Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake result

Full-time · Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake

Major League Soccer · Sun, 11 Oct 2026 00:30 BST · Subaru Park

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Philadelphia Union · Real Salt Lake

The model’s pre-match pick

Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake — Philadelphia Union won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.37 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Philadelphia Union beat Real Salt Lake 2–1 at Subaru Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 11 October. Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

The goals

Philadelphia Union led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Philadelphia Union: Bruno Damiani (31’, assisted by Frankie Westfield) and Milan Iloski (81’, assisted by Cavan Sullivan); Real Salt Lake: Saba Lobzhanidze (90’, assisted by Luc De Fougerolles).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Bruno Damiani’s goal on 31 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Philadelphia Union 1.97, Real Salt Lake 0.76, from 14 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Elijio Arreguin, USA showed six yellow cards — against 4.5 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Philadelphia Union: Danley Jean Jacques (2’), Frankie Westfield (23’), Jesus Bueno (80’) and Bruno Damiani (89’); Real Salt Lake: D. Yedlin (13’) and D. Marczuk (62’).

What it changes

Philadelphia Union have scored 62 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Philadelphia Union have conceded 51 goals, the 15th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Real Salt Lake have scored 51 goals, the 14th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Real Salt Lake have conceded 51 goals, the 15th-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Philadelphia Union have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Cavan Sullivan (Philadelphia Union) 7.3, Luc De Fougerolles (Real Salt Lake) 6.6 and Bruno Damiani (Philadelphia Union) 6.2 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Philadelphia Union to win, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Philadelphia Union next host Toronto FC on 7 November 2026.

Real Salt Lake next host Los Angeles Galaxy on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC, Saturday 7 November — the preview. Next for Real Salt Lake: Real Salt Lake v Los Angeles Galaxy, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

Result: Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake · Major League Soccer
Venue: Subaru Park · Chester, Pennsylvania
Referee: Elijio Arreguin, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 4): Philadelphia Union 1 · draws 0 · Real Salt Lake 3 · 3.25 goals/game
Recent form: Philadelphia Union 5W 0D 0L · Real Salt Lake 1W 0D 4L

Philadelphia Union 2–1 Real Salt Lake (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

3.25 / 0.75

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

5.63 / 4.5

Corners

against 4.25 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

6.5 / 4.5

Shots on target

against 3.63 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.63 / 2.75

Cards

against 2.63 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

4.5 yellows

Referee · Elijio Arreguin, USA

27.4 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 10 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Philadelphia Union for / against	Line	Real Salt Lake for / against
Goals scored	3.25 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5our book	0.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.63 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.5 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	16.88 for · 8.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	11.88 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	6.5 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.5 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	15.38 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	13.13 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Elijio Arreguin, USA — 4.5 yellow cards a game, 0.2 red cards, 27.4 fouls over 10 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Philadelphia Union

Philadelphia Union Goalkeeper

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Andre Blake	25	912284 min	542.1 /90	381.5 /90	10 /90
Andrew Rick	9	92829 min	171.8 /90	121.3 /90	00 /90

Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Andre Blake n 8	91	2.6 6/4
Andrew Rick n 8	92.4	1.9 4/1

Philadelphia Union Defensive

Philadelphia Union — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Nathan Harriel	32	892863 min	551.7 /90	822.6 /90	100.3 /90	2066.5 /90	411.3 /90	50.2 /90
Frankie Westfield	27	822207 min	471.9 /90	361.5 /90	60.2 /90	1666.8 /90	301.2 /90	10 /90
Olwethu Makhanya	17	871477 min	362.2 /90	211.3 /90	60.4 /90	895.4 /90	161 /90	70.4 /90
Japhet Sery Larsen	16	781251 min	221.6 /90	251.8 /90	80.6 /90	503.6 /90	332.4 /90	70.5 /90
K. Wagner	14	901253 min	201.4 /90	282 /90	50.4 /90	503.6 /90	120.9 /90	40.3 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Nathan Harriel n 8	91	0.9 5/1	0.7 6/0	Philip Quinton
Milan Iloski n 8	77.8	1 5/2	0.7 3/2	M. Guilavogui
Bruno Damiani n 8	81.4	2.4 8/5	1.7 6/4	M. Guilavogui
Jovan Lukić n 8	72.6	2.2 7/4	0.5 2/1	N. Caliskan
Indiana Vassilev n 8	60.3	1.1 5/1	1.5 5/3	N. Caliskan
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Philadelphia Union — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 8	91	1.1 6/2
Milan Iloski n 8	77.8	0.3 2/0
Bruno Damiani n 8	81.4	1.2 6/2
Jovan Lukić n 8	72.6	2.6 6/5
Indiana Vassilev n 8	60.3	0.7 2/2
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Philadelphia Union Attacking

Philadelphia Union — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Milan Iloski	32	802570 min	170.6 /90	30.1 /90	853 /90	411.4 /90	602.1 /90	110.4 /90
Bruno Damiani	32	722297 min	110.4 /90	20.1 /90	491.9 /90	190.7 /90	311.2 /90	100.4 /90
Ezekiel Alladoh	23	491137 min	20.2 /90	30.2 /90	161.3 /90	80.6 /90	161.3 /90	90.7 /90
Agustin Anello	15	39579 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	121.9 /90	60.9 /90	91.4 /90	91.4 /90
Stas Kornzeniowski	9	46412 min	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	143.1 /90	81.7 /90	30.7 /90	10.2 /90
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Philadelphia Union — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 8	91	0.2 2/0	0.1 1/0
Milan Iloski n 8	77.8	3.8 8/7	1.7 7/3
Bruno Damiani n 8	81.4	1.7 5/3	0.8 4/1
Jovan Lukić n 8	72.6	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Indiana Vassilev n 8	60.3	1.3 5/2	0.9 4/1
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Philadelphia Union — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Philadelphia Union before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Nathan Harriel n 8	91	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Milan Iloski n 8	77.8	0.9 4/1	0.1 1/0
Bruno Damiani n 8	81.4	0.7 3/1	0.1 1/0
Jovan Lukić n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Indiana Vassilev n 8	60.3	0.4 2/0	0.9 3/2
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Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake Goalkeeper

Real Salt Lake — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Rafael Cabral	29	912631 min	822.8 /90	451.5 /90	00 /90
M. Stajduhar	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Real Salt Lake — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Rafael Cabral n 8	90	3 7/5

Real Salt Lake Defensive

Real Salt Lake — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Philip Quinton	24	791898 min	311.5 /90	170.8 /90	231.1 /90	773.7 /90	120.6 /90	30.1 /90
D. Yedlin	23	771770 min	331.7 /90	120.6 /90	150.8 /90	512.6 /90	392 /90	90.5 /90
S. Junqua	18	691250 min	181.3 /90	80.6 /90	50.4 /90	483.5 /90	120.9 /90	20.1 /90
L. Engel	16	831321 min	80.5 /90	151 /90	90.6 /90	312.1 /90	60.4 /90	10.1 /90
J. Glad	12	891067 min	121 /90	121 /90	60.5 /90	322.7 /90	80.7 /90	00 /90
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Real Salt Lake — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
N. Caliskan n 8	89.8	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1	Indiana Vassilev
Rafael Cabral n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
S. Solans n 8	81.4	1.8 6/4	0.8 4/2	—
Philip Quinton n 8	81.5	0.6 4/0	0.6 3/1	Nathan Harriel
M. Guilavogui n 8	77.5	2.8 7/6	3.5 7/7	Bruno Damiani
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Real Salt Lake — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
N. Caliskan n 8	89.8	0.9 4/2
S. Solans n 8	81.4	0.6 4/0
Philip Quinton n 8	81.5	2.3 7/5
M. Guilavogui n 8	77.5	1.5 6/2
J. Sanabria n 8	80	1.4 6/3
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Real Salt Lake Attacking

Real Salt Lake — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
S. Solans	28	711985 min	130.6 /90	30.1 /90	592.7 /90	311.4 /90	231 /90	160.7 /90
M. Guilavogui	24	711695 min	30.2 /90	60.3 /90	341.8 /90	231.2 /90	422.2 /90	170.9 /90
D. Luna	21	701460 min	50.3 /90	50.3 /90	281.7 /90	130.8 /90	553.4 /90	181.1 /90
A. Hezarkhani	18	53961 min	30.3 /90	00 /90	141.3 /90	90.8 /90	100.9 /90	131.2 /90
D. Marczuk	12	46548 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	122 /90	71.1 /90	10.2 /90	40.7 /90
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Real Salt Lake — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
N. Caliskan n 8	89.8	0.5 2/1	0.3 1/1
Rafael Cabral n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Solans n 8	81.4	2.5 7/5	1.5 5/3
Philip Quinton n 8	81.5	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
M. Guilavogui n 8	77.5	0.9 6/0	0.7 5/0
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Real Salt Lake — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 27 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
N. Caliskan n 8	89.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
Rafael Cabral n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
S. Solans n 8	81.4	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
Philip Quinton n 8	81.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Guilavogui n 8	77.5	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Philadelphia Union		Real Salt Lake
52%	Possession	48%
1.97	Expected goals (xG)	0.76
14	Shots	11
5	Shots on target	4
7	Shots off target	3
2	Blocked shots	4
9	Shots inside the box	8
4	Corners	3
0	Offsides	2
21	Fouls	13
4	Yellow cards	2
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
487	Passes	456
80%	Pass accuracy	80%

Philadelphia Union Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Frankie Westfield	90	0	1	2	1	2	0	Y	6.7
Andre Blake	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7.2
K. Wagner	90	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	7.7
Nathan Harriel	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.3
Neil Pierre	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	7.2
Bruno Damiani	90	1	0	4	2	0	2	Y	7.2
Milan Iloski	89	1	0	3	1	2	0	0	7.2
Danley Jean Jacques	89	0	0	0	0	2	2	Y	6.9
Cavan Sullivan	89	0	1	3	1	2	2	0	6.9
Jovan Lukić	74	0	0	0	0	2	4	0	7.2
Indiana Vassilev	64	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.7
Q. Sullivan sub	26	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	6.7
Jesus Bueno sub	16	0	0	0	0	0	0	Y	6.3
Ben Bender sub	8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
Malik Jakupovic sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–
Alejandro Bedoya sub	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	–

Real Salt Lake Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
M. Guilavogui	90	0	0	0	0	3	3	0	7.3
S. Spierings	90	0	0	1	1	1	2	0	7.6
N. Caliskan	90	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	7
K. Henry	90	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	6.2
Philip Quinton	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.3
Rafael Cabral	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.5
S. Solans	79	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	6.3
D. Marczuk	70	0	0	1	0	1	1	Y	6.9
A. Hezarkhani	65	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	6.7
S. Junqua	45	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	7
D. Yedlin	45	0	0	0	0	0	3	Y	6.7
Luc De Fougerolles sub	45	0	1	0	0	1	2	0	7.2
J. Sanabria sub	45	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	7.3
Saba Lobzhanidze sub	25	1	0	2	2	1	0	0	8.2
Chadwick Zachary Booth sub	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
A. Piol sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Philadelphia UnionWWWWW

Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Real Salt LakeLLLLW

Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 4

Philadelphia Union 1 · 0 draws · Real Salt Lake 3 · 3.25 goals/game

2024-04-27 Philadelphia Union 1–2 Real Salt Lake
2019-07-14 Real Salt Lake 4–0 Philadelphia Union
2018-05-19 Philadelphia Union 4–1 Real Salt Lake
2017-05-28 Real Salt Lake 1–0 Philadelphia Union

League standing · 2026

Philadelphia Union#6 pos47 pts33 pl+11 GD

Real Salt Lake#11 pos42 pts33 pl0 GD

Goals per game

Philadelphia Union scored1.88

Real Salt Lake scored1.55

Philadelphia Union conceded1.55

Real Salt Lake conceded1.55

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Philadelphia Union v Real Salt Lake was Home win (best price 1.37 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake?: In their last 4 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 1, Real Salt Lake won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Philadelphia Union and Real Salt Lake?: Recent form — Philadelphia Union 5W 0D 0L; Real Salt Lake 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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