Nashville SCAtlanta United FC

Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC result

Full-time · Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC

Major League Soccer · · Geodis Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC — Nashville SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5233 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Nashville SC beat Atlanta United FC 1–0 at Geodis Park in Major League Soccer on Saturday 18 July. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Atlanta United FC out-shot Nashville SC 12 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.77 xG to 0.61 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Nashville SC: S. Mohammed (79’, assisted by A. Muyl).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Mohammed’s goal on 79 minutes.

Discipline

F. Dujic showed two yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nashville SC: S. Mohammed (85’); Atlanta United FC: Enea Mihaj (90+10’).

What it changes

Nashville SC have scored 32 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Nashville SC have conceded 11 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs.

Atlanta United FC have scored 14 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Atlanta United FC have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Atlanta United FC are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Nashville SC have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Almirón (Atlanta United FC) 5.6, B. Schwake (Nashville SC) 5.1 and E. Tagseth (Nashville SC) 4.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Nashville SC or Atlanta United FC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (4074 of 5233).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Geodis Park · Nashville
  • Referee: F. Dujic
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nashville SC 2 · draws 2 · Atlanta United FC 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nashville SC 3W 1D 1L · Atlanta United FC 1W 1D 3L

Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.5 / 6
Corners
against 5.5 / 4 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.88 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.13 / 2.57
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.86 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
2.57 yellows
Referee · F. Dujic
22.57 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 7 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 24 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNashville SC for / againstLineAtlanta United FC for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
3our book
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.5 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
6 for · 4 against n 6
Shots
10 for · 11.5 against n 8
19.5standard
16 for · 9 against n 6
Shots on target
3.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4 against n 6
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12.5 for · 8.5 against n 6
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.57 for · 1.86 against n 7

Referee: F. Dujic — 2.57 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 22.57 fouls over 7 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Nashville SC

Nashville SC Goalkeeper

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Schwake22911992 min612.8 /90120.5 /9010 /90
Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Schwake n 890.9
3.36/5

Nashville SC Defensive

Nashville SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Woledzi19911722 min331.7 /90130.7 /90100.5 /90753.9 /90130.7 /9000 /90
J. Palacios17891518 min311.8 /90201.2 /90130.8 /90975.8 /90120.7 /9040.2 /90
A. Najar17751281 min141 /90161.1 /9050.4 /90553.9 /90130.9 /9020.1 /90
D. Lovitz16751193 min251.9 /90131 /9050.4 /90513.8 /90201.5 /9040.3 /90
R. Baker-Whiting1274891 min141.4 /9030.3 /9040.4 /90404 /90121.2 /9010.1 /90
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Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Schwake n 890.9
00/0
00/0
—
H. Mukhtar n 882.6
0.54/0
2.26/4
Cooper Sanchez
C. Espinoza n 881.5
1.16/2
0.32/0
—
W. Madrigal n 869.8
1.35/3
2.46/5
—
M. Woledzi n 890.9
0.22/0
0.11/0
Enea Mihaj
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Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 882.6
1.25/2
C. Espinoza n 881.5
0.73/2
W. Madrigal n 869.8
0.32/0
M. Woledzi n 890.9
1.78/4
A. Muyl n 848
1.44/2
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Nashville SC Attacking

Nashville SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Madrigal20641288 min50.3 /9020.1 /90241.7 /90100.7 /90130.9 /90110.8 /90
A. Qasem1562931 min20.2 /9010.1 /90141.4 /9090.9 /9050.5 /90131.3 /90
S. Surridge1072720 min91.1 /9000 /90243 /90172.1 /9010.1 /9050.6 /90
Woobens Pacius756395 min20.5 /9000 /9061.4 /9020.5 /9010.2 /9040.9 /90
Jordan Knight264128 min10.7 /9000 /9032.1 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Schwake n 890.9
00/0
00/0
H. Mukhtar n 882.6
1.96/4
1.13/3
C. Espinoza n 881.5
0.74/1
0.63/1
W. Madrigal n 869.8
1.34/3
0.52/1
M. Woledzi n 890.9
0.22/0
0.11/0
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Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Schwake n 890.9
00/0
00/0
H. Mukhtar n 882.6
0.52/1
0.11/0
C. Espinoza n 881.5
00/0
0.63/1
W. Madrigal n 869.8
0.52/1
0.21/0
M. Woledzi n 890.9
0.11/0
00/0
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Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC Goalkeeper

Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucas Hoyos14911268 min342.4 /90221.6 /9000 /90
Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Hoyos n 890
2.97/3

Atlanta United FC Defensive

Atlanta United FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Enea Mihaj12891062 min211.8 /90181.5 /9050.4 /90453.8 /90121 /9020.2 /90
Elías Báez12881052 min252.1 /90151.3 /9020.2 /90564.8 /9080.7 /9030.3 /90
Tomás Jacob12871039 min312.7 /90121 /9040.3 /90655.6 /90181.6 /9040.3 /90
Juan Berrocal982739 min141.7 /90131.6 /9030.4 /90283.4 /9091.1 /9020.2 /90
Stian Gregersen980724 min111.4 /9091.1 /9050.6 /90303.7 /9091.1 /9030.4 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucas Hoyos n 890
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
Aleksey Miranchuk n 888.4
0.42/1
0.63/2
—
Tristan Muyumba n 886
1.36/2
0.43/0
—
Cooper Sanchez n 873.1
2.27/5
0.84/1
H. Mukhtar
Enea Mihaj n 887.3
0.43/0
0.42/1
M. Woledzi
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Atlanta United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleksey Miranchuk n 888.4
0.32/0
Tristan Muyumba n 886
3.17/6
Cooper Sanchez n 873.1
0.84/1
Enea Mihaj n 887.3
2.18/6
Elías Báez n 885.5
1.65/5
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Atlanta United FC Attacking

Atlanta United FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Emmanuel Latte Lath1276907 min20.2 /9020.2 /90161.6 /9040.4 /9070.7 /9050.5 /90
Saba Lobzhanidze1155610 min20.3 /9000 /90162.4 /90111.6 /90121.8 /9071 /90
M. Almirón883666 min00 /9020.3 /90101.4 /9050.7 /90131.8 /90111.5 /90
Fafà Picault534172 min10.5 /9010.5 /9021 /9010.5 /9052.6 /9021 /90
Sergio Santos12121 min00 /9000 /9028.6 /9014.3 /9000 /9028.6 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 890
00/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 888.4
1.77/3
0.96/1
Tristan Muyumba n 886
0.85/1
0.32/0
Cooper Sanchez n 873.1
1.15/2
0.21/0
Enea Mihaj n 887.3
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Atlanta United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 24 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 890
00/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 888.4
0.32/0
0.31/1
Tristan Muyumba n 886
0.11/0
00/0
Cooper Sanchez n 873.1
00/0
0.21/0
Enea Mihaj n 887.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nashville SCAtlanta United FC
48%Possession52%
0.61Expected goals (xG)1.77
8Shots12
3Shots on target5
4Shots off target2
1Blocked shots5
4Shots inside the box9
4Corners2
1Offsides0
10Fouls13
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves2
434Passes480
85%Pass accuracy86%

Nashville SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Schwake9000000009.3
M. Woledzi9000000207.6
D. Lovitz9000100007
M. Corcoran9000001107.2
S. Surridge9000000106.7
H. Mukhtar9000212107.3
S. Mohammed89101110Y8
J. Maher7300000007
A. Qasem7300100106.9
J. Bauer6300100306.9
E. Tagseth6300000307
A. Najar sub2700110107
B. Acosta sub2700001006.7
J. Palacios sub1700000207.3
A. Muyl sub1701002106.9
Jordan Knight sub10000010–

Atlanta United FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Hoyos9000000006.7
Tomás Jacob9000000206.9
Enea Mihaj90002200Y7
Elías Báez9000000106.2
Tristan Muyumba9000100306.7
Aleksey Miranchuk9000112006.9
M. Almirón9000114107.3
Cooper Sanchez8300000406.3
Luke Brennan8300111206.9
Matthew Edwards6200001106.2
Ajani Fortune1100001006.6
William Reilly sub7900000206.9
R. Hernandez sub2800000106.3
Emmanuel Latte Lath sub1800100006.3
Fafà Picault sub1800000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Nashville SCLDWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Atlanta United FCWLDLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nashville SC 2 · 2 draws · Atlanta United FC 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-18 Atlanta United FC 0–2 Nashville SC
  • 2025-08-31 Nashville SC 0–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2025-05-03 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Nashville SC
  • 2024-09-14 Atlanta United FC 0–2 Nashville SC
  • 2024-05-18 Nashville SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2023-08-26 Atlanta United FC 4–0 Nashville SC
League standing · 2026
Nashville SC#1 pos77 pts34 pl+46 GD
Atlanta United FC#13 pos33 pts34 pl-17 GD
Goals per game
Nashville SC scored2.09
Atlanta United FC scored1.26
Nashville SC conceded0.74
Atlanta United FC conceded1.76

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Nashville SC won 2, Atlanta United FC won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC?
Recent form — Nashville SC 3W 1D 1L; Atlanta United FC 1W 1D 3L.

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