Nashville SCNew York City FC

Nashville SC v New York City FC result

Full-time · Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC

Major League Soccer · · Geodis Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nashville SC · New York City FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC — Nashville SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Nashville SC beat New York City FC 2–1 at Geodis Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 24 May. It is Nashville SC’s first win over New York City FC since 23 June 2024, after three meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Nashville SC: J. Palacios (16’, assisted by C. Espinoza) and M. Woledzi (49’, assisted by B. Acosta); New York City FC: Nicolás Fernández (23’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Woledzi’s goal on 49 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: New York City FC, from fewer shots (7 to 12), created the better chances, 1.36 xG to 0.75 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

The bookings — Nashville SC: A. Qasem (65’) and C. Espinoza (86’); New York City FC: Kai Trewin (25’).

What it changes

Nashville SC have scored 14 goals, the sixth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). Nashville SC have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 15 clubs.

New York City FC have scored 10 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 7 games, ranked per game). New York City FC have conceded 10 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. New York City FC are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nicolás Fernández (New York City FC) 7.9, M. Woledzi (Nashville SC) 6.5 and J. Palacios (Nashville SC) 6.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

New York City FC are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Nashville SC.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Geodis Park · Nashville
  • Referee: A. Da Silva
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Nashville SC 2 · draws 1 · New York City FC 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Nashville SC 2W 2D 1L · New York City FC 2W 1D 2L

Nashville SC 2–1 New York City FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 1 / 1.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.63 / 2.67
Corners
against 5.75 / 5.83 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.13 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.33 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.88 / 2.14
Cards
against 1.88 / 3.14 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNashville SC for / againstLineNew York City FC for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
2.75our book
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.63 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
2.67 for · 5.83 against n 6
Shots
10.63 for · 12.25 against n 8
19.5standard
9.67 for · 11 against n 6
Shots on target
4.13 for · 4.5 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4.33 against n 6
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.33 for · 13.67 against n 6
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.14 for · 3.14 against n 7

Referee: A. Da Silva.

Nashville SC

Nashville SC Goalkeeper

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Schwake21911902 min582.7 /90110.5 /9010 /90
Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 21 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Schwake n 890.9
3.56/5

Nashville SC Defensive

Nashville SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Woledzi18911632 min311.7 /90130.7 /90100.6 /90713.9 /90130.7 /9000 /90
A. Najar17751281 min141 /90161.1 /9050.4 /90553.9 /90130.9 /9020.1 /90
J. Palacios16891428 min312 /90191.2 /90130.8 /90935.9 /90120.8 /9040.3 /90
D. Lovitz15741103 min252 /90121 /9050.4 /90514.2 /90191.6 /9040.3 /90
R. Baker-Whiting1173801 min141.6 /9030.3 /9030.3 /90384.3 /90111.2 /9010.1 /90
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Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 21 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Schwake n 890.9
00/0
00/0
—
H. Mukhtar n 882.6
0.54/0
2.26/4
Nicolás Fernández
C. Espinoza n 881.6
0.85/1
0.63/1
Agustin Ojeda
W. Madrigal n 866.9
1.24/3
2.56/5
Agustin Ojeda
A. Muyl n 848
1.67/0
1.23/2
—
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Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 21 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 882.6
1.14/2
C. Espinoza n 881.6
14/3
W. Madrigal n 866.9
0.32/0
A. Muyl n 848
1.44/2
M. Woledzi n 890.9
1.68/3
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Nashville SC Attacking

Nashville SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Madrigal19641209 min50.4 /9020.1 /90241.8 /90100.7 /90131 /90110.8 /90
A. Qasem1461859 min20.2 /9010.1 /90131.4 /9080.8 /9050.5 /90131.4 /90
S. Surridge978702 min91.2 /9000 /90243.1 /90172.2 /9010.1 /9050.6 /90
Woobens Pacius756395 min20.5 /9000 /9061.4 /9020.5 /9010.2 /9040.9 /90
Jordan Knight264128 min10.7 /9000 /9032.1 /9010.7 /9010.7 /9000 /90
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Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 21 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Schwake n 890.9
00/0
00/0
H. Mukhtar n 882.6
1.96/4
13/3
C. Espinoza n 881.6
0.85/1
0.74/1
W. Madrigal n 866.9
1.34/3
0.52/1
A. Muyl n 848
0.52/0
0.52/0
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Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 21 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Schwake n 890.9
00/0
00/0
H. Mukhtar n 882.6
0.52/1
0.42/1
C. Espinoza n 881.6
0.11/0
0.42/1
W. Madrigal n 866.9
0.52/1
0.21/0
A. Muyl n 848
00/0
00/0
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New York City FC

New York City FC Goalkeeper

New York City FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Matthew Freese14911279 min463.2 /90191.3 /9000 /90
New York City FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 21 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matthew Freese n 890
3.58/4

New York City FC Defensive

New York City FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Kai Trewin14851190 min221.7 /90161.2 /9080.6 /90473.6 /90131 /9020.2 /90
Thiago Martins13901170 min80.6 /90100.8 /90141.1 /90322.5 /9030.2 /9000 /90
Tayvon Gray13881139 min262.1 /90161.3 /9030.2 /90604.7 /90141.1 /9040.3 /90
Raul Gustavo1272859 min141.5 /90121.3 /9060.6 /90454.7 /9080.8 /9030.3 /90
Kevin O'Toole1092919 min151.5 /9040.4 /9020.2 /90313 /9060.6 /9000 /90
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New York City FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 21 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Matthew Freese n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Nicolás Fernández n 887.9
1.97/4
3.58/7
H. Mukhtar
Kai Trewin n 889.5
1.15/3
0.65/0
—
Maxi Moralez n 879.3
0.74/1
2.16/5
—
Agustin Ojeda n 877
0.63/1
0.43/0
W. Madrigal
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New York City FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 21 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nicolás Fernández n 887.9
1.86/4
Kai Trewin n 889.5
25/4
Maxi Moralez n 879.3
1.66/3
Agustin Ojeda n 877
0.62/1
Thiago Martins n 890
0.52/2
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New York City FC Attacking

New York City FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Nicolás Fernández14891245 min90.7 /9030.2 /90282 /90221.6 /90241.7 /90251.8 /90
Talles Magno723164 min21.1 /9000 /9052.7 /9042.2 /9010.5 /9052.7 /90
Arnau Farnos24182 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9033.3 /90
Seymour Garfield-Reid22753 min00 /9000 /9011.7 /9011.7 /9011.7 /9000 /90
Maxi Moralez14811137 min10.1 /9060.5 /90110.9 /9050.4 /90292.3 /9030.2 /90
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New York City FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 21 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Matthew Freese n 890
00/0
00/0
Nicolás Fernández n 887.9
1.47/3
1.25/3
Kai Trewin n 889.5
0.64/1
0.42/1
Maxi Moralez n 879.3
0.94/2
0.32/0
Agustin Ojeda n 877
1.25/2
0.42/1
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New York City FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 21 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matthew Freese n 890
00/0
00/0
Nicolás Fernández n 887.9
0.53/1
0.42/1
Kai Trewin n 889.5
00/0
00/0
Maxi Moralez n 879.3
00/0
0.11/0
Agustin Ojeda n 877
0.11/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nashville SCNew York City FC
48%Possession52%
0.75Expected goals (xG)1.36
12Shots7
6Shots on target4
3Shots off target2
3Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box5
6Corners3
2Offsides0
11Fouls12
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves4
448Passes490
88%Pass accuracy87%

Nashville SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Schwake9000000007.7
R. Baker-Whiting9000002006.7
J. Palacios9010110008.3
M. Woledzi9010110207.9
D. Lovitz9000100006.3
M. Corcoran9000101507.6
H. Mukhtar9000431106.9
C. Espinoza89010030Y6.3
B. Acosta7901001106.9
W. Madrigal7900000006.3
A. Qasem72001101Y6
S. Surridge sub1800000006.3
A. Muyl sub1100000006.7
C. Brunet sub1100000106.7
J. Bauer sub10000000–

New York City FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Matthew Freese9000000006.3
Tayvon Gray9000001206.5
Thiago Martins9000000006.6
Raul Gustavo9000000106.3
Agustin Ojeda9000111106.6
Nicolás Fernández9010530207
Nico Cavallo8500000005.9
Kai Trewin85000002Y6.9
A. Perea7800000206.2
Arnau Farnos6600001006.7
Malachi Jones6600001207.3
Hannes Wolf sub2400000106.7
J. Shore sub2400000106.7
M. Carrizo sub1200001006.9
K. Pierre sub1100000006.6
Seymour Garfield-Reid sub1100000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nashville SC v New York City FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Nashville SCDLDWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
New York City FCLWWDL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Nashville SC 2 · 1 draw · New York City FC 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-08-17 New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SC
  • 2025-05-31 Nashville SC 2–2 New York City FC
  • 2024-10-06 New York City FC 3–1 Nashville SC
  • 2024-06-23 Nashville SC 1–0 New York City FC
  • 2023-04-15 New York City FC 2–1 Nashville SC
  • 2023-02-25 Nashville SC 2–0 New York City FC
League standing · 2026
Nashville SC#1 pos77 pts34 pl+46 GD
New York City FC#11 pos42 pts34 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Nashville SC scored2.09
New York City FC scored1.44
Nashville SC conceded0.74
New York City FC conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nashville SC v New York City FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Nashville SC v New York City FC was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Nashville SC and New York City FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Nashville SC won 2, New York City FC won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nashville SC and New York City FC?
Recent form — Nashville SC 2W 2D 1L; New York City FC 2W 1D 2L.

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