New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union result

Full-time · New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union

Major League Soccer · Sun, 17 Aug 2025 00:30 BST

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New York Red Bulls · Philadelphia Union · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union — New York Red Bulls won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Under 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 56.1% of 139 landed (95% range 47.8–64.1%); it had given them 77.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match report, in numbers

The result

New York Red Bulls beat Philadelphia Union 1–0 in Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Philadelphia Union out-shot New York Red Bulls 11 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.37 xG to 0.31 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — New York Red Bulls: Dylan Nealis (74’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Dylan Nealis’s goal on 74 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — New York Red Bulls: Dylan Nealis (77’) and W. Bogacz (90+6’).

What it changes

New York Red Bulls have scored 42 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 28 games, ranked per game). New York Red Bulls have conceded 38 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

Philadelphia Union have scored 48 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs (2025 so far, after 28 games, ranked per game). Philadelphia Union have conceded 26 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs.

New York Red Bulls have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) 7.8, Carlos Coronel (New York Red Bulls) 7.1 and Dylan Nealis (New York Red Bulls) 5.6 led the match.

Head-to-head

Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in the last six meetings with New York Red Bulls, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer
Referee: Ismir Pekmic, USA
Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): New York Red Bulls 0 · draws 2 · Philadelphia Union 4 · 2.67 goals/game
Recent form: New York Red Bulls 2W 2D 1L · Philadelphia Union 3W 2D 0L

New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.5

Goals

against 1.88 / 1 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

2.75 / 6.14

Corners

against 2.75 / 3.71 · 0 of the last 1 over 9.5

over 4 matches

5 / 4.29

Shots on target

against 6 / 2.86 · 1 of the last 1 over 8.5

over 4 matches

2.5 / 3.29

Cards

against 2.75 / 2.43 · 1 of the last 1 over 3.5

over 4 matches

232

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 14 August 2025. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	New York Red Bulls for / against	Line	Philadelphia Union for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.5 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	2.75 for · 2.75 against n 4 Last 5	9.5standard	6.14 for · 3.71 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	15.75 for · 11.75 against n 4 Last 5	19.5standard	14.57 for · 9.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5 for · 6 against n 4 Last 5	8.5standard	4.29 for · 2.86 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.75 for · 9.25 against n 4 Last 5	21.5standard	16.29 for · 11.86 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.5 for · 2.75 against n 4 Last 5	3.5standard	3.29 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Carlos Coronel	24	912175 min	863.6 /90	331.4 /90	00 /90
AJ Marcucci	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	21 /90	00 /90

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 14 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Carlos Coronel n 8	91.9	2.7 6/5

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
N. Eile	24	872085 min	361.6 /90	231 /90	120.5 /90	883.8 /90	281.2 /90	70.3 /90
S. Nealis	18	891608 min	221.2 /90	301.7 /90	110.6 /90	734.1 /90	160.9 /90	50.3 /90
Omar Valencia	18	741334 min	281.9 /90	181.2 /90	10.1 /90	745 /90	181.2 /90	60.4 /90
A. Hack	18	701260 min	322.3 /90	261.9 /90	80.6 /90	866.1 /90	181.3 /90	50.4 /90
K. Duncan	15	861287 min	332.3 /90	161.1 /90	70.5 /90	805.6 /90	151 /90	20.1 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 14 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Emil Forsberg n 8	91.6	1 5/2	0.9 5/1	—
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 8	79.3	0.7 4/1	1.1 5/3	—
Carlos Coronel n 8	91.9	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
N. Eile n 8	86.3	1.3 6/2	0.3 2/0	K. Wagner
Wikelman Carmona n 8	57.9	1.9 5/4	1.4 4/2	—
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 14 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Emil Forsberg n 8	91.6	0.9 4/2
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 8	79.3	0.3 2/0
N. Eile n 8	86.3	1.2 5/3
Wikelman Carmona n 8	57.9	3.3 8/4
P. Stroud n 8	64.4	2.6 7/4
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting	25	822062 min	150.7 /90	10 /90	391.7 /90	291.3 /90	321.4 /90	331.4 /90
D. Gjengaar	13	42551 min	20.3 /90	10.2 /90	91.5 /90	71.1 /90	50.8 /90	10.2 /90
Julian Hall	12	29347 min	00 /90	00 /90	30.8 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	61.6 /90
S. Ngoma	9	47423 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	51.1 /90	30.6 /90	40.9 /90	40.9 /90
W. Bogacz	6	36213 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	41.7 /90	20.8 /90	31.3 /90	20.8 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 14 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Emil Forsberg n 8	91.6	2.1 7/4	0.9 4/3
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 8	79.3	2.6 5/5	1.8 5/5
Carlos Coronel n 8	91.9	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
N. Eile n 8	86.3	0.7 3/2	0.1 1/0
Wikelman Carmona n 8	57.9	1 3/2	0.2 1/0
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 14 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Emil Forsberg n 8	91.6	0.5 3/1	0.4 3/0
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting n 8	79.3	0.7 3/2	0.1 1/0
Carlos Coronel n 8	91.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
N. Eile n 8	86.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Wikelman Carmona n 8	57.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union Goalkeeper

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Andre Blake	16	901440 min	372.3 /90	150.9 /90	00 /90
Andrew Rick	10	90900 min	131.3 /90	101 /90	00 /90

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 14 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Andre Blake n 8	90	2 5/4
Andrew Rick n 8	90	1.4 3/1

Philadelphia Union Defensive

Philadelphia Union — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
K. Wagner	24	872093 min	733.1 /90	351.5 /90	30.1 /90	1486.4 /90	281.2 /90	50.2 /90
Jakob Glesnes	23	871994 min	301.4 /90	411.9 /90	170.8 /90	894 /90	351.6 /90	80.4 /90
Olwethu Makhanya	21	781637 min	372 /90	261.4 /90	110.6 /90	1035.7 /90	191 /90	50.3 /90
Nathan Harriel	18	821480 min	321.9 /90	402.4 /90	60.4 /90	1126.8 /90	181.1 /90	50.3 /90
Frankie Westfield	18	781410 min	312 /90	70.4 /90	60.4 /90	785 /90	130.8 /90	30.2 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 14 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Bruno Damiani n 8	78.3	2.4 6/4	4 8/6	—
K. Wagner n 8	82.8	1.5 5/4	1.8 8/3	N. Eile
Jovan Lukić n 8	84.4	1.5 8/2	0.5 4/0	—
Indiana Vassilev n 8	74.5	0.6 3/1	1.4 6/3	—
Jakob Glesnes n 8	80.5	2.1 8/4	0.6 3/1	—
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Philadelphia Union — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 14 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Bruno Damiani n 8	78.3	1.2 5/2
K. Wagner n 8	82.8	3 7/5
Jovan Lukić n 8	84.4	2.7 8/6
Indiana Vassilev n 8	74.5	0.8 3/2
Jakob Glesnes n 8	80.5	1.4 6/3
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Philadelphia Union Attacking

Philadelphia Union — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Bruno Damiani	25	601509 min	40.2 /90	00 /90	513 /90	281.7 /90	171 /90	70.4 /90
T. Baribo	22	681506 min	150.9 /90	20.1 /90	311.9 /90	201.2 /90	171 /90	70.4 /90
M. Uhre	21	47995 min	40.4 /90	40.4 /90	242.2 /90	141.3 /90	141.3 /90	50.5 /90
C. Donovan	11	41452 min	00 /90	00 /90	71.4 /90	30.6 /90	20.4 /90	20.4 /90
M. Anderson	3	3398 min	10.9 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90	10.9 /90	00 /90	10.9 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 14 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Bruno Damiani n 8	78.3	2.3 8/5	1.3 6/2
K. Wagner n 8	82.8	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Jovan Lukić n 8	84.4	1.1 5/2	0.4 3/0
Indiana Vassilev n 8	74.5	0.9 4/2	0.5 3/0
Jakob Glesnes n 8	80.5	0.7 3/2	0 0/0
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Philadelphia Union — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 14 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Bruno Damiani n 8	78.3	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
K. Wagner n 8	82.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Jovan Lukić n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
Indiana Vassilev n 8	74.5	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
Jakob Glesnes n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

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Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York Red Bulls		Philadelphia Union
51%	Possession	49%
0.31	Expected goals (xG)	1.37
7	Shots	11
2	Shots on target	1
3	Shots off target	5
2	Blocked shots	5
5	Shots inside the box	5
1	Corners	2
3	Offsides	0
13	Fouls	8
2	Yellow cards	0
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	1
398	Passes	371
71%	Pass accuracy	68%

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Carlos Coronel	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Dylan Nealis	90	1	0	1	1	1	1	Y	7.9
N. Eile	90	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	7.3
Tim Parker	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.7
Raheem Edwards	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.3
P. Stroud	90	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	6.9
D. Edelman	90	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	7.5
Wikelman Carmona	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting	90	0	1	2	1	1	1	0	7
Emil Forsberg	82	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	6.5
S. Ngoma	58	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	6.6
D. Gjengaar sub	33	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Julian Hall sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
S. Nealis sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
W. Bogacz sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.5

Philadelphia Union Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
O. Mbaizo	90	0	0	0	1	6
Olwethu Makhanya	90	0	0	0	2	6.9
Nathan Harriel	90	0	0	0	2	7.2
K. Wagner	90	2	0	3	7	7.5
Jovan Lukić	90	0	0	0	3	7
Milan Iloski	90	0	0	1	0	6.9
Jesus Bueno	78	0	0	0	4	7
Alejandro Bedoya	61	0	0	1	0	6.9
M. Uhre	61	1	0	1	0	6.9
C. Donovan	45	1	0	0	0	6.7
Andre Blake	28	0	0	0	0	6.6
Andrew Rick sub	62	0	0	0	0	6.2
Bruno Damiani sub	45	1	1	2	1	6.9
Q. Sullivan sub	30	1	0	0	0	6.7
T. Baribo sub	30	0	0	0	0	6.7
Danley Jean Jacques sub	13	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

New York Red BullsWDDWL

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Philadelphia UnionWDWDW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

New York Red Bulls 0 · 2 draws · Philadelphia Union 4 · 2.67 goals/game

2025-08-13 Philadelphia Union 3–2 New York Red Bulls
2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls
2024-08-31 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union
2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls
2023-09-03 Philadelphia Union 4–1 New York Red Bulls
2023-08-09 Philadelphia Union 1–1 New York Red Bulls

League standing · 2025

Last recorded position — not updated during the season.

New York Red Bulls#10 pos43 pts34 pl+1 GD

Philadelphia Union#1 pos66 pts34 pl+22 GD

Goals per game

New York Red Bulls scored1.41

Philadelphia Union scored1.68

New York Red Bulls conceded1.38

Philadelphia Union conceded1.03

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union?: TACTIX’s free model pick for New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union?: In their last 6 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 0, Philadelphia Union won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union?: Recent form — New York Red Bulls 2W 2D 1L; Philadelphia Union 3W 2D 0L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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