Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City result

Full-time · Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City

Major League Soccer · Sat, 17 Oct 2026 21:30 BST · Allianz Field

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Minnesota United FC · St. Louis City · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City — Minnesota United FC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.50 at Bet365

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Minnesota United FC beat St. Louis City 3–2 at Allianz Field in Major League Soccer on Saturday 17 October. Minnesota United FC have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Minnesota United FC came from behind: St. Louis City led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — St. Louis City: Rafael Navarro (4’) and Jeong Sang-Bin (10’, assisted by Rafael Navarro); Minnesota United FC: Aziel Jackson (49’, assisted by K. Yeboah), K. Yeboah (68’, assisted by M. Gonzalez) and Marcus Caldeira (86’, assisted by J. Pereyra).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Marcus Caldeira’s goal on 86 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Minnesota United FC 2.63, St. Louis City 1.21, from 27 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ramy Touchan, USA showed four yellow cards — against 6.0 yellows a game across the last 8 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Minnesota United FC: Aziel Jackson (24’) and J. Diaz (90’); St. Louis City: M. Perez (26’) and Jeong Sang-Bin (51’).

What it changes

Minnesota United FC have scored 47 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 30 games, ranked per game). Minnesota United FC have conceded 55 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs.

St. Louis City have scored 56 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 30 games, ranked per game). St. Louis City have conceded 41 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Minnesota United FC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Rafael Navarro (St. Louis City) 10.0, K. Yeboah (Minnesota United FC) 8.5 and Aziel Jackson (Minnesota United FC) 7.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City · Major League Soccer
Venue: Allianz Field · Saint Paul, Minnesota
Referee: Ramy Touchan, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Minnesota United FC 5 · draws 0 · St. Louis City 1 · 4.33 goals/game
Recent form: Minnesota United FC 0W 2D 3L · St. Louis City 4W 1D 0L

Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 3

Goals

against 3 / 1 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

4.5 / 4

Corners

against 5.25 / 5.86 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.63 / 6.29

Shots on target

against 5.88 / 3.29 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.13 / 2

Cards

against 1.38 / 2.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

6 yellows

Referee · Ramy Touchan, USA

28.13 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Minnesota United FC for / against	Line	St. Louis City for / against
Goals scored	2.13 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	3 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.5 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	14 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.29 for · 13.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.63 for · 5.88 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	6.29 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	13 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	16.43 for · 12.57 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2.29 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Ramy Touchan, USA — 6 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 28.13 fouls over 8 matches.

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Minnesota United FC

Minnesota United FC Goalkeeper

Minnesota United FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
D. Callender	29	902600 min	913.2 /90	481.7 /90	00 /90
A. Smir	3	79236 min	62.3 /90	51.9 /90	00 /90

Minnesota United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
D. Callender n 8	85	2.8 6/4
A. Smir n 8	84.1	2.5 6/3

Minnesota United FC Defensive

Minnesota United FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
M. Duggan	30	882647 min	511.7 /90	451.5 /90	80.3 /90	1194 /90	240.8 /90	50.2 /90
J. Diaz	28	782193 min	371.5 /90	291.2 /90	100.4 /90	1204.9 /90	381.6 /90	90.4 /90
Michael Boxall	19	831579 min	160.9 /90	231.3 /90	120.7 /90	563.2 /90	201.1 /90	50.3 /90
D. Padelford	14	54759 min	161.9 /90	40.5 /90	20.2 /90	485.7 /90	111.3 /90	20.2 /90
N. Romero	11	74814 min	101.1 /90	101.1 /90	121.3 /90	333.6 /90	101.1 /90	20.2 /90
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Minnesota United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
M. Duggan n 8	87.9	0.6 3/2	0.6 3/2	T. Baumgartl
D. Callender n 8	85	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
K. Yeboah n 8	80.1	1.3 4/2	1.4 7/2	—
W. Trapp n 8	80.8	0.4 3/0	0.7 5/0	D. Polvara
T. Chancalay n 8	61.4	0.9 4/1	1.1 5/1	—
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Minnesota United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Duggan n 8	87.9	2.8 8/6
K. Yeboah n 8	80.1	0.7 3/2
W. Trapp n 8	80.8	1 6/1
T. Chancalay n 8	61.4	1.6 5/2
J. Pereyra n 8	90.5	1.6 7/5
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Minnesota United FC Attacking

Minnesota United FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Yeboah	29	772241 min	160.6 /90	20.1 /90	602.4 /90	321.3 /90	200.8 /90	241 /90
T. Chancalay	29	692000 min	50.2 /90	30.1 /90	492.2 /90	190.9 /90	251.1 /90	281.3 /90
J. Pereyra	28	872434 min	50.2 /90	110.4 /90	351.3 /90	150.6 /90	782.9 /90	341.3 /90
B. Hlongwane	16	48775 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	20.2 /90	00 /90	91 /90	40.5 /90
Marcus Caldeira	12	55660 min	60.8 /90	20.3 /90	182.5 /90	101.4 /90	71 /90	20.3 /90
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Minnesota United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
M. Duggan n 8	87.9	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
D. Callender n 8	85	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Yeboah n 8	80.1	3.1 8/7	1.5 7/3
W. Trapp n 8	80.8	0.6 3/1	0.1 1/0
T. Chancalay n 8	61.4	1.5 6/2	0.5 3/0
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Minnesota United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Minnesota United FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Duggan n 8	87.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
D. Callender n 8	85	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Yeboah n 8	80.1	0.8 6/0	0.3 2/0
W. Trapp n 8	80.8	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
T. Chancalay n 8	61.4	0.4 2/0	0 0/0
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St. Louis City

St. Louis City Goalkeeper

St. Louis City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
R. Burki	27	912457 min	672.5 /90	361.3 /90	00 /90
B. Lundt	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

St. Louis City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
R. Burki n 8	90	2.3 4/3
B. Lundt n 8	90	3.1 6/4

St. Louis City Defensive

St. Louis City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
T. Baumgartl	29	912637 min	401.4 /90	351.2 /90	180.6 /90	933.2 /90	200.7 /90	30.1 /90
D. Polvara	28	872448 min	511.9 /90	461.7 /90	220.8 /90	1264.6 /90	261 /90	40.1 /90
L. MacNaughton	16	691111 min	231.9 /90	171.4 /90	60.5 /90	635.1 /90	231.9 /90	10.1 /90
Jaziel Orozco	15	821229 min	312.3 /90	282.1 /90	50.4 /90	594.3 /90	282.1 /90	40.3 /90
F. Fall	10	62616 min	192.8 /90	101.5 /90	81.2 /90	466.7 /90	121.8 /90	30.4 /90
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St. Louis City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
T. Baumgartl n 8	90	0.9 3/3	1 6/2	M. Duggan
D. Polvara n 8	86.9	0.6 3/1	1 5/2	W. Trapp
S. Becher n 8	55.5	2.4 5/3	1.2 4/1	—
R. Burki n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
D. Edelman n 8	85.5	1.2 6/2	1.7 7/5	—
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St. Louis City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 8	90	1.5 8/3
D. Polvara n 8	86.9	1.9 6/4
S. Becher n 8	55.5	0.2 1/0
D. Edelman n 8	85.5	0.9 6/1
C. Durkin n 8	80.1	2.4 8/5
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St. Louis City Attacking

St. Louis City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Becher	28	722019 min	90.4 /90	40.2 /90	532.4 /90	271.2 /90	221 /90	170.8 /90
Jeong Sang-Bin	17	56958 min	20.2 /90	10.1 /90	151.4 /90	80.8 /90	191.8 /90	90.8 /90
M. Hartel	16	871398 min	60.4 /90	30.2 /90	463 /90	251.6 /90	463 /90	100.6 /90
E. Lowen	10	62617 min	20.3 /90	20.3 /90	121.8 /90	30.4 /90	111.6 /90	91.3 /90
C. Holse	10	56558 min	61 /90	10.2 /90	203.2 /90	121.9 /90	132.1 /90	40.6 /90
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St. Louis City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
D. Polvara n 8	86.9	1 5/2	0.4 2/1
S. Becher n 8	55.5	2.8 7/3	2.4 7/3
R. Burki n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Edelman n 8	85.5	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
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St. Louis City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Polvara n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
S. Becher n 8	55.5	1 5/0	0 0/0
R. Burki n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Edelman n 8	85.5	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Minnesota United FC		St. Louis City
45%	Possession	55%
2.63	Expected goals (xG)	1.21
27	Shots	15
11	Shots on target	6
8	Shots off target	5
8	Blocked shots	4
19	Shots inside the box	11
6	Corners	7
0	Offsides	2
14	Fouls	15
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	7
338	Passes	419
79%	Pass accuracy	82%

Minnesota United FC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Diaz	90	0	0	0	0	3	0	Y	7.9
D. Callender	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
N. Triantis	90	0	0	3	1	3	1	0	6.9
W. Trapp	90	0	0	1	0	3	1	0	7.3
A. Markanich	90	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
B. Hlongwane	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	6.9
M. Duggan	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Cherrion Valerius	89	0	0	2	1	1	2	0	6.7
K. Yeboah	89	1	1	4	2	2	1	0	7.9
Aziel Jackson	79	1	0	3	2	6	0	Y	7.9
M. Gonzalez	70	0	1	1	1	1	1	0	7
Marcus Caldeira sub	20	1	0	3	3	1	0	0	7.3
J. Pereyra sub	11	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
T. Chancalay sub	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	–
Michael Boxall sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

St. Louis City Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
R. Burki	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7
Jaziel Orozco	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	6.5
T. Baumgartl	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7.3
F. Fall	90	0	0	1	0	0	2	0	7
M. Perez	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.3
Rafael Navarro	90	1	1	4	2	1	1	0	8.3
M. Joyner	82	0	0	1	1	1	3	0	7.2
Jeong Sang-Bin	69	1	0	1	1	2	1	Y	7.5
S. Becher	69	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.7
D. Polvara	45	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7
T. Totland	45	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.9
D. Edelman sub	45	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
Rafael Santos sub	45	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	5.6
L. MacNaughton sub	21	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
D. Downs sub	21	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.7
T. Ostrák sub	8	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Minnesota United FCLLLDD

Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2.8 conceded per game

St. Louis CityWWWWD

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3 scored / 0.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Minnesota United FC 5 · 0 draws · St. Louis City 1 · 4.33 goals/game

2026-09-13 St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC
2025-07-27 St. Louis City 1–2 Minnesota United FC
2025-05-21 Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City
2025-05-18 Minnesota United FC 3–0 St. Louis City
2024-10-20 Minnesota United FC 4–1 St. Louis City
2024-09-15 St. Louis City 1–3 Minnesota United FC

League standing · 2026

Minnesota United FC#10 pos44 pts34 pl-2 GD

St. Louis City#3 pos54 pts34 pl+11 GD

Goals per game

Minnesota United FC scored1.65

St. Louis City scored1.74

Minnesota United FC conceded1.71

St. Louis City conceded1.41

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Minnesota United FC v St. Louis City was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Minnesota United FC and St. Louis City?: In their last 6 meetings, Minnesota United FC won 5, St. Louis City won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Minnesota United FC and St. Louis City?: Recent form — Minnesota United FC 0W 2D 3L; St. Louis City 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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