New York Red Bulls v New York City FC result

Full-time · New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC

Major League Soccer · Sun, 17 May 2026 00:30 BST · Sports Illustrated Stadium

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New York Red Bulls · New York City FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

New York Red Bulls and New York City FC drew 1–1 at Sports Illustrated Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 May. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: New York Red Bulls, from fewer shots (12 to 14), created the better chances, 2.41 xG to 1.73 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

New York Red Bulls led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — New York Red Bulls: Jorge Ruvalcaba (44’); New York City FC: A. Perea (52’, assisted by Nicolás Fernández).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Perea’s goal on 52 minutes.

Discipline

Victor Rivas, USA showed seven yellow cards — against 4.7 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New York Red Bulls: Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty (24’), Jorge Ruvalcaba (67’), Dylan Nealis (82’) and Tim Parker (86’); New York City FC: Raul Gustavo (23’), Keaton Parks (49’) and Nico Cavallo (77’).

What it changes

New York Red Bulls have scored 11 goals, the seventh-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). New York Red Bulls have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

New York City FC have scored nine goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 6 games, ranked per game). New York City FC have conceded eight goals, the third-fewest of the 15 clubs.

New York Red Bulls are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. New York City FC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Nicolás Fernández (New York City FC) 6.1, A. Perea (New York City FC) 5.4 and Malachi Jones (New York City FC) 4.4 led the match.

Head-to-head

New York City FC are unbeaten in the last three meetings with New York Red Bulls.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, New York Red Bulls or New York City FC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC · Major League Soccer
Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium · Harrison
Referee: Victor Rivas, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): New York Red Bulls 1 · draws 0 · New York City FC 5 · 3.67 goals/game
Recent form: New York Red Bulls 2W 0D 3L · New York City FC 3W 0D 2L

New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.88 / 2.13

Goals

against 2.38 / 1.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

5.17 / 3.17

Corners

against 3.5 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 6 matches

3.67 / 4.83

Shots on target

against 5 / 4.33 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 6 matches

1.75 / 2.13

Cards

against 1.5 / 2.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.69 yellows

Referee · Victor Rivas, USA

23.06 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 16 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	New York Red Bulls for / against	Line	New York City FC for / against
Goals scored	1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	2.13 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.17 for · 3.5 against n 6 Last 5	9.5standard	3.17 for · 4.5 against n 6 Last 5
Shots	11.83 for · 12.83 against n 6 Last 5	19.5standard	11 for · 10.17 against n 6 Last 5
Shots on target	3.67 for · 5 against n 6 Last 5	8.5standard	4.83 for · 4.33 against n 6 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.33 for · 10 against n 6 Last 5	21.5standard	10.83 for · 12.17 against n 6 Last 5
Cards shown	1.75 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.13 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Victor Rivas, USA — 4.69 yellow cards a game, 0.38 red cards, 23.06 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ethan Horvath	13	911183 min	393 /90	302.3 /90	00 /90

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 8	90.9	2.8 7/4

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Matthew Dos Santos	13	67868 min	111.1 /90	131.3 /90	00 /90	242.5 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	12	79944 min	191.8 /90	70.7 /90	40.4 /90	383.6 /90	70.7 /90	00 /90
Dylan Nealis	10	88882 min	131.3 /90	141.4 /90	101 /90	545.5 /90	101 /90	10.1 /90
Robert Voloder	8	90723 min	131.6 /90	131.6 /90	10.1 /90	384.7 /90	40.5 /90	20.2 /90
Tim Parker	5	80400 min	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	20.5 /90	143.2 /90	20.5 /90	00 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ethan Horvath n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Julian Hall n 8	83.8	1.3 7/3	0.7 4/1	—
Adri Mehmeti n 8	82.1	2.7 8/6	0.8 5/1	—
Emil Forsberg n 8	71.1	1.6 5/3	0.8 5/0	—
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	71.1	0.8 5/0	0.8 4/1	—
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Julian Hall n 8	83.8	0.7 3/2
Adri Mehmeti n 8	82.1	2.6 7/6
Emil Forsberg n 8	71.1	0.8 5/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	71.1	0.8 3/2
Matthew Dos Santos n 8	68.5	1.1 4/2
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Julian Hall	13	861118 min	90.7 /90	20.2 /90	201.6 /90	131 /90	100.8 /90	131 /90
Jorge Ruvalcaba	13	76983 min	40.4 /90	00 /90	201.8 /90	111 /90	151.4 /90	70.6 /90
Cade Cowell	11	71779 min	10.1 /90	30.3 /90	161.8 /90	101.2 /90	182.1 /90	80.9 /90
Rafael Mosquera	8	31246 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.5 /90	10.4 /90	62.2 /90	31.1 /90
Mohammed Sofo	6	45269 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.7 /90	31 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	83.8	1.2 4/2	0.8 3/1
Adri Mehmeti n 8	82.1	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Emil Forsberg n 8	71.1	1.4 5/2	0.6 3/1
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	71.1	2.1 7/5	0.9 5/1
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	90.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	83.8	0.7 3/1	0.3 1/1
Adri Mehmeti n 8	82.1	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Emil Forsberg n 8	71.1	0.2 1/0	0.3 2/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	71.1	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
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New York City FC

New York City FC Goalkeeper

New York City FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Matthew Freese	13	911189 min	423.2 /90	181.4 /90	00 /90

New York City FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Matthew Freese n 8	90	3.2 8/3

New York City FC Defensive

New York City FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Kai Trewin	13	851100 min	221.8 /90	161.3 /90	70.6 /90	453.7 /90	110.9 /90	20.2 /90
Thiago Martins	12	901080 min	60.5 /90	100.8 /90	121 /90	282.3 /90	30.3 /90	00 /90
Tayvon Gray	12	871049 min	252.1 /90	161.4 /90	30.3 /90	534.5 /90	141.2 /90	40.3 /90
Raul Gustavo	11	70769 min	131.5 /90	111.3 /90	60.7 /90	414.8 /90	80.9 /90	20.2 /90
Kevin O'Toole	10	92919 min	151.5 /90	40.4 /90	20.2 /90	313 /90	60.6 /90	00 /90
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New York City FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Matthew Freese n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Nicolás Fernández n 8	88	1.8 7/4	3.6 8/7	—
Kai Trewin n 8	89.5	1 5/2	0.6 5/0	—
Maxi Moralez n 8	85.6	0.7 4/1	2.1 7/5	—
Agustin Ojeda n 8	76.9	0.9 4/2	0.4 3/0	—
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New York City FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Nicolás Fernández n 8	88	1.8 6/4
Kai Trewin n 8	89.5	2 5/4
Maxi Moralez n 8	85.6	1.4 6/3
Agustin Ojeda n 8	76.9	0.6 2/1
Thiago Martins n 8	90.9	0.2 1/1
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New York City FC Attacking

New York City FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Nicolás Fernández	13	891156 min	90.7 /90	20.2 /90	282.2 /90	221.7 /90	201.6 /90	231.8 /90
Talles Magno	7	23164 min	21.1 /90	00 /90	52.7 /90	42.2 /90	10.5 /90	52.7 /90
Arnau Farnos	2	4182 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	33.3 /90
Seymour Garfield-Reid	2	2753 min	00 /90	00 /90	11.7 /90	11.7 /90	11.7 /90	00 /90
Maxi Moralez	13	841098 min	10.1 /90	60.5 /90	110.9 /90	50.4 /90	292.4 /90	30.2 /90
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New York City FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Matthew Freese n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nicolás Fernández n 8	88	1.8 8/4	1.4 6/4
Kai Trewin n 8	89.5	0.5 3/1	0.4 2/1
Maxi Moralez n 8	85.6	1.1 5/3	0.4 3/0
Agustin Ojeda n 8	76.9	1.2 5/2	0.6 3/1
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New York City FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York City FC before kick-off, to 14 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Matthew Freese n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Nicolás Fernández n 8	88	0.5 3/1	0.3 1/1
Kai Trewin n 8	89.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Maxi Moralez n 8	85.6	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Agustin Ojeda n 8	76.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York Red Bulls		New York City FC
43%	Possession	57%
2.41	Expected goals (xG)	1.73
12	Shots	14
5	Shots on target	5
3	Shots off target	5
4	Blocked shots	4
11	Shots inside the box	10
9	Corners	3
0	Offsides	3
16	Fouls	10
4	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	4
346	Passes	476
82%	Pass accuracy	83%

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Ethan Horvath	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	90	0	1	0	1	2	Y	6.9
Dylan Nealis	90	0	1	0	0	2	Y	6.3
Ronald Donkor	90	0	1	1	2	0	0	7.3
Adri Mehmeti	90	0	1	0	0	0	0	7
Cade Cowell	90	0	1	1	1	3	0	6.9
Julian Hall	90	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
Jorge Ruvalcaba	85	1	1	1	0	0	Y	7.7
J. Che	69	0	0	0	1	2	0	7.2
Matthew Dos Santos	69	0	1	1	1	1	0	5.9
Emil Forsberg	69	0	0	0	2	1	0	6.6
Tim Parker sub	21	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.6
Omar Valencia sub	21	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Gustav Berggren sub	21	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Rafael Mosquera sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

New York City FC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Matthew Freese	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.9
Tayvon Gray	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.2
Thiago Martins	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
Raul Gustavo	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	7.3
Nico Cavallo	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	7.2
Kai Trewin	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	7
Agustin Ojeda	89	0	0	1	0	3	0	0	6.9
Nicolás Fernández	89	0	1	0	0	4	1	0	6.9
Keaton Parks	59	0	0	0	0	1	1	Y	6.5
Hannes Wolf	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Maxi Moralez	39	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
A. Perea sub	51	1	0	2	1	0	1	0	7.2
Malachi Jones sub	45	0	0	6	4	0	1	0	6.7
J. Shore sub	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Arnau Farnos sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Seymour Garfield-Reid sub	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York Red Bulls v New York City FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

New York Red BullsLLLWW

Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game

New York City FCLWLWW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

New York Red Bulls 1 · 0 draws · New York City FC 5 · 3.67 goals/game

2026-04-29 New York Red Bulls 1–3 New York City FC
2025-09-27 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC
2025-05-17 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls
2024-11-23 New York City FC 0–2 New York Red Bulls
2024-09-28 New York Red Bulls 1–5 New York City FC
2024-05-18 New York City FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls

League standing · 2026

New York Red Bulls#10 pos42 pts34 pl-14 GD

New York City FC#11 pos42 pts34 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

New York Red Bulls scored1.41

New York City FC scored1.44

New York Red Bulls conceded1.82

New York City FC conceded1.32

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York Red Bulls v New York City FC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for New York Red Bulls v New York City FC was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between New York Red Bulls and New York City FC?: In their last 6 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1, New York City FC won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York Red Bulls and New York City FC?: Recent form — New York Red Bulls 2W 0D 3L; New York City FC 3W 0D 2L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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