New York City FC v FC Cincinnati result

Full-time · New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati — New York City FC won this Major League Soccer match.

Match report, in numbers

The result

New York City FC beat FC Cincinnati 1–0 in Major League Soccer on Sunday 4 May.

The goals

New York City FC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — New York City FC: Julián Fernández (9’).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: New York City FC 2.44, FC Cincinnati 1.07, from 19 shots to 15 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Drew Fischer, Canada showed five yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 6 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New York City FC: Matthew Freese (39’), Hannes Wolf (71’) and Justin Haak (75’); FC Cincinnati: Matt Miazga (12’) and Evander (90+2’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Julián Fernández (New York City FC) 9.3, J. Shore (New York City FC) 6.3 and D. Yedlin (FC Cincinnati) 5.5 led the match.

Next up

New York City FC next travel to Orlando City SC on 24 October 2026.

FC Cincinnati next host DC United on 21 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for New York City FC: Orlando City SC v New York City FC, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for FC Cincinnati: FC Cincinnati v DC United, Thursday 22 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer
  • Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada
  • Head-to-head (last 6): New York City FC 2 · draws 1 · FC Cincinnati 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: New York City FC 2W 0D 3L · FC Cincinnati 5W 0D 0L

New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across every major market, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.17 / 3.86
Corners
against 7 / 5.57 · 3 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 6 matches
3.5 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 3.17 / 4.71 · 0 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.67 / 2.14
Cards
against 1.33 / 1.43 · 1 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 6 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · Drew Fischer, Canada
1.17 home / 2.33 away
over 6 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 April 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNew York City FC for / againstLineFC Cincinnati for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.17 for · 7 against n 6
9.5standard
3.86 for · 5.57 against n 7
Shots
11 for · 14.5 against n 6
19.5standard
13.43 for · 14.57 against n 7
Shots on target
3.5 for · 3.17 against n 6
8.5standard
5.29 for · 4.71 against n 7
Fouls committed
10.67 for · 10.17 against n 6
21.5standard
11.71 for · 13.43 against n 7
Cards shown
1.67 for · 1.33 against n 6
3.5standard
2.14 for · 1.43 against n 7

Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 26.17 fouls over 6 matches (1.17 to the home side, 2.33 to the away side).

New York City FC
New York City FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Bakrar n 827.9
23/1
1.63/1
—
S. Tanasijevic n 846.4
1.95/3
1.74/2
—
Kevin O'Toole n 884.5
1.77/4
0.32/0
—
Julián Fernández n 848
1.66/1
0.21/0
—
Hannes Wolf n 886.3
1.37/2
0.95/2
—
New York City FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Martínez n 887.6
2.68/6
1.98/4
A. Perea n 829.4
1.94/1
0.82/0
Agustin Ojeda n 838.9
1.74/1
00/0
Julián Fernández n 848
1.64/1
0.73/0
Hannes Wolf n 886.3
1.45/4
14/3
New York City FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Julián Fernández n 848
0.21/0
0.52/0
A. Martínez n 887.6
0.65/0
00/0
Hannes Wolf n 886.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
Tayvon Gray n 860.5
0.21/0
0.21/0
M. Ilenič n 881.6
00/0
0.11/0
New York City FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nico Cavallo n 518.2
7.94/3
J. Shore n 869.3
3.68/6
Tayvon Gray n 860.5
36/5
Agustin Ojeda n 838.9
2.66/3
Kevin O'Toole n 884.5
2.58/6
New York City FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matthew Freese n 890
3.46/6
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sergio Santos n 836.4
2.85/4
4.67/5
—
Stefan Chirila n 416
2.81/1
00/0
—
Kévin Denkey n 880.6
27/6
1.34/3
—
D. Yedlin n 887.8
1.78/3
0.63/1
—
T. Hadebe n 870.3
1.65/3
0.83/1
—
FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gerardo Valenzuela n 814.5
3.12/1
1.61/1
Evander n 880.4
2.97/5
2.27/4
Luca Orellano n 881.8
2.17/5
1.47/2
Kévin Denkey n 880.6
26/5
1.14/3
Y. Kubo n 864.5
1.43/3
0.93/2
FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Evander n 880.4
0.84/2
0.11/0
Sergio Santos n 836.4
0.31/0
0.61/1
Gerardo Valenzuela n 814.5
0.81/0
00/0
Kévin Denkey n 880.6
0.74/1
00/0
Luca Orellano n 881.8
00/0
0.43/0
FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Nwobodo n 867.6
3.26/6
Sergio Santos n 836.4
3.15/1
A. Powell n 831.4
2.92/2
Pavel Bucha n 886
2.18/5
Tah Anunga n 865
2.15/4
FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 26 April 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Roman Celentano n 890
3.28/5

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York City FCFC Cincinnati
50%Possession50%
2.44Expected goals (xG)1.07
19Shots15
5Shots on target4
7Shots off target8
7Blocked shots3
12Shots inside the box9
7Corners6
2Offsides2
11Fouls16
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves4
434Passes442
82%Pass accuracy82%

New York City FC player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Matthew Freese90000000Y7.2
Tayvon Gray9000003107.3
Thiago Martins9000000207.3
Justin Haak90000002Y7.5
J. Shore9000100607.6
Maxi Moralez9000003007.6
Hannes Wolf90000006Y7
Julián Fernández8510523208.6
A. Martínez8500422006
A. Perea5300210106.2
Keaton Parks2600000106.9
B. Risa sub6400000207.2
Nico Cavallo sub3700000306.9
Agustin Ojeda sub800000006.3
M. Bakrar sub800000006.6

FC Cincinnati player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Roman Celentano9000000007.5
M. Robinson9000100107.6
D. Yedlin9000004507
Tah Anunga9000100206.9
Evander90001012Y6.7
Kévin Denkey9000001106.7
L. Engel8900112106.9
Luca Orellano8100314007.5
Matt Miazga69000002Y6.7
Nick Hagglund4500100006.7
Y. Kubo4500000006.6
Sergio Santos sub4500100106.6
Gerardo Valenzuela sub4500320006.3
Gilberto Flores sub2100000006.6
Corey Baird sub900000006.3
B. Smith sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind New York City FC v FC Cincinnati — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
New York City FCLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
FC CincinnatiWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 1.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
New York City FC 2 · 1 draw · FC Cincinnati 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2024-11-09 FC Cincinnati 0–0 New York City FC
  • 2024-11-02 New York City FC 3–1 FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-10-28 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC
  • 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-08-06 FC Cincinnati 4–2 New York City FC
  • 2024-03-23 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
New York City FC#5 pos56 pts34 pl+6 GD
FC Cincinnati#2 pos65 pts34 pl+12 GD
Goals per game
New York City FC scored1.47
FC Cincinnati scored1.53
New York City FC conceded1.29
FC Cincinnati conceded1.18

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati?
In their last 6 meetings, New York City FC won 2, FC Cincinnati won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York City FC and FC Cincinnati?
Recent form — New York City FC 2W 0D 3L; FC Cincinnati 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →