Inter MiamiSan Diego

Inter Miami v San Diego result

Full-time · Inter Miami 2–2 San Diego

Major League Soccer · · Nu Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Inter Miami 2–2 San Diego — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 1.44 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Inter Miami and San Diego drew 2–2 at Nu Stadium in Major League Soccer on Monday 21 September. Inter Miami have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — San Diego: A. Dreyer (12’, assisted by J. Tverskov; 82’); Inter Miami: L. Messi (23’) and L. Suarez (75’, assisted by R. de Paul).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Dreyer’s goal on 82 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Inter Miami 1.53, San Diego 1.78, from 19 shots to 8 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Rosendo Mendoza, USA showed three yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Inter Miami: Yannick Bright (64’) and A. Shaw (81’); San Diego: I. Murphy (33’).

What it changes

Inter Miami have scored 77 goals, the most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Inter Miami have conceded 56 goals, the 13th-most of the 30 clubs.

San Diego have scored 57 goals, the 12th-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). San Diego have conceded 62 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Inter Miami are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. San Diego are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Tverskov (San Diego) 9.9, A. Dreyer (San Diego) 9.3 and L. Messi (Inter Miami) 8.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Inter Miami to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Inter Miami next host Charlotte on 7 November 2026.

San Diego next host Sporting Kansas City on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Inter Miami: Inter Miami v Charlotte, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for San Diego: San Diego v Sporting Kansas City, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Inter Miami 2–2 San Diego · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Nu Stadium · Miami
  • Referee: Rosendo Mendoza, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Inter Miami 1W 3D 1L · San Diego 2W 0D 3L

Inter Miami 2–2 San Diego (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.25 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.13 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 4.25
over 8 matches
5 / 5.63
Corners
against 4.63 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4.88
Shots on target
against 5 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.25 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.94 yellows
Referee · Rosendo Mendoza, USA
27.35 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 17 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameInter Miami for / againstLineSan Diego for / against
Goals scored
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
4.25our book
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 13.5 against n 8
19.5standard
12.5 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.88 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 14.5 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 15.5 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.88 against n 8

Referee: Rosendo Mendoza, USA — 4.94 yellow cards a game, 0.06 red cards, 27.35 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Inter Miami

Inter Miami Goalkeeper

Inter Miami — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. St.Clair22901987 min602.7 /90381.7 /9010 /90
R. Rios795666 min273.6 /90131.8 /9000 /90
Inter Miami — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. St.Clair n 890
36/5
R. Rios n 895.6
3.58/7

Inter Miami Defensive

Inter Miami — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
I. Fray24731740 min361.9 /90211.1 /90130.7 /90954.9 /90251.3 /9070.4 /90
F. Mura22611331 min171.1 /90110.7 /9010.1 /90292 /9080.5 /9000 /90
Micael21891869 min311.5 /90271.3 /90190.9 /90763.7 /90251.2 /9050.2 /90
N. Allen21631315 min302.1 /90130.9 /9030.2 /90513.5 /90100.7 /9010.1 /90
G. Lujan17781319 min261.8 /90171.2 /9090.6 /90604.1 /90181.2 /9040.3 /90
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Inter Miami — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Segovia n 877.3
1.66/3
0.94/1
—
L. Messi n 885.3
0.43/0
1.66/5
A. Dreyer
Yannick Bright n 888.1
1.57/4
1.97/6
A. Godoy
R. de Paul n 891.8
0.11/0
28/6
A. Godoy
G. Berterame n 888.8
1.36/4
1.17/2
A. Dreyer
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Inter Miami — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Segovia n 877.3
1.67/2
L. Messi n 885.3
0.11/0
Yannick Bright n 888.1
3.88/8
R. de Paul n 891.8
0.95/2
G. Berterame n 888.8
14/3
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Inter Miami Attacking

Inter Miami — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
L. Messi25882209 min220.9 /90120.5 /90994 /90612.5 /90702.9 /90492 /90
G. Berterame24811941 min70.3 /9040.2 /90442 /90231.1 /90261.2 /90110.5 /90
L. Suarez18781396 min110.7 /9020.1 /90312 /90201.3 /90241.5 /9070.5 /90
Mateo Silvetti1461856 min20.2 /9030.3 /90192 /90111.2 /90131.4 /9060.6 /90
Daniel Pinter1146505 min20.4 /9000 /9081.4 /9050.9 /9030.5 /9020.4 /90
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Inter Miami — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Segovia n 877.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
L. Messi n 885.3
4.48/6
2.88/5
Yannick Bright n 888.1
0.32/0
0.11/0
R. de Paul n 891.8
0.54/0
0.22/0
G. Berterame n 888.8
2.28/6
14/2
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Inter Miami — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Inter Miami before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Segovia n 877.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
L. Messi n 885.3
0.84/1
0.54/0
Yannick Bright n 888.1
0.11/0
00/0
R. de Paul n 891.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
G. Berterame n 888.8
0.31/1
0.32/0
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San Diego

San Diego Goalkeeper

San Diego — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Ferree16911457 min553.4 /90311.9 /9000 /90
C. J. dos Santos13901174 min463.5 /90181.4 /9010.1 /90
P. Sisniega390270 min155 /9051.7 /9000 /90
San Diego — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Ferree n 891.4
2.76/5
C. J. dos Santos n 888.8
3.58/4

San Diego Defensive

San Diego — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Duah29892581 min381.3 /90401.4 /90240.8 /901174.1 /90150.5 /9030.1 /90
O. Verhoeven27701900 min271.3 /90160.8 /9090.4 /90562.7 /90180.9 /9050.2 /90
C. McVey25791987 min291.3 /90331.5 /90130.6 /90622.8 /90241.1 /90120.5 /90
Luca Bombino22761675 min492.6 /90221.2 /9080.4 /901116 /90291.6 /9060.3 /90
Kieran Sargeant18661190 min292.2 /90131 /9030.2 /90453.4 /90100.8 /9010.1 /90
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San Diego — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Dreyer n 886.3
0.54/0
15/2
G. Berterame
O. Valakari n 860.1
0.73/1
1.36/1
—
M. Duah n 890
0.53/1
1.97/5
—
O. Verhoeven n 877.3
0.96/0
16/1
—
A. Godoy n 865.1
1.76/3
1.77/3
R. de Paul
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San Diego — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 886.3
0.73/1
O. Valakari n 860.1
1.34/2
M. Duah n 890
1.56/4
O. Verhoeven n 877.3
15/1
A. Godoy n 865.1
1.43/3
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San Diego Attacking

San Diego — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Dreyer30882634 min100.3 /90110.4 /90571.9 /90381.3 /90792.7 /90200.7 /90
M. Ingvartsen26701807 min110.5 /9030.1 /90442.2 /90201 /90190.9 /90100.5 /90
A. Pellegrino19631199 min30.2 /9020.2 /90211.6 /90120.9 /90141.1 /9050.4 /90
L. Morgan1551765 min00 /9030.4 /90121.4 /9040.5 /90101.2 /9020.2 /90
A. Mighten1548727 min10.1 /9020.2 /9081 /9040.5 /90101.2 /90151.9 /90
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San Diego — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 886.3
1.76/4
0.85/1
O. Valakari n 860.1
0.63/0
0.21/0
M. Duah n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Verhoeven n 877.3
0.64/0
0.43/0
A. Godoy n 865.1
0.32/0
00/0
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San Diego — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 14 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 886.3
0.32/0
0.41/1
O. Valakari n 860.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Duah n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Verhoeven n 877.3
00/0
00/0
A. Godoy n 865.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Inter MiamiSan Diego
49%Possession51%
1.53Expected goals (xG)1.78
19Shots8
8Shots on target3
6Shots off target1
5Blocked shots4
11Shots inside the box4
4Corners1
1Offsides1
20Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
1Saves6
537Passes571
88%Pass accuracy88%

Inter Miami Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. St.Clair9000000006.3
F. Mura9000001006.3
Casemiro9000002307.3
M. Falcon9000000106.3
R. de Paul9001103206.9
Yannick Bright90000025Y7.6
L. Messi9010653008.7
L. Suarez9010432007.7
G. Berterame8700101106.9
F. Caicedo6900000506.9
Matías Galarza6900201006.3
Reguilón sub2100000106.3
A. Shaw sub21000001Y6.7
Daniel Pinter sub900000006.5

San Diego Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. J. dos Santos9000000108.9
M. Duah9000000106.9
I. Pilcher9000000006.7
J. Tverskov9002003207.3
Kieran Sargeant9000110306.7
A. Dreyer9020220109.2
Elias Achouri9000001207
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson8900002006.9
I. Murphy73000000Y6.7
A. Godoy7300001107.5
M. Ingvartsen6200100006.3
C. Bakambu sub2800000006.2
C. McVey sub1700000006.5
A. Alvarado Jr sub1700000206.2
S. Vines sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Inter Miami v San Diego — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Inter MiamiLWDDD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
San DiegoWWLLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026
Inter Miami#2 pos59 pts33 pl+21 GD
San Diego#13 pos38 pts33 pl-5 GD
Goals per game
Inter Miami scored2.33
San Diego scored1.73
Inter Miami conceded1.7
San Diego conceded1.88

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Inter Miami v San Diego?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Inter Miami v San Diego was Home win (best price 1.44 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Inter Miami and San Diego?
Recent form — Inter Miami 1W 3D 1L; San Diego 2W 0D 3L.

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