Inter Miami v Atlanta United FC result

Full-time · Inter Miami 2–2 Atlanta United FC

Major League Soccer · · Nu Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter Miami 2–2 Atlanta United FC — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.26 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 648 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Inter Miami and Atlanta United FC drew 2–2 at Nu Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 6 September.

Inter Miami have scored in 15 consecutive matches — every result checked.

The goals

Inter Miami led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Inter Miami: Casemiro (32’, assisted by L. Messi) and L. Suarez (45’, assisted by T. Segovia); Atlanta United FC: M. Almirón (35’) and B. Embolo (87’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with B. Embolo’s goal on 87 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Atlanta United FC out-shot Inter Miami 14 to 11 and created the better chances, 3.00 xG to 1.65 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Jon Freemon, USA showed nine yellow cards — against 5.0 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Inter Miami: M. Falcon (28’), G. Berterame (42’), F. Caicedo (58’), D. St.Clair (62’), Casemiro (72’) and R. de Paul (75’); Atlanta United FC: Cooper Sanchez (39’), P. Diaz (47’) and Matthew Edwards (90+5’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, B. Embolo (Atlanta United FC) 8.2, Yannick Bright (Inter Miami) 6.9 and T. Segovia (Inter Miami) 6.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.6% of the time in the last 90 days (425 of 648).

Next up

Inter Miami next host New York City FC on 14 October 2026.

Atlanta United FC next travel to CF Montreal on 14 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter Miami: Inter Miami v New York City FC, Thursday 15 October — the preview. Next for Atlanta United FC: CF Montreal v Atlanta United FC, Thursday 15 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Inter Miami 2–2 Atlanta United FC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Nu Stadium · Miami
  • Referee: Jon Freemon, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter Miami 3 · draws 1 · Atlanta United FC 2 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter Miami 1W 1D 3L · Atlanta United FC 3W 0D 2L

Inter Miami 2–2 Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.5 / 1.38
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 4
over 8 matches
4.57 / 4.13
Corners
against 5.29 / 6.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.57 / 4
Shots on target
against 6 / 4.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.86 / 1.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
5 yellows
Referee · Jon Freemon, USA
2.57 home / 2.43 away
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 30 August 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameInter Miami for / againstLineAtlanta United FC for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
4our book
1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.57 for · 5.29 against n 7
9.5standard
4.13 for · 6.5 against n 8
Shots
13.71 for · 14.14 against n 7
19.5standard
11.38 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.57 for · 6 against n 7
8.5standard
4 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.71 for · 12 against n 7
21.5standard
10.75 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.43 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: Jon Freemon, USA — 5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 23.71 fouls over 7 matches (2.57 to the home side, 2.43 to the away side).

Inter Miami
Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Ayala n 822.3
2.53/2
0.51/0
—
A. Shaw n 314.7
21/0
21/0
—
Casemiro n 892.4
1.98/6
16/2
—
Yannick Bright n 890
1.97/5
1.97/5
Cooper Sanchez
Daniel Pinter n 842.3
1.65/1
1.63/2
—
Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Delinois n 448.3
3.33/2
1.42/1
L. Messi n 889.9
2.86/4
1.96/4
Mateo Silvetti n 857.3
2.25/2
1.24/1
A. Shaw n 314.7
21/0
21/0
L. Suarez n 886.8
1.96/4
1.35/3
Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Shaw n 314.7
21/0
00/0
L. Messi n 889.9
0.94/2
0.64/1
L. Suarez n 886.8
0.94/2
0.11/0
Mateo Silvetti n 857.3
0.42/0
0.63/0
G. Berterame n 887.9
0.53/1
0.32/0
Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Yannick Bright n 890
2.88/8
Preston Plambeck n 720.7
2.53/1
D. Ayala n 822.3
23/1
A. Shaw n 314.7
21/0
L. Delinois n 448.3
1.92/1
Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Rios n 895.6
3.58/7
D. St.Clair n 884.4
2.85/5
Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Hernandez n 843.1
2.63/2
0.82/1
—
Luke Brennan n 833.8
2.35/2
0.31/0
—
Sergio Santos n 817.1
22/1
3.33/1
—
Cooper Sanchez n 882.9
1.97/5
0.43/0
Yannick Bright
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 853
1.54/2
0.42/0
—
Atlanta United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Sergio Santos n 817.1
3.95/1
23/0
M. Almirón n 887.6
2.27/3
1.46/3
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 853
1.55/2
0.42/0
Ajani Fortune n 852.8
1.56/1
1.15/0
Tristan Muyumba n 883.3
1.27/2
0.54/0
Atlanta United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Almirón n 887.6
0.43/0
0.32/0
Sergio Santos n 817.1
0.71/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 888.5
00/0
0.54/0
Tristan Muyumba n 883.3
0.43/0
00/0
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 853
0.42/0
00/0
Atlanta United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Alzate n 827.4
2.94/1
Matthew Edwards n 851
2.66/4
Tristan Muyumba n 883.3
2.37/5
Luke Brennan n 833.8
2.35/2
Cooper Sanchez n 882.9
26/5
Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 30 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Hoyos n 892.6
2.87/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Inter MiamiAtlanta United FC
50%Possession50%
1.65Expected goals (xG)3.00
11Shots14
3Shots on target5
4Shots off target8
4Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box10
6Corners6
2Offsides2
15Fouls17
6Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
4Saves1
507Passes506
88%Pass accuracy86%

Inter Miami player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. St.Clair90000000Y7.3
I. Fray9000000306.2
Casemiro90101100Y7.5
F. Caicedo90000001Y5.3
R. de Paul90000001Y7
Yannick Bright9000002307.3
L. Messi9001311007.2
G. Berterame90001000Y6.3
L. Suarez8410111008.2
T. Segovia6901002406.9
M. Falcon45000001Y6.2
F. Mura sub4500000406.6
A. Shaw sub2100100006.3
Mateo Silvetti sub1200000006.7
Daniel Pinter sub10000000–

Atlanta United FC player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Hoyos9000000006.2
P. Diaz90001001Y6.7
J. Alonso9000000506.9
Elías Báez9000000306.2
Aleksey Miranchuk9000202006.2
M. Almirón9010323007.2
B. Embolo9010312007.9
Tristan Muyumba8500210206.7
Tomás Jacob6600000005.9
William Reilly5600000206.7
Cooper Sanchez56000000Y6.2
S. Alzate sub3400001107
M. Amaro sub3400210106.9
Matthew Edwards sub24000000Y6.3
Fafà Picault sub1500000106.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Inter Miami v Atlanta United FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Inter MiamiLLDLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2.6 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Atlanta United FCLWWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter Miami 3 · 1 draw · Atlanta United FC 2 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2025-10-11 Inter Miami 4–0 Atlanta United FC
  • 2025-03-16 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Inter Miami
  • 2024-11-10 Inter Miami 2–3 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-11-02 Atlanta United FC 2–1 Inter Miami
  • 2024-10-26 Inter Miami 2–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-09-18 Atlanta United FC 2–2 Inter Miami
League standing · 2026
Inter Miami#2 pos49 pts28 pl+18 GD
Atlanta United FC#14 pos27 pts28 pl-15 GD
Goals per game
Inter Miami scored2.43
Atlanta United FC scored1.18
Inter Miami conceded1.79
Atlanta United FC conceded1.71

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter Miami v Atlanta United FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter Miami v Atlanta United FC was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Miami and Atlanta United FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter Miami won 3, Atlanta United FC won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter Miami and Atlanta United FC?
Recent form — Inter Miami 1W 1D 3L; Atlanta United FC 3W 0D 2L.

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