New York Red Bulls v Orlando City SC result

Full-time · New York Red Bulls 3–2 Orlando City SC

Major League Soccer · Sun, 02 Aug 2026 00:30 BST · Sports Illustrated Stadium

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New York Red Bulls · Orlando City SC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

New York Red Bulls 3–2 Orlando City SC — New York Red Bulls won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.34 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

New York Red Bulls beat Orlando City SC 3–2 at Sports Illustrated Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 2 August. Orlando City SC have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

New York Red Bulls led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — New York Red Bulls: M. Jimenez (23’, assisted by Gustav Berggren; 60’, assisted by Cade Cowell) and Emil Forsberg (43’, assisted by Cade Cowell); Orlando City SC: Tyrese Spicer (52’, assisted by Braian Ojeda) and Griffin Dorsey (63’, assisted by Antoine Griezmann).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s five key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Tyrese Spicer’s goal on 52 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: New York Red Bulls 3.60, Orlando City SC 3.20, from 18 shots to 19 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Filip Dujic, Canada showed five yellow cards — against 3.9 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New York Red Bulls: Dylan Nealis (27’), J. Che (59’) and Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty (90+6’); Orlando City SC: Iván Angulo (69’) and Harvey Sarajian (88’).

What it changes

New York Red Bulls have scored 29 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games, ranked per game). New York Red Bulls have conceded 39 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs.

Orlando City SC have scored 30 goals, the sixth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games, ranked per game). Orlando City SC have conceded 47 goals, the most of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cade Cowell (New York Red Bulls) 9.9, M. Jimenez (New York Red Bulls) 8.2 and Braian Ojeda (Orlando City SC) 8.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

New York Red Bulls are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Orlando City SC, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: New York Red Bulls 3–2 Orlando City SC · Major League Soccer
Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium · Harrison
Referee: Filip Dujic, Canada
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): New York Red Bulls 3 · draws 3 · Orlando City SC 0 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: New York Red Bulls 2W 1D 2L · Orlando City SC 3W 1D 1L

New York Red Bulls 3–2 Orlando City SC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.5

Goals

against 1.88 / 2 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.75

over 8 matches

5.14 / 3.43

Corners

against 4.29 / 7.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.29 / 5.86

Shots on target

against 5.71 / 6.71 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.75 / 2

Cards

against 1.38 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

3.9 yellows

Referee · Filip Dujic, Canada

25.4 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	New York Red Bulls for / against	Line	Orlando City SC for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	3.75our book	2.5 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.14 for · 4.29 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	3.43 for · 7.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.43 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	12.14 for · 18.86 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.29 for · 5.71 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.86 for · 6.71 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.57 for · 7.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	9.43 for · 13.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5

Referee: Filip Dujic, Canada — 3.9 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 25.4 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ethan Horvath	17	911543 min	563.3 /90	372.2 /90	00 /90

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 8	90	3.5 7/5

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	16	761218 min	241.8 /90	131 /90	50.4 /90	463.4 /90	110.8 /90	20.1 /90
Matthew Dos Santos	16	671066 min	181.5 /90	181.5 /90	00 /90	342.9 /90	121 /90	10.1 /90
Dylan Nealis	14	871222 min	191.4 /90	171.3 /90	100.7 /90	785.7 /90	171.3 /90	20.1 /90
J. Che	9	80723 min	192.4 /90	81 /90	101.2 /90	445.5 /90	70.9 /90	30.4 /90
Robert Voloder	8	90723 min	131.6 /90	131.6 /90	10.1 /90	384.7 /90	40.5 /90	20.2 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ethan Horvath n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Julian Hall n 8	82.9	0.7 5/0	0.8 4/2	—
Adri Mehmeti n 8	90	2.5 8/6	0.8 4/2	—
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	78.8	0.6 4/0	0.3 2/0	—
Ronald Donkor n 8	87.6	1.5 6/4	0.9 5/1	—
See more players · Pro

New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Julian Hall n 8	82.9	0.5 3/1
Adri Mehmeti n 8	90	2.1 5/5
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	78.8	0.6 3/1
Ronald Donkor n 8	87.6	1.2 3/3
Emil Forsberg n 8	66.1	0.7 4/0
See more players · Pro

New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Julian Hall	17	871478 min	90.5 /90	30.2 /90	271.6 /90	161 /90	110.7 /90	140.9 /90
Jorge Ruvalcaba	17	771315 min	70.5 /90	00 /90	292 /90	171.2 /90	181.2 /90	110.8 /90
Cade Cowell	15	691032 min	20.2 /90	30.3 /90	211.8 /90	141.2 /90	211.8 /90	90.8 /90
Rafael Mosquera	9	34306 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90	82.4 /90	41.2 /90
Mohammed Sofo	8	38305 min	00 /90	00 /90	61.8 /90	30.9 /90	20.6 /90	20.6 /90
See more players · Pro

New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	82.9	1.8 6/3	1 4/1
Adri Mehmeti n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	78.8	2.1 8/5	1.1 6/1
Ronald Donkor n 8	87.6	0.4 3/0	0.3 2/0
See more players · Pro

New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	82.9	0.4 1/1	0.1 1/0
Adri Mehmeti n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	78.8	0.6 3/1	0 0/0
Ronald Donkor n 8	87.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

Orlando City SC

Orlando City SC Goalkeeper

Orlando City SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Maxime Crépeau	16	861374 min	704.6 /90	382.5 /90	00 /90
Javier Otero	2	81161 min	42.2 /90	63.4 /90	00 /90

Orlando City SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Maxime Crépeau n 8	88.9	4.6 7/6
Javier Otero n 5	81.4	2 2/2

Orlando City SC Defensive

Orlando City SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Griffin Dorsey	14	801119 min	252 /90	110.9 /90	80.6 /90	524.2 /90	90.7 /90	10.1 /90
Adrián Marín	14	751043 min	242.1 /90	121 /90	70.6 /90	443.8 /90	151.3 /90	30.3 /90
Iago Silva	13	791030 min	50.4 /90	141.2 /90	151.3 /90	353.1 /90	131.1 /90	40.3 /90
David Brekalo	11	86948 min	171.6 /90	70.7 /90	141.3 /90	413.9 /90	131.2 /90	20.2 /90
Robin Jansson	11	84924 min	50.5 /90	80.8 /90	111.1 /90	131.3 /90	40.4 /90	10.1 /90
See more players · Pro

Orlando City SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Braian Ojeda n 8	87.3	1.8 7/4	1.5 7/4	—
Iván Angulo n 8	87.5	0.6 3/1	0.8 4/2	—
Maxime Crépeau n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
Martín Ojeda n 8	92.3	0.4 3/0	0.6 3/2	—
Griffin Dorsey n 8	78.6	0.1 1/0	1.1 4/2	—
See more players · Pro

Orlando City SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Braian Ojeda n 8	87.3	1.5 7/3
Iván Angulo n 8	87.5	1.9 6/4
Martín Ojeda n 8	92.3	0.2 1/1
Griffin Dorsey n 8	78.6	1.9 7/5
Adrián Marín n 8	80.3	1.7 6/3
See more players · Pro

Orlando City SC Attacking

Orlando City SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Martín Ojeda	15	901351 min	110.7 /90	00 /90	392.6 /90	241.6 /90	241.6 /90	90.6 /90
Tyrese Spicer	12	41489 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	132.4 /90	61.1 /90	71.3 /90	91.7 /90
Tiago Souza	11	61674 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	70.9 /90	10.1 /90	40.5 /90	60.8 /90
Duncan McGuire	11	44488 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	71.3 /90	71.3 /90	61.1 /90	10.2 /90
Justin Ellis	10	69685 min	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	131.7 /90	81.1 /90	131.7 /90	192.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Orlando City SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Braian Ojeda n 8	87.3	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
Iván Angulo n 8	87.5	0.4 3/0	0.4 3/0
Maxime Crépeau n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Martín Ojeda n 8	92.3	3.2 8/5	2 7/5
Griffin Dorsey n 8	78.6	1 5/2	0.6 4/0
See more players · Pro

Orlando City SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Orlando City SC before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Braian Ojeda n 8	87.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Iván Angulo n 8	87.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Maxime Crépeau n 8	88.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
Martín Ojeda n 8	92.3	1.1 4/4	0 0/0
Griffin Dorsey n 8	78.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York Red Bulls		Orlando City SC
40%	Possession	60%
3.60	Expected goals (xG)	3.20
18	Shots	19
8	Shots on target	5
4	Shots off target	6
6	Blocked shots	8
14	Shots inside the box	16
5	Corners	4
2	Offsides	2
11	Fouls	10
3	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	5
399	Passes	599
83%	Pass accuracy	89%

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Ethan Horvath	99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
J. Che	99	0	0	1	0	0	2	Y	7
J. Bazan	99	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.9
Ronald Donkor	99	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	7.9
Gustav Berggren	99	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	7.9
Julian Hall	99	0	0	4	3	1	2	0	6.9
Emil Forsberg	85	1	0	1	1	2	2	0	7.9
Cade Cowell	85	0	2	1	1	5	1	0	8.3
Dylan Nealis	75	0	0	0	0	3	0	Y	6.3
Matthew Dos Santos	75	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	5.9
M. Jimenez	70	2	0	4	2	0	0	0	7.9
Mohammed Sofo sub	29	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.6
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	2	Y	7.3
Tim Parker sub	24	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
C. Harper sub	14	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.9
Nehuen Benedetti sub	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Orlando City SC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Maxime Crépeau	99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.5
David Brekalo	99	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Robin Jansson	99	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
Iván Angulo	99	0	0	1	1	1	4	Y	6.9
Braian Ojeda	99	0	1	0	0	3	2	0	8
Antoine Griezmann	99	0	1	2	0	2	0	0	7.3
Justin Ellis	87	0	0	0	0	6	1	0	6.3
Griffin Dorsey	72	1	0	2	1	1	2	0	5.9
Eduard Atuesta	62	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.2
Adrián Marín	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
Tiago Souza	45	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Bernardo Rhein Goncalves sub	54	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.6
Tyrese Spicer sub	54	1	0	4	3	2	1	0	7.3
Luis Otávio sub	37	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7
Zakaria Taifi sub	27	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.9
Harvey Sarajian sub	12	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York Red Bulls v Orlando City SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

New York Red BullsWDWLL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Orlando City SCDWLWW

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

New York Red Bulls 3 · 3 draws · Orlando City SC 0 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-02-22 Orlando City SC 1–2 New York Red Bulls
2025-04-12 Orlando City SC 0–0 New York Red Bulls
2025-03-15 New York Red Bulls 2–2 Orlando City SC
2024-12-01 Orlando City SC 0–1 New York Red Bulls
2024-06-01 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Orlando City SC
2024-03-30 Orlando City SC 1–1 New York Red Bulls

League standing · 2026

New York Red Bulls#10 pos42 pts34 pl-14 GD

Orlando City SC#8 pos46 pts34 pl-15 GD

Goals per game

New York Red Bulls scored1.41

Orlando City SC scored1.85

New York Red Bulls conceded1.82

Orlando City SC conceded2.29

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York Red Bulls v Orlando City SC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for New York Red Bulls v Orlando City SC was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.34 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC?: In their last 6 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 3, Orlando City SC won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York Red Bulls and Orlando City SC?: Recent form — New York Red Bulls 2W 1D 2L; Orlando City SC 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.