Nashville SC v Orlando City SC result

Full-time · Nashville SC 5–1 Orlando City SC

Major League Soccer · Sun, 24 Aug 2025 01:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Nashville SC · Orlando City SC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Nashville SC 5–1 Orlando City SC — Nashville SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick

Draw or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 68.6% of 1471 landed (95% range 66.2–70.9%); it had given them 75.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated draw or away (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 879 of 1,350 times (65.1%), against an average rating of 69.7%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Nashville SC beat Orlando City SC 5–1 in Major League Soccer on Sunday 24 August.

The goals

Nashville SC led 4–0 at half-time. The goals — Nashville SC: S. Surridge (3’, assisted by H. Mukhtar; 43’), H. Mukhtar (17’, assisted by J. Bauer; 40’, assisted by J. Shaffelburg) and J. Palacios (90’); Orlando City SC: Luis Muriel (76’). Luis Muriel (81’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s seven key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Surridge’s goal on 3 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Nashville SC 2.64, Orlando City SC 0.80, from 17 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Tim Ford, USA showed four yellow cards and one red — against 3.1 yellows a game across the last 9 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Nashville SC: J. Willis (71’) and A. Qasem (82’); Orlando City SC: Kyle Smith (50’) and R. Schlegel (90+1’).

What it changes

Nashville SC have scored 49 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 28 games, ranked per game). Nashville SC have conceded 32 goals, the second-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Orlando City SC have scored 54 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 28 games, ranked per game). Orlando City SC have conceded 40 goals, the seventh-most of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC) 13.0, S. Surridge (Nashville SC) 11.2 and J. Bauer (Nashville SC) 8.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Orlando City SC, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.6% of the time in the last 90 days (1009 of 1471).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: Nashville SC 5–1 Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer
Referee: Tim Ford, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Nashville SC 1 · draws 0 · Orlando City SC 5 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Nashville SC 2W 0D 3L · Orlando City SC 4W 1D 0L

Nashville SC 5–1 Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 2.63

Goals

against 1.25 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

3.86 / 5

Corners

against 2.57 / 5.6 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 5 matches

4 / 8

Shots on target

against 3.86 / 4.4 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 5 matches

2 / 1.6

Cards

against 2.43 / 1.4 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 5 matches

3.11 yellows

Referee · Tim Ford, USA

24 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 9 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 21 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 21 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Nashville SC for / against	Line	Orlando City SC for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.63 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.86 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5 for · 5.6 against n 5 Last 5
Shots	11 for · 11.71 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	17.8 for · 13.4 against n 5 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	8 for · 4.4 against n 5 Last 5
Fouls committed	13.29 for · 9.29 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	10.6 for · 13.6 against n 5 Last 5
Cards shown	2 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.6 for · 1.4 against n 5 Last 5

Referee: Tim Ford, USA — 3.11 yellow cards a game, 0.22 red cards, 24 fouls over 9 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Nashville SC

Nashville SC Goalkeeper

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Willis	27	902441 min	722.7 /90	311.1 /90	20.1 /90

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Willis n 8	90	2.1 6/3

Nashville SC Defensive

Nashville SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
A. Najar	26	802090 min	411.8 /90	381.6 /90	30.1 /90	1175 /90	241 /90	10 /90
D. Lovitz	25	902259 min	602.4 /90	291.2 /90	40.2 /90	1014 /90	361.4 /90	40.2 /90
J. Maher	25	852133 min	120.5 /90	170.7 /90	80.3 /90	602.5 /90	160.7 /90	20.1 /90
J. Palacios	17	871485 min	442.7 /90	130.8 /90	100.6 /90	935.6 /90	120.7 /90	20.1 /90
Walker Zimmerman	14	761066 min	191.6 /90	201.7 /90	90.8 /90	534.5 /90	131.1 /90	30.3 /90
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Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Willis n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
H. Mukhtar n 8	89	1 6/2	1.5 5/5	—
S. Surridge n 8	85.5	0.9 4/3	1.2 6/3	—
E. Tagseth n 8	78.1	2.9 8/6	0.7 5/0	—
A. Najar n 8	86.9	0.6 5/0	1.3 6/3	—
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Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 8	89	0.9 5/2
S. Surridge n 8	85.5	0.4 2/1
E. Tagseth n 8	78.1	2.6 7/4
A. Najar n 8	86.9	1.3 4/3
D. Lovitz n 8	91.4	1.7 5/3
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Nashville SC Attacking

Nashville SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Surridge	27	862323 min	180.7 /90	30.1 /90	642.5 /90	401.5 /90	261 /90	150.6 /90
J. Shaffelburg	16	44710 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	121.5 /90	50.6 /90	131.6 /90	60.8 /90
Teal Bunbury	7	21145 min	00 /90	00 /90	63.7 /90	21.2 /90	00 /90	10.6 /90
H. Mukhtar	27	892401 min	120.4 /90	60.2 /90	742.8 /90	521.9 /90	702.6 /90	200.7 /90
E. Tagseth	26	822123 min	00 /90	20.1 /90	50.2 /90	30.1 /90	251.1 /90	110.5 /90
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Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Willis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Mukhtar n 8	89	2 7/6	1.3 6/4
S. Surridge n 8	85.5	2.2 8/6	1.2 6/3
E. Tagseth n 8	78.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Najar n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Willis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
H. Mukhtar n 8	89	0.5 4/0	0.1 1/0
S. Surridge n 8	85.5	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
E. Tagseth n 8	78.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Najar n 8	86.9	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC Goalkeeper

Orlando City SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
P. Gallese	26	902340 min	752.9 /90	341.3 /90	00 /90
Javier Otero	2	90180 min	52.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

Orlando City SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
P. Gallese n 8	90	3 7/5
Javier Otero n 3	82	1.8 1/1

Orlando City SC Defensive

Orlando City SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Schlegel	26	862235 min	331.3 /90	230.9 /90	170.7 /90	863.5 /90	301.2 /90	70.3 /90
Robin Jansson	25	892237 min	230.9 /90	210.8 /90	160.6 /90	512.1 /90	180.7 /90	80.3 /90
David Brekalo	24	852049 min	431.9 /90	261.1 /90	100.4 /90	1225.4 /90	331.4 /90	40.2 /90
A. Freeman	24	842006 min	371.7 /90	200.9 /90	70.3 /90	1476.6 /90	140.6 /90	20.1 /90
Kyle Smith	14	50703 min	172.2 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90	415.2 /90	91.2 /90	20.3 /90
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Orlando City SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Martín Ojeda n 8	89.1	0.6 4/1	0.6 5/0	—
Marco Pasalic n 8	76.8	0.7 5/0	0.9 3/2	—
Iván Angulo n 8	63.4	0.7 2/1	1.8 5/4	—
Luis Muriel n 8	71.1	1.6 4/3	0.6 3/1	—
P. Gallese n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Orlando City SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Martín Ojeda n 8	89.1	0.6 3/2
Marco Pasalic n 8	76.8	0.1 1/0
Iván Angulo n 8	63.4	3 6/5
Luis Muriel n 8	71.1	1.7 6/4
R. Schlegel n 8	90	1.9 7/4
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Orlando City SC Attacking

Orlando City SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Luis Muriel	27	691854 min	80.4 /90	50.2 /90	592.9 /90	251.2 /90	462.2 /90	291.4 /90
Ramiro Enrique	18	49873 min	80.8 /90	00 /90	242.5 /90	171.8 /90	70.7 /90	50.5 /90
Duncan McGuire	8	43341 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	71.8 /90	10.3 /90	61.6 /90	20.5 /90
Martín Ojeda	28	802236 min	150.6 /90	100.4 /90	702.8 /90	341.4 /90	823.3 /90	180.7 /90
Marco Pasalic	28	782193 min	120.5 /90	40.2 /90	582.4 /90	371.5 /90	361.5 /90	522.1 /90
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Orlando City SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Martín Ojeda n 8	89.1	3.3 7/7	1.5 6/3
Marco Pasalic n 8	76.8	2.5 7/7	1.8 6/4
Iván Angulo n 8	63.4	0.9 4/1	0.5 2/1
Luis Muriel n 8	71.1	2.4 8/4	1.3 4/2
P. Gallese n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Orlando City SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 21 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Martín Ojeda n 8	89.1	0.8 5/1	0.5 4/0
Marco Pasalic n 8	76.8	0.4 3/0	0 0/0
Iván Angulo n 8	63.4	0.2 1/0	0.5 2/1
Luis Muriel n 8	71.1	0.3 1/1	0.5 3/0
P. Gallese n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Nashville SC		Orlando City SC
50%	Possession	50%
2.64	Expected goals (xG)	0.80
17	Shots	12
9	Shots on target	4
4	Shots off target	8
4	Blocked shots	0
13	Shots inside the box	5
5	Corners	4
1	Offsides	0
14	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	1
3	Saves	4
466	Passes	456
90%	Pass accuracy	89%

Nashville SC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
J. Willis	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.9
Walker Zimmerman	90	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.9
J. Palacios	90	1	0	1	1	1	1	0	7.9
J. Bauer	90	0	2	0	0	4	3	0	8.3
H. Mukhtar	90	2	1	4	2	5	0	0	10
S. Surridge	90	2	0	3	2	1	1	0	9
P. Yazbek	89	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
A. Muyl	88	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
A. Najar	76	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.2
G. Brugman	76	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Shaffelburg	63	0	2	2	1	2	1	0	7.9
A. Qasem sub	27	0	0	0	0	1	0	Y	6.7
Tate Schmitt sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
B. Acosta sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Perez sub	8	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
E. Tagseth sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Orlando City SC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
P. Gallese	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
R. Schlegel	90	0	0	0	0	5	Y	6.2
Robin Jansson	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Adrián Marín	90	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
Ramiro Enrique	90	0	3	1	1	1	0	6.3
Tyrese Spicer	90	0	3	0	1	2	0	7.7
Joran Gerbet	89	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson	74	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
Kyle Smith	58	0	1	0	0	2	Y	5.6
C. Araujo	58	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.3
N. Rodríguez	58	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.6
A. Freeman sub	32	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.3
Marco Pasalic sub	32	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.6
Eduard Atuesta sub	32	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.9
Luis Muriel sub	7	1	1	1	0	0	R	7
Zakaria Taifi sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Nashville SC v Orlando City SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Nashville SCWWLLL

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Orlando City SCWWWWD

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Nashville SC 1 · 0 draws · Orlando City SC 5 · 2.33 goals/game

2025-05-21 Orlando City SC 2–3 Nashville SC
2024-08-31 Orlando City SC 3–0 Nashville SC
2024-07-18 Nashville SC 0–3 Orlando City SC
2023-11-08 Nashville SC 0–1 Orlando City SC
2023-10-30 Orlando City SC 1–0 Nashville SC
2023-10-05 Nashville SC 0–1 Orlando City SC

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

Nashville SC#6 pos54 pts34 pl+13 GD

Orlando City SC#9 pos53 pts34 pl+12 GD

Goals per game

Nashville SC scored1.71

Orlando City SC scored1.85

Nashville SC conceded1.32

Orlando City SC conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Nashville SC v Orlando City SC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Nashville SC v Orlando City SC was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Nashville SC and Orlando City SC?: In their last 6 meetings, Nashville SC won 1, Orlando City SC won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Nashville SC and Orlando City SC?: Recent form — Nashville SC 2W 0D 3L; Orlando City SC 4W 1D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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