Houston DynamoSan Diego

Houston Dynamo v San Diego result

Full-time · Houston Dynamo 1–0 San Diego

Major League Soccer · · Shell Energy Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Houston Dynamo · San Diego

The model’s pre-match pick

Houston Dynamo 1–0 San Diego — Houston Dynamo won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 505 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 927 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Houston Dynamo beat San Diego 1–0 at Shell Energy Stadium in Major League Soccer on Thursday 23 April.

The goals

Houston Dynamo led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu (35’, assisted by Ondrej Lingr). A. Pellegrino (79’) and Ondrej Lingr (90+7’) were sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with I. Aliyu’s goal on 35 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Houston Dynamo 1.52, San Diego 1.15, from 11 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Rubiel Vazquez, USA showed four yellow cards and two reds — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Houston Dynamo: Felipe Andrade (14’) and F. Negri (90+3’); San Diego: A. Godoy (38’) and I. Pilcher (90+7’).

What it changes

Houston Dynamo have won their last three matches in all competitions. San Diego are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Duah (San Diego) 6.6, I. Aliyu (Houston Dynamo) 4.9 and J. Bond (Houston Dynamo) 4.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (347 of 505).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Houston Dynamo 1–0 San Diego · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium · Houston
  • Referee: Rubiel Vazquez, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Houston Dynamo 1 · draws 0 · San Diego 1 · 6.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Houston Dynamo 2W 0D 3L · San Diego 0W 1D 4L

Houston Dynamo 1–0 San Diego (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 1.5
Goals
against 2.13 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.86 / 4.38
Corners
against 4.86 / 4.38 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.71 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 5.29 / 7.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.63 / 3.25
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · Rubiel Vazquez, USA
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHouston Dynamo for / againstLineSan Diego for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.86 for · 4.86 against n 7
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
14.57 for · 13.71 against n 7
19.5standard
9.5 for · 18.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4.71 for · 5.29 against n 7
8.5standard
3.88 for · 7.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.57 for · 14.57 against n 7
21.5standard
12.38 for · 13.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
3.25 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Rubiel Vazquez, USA — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 23 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo Goalkeeper

Houston Dynamo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bond785592 min192.9 /90162.4 /9010.2 /90
J. Maurer14545 min36 /9000 /9000 /90
Houston Dynamo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bond n 885.3
2.86/4
J. Maurer n 355
3.83/1

Houston Dynamo Defensive

Houston Dynamo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Antonio Carlos684504 min91.6 /9071.3 /9050.9 /90244.3 /9040.7 /9000 /90
A. Resch640241 min62.2 /9041.5 /9051.9 /90134.9 /9051.9 /9010.4 /90
Felipe Andrade591457 min61.2 /9081.6 /9040.8 /90203.9 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90
E. Sviatchenko581405 min51.1 /9040.9 /9020.4 /90184 /9061.3 /9030.7 /90
Lucas Halter383250 min82.9 /9010.4 /9020.7 /90155.4 /9041.4 /9010.4 /90
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Houston Dynamo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Bogusz n 790.3
0.63/1
1.97/4
J. Tverskov
Guilherme n 789.9
0.74/1
3.77/7
A. Dreyer
L. Ennali n 887.4
0.53/1
1.56/4
—
J. Bond n 885.3
00/0
0.32/0
—
Antonio Carlos n 885.5
0.96/1
0.32/0
M. Duah
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Houston Dynamo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Bogusz n 790.3
0.94/2
Guilherme n 789.9
0.94/2
L. Ennali n 887.4
0.65/0
Antonio Carlos n 885.5
1.25/3
E. Ponce n 880.9
0.11/0
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Houston Dynamo Attacking

Houston Dynamo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Bogusz790632 min10.1 /9010.1 /90172.4 /9050.7 /9091.3 /9071 /90
Guilherme790629 min50.7 /9040.6 /90182.6 /90121.7 /90192.7 /90253.6 /90
E. Ponce678467 min00 /9000 /9061.2 /9010.2 /9040.8 /9010.2 /90
I. Aliyu23060 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9023 /9000 /90
L. Ennali787609 min20.3 /9000 /9060.9 /9040.6 /9050.7 /90131.9 /90
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Houston Dynamo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Bogusz n 790.3
2.47/5
0.74/1
Guilherme n 789.9
2.67/6
1.76/4
L. Ennali n 887.4
16/2
0.85/1
J. Bond n 885.3
00/0
00/0
Antonio Carlos n 885.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
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Houston Dynamo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Bogusz n 790.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
Guilherme n 789.9
0.74/1
0.63/1
L. Ennali n 887.4
0.32/0
00/0
J. Bond n 885.3
00/0
00/0
Antonio Carlos n 885.5
00/0
00/0
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San Diego

San Diego Goalkeeper

San Diego — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Ferree991816 min384.2 /90171.9 /9000 /90
P. Sisniega390270 min155 /9051.7 /9000 /90
San Diego — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Ferree n 890.8
4.58/7
P. Sisniega n 888.6
4.17/6

San Diego Defensive

San Diego — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Luca Bombino1185937 min181.7 /90121.2 /9040.4 /90494.7 /90141.3 /9030.3 /90
M. Duah1085845 min131.4 /90111.2 /9030.3 /90293.1 /9070.7 /9020.2 /90
C. McVey1079785 min111.3 /90171.9 /9040.5 /90202.3 /90192.2 /9091 /90
O. Verhoeven960540 min81.3 /9061 /9040.7 /90183 /9040.7 /9010.2 /90
O. Soe574369 min30.7 /9071.7 /9041 /9071.7 /9082 /9010.2 /90
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San Diego — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Tverskov n 885.1
1.16/2
1.65/4
M. Bogusz
A. Dreyer n 883.4
0.11/0
0.75/0
Guilherme
Luca Bombino n 886.8
1.25/3
1.96/5
—
D. Vazquez n 840.4
2.86/4
1.44/1
—
M. Duah n 883.1
0.85/1
0.75/0
Antonio Carlos
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San Diego — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Tverskov n 885.1
2.47/4
A. Dreyer n 883.4
0.11/0
Luca Bombino n 886.8
2.17/5
D. Vazquez n 840.4
1.44/1
M. Duah n 883.1
1.66/4
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San Diego Attacking

San Diego — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Dreyer12861026 min50.4 /9040.4 /90242.1 /90181.6 /90282.5 /90121.1 /90
M. Ingvartsen1068683 min50.7 /9020.3 /90131.7 /9091.2 /9081.1 /9020.3 /90
A. Pellegrino979710 min10.1 /9020.3 /90111.4 /9050.6 /9091.1 /9050.6 /90
L. Morgan749341 min00 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9000 /9041.1 /9000 /90
A. Mighten634204 min10.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9010.4 /9041.8 /9031.3 /90
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San Diego — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Tverskov n 885.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
A. Dreyer n 883.4
26/4
1.86/4
Luca Bombino n 886.8
0.32/0
0.32/0
D. Vazquez n 840.4
1.74/1
0.82/1
M. Duah n 883.1
0.11/0
00/0
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San Diego — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Tverskov n 885.1
00/0
00/0
A. Dreyer n 883.4
0.54/0
00/0
Luca Bombino n 886.8
0.11/0
0.31/1
D. Vazquez n 840.4
0.61/1
00/0
M. Duah n 883.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Houston DynamoSan Diego
29%Possession71%
1.52Expected goals (xG)1.15
11Shots9
3Shots on target1
6Shots off target4
2Blocked shots4
8Shots inside the box7
1Corners3
2Offsides2
10Fouls11
2Yellow cards2
1Red cards1
1Saves1
317Passes791
84%Pass accuracy92%

Houston Dynamo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bond9000000107.3
Antonio Carlos9000100006.9
A. Resch9000000007.3
F. Negri90000000Y6.9
I. Aliyu9010210207.3
Ondrej Lingr90011032R7.2
Felipe Andrade89000013Y7
A. Bouzat7700100306.9
M. Bogusz7500211107.3
D. Samassekou6600000107.2
Guilherme6600002006.3
Artur sub2400000006.9
E. Ponce sub2400110006.5
L. Ennali sub1500000006.2
H. Herrera sub1300100106.9
E. Sviatchenko sub900000006.9

San Diego Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Ferree9000000107.2
C. McVey9000101207
M. Duah9000001307.9
J. Tverskov9000101006.7
A. Dreyer9000112007.3
O. Valakari9000000206.2
O. Verhoeven8900000106.3
O. Soe7700000006.9
A. Mighten7700100006.3
A. Godoy66000002Y6.6
L. Morgan6600100006.2
M. Ingvartsen sub2400000006.3
A. Pellegrino sub13000000R5.2
I. Pilcher sub13000000Y7.2
D. Vazquez sub1300001006.7
A. Alvarado Jr sub900000106.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Houston Dynamo v San Diego — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Houston DynamoLLLWW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
San DiegoLDLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1 scored / 3 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Houston Dynamo 1 · 0 draws · San Diego 1 · 6.5 goals/game
  • 2025-10-05 Houston Dynamo 2–4 San Diego
  • 2025-07-06 San Diego 3–4 Houston Dynamo
League standing · 2026
Houston Dynamo#5 pos51 pts34 pl0 GD
San Diego#13 pos38 pts34 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Houston Dynamo scored1.26
San Diego scored1.68
Houston Dynamo conceded1.26
San Diego conceded1.85

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Houston Dynamo v San Diego?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Houston Dynamo v San Diego was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Houston Dynamo and San Diego?
In their last 2 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 1, San Diego won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 6.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Houston Dynamo and San Diego?
Recent form — Houston Dynamo 2W 0D 3L; San Diego 0W 1D 4L.

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