Inter Miami v DC United result

Full-time · Inter Miami 4–0 DC United

Major League Soccer · · Nu Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Inter Miami · DC United · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter Miami 4–0 DC United — Inter Miami won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.29 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 400 of 608 times (65.8%), against an average rating of 68.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Inter Miami beat DC United 4–0 at Nu Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 11 October. Inter Miami have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Inter Miami led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Inter Miami: L. Suarez (3’, assisted by G. Berterame; 39’, assisted by G. Berterame) and L. Messi (47’, assisted by L. Suarez; 60’, assisted by R. de Paul).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Suarez’s goal on 3 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Inter Miami 2.41, DC United 0.66, from 16 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

What it changes

DC United are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Suarez (Inter Miami) 13.1, L. Messi (Inter Miami) 9.5 and G. Berterame (Inter Miami) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Inter Miami next travel to New York Red Bulls on 24 October 2026.

DC United next travel to FC Cincinnati on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter Miami: New York Red Bulls v Inter Miami, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for DC United: FC Cincinnati v DC United, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Inter Miami 4–0 DC United · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Nu Stadium · Miami
  • Referee: Lukasz Szpala, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Inter Miami 4 · draws 2 · DC United 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Inter Miami 0W 4D 1L · DC United 1W 3D 1L

Inter Miami 4–0 DC United (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.25 / 1
Goals
against 1.75 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5.25
Corners
against 4.13 / 5.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 4.25 / 5.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 28 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameInter Miami for / againstLineDC United for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.75our book
1 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.75 for · 16.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 5.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.63 for · 14.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.13 for · 10.13 against n 8
Cards shown
3.5 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8

Referee: Lukasz Szpala, USA.

Inter Miami
Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Matías Galarza n 873.3
3.28/7
25/4
Hosei Kijima
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda n 512.6
2.92/0
1.41/0
—
A. Shaw n 616.3
2.82/1
0.91/0
—
F. Caicedo n 675.2
2.65/4
0.42/0
—
D. Ayala n 821.3
2.63/2
1.62/1
Nikola Markovic
Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Messi n 882.4
4.68/7
3.38/6
L. Delinois n 448.3
3.33/2
1.42/1
A. Shaw n 616.3
1.82/0
0.91/0
G. Berterame n 874.5
1.45/3
0.52/1
L. Suarez n 887.1
1.35/2
0.94/2
Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Messi n 882.4
15/1
0.43/0
A. Shaw n 616.3
0.91/0
00/0
L. Suarez n 887.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
R. de Paul n 882.4
00/0
0.54/0
Daniel Pinter n 847.8
0.52/0
00/0
Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Matías Galarza n 873.3
3.86/5
Yannick Bright n 883.8
3.67/7
F. Caicedo n 675.2
3.46/5
D. Ayala n 821.3
3.24/2
Ezequiel Abadia-Reda n 512.6
2.91/1
Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Rios n 894.5
3.78/7
D. St.Clair n 883.5
1.84/2
DC United
DC United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nikola Markovic n 817.9
3.84/1
00/0
D. Ayala
Conner Antley n 838
2.75/2
0.92/1
—
Brandon Servania n 855.5
1.65/2
1.45/1
—
Hosei Kijima n 821
1.63/0
2.72/1
Matías Galarza
Lucas Bartlett n 890
1.56/5
0.63/2
—
DC United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Baribo n 885.8
2.68/5
1.36/3
Louis Munteanu n 875.9
2.57/4
0.64/0
Hosei Kijima n 821
2.11/1
0.51/0
Kimito Nono n 886.9
1.74/3
0.52/1
João Peglow n 883
1.66/4
0.32/0
DC United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Baribo n 885.8
0.74/1
00/0
Kimito Nono n 886.9
0.31/1
0.32/0
Hosei Kijima n 821
00/0
0.51/0
Keisuke Kurokawa n 890
00/0
0.32/0
Lucas Bartlett n 890
0.32/0
00/0
DC United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Conner Antley n 838
55/3
Brandon Servania n 855.5
4.37/6
Hosei Kijima n 821
3.84/2
Silvan Hefti n 883.3
3.58/6
Jared Stroud n 819.1
2.94/1
DC United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 28 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sean Johnson n 890
3.56/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Inter MiamiDC United
62%Possession38%
2.41Expected goals (xG)0.66
16Shots16
9Shots on target2
4Shots off target9
3Blocked shots5
10Shots inside the box10
4Corners2
0Offsides1
17Fouls6
2Saves5
622Passes371
91%Pass accuracy85%

Inter Miami player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. St.Clair9000000007.2
G. Lujan9000000106.9
Casemiro9000001108
Matías Galarza9000001207.2
L. Messi90206410010
G. Berterame9002212007.2
Reguilón7800001206.6
R. de Paul7801003107.9
Micael7000000106.9
D. Ayala7000000007
L. Suarez6121443009.9
Riquelme Fillipi sub2900100006.6
T. Segovia sub2000000006.9
M. Falcon sub2000000007
A. Shaw sub1200001106.6
I. Fray sub1200001007.2

DC United player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
T. Baribo9000210006.5
Kimito Nono9000202006.2
Lucas Bartlett9000100107.2
Kye Rowles9000000106
Keisuke Kurokawa9000001106.2
Sean Johnson9000000007.2
João Peglow8000202106.3
Hosei Kijima6800112106.7
A. Dozzell6800000106.9
Nikola Markovic5600000006.7
Jackson Hopkins5600001006.7
N. Ordaz sub3400201006.2
Matti Peltola sub3400100006.5
Silvan Hefti sub2200000106.7
Brandon Servania sub2200000006.3
Jared Stroud sub1000000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Inter Miami v DC United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Inter MiamiDDDDL
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
DC UnitedDWDLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Inter Miami 4 · 2 draws · DC United 0 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-03-07 DC United 1–2 Inter Miami
  • 2025-09-20 Inter Miami 3–2 DC United
  • 2025-08-23 DC United 1–1 Inter Miami
  • 2024-05-18 Inter Miami 1–0 DC United
  • 2024-03-16 DC United 1–3 Inter Miami
  • 2023-07-08 DC United 2–2 Inter Miami
League standing · 2026
Inter Miami#2 pos55 pts30 pl+22 GD
DC United#12 pos33 pts29 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
Inter Miami scored2.43
DC United scored1.28
Inter Miami conceded1.7
DC United conceded1.76

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter Miami v DC United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter Miami v DC United was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.29 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Miami and DC United?
In their last 6 meetings, Inter Miami won 4, DC United won 0 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter Miami and DC United?
Recent form — Inter Miami 0W 4D 1L; DC United 1W 3D 1L.

Today’s boards

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