Inter Miami v Portland Timbers result

Full-time · Inter Miami 2–0 Portland Timbers

Major League Soccer · Sun, 17 May 2026 23:00 BST · Nu Stadium

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Inter Miami · Portland Timbers

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter Miami 2–0 Portland Timbers — Inter Miami won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Inter Miami beat Portland Timbers 2–0 at Nu Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 May. Inter Miami have scored in 11 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Inter Miami led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Inter Miami: L. Messi (31’, assisted by T. Segovia) and G. Berterame (42’, assisted by L. Messi).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with L. Messi’s goal on 31 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Inter Miami 3.05, Portland Timbers 0.82, from 22 shots to 16 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Drew Fischer, Canada showed four yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Inter Miami: R. de Paul (41’) and T. Segovia (58’); Portland Timbers: David Pereira da Costa (65’) and F. Surman (90+2’).

What it changes

Inter Miami have scored 17 goals, the most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Inter Miami have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Portland Timbers have scored 10 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Portland Timbers have conceded seven goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Inter Miami have won their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, L. Messi (Inter Miami) 11.3, G. Berterame (Inter Miami) 5.4 and Yannick Bright (Inter Miami) 5.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Inter Miami or Portland Timbers (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: Inter Miami 2–0 Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer
Venue: Nu Stadium · Miami
Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 2): Inter Miami 1 · draws 0 · Portland Timbers 1 · 2 goals/game
Recent form: Inter Miami 3W 1D 1L · Portland Timbers 2W 1D 2L

Inter Miami 2–0 Portland Timbers (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.75 / 1.88

Goals

against 2 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.75 / 3.75

Corners

against 2.38 / 6 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

7.25 / 3.75

Shots on target

against 4.63 / 7 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

3 / 1.5

Cards

against 1.88 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.24 yellows

Referee · Drew Fischer, Canada

25.35 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 17 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Inter Miami for / against	Line	Portland Timbers for / against
Goals scored	2.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.75 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 6 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	17.5 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.38 for · 18.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	7.25 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.75 for · 7 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.5 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.75 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	3 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada — 4.24 yellow cards a game, 0.12 red cards, 25.35 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Inter Miami

Inter Miami Goalkeeper

Inter Miami — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. St.Clair	14	911267 min	362.6 /90	251.8 /90	00 /90
R. Rios	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. St.Clair n 8	90	2.6 5/4
R. Rios n 8	92.3	3.7 8/7

Inter Miami Defensive

Inter Miami — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Micael	14	911267 min	221.6 /90	191.3 /90	130.9 /90	513.6 /90	181.3 /90	40.3 /90
N. Allen	13	70904 min	232.3 /90	121.2 /90	30.3 /90	404 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90
F. Mura	12	66790 min	80.9 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90	171.9 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90
G. Lujan	11	76836 min	171.8 /90	121.3 /90	60.6 /90	414.4 /90	101.1 /90	30.3 /90
I. Fray	10	55550 min	111.8 /90	30.5 /90	40.7 /90	304.9 /90	132.1 /90	30.5 /90
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Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
G. Berterame n 8	82.6	1.9 7/4	1 4/2	K. Velde
Micael n 8	90	1.5 7/3	0.5 3/1	J. Fory
L. Messi n 8	90	1.1 5/3	1.6 7/5	K. Velde
D. St.Clair n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
T. Segovia n 8	87.1	2.2 7/4	0.3 2/0	—
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Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
G. Berterame n 8	82.6	1 6/1
Micael n 8	90	1.5 7/2
L. Messi n 8	90	0.6 5/0
T. Segovia n 8	87.1	1.9 6/4
R. de Paul n 8	90	0.5 3/1
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Inter Miami Attacking

Inter Miami — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
G. Berterame	15	771148 min	40.3 /90	20.2 /90	252 /90	141.1 /90	131 /90	60.5 /90
T. Allende	10	60602 min	00 /90	00 /90	91.3 /90	50.7 /90	81.2 /90	40.6 /90
L. Suarez	7	63438 min	30.6 /90	10.2 /90	142.9 /90	81.6 /90	132.7 /90	20.4 /90
Daniel Pinter	4	45179 min	00 /90	00 /90	10.5 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90
L. Messi	14	911267 min	130.9 /90	40.3 /90	543.8 /90	332.3 /90	402.8 /90	292.1 /90
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Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
G. Berterame n 8	82.6	2.2 7/4	1.1 6/2
L. Messi n 8	90	4.5 8/8	2.8 8/7
Micael n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.1 1/0
D. St.Clair n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Segovia n 8	87.1	0.8 4/1	0.3 1/1
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Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
G. Berterame n 8	82.6	0.5 4/0	0.3 2/0
L. Messi n 8	90	1 5/2	0.5 3/1
D. St.Clair n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Micael n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
T. Segovia n 8	87.1	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
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Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers Goalkeeper

Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Pantemis	12	921100 min	604.9 /90	211.7 /90	00 /90

Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Pantemis n 8	92.5	5.4 8/7

Portland Timbers Defensive

Portland Timbers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
F. Surman	12	881055 min	232 /90	171.5 /90	242 /90	564.8 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90
B. Bye	12	871046 min	211.8 /90	80.7 /90	40.3 /90	524.5 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90
J. Fory	11	82905 min	161.6 /90	202 /90	40.4 /90	424.2 /90	151.5 /90	30.3 /90
A. Bonetig	8	83665 min	70.9 /90	111.5 /90	81.1 /90	152 /90	50.7 /90	10.1 /90
Ian Smith	8	34273 min	72.3 /90	41.3 /90	51.6 /90	196.3 /90	41.3 /90	31 /90
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Portland Timbers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Pantemis n 8	92.5	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
K. Velde n 8	87.6	1.3 5/3	3.6 8/7	L. Messi
F. Surman n 8	86.9	0.3 2/0	0.6 4/1	—
B. Bye n 8	86.9	1 5/3	0.3 2/0	—
J. Fory n 8	81	1.1 6/2	0.8 5/1	Micael
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Portland Timbers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Velde n 8	87.6	1.3 7/3
F. Surman n 8	86.9	2.3 8/5
B. Bye n 8	86.9	1.6 6/3
J. Fory n 8	81	2.1 7/4
Antony n 8	65.8	0.3 2/0
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Portland Timbers Attacking

Portland Timbers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Kelsy	10	58577 min	40.6 /90	20.3 /90	132 /90	60.9 /90	91.4 /90	20.3 /90
A. Aravena	9	44394 min	00 /90	00 /90	92.1 /90	61.4 /90	51.1 /90	61.4 /90
F. Mora	6	55330 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	61.6 /90	20.5 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
A. Lassiter	5	32159 min	21.1 /90	10.6 /90	52.8 /90	31.7 /90	21.1 /90	10.6 /90
Gage Guerra	4	69274 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	41.3 /90	20.7 /90	20.7 /90	00 /90
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Portland Timbers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Pantemis n 8	92.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Velde n 8	87.6	1.5 7/4	0.5 4/0
F. Surman n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Bye n 8	86.9	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
J. Fory n 8	81	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Portland Timbers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Pantemis n 8	92.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Velde n 8	87.6	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
F. Surman n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
B. Bye n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
J. Fory n 8	81	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Inter Miami		Portland Timbers
45%	Possession	55%
3.05	Expected goals (xG)	0.82
22	Shots	16
9	Shots on target	4
7	Shots off target	6
6	Blocked shots	6
14	Shots inside the box	10
8	Corners	5
2	Offsides	2
15	Fouls	10
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	7
417	Passes	504
82%	Pass accuracy	89%

Inter Miami Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
D. St.Clair	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
G. Lujan	90	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	7.2
Micael	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.5
Reguilón	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
R. de Paul	90	0	0	0	0	5	1	Y	7.5
T. Segovia	90	0	1	3	0	1	2	Y	7.2
L. Messi	90	1	1	6	4	2	2	0	8.9
G. Berterame	83	1	0	2	1	2	0	0	7.3
Yannick Bright	82	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	7.2
L. Suarez	66	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	7.6
I. Fray	45	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	7.2
F. Mura sub	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Daniel Pinter sub	24	0	0	2	2	0	1	0	6.7
Preston Plambeck sub	13	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
D. Ayala sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5

Portland Timbers Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Pantemis	90	0	0	0	0	0	8.3
B. Bye	90	2	0	2	1	0	5.9
F. Surman	90	0	0	0	0	Y	7.2
J. Fory	90	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
C. Bassett	90	2	1	0	1	0	7.3
K. Velde	90	3	2	3	2	0	6.7
Antony	87	2	0	1	1	0	6.2
K. Kelsy	86	1	1	3	1	0	6.7
David Pereira da Costa	74	0	0	2	0	Y	6.5
K. Miller	67	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
D. Chara	45	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
J. Ortiz sub	45	0	0	0	1	0	7
Ian Smith sub	23	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
A. Aravena sub	16	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Gage Guerra sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
J. Mosquera sub	9	0	0	0	1	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Inter Miami v Portland Timbers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Inter MiamiWDLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 3 scored / 2 conceded per game

Portland TimbersLWLWD

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 2

Inter Miami 1 · 0 draws · Portland Timbers 1 · 2 goals/game

2022-05-29 Inter Miami 2–1 Portland Timbers
2021-10-03 Portland Timbers 1–0 Inter Miami

League standing · 2026

Inter Miami#2 pos60 pts34 pl+21 GD

Portland Timbers#7 pos46 pts34 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Inter Miami scored2.35

Portland Timbers scored1.82

Inter Miami conceded1.74

Portland Timbers conceded1.79

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter Miami v Portland Timbers?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter Miami v Portland Timbers was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Inter Miami and Portland Timbers?: In their last 2 meetings, Inter Miami won 1, Portland Timbers won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Inter Miami and Portland Timbers?: Recent form — Inter Miami 3W 1D 1L; Portland Timbers 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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