New York City FCFC Cincinnati

New York City FC v FC Cincinnati result

Full-time · New York City FC 4–4 FC Cincinnati

Major League Soccer · · Yankee Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New York City FC · FC Cincinnati · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

New York City FC 4–4 FC Cincinnati — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Both teams to score: Yes.

Free pick
Both teams to score: Yes
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: 5 of 7 calls the model rated 70% or more on Both teams to score: Yes landed in the last 90 days (too few for a rate). How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

New York City FC and FC Cincinnati drew 4–4 at Yankee Stadium in Major League Soccer on Thursday 23 April. FC Cincinnati have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

New York City FC led 2–1 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — New York City FC: Nicolás Fernández (20’; 35’, assisted by Maxi Moralez), Agustin Ojeda (53’, assisted by Aiden O'Neill) and Talles Magno (79’, assisted by Agustin Ojeda); FC Cincinnati: Kévin Denkey (32’, assisted by Ender Echenique; 65’, assisted by Gerardo Valenzuela), Andrei Chirila (90’, assisted by Pavel Bucha) and Evander (90’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s eight key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Evander’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: New York City FC 1.56, FC Cincinnati 1.49, from 17 shots to 12 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine showed three yellow cards — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — FC Cincinnati: Gilberto Flores (50’), Kyle Smith (71’) and Tah Anunga (90+6’).

What it changes

FC Cincinnati are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nicolás Fernández (New York City FC) 13.1, Evander (FC Cincinnati) 10.7 and Kévin Denkey (FC Cincinnati) 9.3 led the match.

Head-to-head

New York City FC are unbeaten in the last four meetings with FC Cincinnati.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Both teams to score: Yes, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market: 5 of 7 landed in the last 90 days.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: New York City FC 4–4 FC Cincinnati · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium · Bronx
  • Referee: Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): New York City FC 4 · draws 1 · FC Cincinnati 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: New York City FC 1W 1D 3L · FC Cincinnati 1W 2D 2L

New York City FC 4–4 FC Cincinnati (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.38 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.5 / 2.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.71 / 4.88
Corners
against 5 / 3.88 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
6.14 / 5.38
Shots on target
against 4.86 / 5.5 · 4 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.38 / 3.63
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.38 yellows
Referee · Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine
19.92 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 13 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 19 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 19 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNew York City FC for / againstLineFC Cincinnati for / against
Goals scored
2.38 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 2.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.71 for · 5 against n 7
9.5standard
4.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Shots
13.86 for · 13.43 against n 7
19.5standard
14 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
6.14 for · 4.86 against n 7
8.5standard
5.38 for · 5.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.57 for · 13.29 against n 7
21.5standard
14.25 for · 12.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
3.63 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: Sergiy Boyko, Ukraine — 3.38 yellow cards a game, 0.15 red cards, 19.92 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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New York City FC

New York City FC Goalkeeper

New York City FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Matthew Freese892739 min283.4 /90111.3 /9000 /90
New York City FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Matthew Freese n 892.4
3.46/4

New York City FC Defensive

New York City FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Kevin O'Toole892739 min131.6 /9040.5 /9020.2 /90273.3 /9050.6 /9000 /90
Tayvon Gray888703 min162 /90121.5 /9010.1 /90384.9 /90121.5 /9020.3 /90
Kai Trewin881650 min91.2 /90152.1 /9030.4 /90223 /9040.6 /9010.1 /90
Thiago Martins790630 min40.6 /9040.6 /9081.1 /90162.3 /9030.4 /9000 /90
Raul Gustavo666393 min61.4 /9061.4 /9020.5 /90214.8 /9051.1 /9010.2 /90
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New York City FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Kevin O'Toole n 892.4
0.64/1
0.54/0
—
Matthew Freese n 892.4
00/0
0.22/0
—
Nicolás Fernández n 890.3
1.98/5
2.98/6
Tom Barlow
Tayvon Gray n 887.9
1.57/3
1.37/2
—
Aiden O'Neill n 887.5
1.76/2
16/2
Pavel Bucha
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New York City FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Kevin O'Toole n 892.4
1.66/3
Nicolás Fernández n 890.3
2.18/4
Tayvon Gray n 887.9
26/4
Aiden O'Neill n 887.5
3.58/6
Maxi Moralez n 885.4
0.85/1
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New York City FC Attacking

New York City FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Nicolás Fernández890722 min60.7 /9000 /90212.6 /90162 /90121.5 /9091.1 /90
Talles Magno524121 min10.7 /9000 /9032.2 /9021.5 /9010.7 /9043 /90
Seymour Garfield-Reid12828 min00 /9000 /9013.2 /9013.2 /9000 /9000 /90
Aiden O'Neill888700 min00 /9000 /9020.3 /9010.1 /9030.4 /9040.5 /90
Maxi Moralez885683 min10.1 /9050.7 /9060.8 /9040.5 /90212.8 /9020.3 /90
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New York City FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Kevin O'Toole n 892.4
0.22/0
0.11/0
Matthew Freese n 892.4
0.11/0
00/0
Nicolás Fernández n 890.3
2.68/7
27/5
Tayvon Gray n 887.9
0.85/1
0.53/1
Aiden O'Neill n 887.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
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New York City FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Matthew Freese n 892.4
00/0
00/0
Kevin O'Toole n 892.4
00/0
00/0
Nicolás Fernández n 890.3
0.75/1
00/0
Tayvon Gray n 887.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
Aiden O'Neill n 887.5
00/0
00/0
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FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati Goalkeeper

FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Roman Celentano993834 min242.6 /90171.8 /9000 /90
Evan Louro394283 min61.9 /9072.2 /9000 /90
FC Cincinnati — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Roman Celentano n 893
2.97/6
Evan Louro n 891.6
3.17/6

FC Cincinnati Defensive

FC Cincinnati — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Robinson977696 min131.7 /9050.6 /90101.3 /90465.9 /9070.9 /9000 /90
Nick Hagglund975677 min70.9 /9020.3 /9060.8 /90374.9 /9070.9 /9010.1 /90
Gilberto Flores873581 min162.5 /90101.5 /9060.9 /90396 /90121.9 /9010.2 /90
A. Powell842335 min92.4 /9092.4 /9000 /90318.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
T. Hadebe756393 min81.8 /9020.5 /9051.1 /90204.6 /9040.9 /9020.5 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Tom Barlow n 861.3
1.56/1
0.74/0
Nicolás Fernández
Bryan Ramirez n 885.8
27/5
0.43/0
—
Kévin Denkey n 885.4
1.47/3
28/5
—
Pavel Bucha n 889.1
0.42/1
0.85/1
Aiden O'Neill
Ender Echenique n 875.3
1.24/3
0.74/1
—
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FC Cincinnati — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Tom Barlow n 861.3
0.74/0
Bryan Ramirez n 885.8
3.18/8
Kévin Denkey n 885.4
0.84/1
Pavel Bucha n 889.1
1.47/3
Ender Echenique n 875.3
0.94/2
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FC Cincinnati Attacking

FC Cincinnati — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Tom Barlow1255664 min50.7 /9000 /90141.9 /90111.5 /9060.8 /9030.4 /90
Kévin Denkey1084841 min60.6 /9030.3 /90161.7 /9080.9 /90141.5 /9060.6 /90
Evander974669 min10.1 /9020.3 /90223 /90111.5 /90253.4 /90182.4 /90
Ayoub Jabbari845363 min30.7 /9010.2 /9092.2 /9051.2 /9030.7 /9030.7 /90
Kenji Mboma Dem546229 min20.8 /9010.4 /9072.8 /9031.2 /9052 /9000 /90
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FC Cincinnati — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Tom Barlow n 861.3
1.77/2
1.56/2
Bryan Ramirez n 885.8
0.42/1
0.32/0
Kévin Denkey n 885.4
1.66/4
0.85/1
Pavel Bucha n 889.1
0.85/1
0.43/0
Ender Echenique n 875.3
1.24/3
0.73/2
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FC Cincinnati — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Cincinnati before kick-off, to 19 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Tom Barlow n 861.3
0.63/0
00/0
Bryan Ramirez n 885.8
00/0
00/0
Kévin Denkey n 885.4
0.53/1
0.32/0
Pavel Bucha n 889.1
0.11/0
00/0
Ender Echenique n 875.3
0.11/0
0.32/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York City FCFC Cincinnati
55%Possession45%
1.56Expected goals (xG)1.49
17Shots12
9Shots on target6
5Shots off target3
3Blocked shots3
14Shots inside the box8
2Corners4
3Offsides2
7Fouls9
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves5
555Passes447
83%Pass accuracy80%

New York City FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Matthew Freese9000000006.3
Thiago Martins9000000006.3
Raul Gustavo9000100306.7
Kevin O'Toole9000111205.2
Kai Trewin9000000607.3
Aiden O'Neill9001001206.9
Tayvon Gray8900001407.2
Agustin Ojeda8411323007.9
Nicolás Fernández84202223010
Maxi Moralez7201205007.2
Hannes Wolf7200322206.7
Keaton Parks sub1800110006.3
Talles Magno sub1810110007.7
J. Shore sub1700000106.5
Arnau Farnos sub1700000006.7
S. Tanasijevic sub1100000005.9

FC Cincinnati Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Roman Celentano9000000005.9
Kyle Smith90000015Y6.7
Pavel Bucha9001102106.6
Samuel Gidi9000000006.5
Kenji Mboma Dem9000101006.2
Evander9010220207.7
Kévin Denkey9020220008.3
Tom Barlow8300000006.3
Gilberto Flores60000001Y6.2
Ender Echenique6001004206.6
T. Hadebe2300000006.3
Andrei Chirila sub4510110107.2
Tah Anunga sub30000001Y6.5
Gerardo Valenzuela sub3001211106.2
A. Powell sub2200000206.7
Ayoub Jabbari sub1800001006.9

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York City FC v FC Cincinnati — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
New York City FCLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.8 scored / 2 conceded per game
FC CincinnatiLWLDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.2 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
New York City FC 4 · 1 draw · FC Cincinnati 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2025-08-23 FC Cincinnati 0–1 New York City FC
  • 2025-05-04 New York City FC 1–0 FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-11-09 FC Cincinnati 0–0 New York City FC
  • 2024-11-02 New York City FC 3–1 FC Cincinnati
  • 2024-10-28 FC Cincinnati 1–0 New York City FC
  • 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati
League standing · 2026
New York City FC#11 pos42 pts34 pl+4 GD
FC Cincinnati#9 pos46 pts34 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
New York City FC scored1.44
FC Cincinnati scored1.97
New York City FC conceded1.32
FC Cincinnati conceded2.21

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York City FC v FC Cincinnati?
TACTIX’s free model pick for New York City FC v FC Cincinnati was Both teams to score: Yes.
What is the head-to-head record between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati?
In their last 6 meetings, New York City FC won 4, FC Cincinnati won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York City FC and FC Cincinnati?
Recent form — New York City FC 1W 1D 3L; FC Cincinnati 1W 2D 2L.

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