Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes

Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes result

Full-time · Houston Dynamo 1–2 San Jose Earthquakes

Major League Soccer ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Houston Dynamo 1–2 San Jose Earthquakes — San Jose Earthquakes won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 505 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 927 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

San Jose Earthquakes won 2–1 at Houston Dynamo in Major League Soccer on Sunday 24 August. Houston Dynamo are winless in their last nine matches in all competitions.

The goals

San Jose Earthquakes led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — San Jose Earthquakes: C. Arango (28’) and P. Judd (64’); Houston Dynamo: Antonio Carlos (72’, assisted by Jack McGlynn).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with P. Judd’s goal on 64 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Houston Dynamo 1.09, San Jose Earthquakes 1.78, from 11 shots to 10 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine showed five yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Houston Dynamo: Jack McGlynn (21’) and E. Ponce (35’); San Jose Earthquakes: M. Kaye (30’), C. Espinoza (56’) and R. Roberts (90+3’).

What it changes

Houston Dynamo have scored 34 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 27 games, ranked per game). Houston Dynamo have conceded 44 goals, the sixth-most of the 15 clubs.

San Jose Earthquakes have scored 52 goals, the most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 28 games, ranked per game). San Jose Earthquakes have conceded 48 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs.

It is San Jose Earthquakes’s first win over Houston Dynamo since 2 April 2023, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds). San Jose Earthquakes have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Antonio Carlos (Houston Dynamo) 7.1, C. Arango (San Jose Earthquakes) 6.0 and D. Jones (San Jose Earthquakes) 5.5 led the match.

Head-to-head

Houston Dynamo are unbeaten in the last four meetings with San Jose Earthquakes.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Houston Dynamo 1–2 San Jose Earthquakes · Major League Soccer
  • Referee: Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Houston Dynamo 4 · draws 1 · San Jose Earthquakes 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Houston Dynamo 0W 2D 3L · San Jose Earthquakes 1W 1D 3L

Houston Dynamo 1–2 San Jose Earthquakes (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

0.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 2 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.71 / 4.86
Corners
against 3.43 / 4.86 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.86 / 4.43
Shots on target
against 4.71 / 4.71 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
3.14 / 4.29
Cards
against 2.86 / 2.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.38 yellows
Referee · Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine
19.92 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 18 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameHouston Dynamo for / againstLineSan Jose Earthquakes for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
2.5standard
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4.71 for · 3.43 against n 7
9.5standard
4.86 for · 4.86 against n 7
Shots
13.86 for · 12.43 against n 7
19.5standard
14.14 for · 11 against n 7
Shots on target
3.86 for · 4.71 against n 7
8.5standard
4.43 for · 4.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
14.43 for · 14.14 against n 7
21.5standard
11.71 for · 13.86 against n 7
Cards shown
3.14 for · 2.86 against n 7
3.5standard
4.29 for · 2.57 against n 7

Referee: Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine — 3.38 yellow cards a game, 0.15 red cards, 19.92 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo Goalkeeper

Houston Dynamo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Bond19901710 min472.5 /90341.8 /9010.1 /90
Andrew Tarbell477307 min82.3 /9072.1 /9000 /90
Blake Gillingham473293 min123.7 /9041.2 /9000 /90
J. Maurer260120 min43 /9010.8 /9000 /90
Pedro Cruz19090 min22 /9022 /9000 /90
Houston Dynamo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Bond n 890
2.66/4
Andrew Tarbell n 875.1
3.43/3
Blake Gillingham n 473.3
3.73/2

Houston Dynamo Defensive

Houston Dynamo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Griffin Dorsey26822126 min311.3 /90231 /9030.1 /901014.3 /90301.3 /9070.3 /90
Obafemi Awodesu19811540 min171 /90140.8 /9090.5 /90673.9 /90221.3 /9020.1 /90
F. Escobar19811539 min492.9 /90321.9 /90110.6 /90955.6 /90251.5 /90100.6 /90
E. Bartlow18651161 min171.3 /9020.2 /9080.6 /90594.6 /90110.9 /9020.2 /90
Felipe Andrade17661122 min302.4 /90151.2 /9040.3 /90735.9 /90241.9 /9040.3 /90
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Houston Dynamo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Artur n 887.6
0.95/2
1.47/4
I. Harkes
Griffin Dorsey n 872.9
1.76/5
1.56/2
D. Romney
A. Bassi n 853.1
1.74/2
1.34/2
—
E. Ponce n 871.4
2.26/3
1.34/3
C. Arango
S. Kowalczyk n 851.4
2.26/3
2.65/3
I. Harkes
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Houston Dynamo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Artur n 887.6
1.57/3
Griffin Dorsey n 872.9
1.54/2
A. Bassi n 853.1
0.21/0
E. Ponce n 871.4
0.52/1
S. Kowalczyk n 851.4
0.42/0
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Houston Dynamo Attacking

Houston Dynamo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
E. Ponce25812017 min70.3 /9010 /90421.9 /90180.8 /9080.4 /9090.4 /90
L. Ennali1141452 min10.2 /9010.2 /9071.4 /9010.2 /9061.2 /90224.4 /90
Gabriel Segal355165 min21.1 /9000 /9042.2 /9042.2 /9000 /9000 /90
Artur27862324 min10 /9000 /9080.3 /9010 /9090.3 /90180.7 /90
A. Bassi26671748 min20.1 /9030.2 /90140.7 /9050.3 /90452.3 /90100.5 /90
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Houston Dynamo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Artur n 887.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
Griffin Dorsey n 872.9
1.15/2
0.52/1
A. Bassi n 853.1
0.83/1
0.21/0
E. Ponce n 871.4
2.45/5
1.14/2
S. Kowalczyk n 851.4
1.54/2
0.21/0
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Houston Dynamo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Artur n 887.6
0.11/0
00/0
Griffin Dorsey n 872.9
00/0
00/0
A. Bassi n 853.1
00/0
0.42/0
E. Ponce n 871.4
0.52/1
00/0
S. Kowalczyk n 851.4
00/0
00/0
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San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes Goalkeeper

San Jose Earthquakes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel23851956 min803.7 /90351.6 /9000 /90
E. Edwards679474 min122.3 /90122.3 /9000 /90
San Jose Earthquakes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel n 890
37/4
E. Edwards n 679
2.33/1

San Jose Earthquakes Defensive

San Jose Earthquakes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Romney26842193 min251 /90160.7 /90160.7 /901034.2 /90170.7 /9040.2 /90
Rodrigues19751426 min473 /90332.1 /90130.8 /901197.5 /90161 /9040.3 /90
D. Munie17801360 min231.5 /90221.5 /9090.6 /90714.7 /90100.7 /9040.3 /90
Bruno Wilson13851102 min151.2 /90302.5 /9070.6 /90494 /90131.1 /9040.3 /90
M. Floriani972646 min121.7 /90131.8 /9071 /90334.6 /90101.4 /9040.6 /90
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San Jose Earthquakes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Beau Leroux n 874.6
0.95/1
0.63/1
—
D. Romney n 871.6
0.64/0
0.21/0
Griffin Dorsey
C. Espinoza n 888.8
0.83/3
1.45/3
—
I. Harkes n 866.5
1.55/4
1.47/1
S. Kowalczyk
C. Arango n 887.9
1.56/4
27/5
E. Ponce
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San Jose Earthquakes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Beau Leroux n 874.6
3.38/6
D. Romney n 871.6
1.35/3
C. Espinoza n 888.8
1.17/2
I. Harkes n 866.5
14/1
C. Arango n 887.9
1.47/3
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San Jose Earthquakes Attacking

San Jose Earthquakes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Arango23861969 min110.5 /9020.1 /90763.5 /90311.4 /90321.5 /90231.1 /90
Josef Martínez22671463 min120.7 /9020.1 /90392.4 /90291.8 /90140.9 /9020.1 /90
O. Bouda1651813 min30.3 /9010.1 /90192.1 /90101.1 /90101.1 /9091 /90
P. Judd1252628 min40.6 /9020.3 /90202.9 /90121.7 /9081.1 /9081.1 /90
A. Pellegrino1045454 min10.2 /9010.2 /9091.8 /9020.4 /9091.8 /9010.2 /90
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San Jose Earthquakes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Beau Leroux n 874.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
D. Romney n 871.6
00/0
00/0
C. Espinoza n 888.8
1.45/3
0.84/2
I. Harkes n 866.5
0.74/0
0.32/0
C. Arango n 887.9
3.28/6
0.95/2
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San Jose Earthquakes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 18 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Beau Leroux n 874.6
0.21/0
00/0
D. Romney n 871.6
00/0
00/0
C. Espinoza n 888.8
00/0
0.31/1
I. Harkes n 866.5
0.21/0
00/0
C. Arango n 887.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
54%Possession46%
1.09Expected goals (xG)1.78
11Shots10
4Shots on target4
5Shots off target6
2Blocked shots0
9Shots inside the box9
8Corners6
2Offsides1
12Fouls8
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves3
464Passes401
88%Pass accuracy85%

Houston Dynamo Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Bond9000000006.3
Antonio Carlos9010420107.9
Felipe Andrade9000001207.2
J. McGlynn90012140Y7.6
Artur9000001106.3
E. Ponce90000001Y6.5
Griffin Dorsey8200001306.7
Ondrej Lingr8200000206.7
Júnior Urso5800210006.7
S. Kowalczyk5800001106.6
P. Ortíz1300000006.3
E. Bartlow sub7700100106.7
L. Ennali sub3200000006.2
D. Holmes sub3200000006.3
A. Bassi sub800000006.9
T. Olusanya sub800000006.6

San Jose Earthquakes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel9000000006.5
D. Munie9001103007.3
D. Romney9000000006.9
R. Roberts90000014Y7.5
D. Jones9001002207.2
I. Harkes9010110007.3
J. Ricketts8500000306.6
C. Espinoza79002011Y6.9
C. Arango7910321207.3
P. Judd6500210006.6
M. Kaye45001013Y6.6
R. Vieira sub4500000106.3
O. Bouda sub2500000006.6
Bruno Wilson sub1500000106.9
N. Buck sub1100000106.3
Josef Martínez sub1100000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Houston DynamoLLLDD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
San Jose EarthquakesDLLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Houston Dynamo 4 · 1 draw · San Jose Earthquakes 1 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2025-05-25 San Jose Earthquakes 3–3 Houston Dynamo
  • 2024-07-18 San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Houston Dynamo
  • 2024-03-31 Houston Dynamo 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2023-06-22 Houston Dynamo 4–1 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2023-04-02 San Jose Earthquakes 2–1 Houston Dynamo
  • 2022-07-18 San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 Houston Dynamo
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Houston Dynamo#12 pos37 pts34 pl-13 GD
San Jose Earthquakes#10 pos41 pts34 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Houston Dynamo scored1.26
San Jose Earthquakes scored1.76
Houston Dynamo conceded1.65
San Jose Earthquakes conceded1.85

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Houston Dynamo v San Jose Earthquakes was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes?
In their last 6 meetings, Houston Dynamo won 4, San Jose Earthquakes won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes?
Recent form — Houston Dynamo 0W 2D 3L; San Jose Earthquakes 1W 1D 3L.

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