Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC result
Team pages: Nashville SC · Atlanta United FC · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC — Nashville SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
Nashville SC beat Atlanta United FC 1–0 at Geodis Park in Major League Soccer on Saturday 18 July. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Atlanta United FC out-shot Nashville SC 12 to 8 and created the better chances, 1.77 xG to 0.61 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Nashville SC: S. Mohammed (79’, assisted by A. Muyl).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Mohammed’s goal on 79 minutes.
Discipline
F. Dujic showed two yellow cards — against 2.6 yellows a game across the last 7 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nashville SC: S. Mohammed (85’); Atlanta United FC: Enea Mihaj (90+10’).
What it changes
Nashville SC have scored 32 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Nashville SC have conceded 11 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs.
Atlanta United FC have scored 14 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Atlanta United FC have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs.
Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Atlanta United FC are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Nashville SC have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, M. Almirón (Atlanta United FC) 5.6, B. Schwake (Nashville SC) 5.1 and E. Tagseth (Nashville SC) 4.4 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Nashville SC or Atlanta United FC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (4074 of 5233).
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Result: Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC · Major League Soccer
- Venue: Geodis Park · Nashville
- Referee: F. Dujic
- Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Nashville SC 2 · draws 2 · Atlanta United FC 2 · 2.17 goals/game
- Recent form: Nashville SC 3W 1D 1L · Atlanta United FC 1W 1D 3L
Nashville SC 1–0 Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 24 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Nashville SC for / against | Line | Atlanta United FC for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.5 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6 for · 4 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots | 10 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16 for · 9 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.5 for · 4 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.25 for · 11.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 12.5 for · 8.5 against n 6 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.57 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
Referee: F. Dujic — 2.57 yellow cards a game, 0.14 red cards, 22.57 fouls over 7 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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Nashville SC
Nashville SC Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake | 22 | 911992 min | 612.8 /90 | 120.5 /90 | 10 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake n 8 | 90.9 | 3.3 |
Nashville SC Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Woledzi | 19 | 911722 min | 331.7 /90 | 130.7 /90 | 100.5 /90 | 753.9 /90 | 130.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Palacios | 17 | 891518 min | 311.8 /90 | 201.2 /90 | 130.8 /90 | 975.8 /90 | 120.7 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| A. Najar | 17 | 751281 min | 141 /90 | 161.1 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 553.9 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
| D. Lovitz | 16 | 751193 min | 251.9 /90 | 131 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 513.8 /90 | 201.5 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| R. Baker-Whiting | 12 | 74891 min | 141.4 /90 | 30.3 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 404 /90 | 121.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0 | — |
| H. Mukhtar n 8 | 82.6 | 0.5 | 2.2 | Cooper Sanchez |
| C. Espinoza n 8 | 81.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | — |
| W. Madrigal n 8 | 69.8 | 1.3 | 2.4 | — |
| M. Woledzi n 8 | 90.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 | Enea Mihaj |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| H. Mukhtar n 8 | 82.6 | 1.2 |
| C. Espinoza n 8 | 81.5 | 0.7 |
| W. Madrigal n 8 | 69.8 | 0.3 |
| M. Woledzi n 8 | 90.9 | 1.7 |
| A. Muyl n 8 | 48 | 1.4 |
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Nashville SC Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Madrigal | 20 | 641288 min | 50.3 /90 | 20.1 /90 | 241.7 /90 | 100.7 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 110.8 /90 |
| A. Qasem | 15 | 62931 min | 20.2 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 141.4 /90 | 90.9 /90 | 50.5 /90 | 131.3 /90 |
| S. Surridge | 10 | 72720 min | 91.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 243 /90 | 172.1 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 50.6 /90 |
| Woobens Pacius | 7 | 56395 min | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 61.4 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 40.9 /90 |
| Jordan Knight | 2 | 64128 min | 10.7 /90 | 00 /90 | 32.1 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 10.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Mukhtar n 8 | 82.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| C. Espinoza n 8 | 81.5 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| W. Madrigal n 8 | 69.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| M. Woledzi n 8 | 90.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake n 8 | 90.9 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Mukhtar n 8 | 82.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| C. Espinoza n 8 | 81.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| W. Madrigal n 8 | 69.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| M. Woledzi n 8 | 90.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
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Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | 14 | 911268 min | 342.4 /90 | 221.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos n 8 | 90 | 2.9 |
Atlanta United FC Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enea Mihaj | 12 | 891062 min | 211.8 /90 | 181.5 /90 | 50.4 /90 | 453.8 /90 | 121 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| Elías Báez | 12 | 881052 min | 252.1 /90 | 151.3 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 564.8 /90 | 80.7 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
| Tomás Jacob | 12 | 871039 min | 312.7 /90 | 121 /90 | 40.3 /90 | 655.6 /90 | 181.6 /90 | 40.3 /90 |
| Juan Berrocal | 9 | 82739 min | 141.7 /90 | 131.6 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 283.4 /90 | 91.1 /90 | 20.2 /90 |
| Stian Gregersen | 9 | 80724 min | 111.4 /90 | 91.1 /90 | 50.6 /90 | 303.7 /90 | 91.1 /90 | 30.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0.1 | — |
| Aleksey Miranchuk n 8 | 88.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | — |
| Tristan Muyumba n 8 | 86 | 1.3 | 0.4 | — |
| Cooper Sanchez n 8 | 73.1 | 2.2 | 0.8 | H. Mukhtar |
| Enea Mihaj n 8 | 87.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | M. Woledzi |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksey Miranchuk n 8 | 88.4 | 0.3 |
| Tristan Muyumba n 8 | 86 | 3.1 |
| Cooper Sanchez n 8 | 73.1 | 0.8 |
| Enea Mihaj n 8 | 87.3 | 2.1 |
| Elías Báez n 8 | 85.5 | 1.6 |
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Atlanta United FC Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Latte Lath | 12 | 76907 min | 20.2 /90 | 20.2 /90 | 161.6 /90 | 40.4 /90 | 70.7 /90 | 50.5 /90 |
| Saba Lobzhanidze | 11 | 55610 min | 20.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 162.4 /90 | 111.6 /90 | 121.8 /90 | 71 /90 |
| M. Almirón | 8 | 83666 min | 00 /90 | 20.3 /90 | 101.4 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 131.8 /90 | 111.5 /90 |
| Fafà Picault | 5 | 34172 min | 10.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 21 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 52.6 /90 | 21 /90 |
| Sergio Santos | 1 | 2121 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 28.6 /90 | 14.3 /90 | 00 /90 | 28.6 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Aleksey Miranchuk n 8 | 88.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Tristan Muyumba n 8 | 86 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Cooper Sanchez n 8 | 73.1 | 1.1 | 0.2 |
| Enea Mihaj n 8 | 87.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Aleksey Miranchuk n 8 | 88.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Tristan Muyumba n 8 | 86 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Cooper Sanchez n 8 | 73.1 | 0 | 0.2 |
| Enea Mihaj n 8 | 87.3 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Nashville SC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 48% | Possession | 52% |
| 0.61 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.77 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 4 | Shots off target | 2 |
| 1 | Blocked shots | 5 |
| 4 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 5 | Saves | 2 |
| 434 | Passes | 480 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 86% |
Nashville SC Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Schwake | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.3 |
| M. Woledzi | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.6 |
| D. Lovitz | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| M. Corcoran | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| S. Surridge | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| H. Mukhtar | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| S. Mohammed | 89 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Y | 8 |
| J. Maher | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Qasem | 73 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Bauer | 63 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.9 |
| E. Tagseth | 63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| A. Najar sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| B. Acosta sub | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| J. Palacios sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7.3 |
| A. Muyl sub | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Jordan Knight sub | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | – |
Atlanta United FC Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Hoyos | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Tomás Jacob | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Enea Mihaj | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | Y | 7 |
| Elías Báez | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Tristan Muyumba | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Aleksey Miranchuk | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| M. Almirón | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Cooper Sanchez | 83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Luke Brennan | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Matthew Edwards | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| Ajani Fortune | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| William Reilly sub | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 |
| R. Hernandez sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Emmanuel Latte Lath sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Fafà Picault sub | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-18 Atlanta United FC 0–2 Nashville SC
- 2025-08-31 Nashville SC 0–1 Atlanta United FC
- 2025-05-03 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Nashville SC
- 2024-09-14 Atlanta United FC 0–2 Nashville SC
- 2024-05-18 Nashville SC 1–1 Atlanta United FC
- 2023-08-26 Atlanta United FC 4–0 Nashville SC
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Nashville SC v Atlanta United FC was Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC?
- In their last 6 meetings, Nashville SC won 2, Atlanta United FC won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Nashville SC and Atlanta United FC?
- Recent form — Nashville SC 3W 1D 1L; Atlanta United FC 1W 1D 3L.
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