New England Revolution v New York Red Bulls result

Full-time · New England Revolution 3–2 New York Red Bulls

Major League Soccer · Wed, 28 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT · Gillette Stadium

Updated 11 Nov 2026, 03:30 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New England Revolution · New York Red Bulls · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

New England Revolution 3–2 New York Red Bulls — New England Revolution won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.42 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

New England Revolution beat New York Red Bulls 3–2 at Gillette Stadium in Major League Soccer on Wednesday 28 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: New York Red Bulls out-shot New England Revolution 20 to 9 and created the better chances, 2.47 xG to 1.96 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Context.

The goals

New England Revolution led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — New England Revolution: Dor Turgeman (9’, assisted by Carles Gil; 46’, assisted by Luca Langoni) and Dániel Gazdag (83’); New York Red Bulls: Cade Cowell (51’, assisted by Ronald Donkor) and Julian Hall (64’, assisted by Emil Forsberg).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dániel Gazdag’s goal on 83 minutes.

Discipline

C. Penso showed five yellow cards — against 5.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New England Revolution: Ilay Feingold (40’) and J. Siqueira (90+3’); New York Red Bulls: Ronald Donkor (12’), Dylan Nealis (48’) and Julian Hall (76’).

What it changes

New England Revolution have scored 54 goals, the eighth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). New England Revolution have conceded 44 goals, the second-fewest of the 15 clubs.

New York Red Bulls have scored 43 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 32 games, ranked per game). New York Red Bulls have conceded 59 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs.

New England Revolution have won their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Dor Turgeman (New England Revolution) 8.6, Julian Hall (New York Red Bulls) 8.3 and Cade Cowell (New York Red Bulls) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: New England Revolution 3–2 New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer
Venue: Gillette Stadium · Foxborough, Massachusetts
Referee: C. Penso
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): New England Revolution 3 · draws 0 · New York Red Bulls 3 · 3.33 goals/game
Recent form: New England Revolution 3W 0D 2L · New York Red Bulls 2W 0D 3L

New England Revolution 3–2 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 11 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.13

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 5.25

Corners

against 7.5 / 4.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.38 / 5

Shots on target

against 6.5 / 4.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.75 / 1.75

Cards

against 1.5 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.6 yellows

Referee · C. Penso

22.6 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 5 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	New England Revolution for / against	Line	New York Red Bulls for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1.13 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 7.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11 for · 16.75 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	16.13 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.38 for · 6.5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	8.63 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.63 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: C. Penso — 5.6 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 22.6 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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New England Revolution

New England Revolution Goalkeeper

New England Revolution — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Matt Turner	31	902802 min	1244 /90	290.9 /90	00 /90

New England Revolution — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New England Revolution before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Matt Turner n 8	90	4.9 8/7

New England Revolution Defensive

New England Revolution — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
William Sands	30	872615 min	431.5 /90	291 /90	90.3 /90	1515.2 /90	301 /90	50.2 /90
Mamadou Fofana	27	892397 min	532 /90	391.5 /90	140.5 /90	833.1 /90	170.6 /90	40.2 /90
M. Polster	25	761894 min	180.9 /90	190.9 /90	50.2 /90	612.9 /90	231.1 /90	50.2 /90
Ethan Kohler	16	851356 min	130.9 /90	161.1 /90	161.1 /90	473.1 /90	90.6 /90	10.1 /90
Ilay Feingold	14	69972 min	181.7 /90	121.1 /90	40.4 /90	504.6 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90
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New England Revolution — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New England Revolution before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Matt Turner n 8	90	0 0/0	0.3 2/0	—
Carles Gil n 8	89.5	0.1 1/0	2.5 7/6	Julian Hall
William Sands n 8	86.1	1.6 7/4	1 6/2	—
Dor Turgeman n 8	85.6	0.4 3/0	0.8 4/1	—
Brooklyn Raines n 8	90	0.9 6/1	1.5 7/4	Adri Mehmeti
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New England Revolution — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New England Revolution before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Carles Gil n 8	89.5	0.6 3/1
William Sands n 8	86.1	1 5/2
Dor Turgeman n 8	85.6	0.3 2/0
Brooklyn Raines n 8	90	1.8 7/4
Mamadou Fofana n 8	84.4	2.5 8/4
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New England Revolution Attacking

New England Revolution — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Dor Turgeman	30	832496 min	100.4 /90	70.3 /90	552 /90	281 /90	240.9 /90	160.6 /90
Peyton Miller	27	762048 min	60.3 /90	70.3 /90	582.5 /90	321.4 /90	231 /90	80.4 /90
Luca Langoni	20	601197 min	30.2 /90	60.5 /90	211.6 /90	131 /90	181.4 /90	100.8 /90
Griffin Yow	17	50852 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	151.6 /90	91 /90	111.2 /90	50.5 /90
W. Harris	6	29176 min	10.5 /90	00 /90	21 /90	10.5 /90	10.5 /90	21 /90
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New England Revolution — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New England Revolution before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Matt Turner n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Carles Gil n 8	89.5	1.4 6/3	0.8 3/2
William Sands n 8	86.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Dor Turgeman n 8	85.6	2 7/4	1.1 6/2
Brooklyn Raines n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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New England Revolution — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New England Revolution before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Matt Turner n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Carles Gil n 8	89.5	0.5 3/1	0.3 2/0
William Sands n 8	86.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Dor Turgeman n 8	85.6	0.5 3/1	0.4 2/1
Brooklyn Raines n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ethan Horvath	31	892768 min	1013.3 /90	561.8 /90	10 /90

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	3.7 7/6

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Dylan Nealis	27	842259 min	431.7 /90	321.3 /90	180.7 /90	1485.9 /90	341.4 /90	50.2 /90
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	22	671463 min	301.8 /90	140.9 /90	70.4 /90	633.9 /90	140.9 /90	30.2 /90
Matthew Dos Santos	21	681422 min	251.6 /90	261.6 /90	00 /90	513.2 /90	161 /90	10.1 /90
J. Che	19	821549 min	342 /90	231.3 /90	211.2 /90	834.8 /90	150.9 /90	50.3 /90
J. Bazan	16	831331 min	362.4 /90	302 /90	120.8 /90	966.5 /90	181.2 /90	50.3 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	1.5 7/3	1.5 6/3	Carles Gil
Adri Mehmeti n 8	68.5	0.8 5/0	1 4/2	Brooklyn Raines
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	59.4	1.1 3/1	0.4 2/0	—
Cade Cowell n 8	61.4	0.9 3/1	1.3 4/1	—
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	0.6 3/1
Adri Mehmeti n 8	68.5	2.3 5/5
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	59.4	0.6 3/0
Cade Cowell n 8	61.4	0.9 4/1
Ronald Donkor n 8	80.6	2.5 8/5
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Julian Hall	30	862575 min	110.4 /90	30.1 /90	592.1 /90	341.2 /90	230.8 /90	401.4 /90
Jorge Ruvalcaba	29	691989 min	80.4 /90	10 /90	431.9 /90	231 /90	261.2 /90	140.6 /90
Cade Cowell	29	661927 min	20.1 /90	60.3 /90	371.7 /90	261.2 /90	422 /90	261.2 /90
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting	12	40482 min	40.7 /90	10.2 /90	142.6 /90	91.7 /90	81.5 /90	50.9 /90
Rafael Mosquera	9	34306 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90	82.4 /90	41.2 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	2.9 7/6	1.7 6/2
Adri Mehmeti n 8	68.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	59.4	2.3 5/2	1.1 4/1
Cade Cowell n 8	61.4	2.2 8/4	1.6 5/4
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Adri Mehmeti n 8	68.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	59.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Cade Cowell n 8	61.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New England Revolution		New York Red Bulls
51%	Possession	49%
1.96	Expected goals (xG)	2.47
9	Shots	20
4	Shots on target	11
3	Shots off target	5
2	Blocked shots	4
6	Shots inside the box	18
2	Corners	6
0	Offsides	1
9	Fouls	12
2	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
8	Saves	1
512	Passes	482

New England Revolution Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Matt Turner	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.1
E. Kohler	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
J. Wynder	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Carles Gil	90	0	1	0	0	4	0	0	7.5
Brooklyn Raines	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.2
Dániel Gazdag	90	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.7
Dor Turgeman	89	2	0	5	2	0	0	0	9
Luca Langoni	78	0	1	2	0	1	1	0	6.8
Jackson Yueill	63	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.4
Ilay Feingold	62	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.1
William Sands	62	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Peyton Miller	28	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	6.7
Mamadou Fofana	28	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
M. Polster	27	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Griffin Yow	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Siqueira	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	5.8

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.4
Dylan Nealis	90	0	0	3	2	0	0	Y	6.5
D. Padelford	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
Adri Mehmeti	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
Julian Hall	90	1	0	6	5	1	4	Y	8.2
Ethan Horvath	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
Jorge Ruvalcaba	84	0	0	4	1	2	0	0	6.6
Ronald Donkor	84	0	1	0	0	1	2	Y	6.1
Cade Cowell	76	1	0	4	2	4	1	0	8.2
Mohammed Sofo	63	0	0	1	0	2	1	0	6.1
Tim Parker	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.9
M. Dos Santos	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.7
Emil Forsberg	27	0	1	1	0	2	1	0	6.3
C. Harper	14	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	6.5
S. Kone	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.8
Rafael Mosquera	6	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New England Revolution v New York Red Bulls — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

New England RevolutionLLWWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

New York Red BullsLWLLW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

New England Revolution 3 · 0 draws · New York Red Bulls 3 · 3.33 goals/game

2026-02-28 New York Red Bulls 1–0 New England Revolution
2025-07-16 New York Red Bulls 5–3 New England Revolution
2025-03-29 New England Revolution 2–1 New York Red Bulls
2024-06-08 New England Revolution 1–0 New York Red Bulls
2024-05-11 New York Red Bulls 4–2 New England Revolution
2023-08-30 New England Revolution 1–0 New York Red Bulls

League standing · 2026

New England Revolution#3 pos58 pts34 pl+8 GD

New York Red Bulls#10 pos42 pts34 pl-14 GD

Goals per game

New England Revolution scored1.62

New York Red Bulls scored1.41

New England Revolution conceded1.38

New York Red Bulls conceded1.82

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New England Revolution v New York Red Bulls?: TACTIX’s free model pick for New England Revolution v New York Red Bulls was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.42 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls?: In their last 6 meetings, New England Revolution won 3, New York Red Bulls won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New England Revolution and New York Red Bulls?: Recent form — New England Revolution 3W 0D 2L; New York Red Bulls 2W 0D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 11 Nov 2026, 03:30 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.