New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union result

Full-time · New York Red Bulls 1–3 Philadelphia Union

Major League Soccer · Sun, 30 Aug 2026 00:30 BST · Sports Illustrated Stadium

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New York Red Bulls · Philadelphia Union · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

New York Red Bulls 1–3 Philadelphia Union — Philadelphia Union won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.40 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Philadelphia Union won 3–1 at Sports Illustrated Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 30 August. New York Red Bulls are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Philadelphia Union led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Philadelphia Union: Milan Iloski (20’, assisted by Indiana Vassilev), Cavan Sullivan (50’, assisted by Danley Jean Jacques) and Neil Pierre (64’, assisted by Bruno Damiani); New York Red Bulls: Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (74’, assisted by Mohammed Sofo).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Milan Iloski’s goal on 20 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: New York Red Bulls 2.05, Philadelphia Union 2.53, from 11 shots to 18 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Drew Fischer, Canada showed three yellow cards — against 4.2 yellows a game across the last 17 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — New York Red Bulls: Ronald Donkor (79’); Philadelphia Union: Agustin Anello (90+1’) and Q. Sullivan (90+2’).

What it changes

New York Red Bulls have scored 32 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 22 games, ranked per game). New York Red Bulls have conceded 46 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs.

Philadelphia Union have scored 34 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 22 games, ranked per game). Philadelphia Union have conceded 39 goals, the sixth-most of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cavan Sullivan (Philadelphia Union) 8.8, Neil Pierre (Philadelphia Union) 8.4 and Danley Jean Jacques (Philadelphia Union) 7.4 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (338 of 492).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: New York Red Bulls 1–3 Philadelphia Union · Major League Soccer
Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium · Harrison
Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): New York Red Bulls 1 · draws 1 · Philadelphia Union 4 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: New York Red Bulls 1W 1D 3L · Philadelphia Union 2W 2D 1L

New York Red Bulls 1–3 Philadelphia Union (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.13 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.63 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 6.13

Corners

against 4.63 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 5.25 / 3.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.5

Cards

against 1.75 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.24 yellows

Referee · Drew Fischer, Canada

25.35 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 17 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	New York Red Bulls for / against	Line	Philadelphia Union for / against
Goals scored	1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	1.63 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.5 for · 4.63 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.13 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.63 for · 13.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	15.75 for · 9.75 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 3.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	14.63 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.5 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Drew Fischer, Canada — 4.24 yellow cards a game, 0.12 red cards, 25.35 fouls over 17 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ethan Horvath	21	911912 min	663.1 /90	432 /90	00 /90

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 8	91.1	3.3 6/5

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Matthew Dos Santos	20	681355 min	231.5 /90	251.7 /90	00 /90	453 /90	151 /90	10.1 /90
Dylan Nealis	18	851523 min	271.6 /90	181.1 /90	110.7 /90	1046.1 /90	201.2 /90	30.2 /90
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	18	721287 min	271.9 /90	130.9 /90	60.4 /90	503.5 /90	110.8 /90	30.2 /90
J. Che	13	841090 min	242 /90	161.3 /90	161.3 /90	615 /90	121 /90	40.3 /90
Omar Valencia	9	38338 min	112.9 /90	10.3 /90	20.5 /90	225.9 /90	102.7 /90	41.1 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ethan Horvath n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Julian Hall n 8	90.5	0.7 4/2	1.4 5/4	—
Ronald Donkor n 8	91.1	1.6 8/4	1.4 5/4	—
Adri Mehmeti n 8	89.5	1.6 5/4	0.9 4/2	—
Emil Forsberg n 8	70	0.8 3/1	0.6 4/0	—
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Julian Hall n 8	90.5	0.7 4/2
Ronald Donkor n 8	91.1	1.5 3/3
Adri Mehmeti n 8	89.5	2 6/4
Emil Forsberg n 8	70	1 5/1
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	72	0.6 3/1
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Julian Hall	21	881842 min	90.4 /90	30.1 /90	351.7 /90	201 /90	150.7 /90	251.2 /90
Jorge Ruvalcaba	20	731469 min	70.4 /90	00 /90	311.9 /90	171 /90	181.1 /90	110.7 /90
Cade Cowell	19	691302 min	20.1 /90	50.3 /90	231.6 /90	151 /90	261.8 /90	161.1 /90
Mohammed Sofo	11	37408 min	00 /90	00 /90	81.8 /90	51.1 /90	40.9 /90	40.9 /90
Rafael Mosquera	9	34306 min	00 /90	00 /90	41.2 /90	10.3 /90	82.4 /90	41.2 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	90.5	1.9 7/4	0.9 5/1
Ronald Donkor n 8	91.1	0.4 3/0	0.2 2/0
Adri Mehmeti n 8	89.5	0.6 4/1	0.1 1/0
Emil Forsberg n 8	70	1.6 5/2	1 4/2
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	90.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Ronald Donkor n 8	91.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
Adri Mehmeti n 8	89.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Emil Forsberg n 8	70	0.3 2/0	0.2 1/0
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Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union Goalkeeper

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Andre Blake	20	911826 min	412 /90	341.7 /90	00 /90
Andrew Rick	8	92739 min	172.1 /90	101.2 /90	00 /90

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Andre Blake n 8	91.3	2.1 4/3
Andrew Rick n 8	92.4	2.1 4/1

Philadelphia Union Defensive

Philadelphia Union — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Nathan Harriel	26	892315 min	471.8 /90	672.6 /90	50.2 /90	1817 /90	371.4 /90	50.2 /90
Frankie Westfield	22	801749 min	402.1 /90	291.5 /90	60.3 /90	1487.6 /90	231.2 /90	10.1 /90
Olwethu Makhanya	17	871477 min	362.2 /90	211.3 /90	60.4 /90	895.4 /90	161 /90	70.4 /90
Japhet Sery Larsen	15	771161 min	201.6 /90	191.5 /90	70.5 /90	463.6 /90	322.5 /90	60.5 /90
Geiner Martínez	10	73730 min	182.2 /90	141.7 /90	20.2 /90	293.6 /90	121.5 /90	30.4 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Nathan Harriel n 8	86.9	1.3 5/4	0.5 4/0	—
Milan Iloski n 8	84.3	1.3 6/4	0.3 2/0	—
Bruno Damiani n 8	71.6	1.9 5/4	1.4 4/3	—
Danley Jean Jacques n 8	86.9	1.8 7/5	1 6/2	—
Jovan Lukić n 8	66.6	2.7 5/4	0 0/0	—
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Philadelphia Union — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 8	86.9	0.6 4/1
Milan Iloski n 8	84.3	0.3 2/0
Bruno Damiani n 8	71.6	0.6 3/1
Danley Jean Jacques n 8	86.9	2.5 6/6
Jovan Lukić n 8	66.6	2.2 5/4
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Philadelphia Union Attacking

Philadelphia Union — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Milan Iloski	26	822127 min	110.5 /90	30.1 /90	632.7 /90	301.3 /90	572.4 /90	80.3 /90
Bruno Damiani	26	691802 min	60.3 /90	10 /90	381.9 /90	140.7 /90	180.9 /90	80.4 /90
Ezekiel Alladoh	21	501055 min	20.2 /90	30.3 /90	151.3 /90	80.7 /90	151.3 /90	80.7 /90
Agustin Anello	15	39579 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	121.9 /90	60.9 /90	91.4 /90	91.4 /90
Stas Kornzeniowski	9	46412 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	143.1 /90	81.7 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 8	86.9	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Milan Iloski n 8	84.3	2.8 7/6	1.3 5/4
Bruno Damiani n 8	71.6	1.7 7/3	1.3 5/2
Danley Jean Jacques n 8	86.9	1.3 6/3	0.1 1/0
Jovan Lukić n 8	66.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Philadelphia Union — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 23 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
Milan Iloski n 8	84.3	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
Bruno Damiani n 8	71.6	0.5 2/1	0 0/0
Danley Jean Jacques n 8	86.9	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Jovan Lukić n 8	66.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York Red Bulls		Philadelphia Union
60%	Possession	40%
2.05	Expected goals (xG)	2.53
11	Shots	18
4	Shots on target	7
4	Shots off target	5
3	Blocked shots	6
10	Shots inside the box	13
4	Corners	7
3	Offsides	4
12	Fouls	13
1	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
1	Saves	3
464	Passes	308
83%	Pass accuracy	69%

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Ethan Horvath	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Dylan Nealis	90	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	7.3
J. Che	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.6
J. Bazan	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.2
Ronald Donkor	90	0	0	2	0	2	2	Y	6.9
Adri Mehmeti	90	0	0	1	0	1	1	0	6.9
Julian Hall	90	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	6.2
Matthew Dos Santos	67	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5.9
Emil Forsberg	67	0	0	0	0	1	2	0	6.3
Cade Cowell	67	0	0	1	1	2	0	0	6.7
M. Dos Santos	67	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	5.9
Jorge Ruvalcaba	45	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting sub	45	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.5
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
C. Harper sub	23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.2
Mohammed Sofo sub	23	0	1	0	0	1	1	0	6.9

Philadelphia Union Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Andre Blake	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6
Frankie Westfield	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.9
Neil Pierre	90	1	0	1	1	0	3	0	7.5
Nathan Harriel	90	0	0	1	1	0	2	0	7.3
K. Wagner	90	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
Jovan Lukić	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7.2
Milan Iloski	90	1	0	6	3	1	0	0	7.2
Danley Jean Jacques	84	0	1	1	0	3	4	0	7.3
Cavan Sullivan	80	1	0	2	1	3	2	0	8.3
Bruno Damiani	80	0	1	0	0	4	2	0	6.9
Indiana Vassilev	64	0	1	1	1	1	0	0	7
Q. Sullivan sub	26	0	0	0	0	1	2	Y	6.7
Ezekiel Alladoh sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Jesus Bueno sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.5
Agustin Anello sub	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

New York Red BullsLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Philadelphia UnionWLWDD

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

New York Red Bulls 1 · 1 draw · Philadelphia Union 4 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-07-22 Philadelphia Union 3–1 New York Red Bulls
2025-08-16 New York Red Bulls 1–0 Philadelphia Union
2025-08-13 Philadelphia Union 3–2 New York Red Bulls
2025-07-12 Philadelphia Union 2–0 New York Red Bulls
2024-08-31 New York Red Bulls 0–2 Philadelphia Union
2024-07-06 Philadelphia Union 0–0 New York Red Bulls

League standing · 2026

New York Red Bulls#10 pos42 pts34 pl-14 GD

Philadelphia Union#6 pos50 pts34 pl+14 GD

Goals per game

New York Red Bulls scored1.41

Philadelphia Union scored1.94

New York Red Bulls conceded1.82

Philadelphia Union conceded1.53

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union?: TACTIX’s free model pick for New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union?: In their last 6 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1, Philadelphia Union won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union?: Recent form — New York Red Bulls 1W 1D 3L; Philadelphia Union 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.