FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union result

Full-time · FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union

Major League Soccer · Sun, 31 Aug 2025 00:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Cincinnati · Philadelphia Union · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union — Philadelphia Union won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.8% of 1473 landed (95% range 66.4–71.1%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 879 of 1,349 times (65.2%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Philadelphia Union won 1–0 at FC Cincinnati in Major League Soccer on Sunday 31 August.

Philadelphia Union have conceded 38 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 37 games, ranked per game).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Philadelphia Union: Bruno Damiani (49’, assisted by Milan Iloski). Olwethu Makhanya (60’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bruno Damiani’s goal on 49 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: FC Cincinnati 1.18, Philadelphia Union 2.38, from 12 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine showed seven yellow cards and one red — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Cincinnati: D. Marczuk (21’) and Kévin Denkey (90+1’); Philadelphia Union: Olwethu Makhanya (21’), Jakob Glesnes (45+4’), Nathan Harriel (51’), Olwethu Makhanya (60’) and Frankie Westfield (85’).

What it changes

FC Cincinnati have scored 55 goals, the eighth-most of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 38 games, ranked per game). FC Cincinnati have conceded 49 goals, the third-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Philadelphia Union have scored 62 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 37 games, ranked per game).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia Union) 7.2, Matt Miazga (FC Cincinnati) 5.9 and Jovan Lukić (Philadelphia Union) 5.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Philadelphia Union, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.8% of the time in the last 90 days (1013 of 1473).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer
Referee: Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): FC Cincinnati 3 · draws 1 · Philadelphia Union 2 · 4.33 goals/game
Recent form: FC Cincinnati 1W 1D 3L · Philadelphia Union 3W 1D 1L

FC Cincinnati 0–1 Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 2

Goals

against 1.25 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.17 / 6.43

Corners

against 3.67 / 3.57 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

4.67 / 5.14

Shots on target

against 4.5 / 2.43 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.83 / 2.29

Cards

against 2.33 / 2.43 · 1 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 6 matches

3.38 yellows

Referee · Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine

19.92 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 13 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	FC Cincinnati for / against	Line	Philadelphia Union for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.17 for · 3.67 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	6.43 for · 3.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.5 for · 13.33 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	17 for · 8.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.67 for · 4.5 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	5.14 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.67 for · 13 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	15.57 for · 11.14 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.83 for · 2.33 against n 6 Last 5	3.5standard	2.29 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine — 3.38 yellow cards a game, 0.15 red cards, 19.92 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Goalkeeper

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Roman Celentano	31	902804 min	943 /90	401.3 /90	10 /90
Evan Louro	2	90180 min	63 /90	31.5 /90	00 /90

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Roman Celentano n 8	90.9	3.1 7/5

FC Cincinnati Defensive

FC Cincinnati — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Engel	31	832565 min	562 /90	401.4 /90	100.4 /90	1445.1 /90	220.8 /90	50.2 /90
M. Robinson	25	852123 min	261.1 /90	261.1 /90	180.8 /90	933.9 /90	170.7 /90	30.1 /90
Gilberto Flores	19	771460 min	402.5 /90	161 /90	130.8 /90	1026.3 /90	110.7 /90	50.3 /90
T. Hadebe	18	631127 min	201.6 /90	342.7 /90	90.7 /90	564.5 /90	191.5 /90	50.4 /90
Matt Miazga	17	811371 min	161.1 /90	161.1 /90	181.2 /90	573.7 /90	120.8 /90	30.2 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Pavel Bucha n 8	85.3	1.2 8/1	0.3 2/0	Jovan Lukić
Roman Celentano n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
L. Engel n 8	88.8	0.4 2/1	0.8 5/1	K. Wagner
Evander n 8	90.8	0.5 2/1	2.2 7/5	Jovan Lukić
D. Yedlin n 8	77.8	0.7 4/1	0.7 4/1	—
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FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Pavel Bucha n 8	85.3	1.2 5/3
L. Engel n 8	88.8	1.9 7/5
Evander n 8	90.8	0.7 3/1
D. Yedlin n 8	77.8	1.6 5/4
Kévin Denkey n 8	84.9	0.3 1/1
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FC Cincinnati Attacking

FC Cincinnati — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Evander	30	822464 min	180.7 /90	90.3 /90	762.8 /90	471.7 /90	642.3 /90	391.4 /90
Kévin Denkey	27	822221 min	150.6 /90	20.1 /90	532.1 /90	321.3 /90	241 /90	251 /90
Gerardo Valenzuela	16	51820 min	50.5 /90	00 /90	262.9 /90	182 /90	151.6 /90	111.2 /90
Y. Kubo	15	55826 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	131.4 /90	80.9 /90	101.1 /90	80.9 /90
Sergio Santos	15	41615 min	10.1 /90	20.3 /90	91.3 /90	40.6 /90	131.9 /90	30.4 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Pavel Bucha n 8	85.3	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1
Roman Celentano n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Engel n 8	88.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Evander n 8	90.8	2.9 8/7	1.6 8/4
D. Yedlin n 8	77.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Pavel Bucha n 8	85.3	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
Roman Celentano n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Engel n 8	88.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Evander n 8	90.8	0.6 4/1	0.2 2/0
D. Yedlin n 8	77.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union Goalkeeper

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Andre Blake	17	861468 min	382.3 /90	150.9 /90	00 /90
Andrew Rick	12	881052 min	151.3 /90	110.9 /90	00 /90

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Andre Blake n 8	82.3	2.2 5/4
Andrew Rick n 8	86.5	1.6 4/1

Philadelphia Union Defensive

Philadelphia Union — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Wagner	26	872273 min	823.2 /90	381.5 /90	30.1 /90	1636.5 /90	291.1 /90	50.2 /90
Jakob Glesnes	24	872084 min	371.6 /90	431.9 /90	180.8 /90	994.3 /90	361.6 /90	80.3 /90
Olwethu Makhanya	23	791817 min	402 /90	271.3 /90	110.5 /90	1105.4 /90	221.1 /90	60.3 /90
Nathan Harriel	19	831570 min	341.9 /90	442.5 /90	60.3 /90	1196.8 /90	191.1 /90	50.3 /90
Frankie Westfield	19	791500 min	321.9 /90	70.4 /90	70.4 /90	824.9 /90	150.9 /90	30.2 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Bruno Damiani n 8	74.3	2 6/4	2.7 8/4	—
K. Wagner n 8	82.8	1.1 5/3	1.2 6/2	L. Engel
Jovan Lukić n 8	83.6	1.5 8/2	0.4 3/0	Evander
Jakob Glesnes n 8	80.5	2.1 8/4	0.6 3/1	—
Danley Jean Jacques n 8	84.4	2 6/4	0.5 2/2	—
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Philadelphia Union — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Bruno Damiani n 8	74.3	1.4 6/2
K. Wagner n 8	82.8	3.5 7/6
Jovan Lukić n 8	83.6	2.6 8/6
Jakob Glesnes n 8	80.5	2.2 6/4
Danley Jean Jacques n 8	84.4	2 7/3
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Philadelphia Union Attacking

Philadelphia Union — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Bruno Damiani	27	601628 min	40.2 /90	00 /90	532.9 /90	291.6 /90	211.2 /90	70.4 /90
T. Baribo	24	671616 min	160.9 /90	20.1 /90	351.9 /90	211.2 /90	201.1 /90	80.4 /90
M. Uhre	23	471072 min	40.3 /90	40.3 /90	252.1 /90	141.2 /90	151.3 /90	50.4 /90
C. Donovan	12	41497 min	00 /90	00 /90	81.4 /90	30.5 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90
Milan Iloski	3	66197 min	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	52.3 /90	41.8 /90	41.8 /90	83.7 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Bruno Damiani n 8	74.3	2.3 8/4	1.4 6/2
K. Wagner n 8	82.8	0.7 3/2	0.3 1/1
Jovan Lukić n 8	83.6	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
Jakob Glesnes n 8	80.5	0.7 3/2	0 0/0
Danley Jean Jacques n 8	84.4	1.6 5/4	0.5 3/1
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Philadelphia Union — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Bruno Damiani n 8	74.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
K. Wagner n 8	82.8	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
Jovan Lukić n 8	83.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jakob Glesnes n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Danley Jean Jacques n 8	84.4	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC Cincinnati		Philadelphia Union
58%	Possession	42%
1.18	Expected goals (xG)	2.38
12	Shots	14
3	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	6
5	Blocked shots	4
8	Shots inside the box	8
7	Corners	4
1	Offsides	1
13	Fouls	17
2	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	1
3	Saves	3
456	Passes	336
76%	Pass accuracy	70%

FC Cincinnati Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Roman Celentano	96	0	0	0	0	0	7
Nick Hagglund	96	1	0	0	1	0	7.2
Matt Miazga	96	1	1	0	3	0	7.3
Pavel Bucha	96	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
Evander	96	3	1	3	2	0	8
Brenner	96	1	0	1	0	0	6.9
Kévin Denkey	96	1	1	1	0	Y	6.9
L. Engel	89	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Ender Echenique	74	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
D. Marczuk	65	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Tah Anunga	64	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Gerardo Valenzuela sub	32	0	0	1	1	0	6.9
Luca Orellano sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Ayoub Jabbari sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
K. Kamara sub	7	0	0	0	0	0	–

Philadelphia Union Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Andrew Rick	96	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Nathan Harriel	96	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	7.2
Jakob Glesnes	96	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	7
K. Wagner	96	0	0	0	0	2	3	0	7.2
Danley Jean Jacques	96	0	0	1	1	2	2	0	7.2
Jovan Lukić	96	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	6.9
Milan Iloski	83	0	1	5	2	1	0	0	7.3
Bruno Damiani	74	1	0	1	1	3	1	0	7.6
Q. Sullivan	63	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
T. Baribo	63	0	0	3	0	1	1	0	6.5
Olwethu Makhanya	60	0	0	0	0	0	1	RY	6.2
Frankie Westfield sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.6
Indiana Vassilev sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
M. Uhre sub	22	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
Jeremy Rafanello sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FC CincinnatiDLLWL

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Philadelphia UnionWDWLW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.2 scored / 1 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

FC Cincinnati 3 · 1 draw · Philadelphia Union 2 · 4.33 goals/game

2025-03-02 Philadelphia Union 4–1 FC Cincinnati
2024-10-20 Philadelphia Union 1–2 FC Cincinnati
2024-08-13 FC Cincinnati 2–4 Philadelphia Union
2024-06-19 FC Cincinnati 4–3 Philadelphia Union
2023-11-26 FC Cincinnati 1–0 Philadelphia Union
2023-09-16 Philadelphia Union 2–2 FC Cincinnati

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

FC Cincinnati#2 pos65 pts34 pl+12 GD

Philadelphia Union#1 pos66 pts34 pl+22 GD

Goals per game

FC Cincinnati scored1.53

Philadelphia Union scored1.68

FC Cincinnati conceded1.18

Philadelphia Union conceded1.03

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union?: TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Cincinnati v Philadelphia Union was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union?: In their last 6 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 3, Philadelphia Union won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Cincinnati and Philadelphia Union?: Recent form — FC Cincinnati 1W 1D 3L; Philadelphia Union 3W 1D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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