Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC

Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC result

Full-time · Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC

Major League Soccer · · Subaru Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC — Philadelphia Union won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5233 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Philadelphia Union beat Atlanta United FC 3–2 at Subaru Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 2 August. Philadelphia Union have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Philadelphia Union came from behind: Atlanta United FC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Atlanta United FC: M. Almirón (30’) and Tristan Muyumba (66’, assisted by Aleksey Miranchuk); Philadelphia Union: Milan Iloski (73’), Neil Pierre (90’, assisted by K. Wagner) and Ezekiel Alladoh (90’, assisted by K. Wagner). Enea Mihaj (26’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ezekiel Alladoh’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Philadelphia Union 2.64, Atlanta United FC 0.53, from 30 shots to 4 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

A. Chapman showed five yellow cards and one red — against 3.4 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Philadelphia Union: Milan Iloski (28’), Nathan Harriel (53’) and Bruno Damiani (68’); Atlanta United FC: Lucas Hoyos (59’) and Elías Báez (90+2’).

What it changes

Philadelphia Union have scored 25 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games, ranked per game). Philadelphia Union have conceded 33 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Atlanta United FC have scored 19 goals, the fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games, ranked per game). Atlanta United FC have conceded 33 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Philadelphia Union have won their last three matches in all competitions. Atlanta United FC are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) 10.4, Tristan Muyumba (Atlanta United FC) 9.1 and Neil Pierre (Philadelphia Union) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Philadelphia Union or Atlanta United FC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.9% of the time in the last 90 days (4074 of 5233).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Subaru Park · Chester
  • Referee: A. Chapman
  • Model coverage: 210 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Philadelphia Union 3 · draws 2 · Atlanta United FC 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Philadelphia Union 2W 1D 2L · Atlanta United FC 0W 1D 4L

Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 210 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1.13
Goals
against 2 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.71
Corners
against 3.75 / 3.86 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.63 / 4.71
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 5.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.88 / 2.57
Cards
against 1.75 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
3.4 yellows
Referee · A. Chapman
17.8 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 5 matches
210
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 26 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 26 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePhiladelphia Union for / againstLineAtlanta United FC for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
3our book
1.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
4.71 for · 3.86 against n 7
Shots
16.75 for · 9.5 against n 8
19.5standard
15.71 for · 11.43 against n 7
Shots on target
5.63 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.71 for · 5.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
14.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 7.29 against n 7
Cards shown
1.88 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.57 for · 2 against n 7

Referee: A. Chapman — 3.4 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 17.8 fouls over 5 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union Goalkeeper

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Andre Blake16911456 min332 /90271.7 /9000 /90
Andrew Rick592459 min61.2 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Andre Blake n 890
1.83/3
Andrew Rick n 884.4
24/2

Philadelphia Union Defensive

Philadelphia Union — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Nathan Harriel20901800 min422.1 /90542.7 /9050.3 /901608 /90291.5 /9030.2 /90
Olwethu Makhanya17871477 min362.2 /90211.3 /9060.4 /90895.4 /90161 /9070.4 /90
Frankie Westfield16781249 min282 /90241.7 /9030.2 /901017.3 /90151.1 /9010.1 /90
Japhet Sery Larsen1275898 min181.8 /90161.6 /9040.4 /90434.3 /90242.4 /9040.4 /90
Geiner Martínez974664 min162.2 /90101.4 /9020.3 /90263.5 /90121.6 /9030.4 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Nathan Harriel n 891.1
1.47/3
1.57/3
—
Milan Iloski n 884
1.26/3
1.16/1
Aleksey Miranchuk
Bruno Damiani n 863.9
1.96/5
1.64/3
Aleksey Miranchuk
Jovan Lukić n 873
1.44/3
0.32/0
Elías Báez
Danley Jean Jacques n 889.9
1.56/4
0.85/1
Tristan Muyumba
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Philadelphia Union — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 891.1
2.75/5
Milan Iloski n 884
0.73/2
Bruno Damiani n 863.9
1.95/3
Jovan Lukić n 873
1.86/3
Danley Jean Jacques n 889.9
1.94/4
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Philadelphia Union Attacking

Philadelphia Union — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Bruno Damiani20691384 min30.2 /9010.1 /90312 /9090.6 /90161 /9060.4 /90
Ezekiel Alladoh1650793 min10.1 /9030.3 /90101.1 /9040.5 /90131.5 /9070.8 /90
Stas Kornzeniowski844353 min20.5 /9010.3 /90133.3 /9082 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90
Malik Jakupovic522110 min00 /9000 /9021.6 /9000 /9000 /9032.5 /90
Sal Olivas23264 min00 /9011.4 /9011.4 /9000 /9011.4 /9000 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 891.1
0.42/1
00/0
Milan Iloski n 884
3.57/6
27/4
Bruno Damiani n 863.9
1.96/3
0.72/1
Jovan Lukić n 873
0.52/1
00/0
Danley Jean Jacques n 889.9
0.94/3
00/0
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Philadelphia Union — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 891.1
00/0
0.11/0
Milan Iloski n 884
0.95/1
00/0
Bruno Damiani n 863.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
Jovan Lukić n 873
00/0
00/0
Danley Jean Jacques n 889.9
00/0
00/0
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Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC Goalkeeper

Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Lucas Hoyos17911549 min462.7 /90291.7 /9000 /90
Atlanta United FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Lucas Hoyos n 891.4
3.17/4

Atlanta United FC Defensive

Atlanta United FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Elías Báez15891333 min312.1 /90151 /9040.3 /90694.7 /90130.9 /9030.2 /90
Enea Mihaj14901253 min211.5 /90181.3 /9060.4 /90483.4 /90151.1 /9030.2 /90
Tomás Jacob14881230 min342.5 /90171.2 /9040.3 /90715.2 /90211.5 /9050.4 /90
Stian Gregersen1080803 min141.6 /9091 /9050.6 /90364 /90111.2 /9030.3 /90
Juan Berrocal982739 min141.7 /90131.6 /9030.4 /90283.4 /9091.1 /9020.2 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lucas Hoyos n 891.4
00/0
0.11/0
—
Aleksey Miranchuk n 889.8
0.42/1
0.95/2
Bruno Damiani
Tristan Muyumba n 887.5
1.27/1
0.54/0
Danley Jean Jacques
Cooper Sanchez n 885.1
2.48/6
0.74/1
—
Elías Báez n 888.6
14/3
0.63/2
Jovan Lukić
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Atlanta United FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Aleksey Miranchuk n 889.8
0.43/0
Tristan Muyumba n 887.5
3.38/7
Cooper Sanchez n 885.1
1.96/4
Elías Báez n 888.6
27/5
Enea Mihaj n 888.6
1.46/4
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Atlanta United FC Attacking

Atlanta United FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Emmanuel Latte Lath1371925 min20.2 /9020.2 /90171.7 /9040.4 /9070.7 /9050.5 /90
M. Almirón1186947 min20.2 /9020.2 /90222.1 /90121.1 /90232.2 /90171.6 /90
Saba Lobzhanidze1155610 min20.3 /9000 /90162.4 /90111.6 /90121.8 /9071 /90
Fafà Picault844351 min10.3 /9010.3 /9051.3 /9020.5 /9082.1 /9030.8 /90
Sergio Santos12121 min00 /9000 /9028.6 /9014.3 /9000 /9028.6 /90
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Atlanta United FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 891.4
00/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 889.8
1.56/3
0.85/1
Tristan Muyumba n 887.5
0.86/0
0.32/0
Cooper Sanchez n 885.1
0.53/1
00/0
Elías Báez n 888.6
0.84/1
0.42/1
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Atlanta United FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Atlanta United FC before kick-off, to 26 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Lucas Hoyos n 891.4
00/0
00/0
Aleksey Miranchuk n 889.8
0.11/0
0.42/1
Tristan Muyumba n 887.5
0.11/0
00/0
Cooper Sanchez n 885.1
00/0
0.11/0
Elías Báez n 888.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Philadelphia UnionAtlanta United FC
71%Possession29%
2.64Expected goals (xG)0.53
30Shots4
6Shots on target2
16Shots off target2
8Blocked shots0
25Shots inside the box3
12Corners2
3Offsides2
15Fouls5
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards1
0Saves3
524Passes225
84%Pass accuracy64%

Philadelphia Union Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Andre Blake10000000006
Frankie Westfield10000302006.9
Neil Pierre10010511307.9
K. Wagner100020010107.6
Danley Jean Jacques10000201207.3
Milan Iloski100104260Y7.9
Cavan Sullivan9900322006.7
Nathan Harriel71001000Y6.3
Bruno Damiani71001000Y6.5
Jovan Lukić5700003206.5
Indiana Vassilev5600000006.2
Q. Sullivan sub4400102006.6
Jesus Bueno sub4300101107.2
Agustin Anello sub2900000106.7
Ezekiel Alladoh sub2910111007.6
Alejandro Bedoya sub10000000–

Atlanta United FC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Lucas Hoyos100000000Y6.2
Matthew Edwards10000000206.3
J. Alonso10000000006.5
Elías Báez100000002Y6.2
Tomás Jacob10000000206.5
William Reilly10000000005.9
Tristan Muyumba8810110408.5
M. Almirón8410112208.2
Aleksey Miranchuk7801001006.6
Fafà Picault7800100206.9
Enea Mihaj26000001R5.3
Stian Gregersen sub2200100006.3
Luke Brennan sub2200000206.7
A. Kovac sub1600000006.5
R. Hernandez sub1200000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Philadelphia UnionLDLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Atlanta United FCLLLDL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Philadelphia Union 3 · 2 draws · Atlanta United FC 1 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-03-14 Atlanta United FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union
  • 2025-05-17 Atlanta United FC 0–1 Philadelphia Union
  • 2025-04-19 Philadelphia Union 3–0 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-09-28 Philadelphia Union 1–1 Atlanta United FC
  • 2024-04-14 Atlanta United FC 2–2 Philadelphia Union
  • 2023-10-04 Philadelphia Union 3–2 Atlanta United FC
League standing · 2026
Philadelphia Union#6 pos50 pts34 pl+14 GD
Atlanta United FC#13 pos33 pts34 pl-17 GD
Goals per game
Philadelphia Union scored1.94
Atlanta United FC scored1.26
Philadelphia Union conceded1.53
Atlanta United FC conceded1.76

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United FC was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 3, Atlanta United FC won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Philadelphia Union and Atlanta United FC?
Recent form — Philadelphia Union 2W 1D 2L; Atlanta United FC 0W 1D 4L.

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