New York City FC v New York Red Bulls result
Team pages: New York City FC · New York Red Bulls · Head-to-head
The model’s pre-match pick
New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls — New York Red Bulls won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
The result
New York Red Bulls won 1–0 at Yankee Stadium in Major League Soccer on Saturday 19 September. It is New York Red Bulls’s first win over New York City FC since 23 November 2024, after four meetings without one (the 6 prior meetings TACTIX holds).
The goals
It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — New York Red Bulls: Julian Hall (57’).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Julian Hall’s goal on 57 minutes.
The numbers
Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: New York City FC out-shot New York Red Bulls 16 to 10 and created the better chances, 2.30 xG to 1.40 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.
Discipline
Jon Freemon, USA showed five yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New York City FC: Nico Cavallo (30’) and Aiden O'Neill (55’); New York Red Bulls: Adri Mehmeti (6’), Cade Cowell (22’) and Mohammed Sofo (40’).
What it changes
New York City FC have scored 38 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 25 games, ranked per game). New York City FC have conceded 33 goals, the third-fewest of the 15 clubs.
New York Red Bulls have scored 34 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 26 games, ranked per game). New York Red Bulls have conceded 48 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Bazan (New York Red Bulls) 7.0, Nicolás Fernández (New York City FC) 5.2 and Julian Hall (New York Red Bulls) 5.2 led the match.
Head-to-head
New York City FC are unbeaten in the last four meetings with New York Red Bulls.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, New York City FC or New York Red Bulls (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The Numbers
- Result: New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls · Major League Soccer
- Venue: Yankee Stadium · Bronx
- Referee: Jon Freemon, USA
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): New York City FC 4 · draws 1 · New York Red Bulls 1 · 3.5 goals/game
- Recent form: New York City FC 1W 3D 1L · New York Red Bulls 1W 2D 2L
New York City FC 0–1 New York Red Bulls (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 13 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | New York City FC for / against | Line | New York Red Bulls for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 0.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.63 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 11.13 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.75 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.38 for · 11.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.75 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Jon Freemon, USA — 4.94 yellow cards a game, 0.24 red cards, 24.94 fouls over 17 matches.
The referee's home and away split · Pro
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New York City FC
New York City FC Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | 27 | 912459 min | 993.6 /90 | 331.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| T. Romero | 1 | 9090 min | 22 /90 | 22 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese n 8 | 90 | 4 |
New York City FC Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tayvon Gray | 24 | 862058 min | 482.1 /90 | 311.4 /90 | 70.3 /90 | 1024.5 /90 | 291.3 /90 | 70.3 /90 |
| Thiago Martins | 21 | 901881 min | 150.7 /90 | 130.6 /90 | 190.9 /90 | 462.2 /90 | 80.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Kevin O'Toole | 19 | 711352 min | 221.5 /90 | 90.6 /90 | 50.3 /90 | 453 /90 | 100.7 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Raul Gustavo | 18 | 701268 min | 191.3 /90 | 181.3 /90 | 70.5 /90 | 584.1 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| Nico Cavallo | 16 | 801284 min | 352.5 /90 | 130.9 /90 | 30.2 /90 | 584.1 /90 | 100.7 /90 | 20.1 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Nicolás Fernández n 8 | 90 | 1.1 | 4.1 | — |
| Agustin Ojeda n 8 | 81.6 | 0.4 | 1 | — |
| Tayvon Gray n 8 | 79.9 | 1.4 | 0.6 | — |
| Thiago Martins n 8 | 88.9 | 0.6 | 0.1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Fernández n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
| Agustin Ojeda n 8 | 81.6 | 1 |
| Tayvon Gray n 8 | 79.9 | 2.1 |
| Thiago Martins n 8 | 88.9 | 0.9 |
| Hannes Wolf n 8 | 49.4 | 1.6 |
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New York City FC Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Jones | 13 | 44570 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 101.6 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 40.6 /90 | 172.7 /90 |
| Talles Magno | 13 | 39510 min | 20.4 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 142.5 /90 | 61.1 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 81.4 /90 |
| B. Traoré | 12 | 60715 min | 10.1 /90 | 00 /90 | 60.8 /90 | 30.4 /90 | 91.1 /90 | 111.4 /90 |
| Luighi | 9 | 64576 min | 40.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 193 /90 | 91.4 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 71.1 /90 |
| Seymour Garfield-Reid | 3 | 2679 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 11.1 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese n 8 | 90 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Nicolás Fernández n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Agustin Ojeda n 8 | 81.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Tayvon Gray n 8 | 79.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Thiago Martins n 8 | 88.9 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Nicolás Fernández n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Agustin Ojeda n 8 | 81.6 | 0 | 0.6 |
| Tayvon Gray n 8 | 79.9 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Thiago Martins n 8 | 88.9 | 0 | 0 |
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New York Red Bulls
New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Horvath | 25 | 912272 min | 823.2 /90 | 481.9 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Ethan Horvath n 8 | 91.1 | 3.2 |
New York Red Bulls Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Nealis | 21 | 851793 min | 321.6 /90 | 221.1 /90 | 160.8 /90 | 1175.9 /90 | 231.2 /90 | 40.2 /90 |
| Matthew Dos Santos | 21 | 681422 min | 251.6 /90 | 261.6 /90 | 00 /90 | 513.2 /90 | 161 /90 | 10.1 /90 |
| Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty | 20 | 701400 min | 301.9 /90 | 140.9 /90 | 70.5 /90 | 603.9 /90 | 120.8 /90 | 30.2 /90 |
| J. Che | 16 | 851360 min | 322.1 /90 | 221.5 /90 | 201.3 /90 | 775.1 /90 | 140.9 /90 | 50.3 /90 |
| J. Bazan | 10 | 84835 min | 212.3 /90 | 151.6 /90 | 60.6 /90 | 606.5 /90 | 91 /90 | 30.3 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Horvath n 8 | 91.1 | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| Julian Hall n 8 | 82.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | — |
| Adri Mehmeti n 8 | 79.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | — |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8 | 56.3 | 1.2 | 0.6 | — |
| Ronald Donkor n 8 | 91.1 | 1.9 | 1.1 | — |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Julian Hall n 8 | 82.3 | 0.5 |
| Adri Mehmeti n 8 | 79.1 | 1.7 |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8 | 56.3 | 0.2 |
| Ronald Donkor n 8 | 91.1 | 2.3 |
| Emil Forsberg n 8 | 65.6 | 1 |
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New York Red Bulls Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Hall | 25 | 852136 min | 90.4 /90 | 30.1 /90 | 411.7 /90 | 251.1 /90 | 160.7 /90 | 331.4 /90 |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 24 | 701681 min | 70.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 331.8 /90 | 181 /90 | 201.1 /90 | 120.6 /90 |
| Cade Cowell | 23 | 661516 min | 20.1 /90 | 50.3 /90 | 281.7 /90 | 191.1 /90 | 311.8 /90 | 211.2 /90 |
| Mohammed Sofo | 15 | 43651 min | 00 /90 | 10.1 /90 | 81.1 /90 | 50.7 /90 | 71 /90 | 60.8 /90 |
| Rafael Mosquera | 9 | 34306 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 41.2 /90 | 10.3 /90 | 82.4 /90 | 41.2 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Horvath n 8 | 91.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Hall n 8 | 82.3 | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Adri Mehmeti n 8 | 79.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8 | 56.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Ronald Donkor n 8 | 91.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Horvath n 8 | 91.1 | 0 | 0 |
| Julian Hall n 8 | 82.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Adri Mehmeti n 8 | 79.1 | 0 | 0.1 |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8 | 56.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Ronald Donkor n 8 | 91.1 | 0.1 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| New York City FC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| 63% | Possession | 37% |
| 2.30 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.40 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 6 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 12 | Shots inside the box | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
| 0 | Saves | 4 |
| 506 | Passes | 298 |
| 85% | Pass accuracy | 76% |
New York City FC Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Tayvon Gray | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.3 |
| Thiago Martins | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.6 |
| J. Sands | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Nico Cavallo | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.9 |
| Aiden O'Neill | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 6.9 |
| A. Perea | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Nicolás Fernández | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7.9 |
| Agustin Ojeda | 75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Hannes Wolf | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Luighi | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| B. Traoré sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.5 |
| A. Martínez sub | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
| Malachi Jones sub | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
New York Red Bulls Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adri Mehmeti | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Y | 7.2 |
| Julian Hall | 84 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Cade Cowell | 84 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Y | 6.5 |
| M. Dos Santos | 62 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Ethan Horvath | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8.2 |
| Dylan Nealis | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| Tim Parker | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Bazan | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| Ronald Donkor | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Mohammed Sofo | 46 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | Y | 6.7 |
| C. Harper | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| D. Padelford sub | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| D. Ruiz sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind New York City FC v New York Red Bulls — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-16 New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC
- 2026-04-29 New York Red Bulls 1–3 New York City FC
- 2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC
- 2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls
- 2024-11-23 New York City FC 0–2 New York Red Bulls
- 2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for New York City FC v New York Red Bulls?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for New York City FC v New York Red Bulls was Home or Away (best price 1.25 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between New York City FC and New York Red Bulls?
- In their last 6 meetings, New York City FC won 4, New York Red Bulls won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of New York City FC and New York Red Bulls?
- Recent form — New York City FC 1W 3D 1L; New York Red Bulls 1W 2D 2L.
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