New York City FC v Chicago Fire result

Full-time · New York City FC 3–1 Chicago Fire

Major League Soccer · Sun, 26 Jul 2026 00:30 BST · Yankee Stadium

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New York City FC · Chicago Fire · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

New York City FC 3–1 Chicago Fire — New York City FC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

New York City FC beat Chicago Fire 3–1 at Yankee Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 26 July. Chicago Fire have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

New York City FC led 3–1 at half-time. The goals — New York City FC: Nicolás Fernández (10’), Agustin Ojeda (29’, assisted by A. Perea) and Malachi Jones (41’, assisted by Agustin Ojeda); Chicago Fire: J. Waterman (21’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Agustin Ojeda’s goal on 29 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: New York City FC 1.39, Chicago Fire 1.36, from 10 shots to 9 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Ricardo Montero, Costa Rica showed four yellow cards — against 4.4 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New York City FC: Nicolás Fernández (62’); Chicago Fire: D. D'Avilla (51’), J. Waterman (77’) and P. Dithejane (80’).

What it changes

New York City FC have scored 28 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). New York City FC have conceded 22 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Chicago Fire have scored 28 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 15 games, ranked per game). Chicago Fire have conceded 19 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Agustin Ojeda (New York City FC) 7.9, A. Perea (New York City FC) 7.0 and J. Waterman (Chicago Fire) 6.8 led the match.

Head-to-head

New York City FC are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Chicago Fire, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, New York City FC or Chicago Fire (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: New York City FC 3–1 Chicago Fire · Major League Soccer
Venue: Yankee Stadium · Bronx
Referee: Ricardo Montero, Costa Rica
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): New York City FC 3 · draws 3 · Chicago Fire 0 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: New York City FC 2W 1D 2L · Chicago Fire 3W 0D 2L

New York City FC 3–1 Chicago Fire (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.25

Goals

against 1 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

2.67 / 5.29

Corners

against 6.17 / 5.86 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

4.17 / 6

Shots on target

against 4.33 / 4.43 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.86 / 2.25

Cards

against 2.71 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

4.38 yellows

Referee · Ricardo Montero, Costa Rica

25.69 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 13 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	New York City FC for / against	Line	Chicago Fire for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.67 for · 6.17 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	5.29 for · 5.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	8.5 for · 11.67 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	17.29 for · 11.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.17 for · 4.33 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	6 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 12.17 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	12.43 for · 11.29 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 2.71 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Ricardo Montero, Costa Rica — 4.38 yellow cards a game, 0.38 red cards, 25.69 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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New York City FC

New York City FC Goalkeeper

New York City FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Matthew Freese	16	921469 min	533.2 /90	221.3 /90	00 /90

New York City FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Matthew Freese n 8	91.3	3.1 8/5

New York City FC Defensive

New York City FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Thiago Martins	15	911360 min	100.7 /90	110.7 /90	140.9 /90	382.5 /90	40.3 /90	00 /90
Tayvon Gray	15	891329 min	292 /90	201.4 /90	40.3 /90	674.5 /90	171.2 /90	50.3 /90
Kai Trewin	15	851275 min	241.7 /90	161.1 /90	90.6 /90	503.5 /90	151.1 /90	30.2 /90
Raul Gustavo	13	73949 min	151.4 /90	121.1 /90	60.6 /90	484.6 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90
Kevin O'Toole	10	92919 min	151.5 /90	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	313 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
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New York City FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Matthew Freese n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Nicolás Fernández n 8	89.1	2.5 7/5	2.9 8/6	M. Haile-Selassie
Agustin Ojeda n 8	82.8	0.5 3/1	0.7 5/0	M. Haile-Selassie
Thiago Martins n 8	91.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	J. Elliott
Tayvon Gray n 8	89.5	0.9 5/2	1 5/2	J. Elliott
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New York City FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Nicolás Fernández n 8	89.1	2 6/5
Agustin Ojeda n 8	82.8	0.7 2/1
Thiago Martins n 8	91.3	0.7 3/3
Tayvon Gray n 8	89.5	1.8 7/4
Kai Trewin n 8	88.9	2.3 6/5
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New York City FC Attacking

New York City FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Nicolás Fernández	16	901435 min	110.7 /90	30.2 /90	352.2 /90	261.6 /90	261.6 /90	311.9 /90
Talles Magno	8	26209 min	20.9 /90	10.4 /90	52.2 /90	41.7 /90	20.9 /90	52.2 /90
Seymour Garfield-Reid	2	2753 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.7 /90	11.7 /90	11.7 /90	00 /90
Agustin Ojeda	16	821319 min	40.3 /90	30.2 /90	191.3 /90	100.7 /90	191.3 /90	181.2 /90
Hannes Wolf	15	711063 min	50.4 /90	20.2 /90	161.4 /90	90.8 /90	131.1 /90	90.8 /90
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New York City FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Matthew Freese n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nicolás Fernández n 8	89.1	1.8 7/4	1.3 6/3
Agustin Ojeda n 8	82.8	1.2 6/2	0.7 3/2
Thiago Martins n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tayvon Gray n 8	89.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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New York City FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Matthew Freese n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nicolás Fernández n 8	89.1	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1
Agustin Ojeda n 8	82.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
Thiago Martins n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tayvon Gray n 8	89.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire Goalkeeper

Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
C. Brady	15	901350 min	463.1 /90	191.3 /90	00 /90

Chicago Fire — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
C. Brady n 8	90	3.2 5/5

Chicago Fire Defensive

Chicago Fire — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Elliott	13	861117 min	90.7 /90	90.7 /90	90.7 /90	463.7 /90	131 /90	40.3 /90
M. Mbokazi	12	881050 min	201.7 /90	121 /90	131.1 /90	484.1 /90	40.3 /90	20.2 /90
A. Gutman	11	80876 min	192 /90	80.8 /90	30.3 /90	424.3 /90	131.3 /90	30.3 /90
J. Dean	11	79869 min	212.2 /90	121.2 /90	20.2 /90	515.3 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90
J. Waterman	11	67733 min	91.1 /90	91.1 /90	50.6 /90	263.2 /90	81 /90	20.2 /90
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Chicago Fire — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Brady n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.4 2/1	—
P. Zinckernagel n 8	79.8	1.6 5/2	3 8/7	—
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	76.4	0.6 4/0	0.7 4/1	Agustin Ojeda
A. Saletros n 8	87	1.4 5/4	0.1 1/0	—
J. Elliott n 8	90	1.3 7/2	0.4 3/0	Tayvon Gray
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Chicago Fire — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Zinckernagel n 8	79.8	2 7/4
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	76.4	0.9 4/2
A. Saletros n 8	87	1.6 6/5
J. Elliott n 8	90	0.8 4/2
D. D'Avilla n 8	74.3	1.7 8/3
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Chicago Fire Attacking

Chicago Fire — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
H. Cuypers	11	90989 min	131.2 /90	00 /90	343.1 /90	222 /90	111 /90	90.8 /90
P. Dithejane	7	29201 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	52.2 /90	31.3 /90	62.7 /90	52.2 /90
Dylan Borso	2	4080 min	00 /90	00 /90	33.4 /90	11.1 /90	00 /90	11.1 /90
C. Mueller	2	3977 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	11.2 /90	00 /90
R. Lewandowski	1	6262 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	11.5 /90
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Chicago Fire — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Brady n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Zinckernagel n 8	79.8	3.5 8/7	1.7 6/4
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	76.4	1.9 7/3	1 5/2
A. Saletros n 8	87	0.9 4/2	0.3 2/0
J. Elliott n 8	90	0.8 4/2	0 0/0
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Chicago Fire — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chicago Fire before kick-off, to 23 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Brady n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
P. Zinckernagel n 8	79.8	0.6 3/1	0.8 6/0
M. Haile-Selassie n 8	76.4	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
A. Saletros n 8	87	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Elliott n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York City FC		Chicago Fire
46%	Possession	54%
1.39	Expected goals (xG)	1.36
10	Shots	9
3	Shots on target	5
4	Shots off target	2
3	Blocked shots	2
6	Shots inside the box	6
1	Corners	2
5	Offsides	1
8	Fouls	16
1	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
4	Saves	0
431	Passes	493
80%	Pass accuracy	81%

New York City FC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Matthew Freese	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.7
Tayvon Gray	90	0	0	1	0	0	4	0	7
Thiago Martins	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
J. Sands	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.6
Nico Cavallo	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	7
Nicolás Fernández	90	1	0	1	1	1	1	Y	8.5
A. Perea	90	0	1	0	0	3	2	0	7.7
Agustin Ojeda	89	1	1	1	1	2	1	0	8.2
J. Shore	85	0	0	0	0	1	4	0	6.9
Talles Magno	85	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
Malachi Jones	69	1	0	1	1	0	2	0	7
B. Traoré sub	21	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
Arnau Farnos sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Hannes Wolf sub	11	0	0	1	0	0	1	0	6.7
M. Ilenič sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Chicago Fire Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
C. Brady	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	5.2
J. Waterman	90	1	1	1	0	2	Y	7.2
J. Elliott	90	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.3
A. Saletros	90	0	2	1	0	3	0	6.9
P. Zinckernagel	90	0	0	0	2	4	0	7.5
Jonathan Bamba	90	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
V. Radojevic	71	0	0	0	0	2	0	6
R. Lod	71	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
D. D'Avilla	63	0	0	0	0	2	Y	6
Leonardo Barroso	45	0	0	0	1	3	0	5.9
M. Haile-Selassie	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Dean sub	45	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.3
R. Lewandowski sub	45	0	2	1	0	0	0	6.6
M. Pineda sub	27	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.6
A. Gutman sub	19	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
P. Dithejane sub	19	0	1	1	1	0	Y	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York City FC v Chicago Fire — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

New York City FCWDLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1 conceded per game

Chicago FireLWWWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

New York City FC 3 · 3 draws · Chicago Fire 0 · 2.5 goals/game

2025-09-14 Chicago Fire 1–3 New York City FC
2025-05-25 New York City FC 3–1 Chicago Fire
2024-08-24 New York City FC 2–2 Chicago Fire
2024-07-14 Chicago Fire 0–0 New York City FC
2023-10-22 New York City FC 1–0 Chicago Fire
2023-03-05 Chicago Fire 1–1 New York City FC

League standing · 2026

New York City FC#11 pos42 pts34 pl+4 GD

Chicago Fire#4 pos55 pts34 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

New York City FC scored1.44

Chicago Fire scored1.88

New York City FC conceded1.32

Chicago Fire conceded1.59

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York City FC v Chicago Fire?: TACTIX’s free model pick for New York City FC v Chicago Fire was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between New York City FC and Chicago Fire?: In their last 6 meetings, New York City FC won 3, Chicago Fire won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York City FC and Chicago Fire?: Recent form — New York City FC 2W 1D 2L; Chicago Fire 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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