Cincinnati 1W 1D 3L; Chicago Fire 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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