New York Red BullsNashville SC

New York Red Bulls v Nashville SC result

Full-time · New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC

Major League Soccer · · Sports Illustrated Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC — Nashville SC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Nashville SC won 1–0 at Sports Illustrated Stadium in Major League Soccer on Thursday 20 August.

Nashville SC have conceded 15 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 20 games, ranked per game).

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Nashville SC: M. Woledzi (90’, assisted by C. Espinoza).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with M. Woledzi’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: New York Red Bulls 1.63, Nashville SC 1.34, from 13 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Lorenzo Hernandez, USA showed three yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New York Red Bulls: J. Bazan (90+1’); Nashville SC: D. Lovitz (12’) and M. Corcoran (58’).

What it changes

New York Red Bulls have scored 30 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 20 games, ranked per game). New York Red Bulls have conceded 42 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs.

Nashville SC have scored 40 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 20 games, ranked per game).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Ronald Donkor (New York Red Bulls) 7.5, M. Woledzi (Nashville SC) 5.7 and Adri Mehmeti (New York Red Bulls) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, New York Red Bulls or Nashville SC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium · Harrison
  • Referee: Lorenzo Hernandez, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): New York Red Bulls 2 · draws 3 · Nashville SC 1 · 1 goals/game
  • Recent form: New York Red Bulls 2W 0D 3L · Nashville SC 2W 1D 2L

New York Red Bulls 0–1 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.75 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5 / 4.13
Corners
against 4.13 / 4.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.13 / 3
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.13 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.64 yellows
Referee · Lorenzo Hernandez, USA
21.36 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameNew York Red Bulls for / againstLineNashville SC for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.25our book
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 4.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.63 against n 8
Shots
13.38 for · 14.13 against n 8
19.5standard
10 for · 11.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.13 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
13.13 for · 8.88 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 11.88 against n 8
Cards shown
3.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Lorenzo Hernandez, USA — 3.64 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 21.36 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Ethan Horvath19911732 min603.1 /90412.1 /9000 /90
New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 891.1
3.16/4

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Matthew Dos Santos18681220 min211.5 /90201.5 /9000 /90382.8 /90131 /9010.1 /90
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty17731242 min261.9 /90130.9 /9060.4 /90483.5 /90110.8 /9030.2 /90
Dylan Nealis16871387 min201.3 /90171.1 /90100.6 /90895.8 /90191.2 /9030.2 /90
J. Che1183912 min222.2 /90131.3 /90141.4 /90565.5 /90101 /9040.4 /90
Robert Voloder890723 min131.6 /90131.6 /9010.1 /90384.7 /9040.5 /9020.2 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Ethan Horvath n 891.1
00/0
00/0
—
Julian Hall n 884.9
0.95/2
0.94/3
—
Ronald Donkor n 891.1
1.67/4
15/2
—
Adri Mehmeti n 889.5
2.17/5
14/3
—
Emil Forsberg n 871
0.83/1
0.53/0
—
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Julian Hall n 884.9
0.84/2
Ronald Donkor n 891.1
0.72/2
Adri Mehmeti n 889.5
1.65/4
Emil Forsberg n 871
0.63/1
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 877.6
0.63/1
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Julian Hall19881667 min90.5 /9030.2 /90321.7 /90201.1 /90140.8 /90191 /90
Jorge Ruvalcaba18741334 min70.5 /9000 /90292 /90171.1 /90181.2 /90110.7 /90
Cade Cowell17701196 min20.2 /9050.4 /90231.7 /90151.1 /90262 /90141.1 /90
Mohammed Sofo937334 min00 /9000 /9061.6 /9030.8 /9030.8 /9020.5 /90
Rafael Mosquera934306 min00 /9000 /9041.2 /9010.3 /9082.4 /9041.2 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 891.1
00/0
00/0
Julian Hall n 884.9
2.37/4
1.56/2
Ronald Donkor n 891.1
0.22/0
0.11/0
Adri Mehmeti n 889.5
0.42/1
0.11/0
Emil Forsberg n 871
1.65/2
0.83/2
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 891.1
00/0
00/0
Julian Hall n 884.9
0.41/1
0.11/0
Ronald Donkor n 891.1
00/0
0.11/0
Adri Mehmeti n 889.5
00/0
0.11/0
Emil Forsberg n 871
0.32/0
0.32/0
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Nashville SC

Nashville SC Goalkeeper

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Schwake28902517 min812.9 /90160.6 /9010 /90
X. Valdez294188 min31.4 /9031.4 /9000 /90
Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Schwake n 888.1
3.88/6

Nashville SC Defensive

Nashville SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Woledzi25902247 min401.6 /90190.8 /90130.5 /901004 /90170.7 /9000 /90
A. Najar24691667 min181 /90211.1 /9060.3 /90744 /90181 /9030.2 /90
D. Lovitz23721651 min351.9 /90150.8 /9060.3 /90734 /90271.5 /9050.3 /90
J. Palacios22861890 min422 /90261.2 /90140.7 /901256 /90170.8 /9040.2 /90
R. Baker-Whiting17671138 min221.7 /9080.6 /9050.4 /90574.5 /90161.3 /9020.2 /90
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Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
B. Schwake n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
—
H. Mukhtar n 874.8
0.53/0
1.25/2
—
M. Woledzi n 888.1
0.53/1
0.63/2
—
A. Muyl n 845.4
2.74/2
1.22/2
—
M. Corcoran n 887.1
0.94/3
0.84/2
—
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Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 874.8
0.64/0
M. Woledzi n 888.1
1.57/4
A. Muyl n 845.4
25/2
M. Corcoran n 887.1
2.28/3
A. Najar n 854.5
0.84/0
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Nashville SC Attacking

Nashville SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
W. Madrigal22631378 min50.3 /9020.1 /90241.6 /90100.7 /90151 /90110.7 /90
A. Qasem21611287 min30.2 /9010.1 /90161.1 /90100.7 /9060.4 /90151 /90
S. Surridge18731307 min130.9 /9000 /90352.4 /90221.5 /9050.3 /9070.5 /90
Woobens Pacius860478 min20.4 /9000 /9071.3 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9040.8 /90
E. Saad556282 min00 /9031 /9051.6 /9010.3 /90103.2 /9051.6 /90
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Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
B. Schwake n 888.1
00/0
00/0
H. Mukhtar n 874.8
25/3
1.13/2
M. Woledzi n 888.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
A. Muyl n 845.4
0.73/0
0.52/0
M. Corcoran n 887.1
0.32/0
00/0
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Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
B. Schwake n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
H. Mukhtar n 874.8
0.31/1
00/0
M. Woledzi n 888.1
0.11/0
00/0
A. Muyl n 845.4
00/0
0.21/0
M. Corcoran n 887.1
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York Red BullsNashville SC
54%Possession46%
1.63Expected goals (xG)1.34
13Shots11
1Shots on target3
7Shots off target5
5Blocked shots3
11Shots inside the box7
7Corners10
0Offsides5
4Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves1
483Passes395
84%Pass accuracy82%

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Ethan Horvath9000000006.9
J. Bazan90001001Y6.9
Matthew Dos Santos9000003107.3
Ronald Donkor9000002608.3
Adri Mehmeti9000103408
Julian Hall9000301006.6
Jorge Ruvalcaba9000100006.6
J. Che8800000107.3
Dylan Nealis8000000407.5
Emil Forsberg6100110107.2
Cade Cowell6100000106.6
Mohammed Sofo sub2900000106.3
M. Jimenez sub2900100006.7
Tim Parker sub1100000006.2
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty sub1000000006.2

Nashville SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Schwake9000000007.5
J. Maher9000000207.3
M. Woledzi9010110108.3
E. Tagseth9000002207
H. Mukhtar9000212006.5
S. Surridge9000210006.5
R. Baker-Whiting8600100107.2
M. Corcoran70002012Y6.5
E. Saad7000000206.3
S. Mohammed6200000006.3
D. Lovitz61000011Y6.3
A. Najar sub2900000207.3
C. Espinoza sub2801002106.9
A. Qasem sub2000000006.2
P. Yazbek sub2000001206.6
J. Bauer sub1300000006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York Red Bulls v Nashville SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
New York Red BullsWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Nashville SCDLWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
New York Red Bulls 2 · 3 draws · Nashville SC 1 · 1 goals/game
  • 2025-05-15 Nashville SC 2–1 New York Red Bulls
  • 2025-03-02 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Nashville SC
  • 2024-06-15 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC
  • 2024-02-24 Nashville SC 0–0 New York Red Bulls
  • 2023-10-22 Nashville SC 0–1 New York Red Bulls
  • 2023-03-05 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Nashville SC
League standing · 2026
New York Red Bulls#10 pos42 pts34 pl-14 GD
Nashville SC#1 pos77 pts34 pl+46 GD
Goals per game
New York Red Bulls scored1.41
Nashville SC scored2.09
New York Red Bulls conceded1.82
Nashville SC conceded0.74

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York Red Bulls v Nashville SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for New York Red Bulls v Nashville SC was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC?
In their last 6 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 2, Nashville SC won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC?
Recent form — New York Red Bulls 2W 0D 3L; Nashville SC 2W 1D 2L.

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