FC Cincinnati v Vancouver Whitecaps result

Full-time · FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps

Major League Soccer · Thu, 23 Jul 2026 00:30 BST · TQL Stadium

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: FC Cincinnati · Vancouver Whitecaps

The model’s pre-match pick

FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps — FC Cincinnati won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.38 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

FC Cincinnati beat Vancouver Whitecaps 4–3 at TQL Stadium in Major League Soccer on Thursday 23 July. FC Cincinnati have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

FC Cincinnati led 3–2 at half-time. The goals — FC Cincinnati: Pavel Bucha (9’, assisted by Samuel Gidi; 56’, assisted by Evander), Kévin Denkey (28’, assisted by Ender Echenique) and Evander (36’, assisted by Gerardo Valenzuela); Vancouver Whitecaps: Jeevan Badwal (12’, assisted by Bruno Quiñonez) and R. Gauld (25’, assisted by Oliver Larraz; 58’, assisted by Jeevan Badwal).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Evander’s goal on 36 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: FC Cincinnati 1.56, Vancouver Whitecaps 1.82, from 10 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Jon Freemon, USA showed six yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Cincinnati: Pavel Bucha (41’); Vancouver Whitecaps: Tristan Blackmon (2’), Mathías Laborda (17’), Édier Ocampo (48’), Andrés Cubas (59’) and Brian White (78’).

What it changes

FC Cincinnati have scored 41 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 17 games, ranked per game). FC Cincinnati have conceded 42 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs.

Vancouver Whitecaps have scored 37 goals, the most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). Vancouver Whitecaps have conceded 16 goals, the fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

With seven goals it was the highest-scoring match of round 16, across 21 matches. FC Cincinnati are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pavel Bucha (FC Cincinnati) 10.3, Evander (FC Cincinnati) 9.6 and R. Gauld (Vancouver Whitecaps) 8.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

Vancouver Whitecaps are unbeaten in the last three meetings with FC Cincinnati, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (338 of 492).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer
Venue: TQL Stadium · Cincinnati
Referee: Jon Freemon, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 3): FC Cincinnati 0 · draws 2 · Vancouver Whitecaps 1 · 3 goals/game
Recent form: FC Cincinnati 2W 2D 1L · Vancouver Whitecaps 2W 2D 1L

FC Cincinnati 4–3 Vancouver Whitecaps (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.25 / 2.13

Goals

against 2.63 / 1 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

3.88 / 5.63

Corners

against 6.38 / 3.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.13 / 7

Shots on target

against 6.75 / 2.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.88 / 2.75

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.94 yellows

Referee · Jon Freemon, USA

24.94 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 17 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	FC Cincinnati for / against	Line	Vancouver Whitecaps for / against
Goals scored	3.25 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	2.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.88 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.63 for · 3.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.13 for · 18.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.63 for · 9.13 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.13 for · 6.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.75 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	16 for · 13.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.88 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.75 for · 2.5 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Jon Freemon, USA — 4.94 yellow cards a game, 0.24 red cards, 24.94 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Goalkeeper

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Roman Celentano	16	921464 min	553.4 /90	352.2 /90	10.1 /90
Evan Louro	3	94283 min	61.9 /90	72.2 /90	00 /90

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Roman Celentano n 8	90	4.3 7/5
Evan Louro n 8	91.6	3.1 7/6

FC Cincinnati Defensive

FC Cincinnati — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Nick Hagglund	13	69903 min	101 /90	50.5 /90	90.9 /90	474.7 /90	111.1 /90	10.1 /90
M. Robinson	12	71847 min	151.6 /90	70.7 /90	121.3 /90	525.5 /90	101.1 /90	10.1 /90
Kyle Smith	12	70840 min	161.7 /90	80.9 /90	30.3 /90	293.1 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
Matt Miazga	10	63626 min	40.6 /90	50.7 /90	50.7 /90	223.2 /90	81.2 /90	40.6 /90
Gilberto Flores	9	71641 min	172.4 /90	101.4 /90	60.8 /90	415.8 /90	131.8 /90	20.3 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Kévin Denkey n 8	84.4	2 6/5	2 6/5	Brian White
Pavel Bucha n 8	86	0.7 3/2	0.8 5/1	—
Bryan Ramirez n 8	78.6	1.6 5/4	0.6 3/1	—
Roman Celentano n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Evander n 8	90	1.3 5/4	2 6/5	—
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FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Kévin Denkey n 8	84.4	0.5 3/1
Pavel Bucha n 8	86	1.7 6/4
Bryan Ramirez n 8	78.6	3.6 7/6
Evander n 8	90	1.4 7/3
Samuel Gidi n 8	84	1.3 5/2
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FC Cincinnati Attacking

FC Cincinnati — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Kévin Denkey	17	851445 min	130.8 /90	40.2 /90	301.9 /90	191.2 /90	201.2 /90	130.8 /90
Evander	16	811299 min	90.6 /90	70.5 /90	422.9 /90	271.9 /90	443 /90	312.1 /90
Tom Barlow	16	52836 min	80.9 /90	00 /90	181.9 /90	141.5 /90	60.6 /90	30.3 /90
Kenji Mboma Dem	12	64773 min	50.6 /90	20.2 /90	172 /90	80.9 /90	91 /90	101.2 /90
Ayoub Jabbari	9	42381 min	30.7 /90	10.2 /90	92.1 /90	51.2 /90	40.9 /90	40.9 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Kévin Denkey n 8	84.4	1.9 7/4	1.5 7/3
Pavel Bucha n 8	86	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
Bryan Ramirez n 8	78.6	1 5/2	0.1 1/0
Roman Celentano n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Evander n 8	90	3.1 8/8	2.3 8/7
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FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Kévin Denkey n 8	84.4	0.9 5/2	0.1 1/0
Pavel Bucha n 8	86	0.1 1/0	0.5 4/0
Bryan Ramirez n 8	78.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Roman Celentano n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Evander n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.6 2/2
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Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps Goalkeeper

Vancouver Whitecaps — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Yohei Takaoka	17	891514 min	281.7 /90	140.8 /90	00 /90
Isaac Boehmer	2	61121 min	43 /90	32.2 /90	00 /90

Vancouver Whitecaps — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vancouver Whitecaps before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Yohei Takaoka n 8	88	1.7 4/2
Isaac Boehmer n 7	81.6	2.5 5/2

Vancouver Whitecaps Defensive

Vancouver Whitecaps — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Édier Ocampo	18	821474 min	382.3 /90	161 /90	70.4 /90	754.6 /90	271.6 /90	70.4 /90
Tristan Blackmon	16	881413 min	100.6 /90	90.6 /90	110.7 /90	412.6 /90	181.1 /90	20.1 /90
Mathías Laborda	16	871389 min	301.9 /90	201.3 /90	30.2 /90	664.3 /90	201.3 /90	20.1 /90
Tate Johnson	16	831332 min	251.7 /90	130.9 /90	40.3 /90	604.1 /90	161.1 /90	10.1 /90
R. Priso	9	78699 min	81 /90	70.9 /90	60.8 /90	222.8 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90
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Vancouver Whitecaps — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vancouver Whitecaps before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Sebastian Berhalter n 8	87.3	2.7 8/7	1.8 8/4	—
Édier Ocampo n 8	88.9	1.5 8/3	0.9 5/2	—
Brian White n 8	85.5	1.3 5/3	0.4 2/1	Kévin Denkey
Yohei Takaoka n 8	88	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0	—
Tristan Blackmon n 8	92.3	1.2 6/2	0.6 4/1	—
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Vancouver Whitecaps — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vancouver Whitecaps before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Sebastian Berhalter n 8	87.3	1.9 6/4
Édier Ocampo n 8	88.9	2.7 7/5
Brian White n 8	85.5	0.4 3/0
Tristan Blackmon n 8	92.3	0.7 4/1
Mathías Laborda n 8	92.3	2.2 7/5
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Vancouver Whitecaps Attacking

Vancouver Whitecaps — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Brian White	18	821467 min	100.6 /90	30.2 /90	513.1 /90	301.8 /90	181.1 /90	40.2 /90
Kenji Cabrera	13	46594 min	10.2 /90	20.3 /90	30.5 /90	20.3 /90	111.7 /90	101.5 /90
Bruno Quiñonez	8	40319 min	20.6 /90	20.6 /90	174.8 /90	82.3 /90	20.6 /90	133.7 /90
Rayan Elloumi	3	3296 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90
Sebastian Berhalter	18	831488 min	70.4 /90	40.2 /90	352.1 /90	130.8 /90	452.7 /90	30.2 /90
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Vancouver Whitecaps — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vancouver Whitecaps before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Sebastian Berhalter n 8	87.3	2.4 8/7	0.8 5/1
Édier Ocampo n 8	88.9	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Brian White n 8	85.5	3.8 8/5	2.1 5/3
Yohei Takaoka n 8	88	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tristan Blackmon n 8	92.3	0.4 2/1	0.2 1/1
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Vancouver Whitecaps — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Vancouver Whitecaps before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Sebastian Berhalter n 8	87.3	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
Édier Ocampo n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Brian White n 8	85.5	0.7 3/2	0.3 1/1
Yohei Takaoka n 8	88	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Tristan Blackmon n 8	92.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
FC Cincinnati		Vancouver Whitecaps
38%	Possession	62%
1.56	Expected goals (xG)	1.82
10	Shots	19
6	Shots on target	6
1	Shots off target	7
3	Blocked shots	6
7	Shots inside the box	16
1	Corners	3
0	Offsides	3
12	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	5
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	2
396	Passes	630
84%	Pass accuracy	90%

FC Cincinnati Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Roman Celentano	99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Matt Miazga	99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Pavel Bucha	99	2	0	2	2	1	4	Y	8.7
Gerardo Valenzuela	99	0	1	1	0	1	0	0	6.9
O. Nwobodo	99	0	0	0	0	1	8	0	7.2
Evander	99	1	1	2	2	2	1	0	9
Samuel Gidi	89	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	6.5
Kévin Denkey	89	1	0	2	2	0	0	0	7.9
M. Robinson	64	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Ender Echenique	64	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Kenji Mboma Dem	64	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Kyle Smith sub	35	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Bryan Ramirez sub	35	0	0	0	0	0	5	0	7.2
Tom Barlow sub	35	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
T. Hadebe sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Ayoub Jabbari sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7

Vancouver Whitecaps Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Yohei Takaoka	99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.6
Tristan Blackmon	99	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.3
Mathías Laborda	99	0	0	4	0	0	0	Y	5.9
Tate Johnson	99	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
Oliver Larraz	99	0	1	1	1	3	3	0	6.3
Brian White	99	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.9
Édier Ocampo	84	0	0	0	0	4	1	Y	6.3
Andrés Cubas	84	0	0	0	0	0	6	Y	6.6
R. Gauld	63	2	0	3	2	1	1	0	7.9
Jeevan Badwal	62	1	1	1	1	3	1	0	7.6
Bruno Quiñonez	44	0	1	1	0	3	0	0	6.7
Cheick Tidiane Sabaly sub	55	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.7
Jean-Claude Ngando sub	37	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.7
N. Djordjevic sub	36	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.7
Ranko Veselinović sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Rayan Elloumi sub	15	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind FC Cincinnati v Vancouver Whitecaps — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

FC CincinnatiWDLDW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 3.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

Vancouver WhitecapsDDWLW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 3

FC Cincinnati 0 · 2 draws · Vancouver Whitecaps 1 · 3 goals/game

2023-06-11 Vancouver Whitecaps 1–1 FC Cincinnati
2022-07-14 FC Cincinnati 2–2 Vancouver Whitecaps
2019-08-04 FC Cincinnati 1–2 Vancouver Whitecaps

League standing · 2026

FC Cincinnati#9 pos46 pts34 pl-8 GD

Vancouver Whitecaps#1 pos64 pts34 pl+40 GD

Goals per game

FC Cincinnati scored1.97

Vancouver Whitecaps scored2.18

FC Cincinnati conceded2.21

Vancouver Whitecaps conceded1

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for FC Cincinnati v Vancouver Whitecaps?: TACTIX’s free model pick for FC Cincinnati v Vancouver Whitecaps was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.38 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between FC Cincinnati and Vancouver Whitecaps?: In their last 3 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 0, Vancouver Whitecaps won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of FC Cincinnati and Vancouver Whitecaps?: Recent form — FC Cincinnati 2W 2D 1L; Vancouver Whitecaps 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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