Nashville SCAtlanta United FC

Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC result

Full-time · Nashville SC 0–1 Atlanta United FC

Major League Soccer ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nashville SC · Atlanta United FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nashville SC 0–1 Atlanta United FC — Atlanta United FC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 80.1% of 292 landed (95% range 75.2–84.3%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 194 of 283 times (68.6%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Atlanta United FC won 1–0 at Nashville SC in Major League Soccer on Sunday 31 August. It is Atlanta United FC’s first win over Nashville SC since 26 August 2023, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

Atlanta United FC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Atlanta United FC: R. Hernandez (24’, assisted by S. Alzate).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Hernandez’s goal on 24 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Nashville SC out-shot Atlanta United FC 19 to 10 and created the better chances, 1.78 xG to 0.76 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

The bookings — Nashville SC: A. Najar (38’) and J. Palacios (71’); Atlanta United FC: J. Thiare (43’), Pedro Amador (53’), R. Hernandez (58’), Jayden Hibbert (62’), B. Slisz (77’), M. Almirón (79’) and Aleksey Miranchuk (90+4’).

What it changes

Nashville SC have scored 61 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 37 games, ranked per game). Nashville SC have conceded 53 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Atlanta United FC have scored 38 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 34 games, ranked per game). Atlanta United FC have conceded 63 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Alzate (Atlanta United FC) 6.2, A. Najar (Nashville SC) 5.5 and Jayden Hibbert (Atlanta United FC) 5.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Nashville SC are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Atlanta United FC.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Nashville SC to win, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 80.1% of the time in the last 90 days (234 of 292).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nashville SC 0–1 Atlanta United FC · Major League Soccer
  • Referee: Ismir Pekmic, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nashville SC 2 · draws 3 · Atlanta United FC 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nashville SC 2W 0D 3L · Atlanta United FC 1W 2D 2L

Nashville SC 0–1 Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.38 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4 / 5.43
Corners
against 2.71 / 4 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.71 / 3.29
Shots on target
against 4 / 3.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2 / 2.14
Cards
against 2.29 / 1.71 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNashville SC for / againstLineAtlanta United FC for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 2.71 against n 7
9.5standard
5.43 for · 4 against n 7
Shots
11.71 for · 11.86 against n 7
19.5standard
12.86 for · 10.57 against n 7
Shots on target
4.71 for · 4 against n 7
8.5standard
3.29 for · 3.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.57 for · 9.29 against n 7
21.5standard
11.29 for · 12.29 against n 7
Cards shown
2 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.14 for · 1.71 against n 7

Nashville SC

Nashville SC Goalkeeper

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Willis28902531 min752.7 /90321.1 /9020.1 /90
Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Willis n 890
2.47/4

Nashville SC Defensive

Nashville SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Najar27802166 min431.8 /90401.7 /9030.1 /901225.1 /90251 /9010 /90
D. Lovitz25902259 min602.4 /90291.2 /9040.2 /901014 /90361.4 /9040.2 /90
J. Maher25852133 min120.5 /90170.7 /9080.3 /90602.5 /90160.7 /9020.1 /90
J. Palacios18881575 min452.6 /90140.8 /90100.6 /90965.5 /90120.7 /9020.1 /90
Walker Zimmerman15771156 min201.6 /90201.6 /9090.7 /90564.4 /90131 /9030.2 /90
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Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Willis n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
H. Mukhtar n 889
16/2
1.45/5
Aleksey Miranchuk
S. Surridge n 885.6
0.94/3
1.16/2
—
A. Najar n 886.9
0.86/0
1.47/3
—
E. Tagseth n 878.1
2.98/6
0.75/0
—
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Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 889
0.64/1
S. Surridge n 885.6
0.32/0
A. Najar n 886.9
1.44/4
E. Tagseth n 878.1
2.67/4
A. Muyl n 868.8
1.15/1
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Nashville SC Attacking

Nashville SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
H. Mukhtar28892491 min140.5 /9070.3 /90782.8 /90542 /90752.7 /90210.8 /90
S. Surridge28862413 min200.7 /9030.1 /90672.5 /90421.6 /90271 /90160.6 /90
J. Shaffelburg1745773 min20.2 /9020.2 /90141.6 /9060.7 /90151.7 /9070.8 /90
Teal Bunbury721145 min00 /9000 /9063.7 /9021.2 /9000 /9010.6 /90
E. Tagseth26822123 min00 /9020.1 /9050.2 /9030.1 /90251.1 /90110.5 /90
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Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Willis n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Mukhtar n 889
2.47/7
1.57/5
S. Surridge n 885.6
2.28/6
1.26/3
A. Najar n 886.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
E. Tagseth n 878.1
00/0
00/0
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Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Willis n 890
00/0
00/0
H. Mukhtar n 889
0.85/1
0.32/0
S. Surridge n 885.6
0.53/1
0.11/0
A. Najar n 886.9
00/0
0.11/0
E. Tagseth n 878.1
00/0
00/0
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Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC Goalkeeper

Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Brad Guzan27902430 min893.3 /90542 /9010 /90
Jayden Hibbert290180 min63 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Brad Guzan n 890
2.15/3

Atlanta United FC Defensive

Atlanta United FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
B. Lennon22731604 min201.1 /90120.7 /9030.2 /90663.7 /90160.9 /9020.1 /90
Pedro Amador20761520 min231.4 /90140.8 /9060.4 /90533.1 /9080.5 /9020.1 /90
L. Abram19781480 min171 /9060.4 /9050.3 /90452.7 /90100.6 /9010.1 /90
D. Williams18791413 min211.3 /90171.1 /9040.3 /90674.3 /90130.8 /9010.1 /90
Matthew Edwards16741180 min161.2 /90100.8 /9070.5 /90403.1 /90141.1 /9030.2 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Aleksey Miranchuk n 890
0.42/1
0.94/2
H. Mukhtar
Brad Guzan n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Almirón n 887.4
15/2
2.87/6
—
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 874.1
1.16/1
0.84/1
—
Saba Lobzhanidze n 862.3
0.42/0
0.53/0
—
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Atlanta United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleksey Miranchuk n 890
0.43/0
M. Almirón n 887.4
2.38/6
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 874.1
0.64/0
Saba Lobzhanidze n 862.3
00/0
B. Slisz n 890
1.15/2
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Atlanta United FC Attacking

Atlanta United FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Emmanuel Latte Lath27762057 min80.4 /9010 /90401.8 /90170.7 /90200.9 /90180.8 /90
J. Thiare1537549 min20.3 /9000 /90152.5 /9061 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Cayman Togashi14949 min00 /9000 /9011.8 /9000 /9011.8 /9011.8 /90
Aleksey Miranchuk29862504 min70.3 /9030.1 /90411.5 /90190.7 /90552 /90180.6 /90
M. Almirón27872357 min30.1 /9040.2 /90401.5 /90190.7 /90331.3 /90431.6 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Aleksey Miranchuk n 890
1.47/4
0.65/0
Brad Guzan n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Almirón n 887.4
15/1
0.54/0
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 874.1
1.56/4
0.64/0
Saba Lobzhanidze n 862.3
1.46/2
0.52/1
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Atlanta United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 24 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Aleksey Miranchuk n 890
0.65/0
00/0
Brad Guzan n 890
00/0
00/0
M. Almirón n 887.4
00/0
0.43/0
Emmanuel Latte Lath n 874.1
0.53/0
00/0
Saba Lobzhanidze n 862.3
00/0
0.21/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
59%Possession41%
1.78Expected goals (xG)0.76
19Shots10
7Shots on target4
9Shots off target3
3Blocked shots3
13Shots inside the box7
12Corners1
1Offsides2
11Fouls14
2Yellow cards7
0Red cards0
3Saves7
524Passes386
89%Pass accuracy84%

Nashville SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Willis9000000006.9
A. Najar90000046Y7.9
Walker Zimmerman9000210007.2
J. Palacios90001001Y7.3
H. Mukhtar9000643007.2
S. Surridge9000420106.9
P. Yazbek8300000406.9
G. Brugman8300104107.2
J. Bauer6700001106.6
J. Shaffelburg6700001007.3
A. Muyl3800000006.5
J. Perez sub5200002006.9
D. Lovitz sub2300100006.6
T. Boyd sub2300001006.3
E. Tagseth sub1400000006.7
Teal Bunbury sub1400100006.9

Atlanta United FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Jayden Hibbert90000000Y8.3
R. Hernandez90101101Y7.3
Enea Mihaj9000001107.5
Pedro Amador90000002Y7.2
B. Slisz90000000Y6.9
Aleksey Miranchuk90002021Y7.2
M. Almirón86001013Y7.5
J. Thiare86001110Y7.2
Stian Gregersen7200000107.2
S. Alzate6101111307.7
Luke Brennan6100000106.3
Tristan Muyumba sub2900000106.6
Saba Lobzhanidze sub2900110106.3
Juan Berrocal sub1800000006.9
B. Lennon sub1100000006.3
Cayman Togashi sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Nashville SCWLLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Atlanta United FCLWDLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nashville SC 2 · 3 draws · Atlanta United FC 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-05-03 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Nashville SC
  • 2024-09-14 Atlanta United FC 0–2 Nashville SC
  • 2024-05-18 Nashville SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2023-08-26 Atlanta United FC 4–0 Nashville SC
  • 2023-04-29 Nashville SC 3–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2022-05-21 Nashville SC 2–2 Atlanta United FC
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Nashville SC#6 pos54 pts34 pl+13 GD
Atlanta United FC#14 pos28 pts34 pl-25 GD
Goals per game
Nashville SC scored1.71
Atlanta United FC scored1.12
Nashville SC conceded1.32
Atlanta United FC conceded1.85

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC was Home win.
What is the head-to-head record between Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Nashville SC won 2, Atlanta United FC won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC?
Recent form — Nashville SC 2W 0D 3L; Atlanta United FC 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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