Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC result

Full-time · Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC

Major League Soccer ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Next for Philadelphia Union: Philadelphia Union v New England Revolution, Sunday 25 October — the preview. Next for Toronto FC: Columbus Crew v Toronto FC, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC · Major League Soccer
  • Referee: Tori Penso, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Philadelphia Union 3 · draws 1 · Toronto FC 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Philadelphia Union 3W 1D 1L · Toronto FC 1W 1D 3L

Philadelphia Union 1–1 Toronto FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 0.88
Goals
against 0.75 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.13
Corners
against 2.88 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 3
Shots on target
against 2.5 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3.63 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 July 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 July 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePhiladelphia Union for / againstLineToronto FC for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
0.88 for · 1.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 9.63 against n 8
19.5standard
10.13 for · 9.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 2.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
17 for · 13.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
3.63 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Tori Penso, USA.

Philadelphia Union
Philadelphia Union — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Sal Olivas n 315
42/0
00/0
—
M. Anderson n 729.1
3.14/1
3.14/2
—
Alejandro Bedoya n 842.1
2.96/3
0.52/0
—
Bruno Damiani n 881
2.66/4
4.28/6
R. Laryea
M. Uhre n 842
2.45/2
1.13/1
—
Philadelphia Union — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Q. Sullivan n 857.8
3.17/5
1.24/2
Bruno Damiani n 881
2.88/6
1.87/3
T. Baribo n 864.8
2.36/4
13/2
M. Uhre n 842
2.15/3
1.64/2
Sal Olivas n 315
21/0
21/0
Philadelphia Union — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Uhre n 842
0.51/1
0.52/0
T. Baribo n 864.8
0.73/1
00/0
Alejandro Bedoya n 842.1
0.31/0
0.31/0
Indiana Vassilev n 874.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Q. Sullivan n 857.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
Philadelphia Union — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Cavan Sullivan n 823.3
3.96/1
K. Wagner n 882.8
3.17/5
Jovan Lukić n 884.4
2.78/6
Jesus Bueno n 859
2.55/5
Frankie Westfield n 857.9
2.14/2
Philadelphia Union — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Andre Blake n 890
2.35/4
Andrew Rick n 890
1.43/1
Toronto FC
Toronto FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Dominguez n 882.8
27/4
1.47/3
—
O. Brynhildsen n 878.4
1.77/3
1.76/3
—
R. Laryea n 864.8
1.65/2
3.36/4
Bruno Damiani
K. Long n 881
1.47/2
0.43/0
—
D. Flores n 872
1.46/2
2.26/4
—
Toronto FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Theo Corbeanu n 877.3
2.37/6
1.25/2
O. Brynhildsen n 878.4
27/5
0.95/1
L. Insigne n 864.3
1.85/3
0.72/1
Tyrese Spicer n 844.6
1.34/1
0.82/1
Charlie Sharp n 818
1.31/1
00/0
Toronto FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Charlie Sharp n 818
00/0
0.61/0
D. Flores n 872
0.21/0
0.32/0
L. Insigne n 864.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Theo Corbeanu n 877.3
0.32/0
00/0
Tyrese Spicer n 844.6
0.31/0
00/0
Toronto FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Markus Cimermancic n 546
4.34/3
D. Flores n 872
3.86/6
Tyrese Spicer n 844.6
3.55/4
K. Thompson n 879.5
37/4
M. Dominguez n 882.8
2.67/5
Toronto FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 27 July 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Sean Johnson n 891
2.66/4

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Philadelphia Union player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Andre Blake9000000007.3
Nathan Harriel9000000407.3
Jakob Glesnes90002003Y7.2
Olwethu Makhanya90000002Y6.9
K. Wagner90000024Y7.3
Danley Jean Jacques9000211307.3
Indiana Vassilev8810111007.3
Q. Sullivan8800103107
Jesus Bueno8100110006.9
Bruno Damiani6700100206.2
T. Baribo6701201106.9
M. Uhre sub2300100106.6
Milan Iloski sub2300000006.3
Alejandro Bedoya sub1300000106.7
Cavan Sullivan sub1300000006
Jovan Lukić sub900000106.3

Toronto FC player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Luka Gavran9000000007.2
S. Rosted9000000006.5
K. Long9000110206.9
D. Flores9000000306.9
R. Laryea9000001206.3
Jonathan Osorio9000000106.5
R. Petretta89001001Y6.9
D. Mihailovic8900004007.3
Theo Corbeanu7600222007.2
O. Brynhildsen7600200106.7
Alonso Coello5900000207.3
M. Dominguez sub3100000106.7
Malik Henry sub1401002207.7
Deandre Kerr sub14102100Y7.5
K. Thompson sub1000000Y–
Derrick Etienne sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Philadelphia UnionLWWDW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Toronto FCLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Philadelphia Union 3 · 1 draw · Toronto FC 2 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2025-05-28 Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union
  • 2024-07-13 Toronto FC 2–1 Philadelphia Union
  • 2024-05-29 Philadelphia Union 0–0 Toronto FC
  • 2023-08-30 Toronto FC 3–1 Philadelphia Union
  • 2023-04-22 Philadelphia Union 4–2 Toronto FC
  • 2022-10-09 Philadelphia Union 4–0 Toronto FC
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Philadelphia Union#1 pos66 pts34 pl+22 GD
Toronto FC#12 pos32 pts34 pl-7 GD
Goals per game
Philadelphia Union scored1.68
Toronto FC scored1.09
Philadelphia Union conceded1.03
Toronto FC conceded1.29

The full post-match picture

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC?
In their last 6 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 3, Toronto FC won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC?
Recent form — Philadelphia Union 3W 1D 1L; Toronto FC 1W 1D 3L.

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