Minnesota United FCAtlanta United FC

Minnesota United FC v Atlanta United FC result

Full-time · Minnesota United FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC

Major League Soccer · · Allianz Field

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Minnesota United FC · Atlanta United FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Minnesota United FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC — Atlanta United FC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5233 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Atlanta United FC won 2–1 at Allianz Field in Major League Soccer on Thursday 20 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Minnesota United FC out-shot Atlanta United FC 13 to 10 and created the better chances, 2.11 xG to 0.95 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Atlanta United FC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Atlanta United FC: Tomás Jacob (37’) and Tristan Muyumba (78’, assisted by Aleksey Miranchuk); Minnesota United FC: A. Markanich (58’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tristan Muyumba’s goal on 78 minutes.

Discipline

Joshua Encarnacion, USA showed seven yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Minnesota United FC: Michael Boxall (29’), J. Pereyra (32’), T. Chancalay (75’) and O. Gene (87’); Atlanta United FC: J. Alonso (18’), Adrian Gill (46’) and Cooper Sanchez (56’).

What it changes

Minnesota United FC have scored 22 goals, the second-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 20 games, ranked per game). Minnesota United FC have conceded 28 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Atlanta United FC have scored 23 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 20 games, ranked per game). Atlanta United FC have conceded 35 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Atlanta United FC have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Tomás Jacob (Atlanta United FC) 6.8, Tristan Muyumba (Atlanta United FC) 6.3 and Stian Gregersen (Atlanta United FC) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Minnesota United FC or Atlanta United FC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (4074 of 5233).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Minnesota United FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Allianz Field · Saint Paul
  • Referee: Joshua Encarnacion, USA
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Minnesota United FC 2 · draws 0 · Atlanta United FC 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Minnesota United FC 1W 3D 1L · Atlanta United FC 1W 1D 3L

Minnesota United FC 1–2 Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.13
Goals
against 1 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
6.71 / 4.14
Corners
against 3.71 / 5.57 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5 / 4.29
Shots on target
against 4 / 5 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.71 / 2.43
Cards
against 1.86 / 1.86 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameMinnesota United FC for / againstLineAtlanta United FC for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1 against n 8
3our book
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.71 for · 3.71 against n 7
9.5standard
4.14 for · 5.57 against n 7
Shots
13.14 for · 10.86 against n 7
19.5standard
13.14 for · 14.29 against n 7
Shots on target
5 for · 4 against n 7
8.5standard
4.29 for · 5 against n 7
Fouls committed
9 for · 11.86 against n 7
21.5standard
11.71 for · 9.14 against n 7
Cards shown
1.71 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2.43 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: Joshua Encarnacion, USA.

Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC Goalkeeper

Minnesota United FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Callender19921740 min643.3 /90261.3 /9000 /90
A. Smir296191 min41.9 /9031.4 /9000 /90
Minnesota United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Callender n 892.5
35/5
A. Smir n 789.7
2.45/3

Minnesota United FC Defensive

Minnesota United FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Duggan21881854 min271.3 /90291.4 /9070.3 /90743.6 /90180.9 /9040.2 /90
J. Diaz19821554 min281.6 /90211.2 /90100.6 /90854.9 /90261.5 /9070.4 /90
D. Padelford1454759 min161.9 /9040.5 /9020.2 /90485.7 /90111.3 /9020.2 /90
Michael Boxall1077769 min50.6 /90121.4 /9080.9 /90202.3 /9080.9 /9010.1 /90
N. Romero972644 min71 /90101.4 /90101.4 /90273.8 /9071 /9020.3 /90
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Minnesota United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Duggan n 884.3
0.43/0
0.54/0
Elías Báez
J. Pereyra n 886.5
0.74/1
1.86/4
Aleksey Miranchuk
T. Chancalay n 870.6
0.84/1
1.34/2
Aleksey Miranchuk
K. Yeboah n 859.5
1.15/1
1.94/2
—
D. Callender n 892.5
00/0
0.11/0
—
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Minnesota United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Duggan n 884.3
2.16/5
J. Pereyra n 886.5
1.87/4
T. Chancalay n 870.6
15/1
K. Yeboah n 859.5
0.63/0
A. Markanich n 884.5
1.97/5
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Minnesota United FC Attacking

Minnesota United FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Pereyra21861800 min40.2 /9070.4 /90251.3 /90110.6 /90572.9 /90241.2 /90
T. Chancalay21721509 min30.2 /9030.2 /90412.4 /90161 /90191.1 /90231.4 /90
K. Yeboah20761517 min80.5 /9000 /90342 /90171 /90130.8 /90110.7 /90
B. Hlongwane1243517 min00 /9000 /9010.2 /9000 /9061 /9020.3 /90
M.Dieng1150546 min00 /9000 /90142.3 /90101.6 /9040.7 /9050.8 /90
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Minnesota United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Duggan n 884.3
0.53/1
0.42/1
J. Pereyra n 886.5
1.77/3
0.83/2
T. Chancalay n 870.6
3.28/8
1.14/2
K. Yeboah n 859.5
1.97/2
0.95/0
D. Callender n 892.5
00/0
00/0
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Minnesota United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Duggan n 884.3
00/0
00/0
J. Pereyra n 886.5
0.42/1
0.43/0
T. Chancalay n 870.6
0.32/0
00/0
K. Yeboah n 859.5
0.21/0
00/0
D. Callender n 892.5
00/0
00/0
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Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC Goalkeeper

Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucas Hoyos19921739 min512.6 /90331.7 /9000 /90
Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Hoyos n 892.6
38/4

Atlanta United FC Defensive

Atlanta United FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Elías Báez17891513 min342 /90161 /9050.3 /90784.6 /90130.8 /9050.3 /90
Tomás Jacob16891420 min372.3 /90221.4 /9040.3 /90825.2 /90221.4 /9060.4 /90
Enea Mihaj15851279 min221.5 /90181.3 /9070.5 /90503.5 /90161.1 /9030.2 /90
Stian Gregersen1271847 min141.5 /90101.1 /9060.6 /90373.9 /90111.2 /9030.3 /90
Juan Berrocal982739 min141.7 /90131.6 /9030.4 /90283.4 /9091.1 /9020.2 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucas Hoyos n 892.6
00/0
0.22/0
—
Aleksey Miranchuk n 889.9
0.32/0
1.17/2
T. Chancalay
Tristan Muyumba n 887.3
1.26/2
0.85/1
—
Elías Báez n 891.4
14/3
0.73/2
M. Duggan
Cooper Sanchez n 885.3
2.18/5
0.74/1
—
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Atlanta United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleksey Miranchuk n 889.9
0.54/0
Tristan Muyumba n 887.3
3.18/6
Elías Báez n 891.4
28/5
Cooper Sanchez n 885.3
1.86/4
Tomás Jacob n 889.9
28/5
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Atlanta United FC Attacking

Atlanta United FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
M. Almirón13861117 min30.2 /9030.2 /90241.9 /90131 /90272.2 /90231.9 /90
Emmanuel Latte Lath1371925 min20.2 /9020.2 /90171.7 /9040.4 /9070.7 /9050.5 /90
Saba Lobzhanidze1155610 min20.3 /9000 /90162.4 /90111.6 /90121.8 /9071 /90
Fafà Picault1052515 min20.3 /9010.2 /9081.4 /9030.5 /9081.4 /9061 /90
Sergio Santos12121 min00 /9000 /9028.6 /9014.3 /9000 /9028.6 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 892.6
00/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 889.9
1.45/3
0.64/1
Tristan Muyumba n 887.3
17/1
0.43/0
Elías Báez n 891.4
0.74/1
0.42/1
Cooper Sanchez n 885.3
0.53/1
00/0
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Atlanta United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 892.6
00/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 889.9
00/0
0.43/0
Tristan Muyumba n 887.3
0.32/0
00/0
Elías Báez n 891.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
Cooper Sanchez n 885.3
00/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Minnesota United FCAtlanta United FC
53%Possession47%
2.11Expected goals (xG)0.95
13Shots10
4Shots on target3
9Shots off target4
0Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box6
6Corners4
4Offsides2
13Fouls13
4Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves3
475Passes423
79%Pass accuracy78%

Minnesota United FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Callender9000000006.7
J. Diaz9000001206.3
Michael Boxall90000000Y6.3
M. Duggan9000102206.9
O. Gene90000011Y6.6
A. Markanich9010530007
J. Pereyra90000032Y7.2
W. Trapp8000001206.9
T. Chancalay80002001Y6.2
B. Hlongwane6800000006.2
Marcus Caldeira6800200106.6
Aziel Jackson sub2200001106.5
M.Dieng sub2200001006.9
M. Gonzalez sub1000200006.3
K. Yeboah sub1000110006.5

Atlanta United FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Hoyos9000000107.2
Tomás Jacob9010111107.7
Stian Gregersen9000100207
J. Alonso90001011Y6.9
Elías Báez9000102206.5
M. Almirón9000112107.2
Adrian Gill84000000Y6.7
Tristan Muyumba8410111207.6
Aleksey Miranchuk7901103006.2
Cooper Sanchez64000001Y6.3
Fafà Picault6400000106.3
Luke Brennan sub2600000006.2
S. Alzate sub2600000106.6
Matthew Edwards sub1100000006.7
Enea Mihaj sub1100000006.6
P. Diaz sub1100000106.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Minnesota United FC v Atlanta United FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Minnesota United FCDLDWD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
Atlanta United FCLDLLW
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Minnesota United FC 2 · 0 draws · Atlanta United FC 4 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2024-05-04 Atlanta United FC 1–2 Minnesota United FC
  • 2019-08-28 Atlanta United FC 2–1 Minnesota United FC
  • 2019-05-29 Atlanta United FC 3–0 Minnesota United FC
  • 2018-04-01 Minnesota United FC 0–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2017-10-03 Atlanta United FC 2–3 Minnesota United FC
  • 2017-03-12 Minnesota United FC 1–6 Atlanta United FC
League standing · 2026
Minnesota United FC#10 pos44 pts34 pl-2 GD
Atlanta United FC#13 pos33 pts34 pl-17 GD
Goals per game
Minnesota United FC scored1.65
Atlanta United FC scored1.26
Minnesota United FC conceded1.71
Atlanta United FC conceded1.76

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Minnesota United FC v Atlanta United FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Minnesota United FC v Atlanta United FC was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Minnesota United FC and Atlanta United FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Minnesota United FC won 2, Atlanta United FC won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Minnesota United FC and Atlanta United FC?
Recent form — Minnesota United FC 1W 3D 1L; Atlanta United FC 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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