Portland TimbersFC Dallas

Portland Timbers v FC Dallas result

Full-time · Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas

Major League Soccer · · Providence Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.46 at Unibet
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portland Timbers and FC Dallas drew 2–2 at Providence Park in Major League Soccer on Thursday 23 July. FC Dallas have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

FC Dallas led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — FC Dallas: P. Delgado (45’, assisted by J. Valiente) and P. Musa (88’); Portland Timbers: K. Kelsy (66’) and F. Mora (90’, assisted by K. Velde).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with F. Mora’s goal on 90 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Portland Timbers out-shot FC Dallas 16 to 11 and created the better chances, 2.40 xG to 1.01 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

Discipline

Alexis Da Silva, USA showed five yellow cards — against 4.9 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Portland Timbers: K. Miller (37’), B. Bye (90’) and D. Chara (90+4’); FC Dallas: H. Johansson (59’) and S. Ibeagha (90+6’).

What it changes

Portland Timbers have scored 29 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). Portland Timbers have conceded 31 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs.

FC Dallas have scored 32 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 16 games, ranked per game). FC Dallas have conceded 24 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

FC Dallas are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, P. Musa (FC Dallas) 5.5, K. Velde (Portland Timbers) 5.4 and P. Delgado (FC Dallas) 5.1 led the match.

Head-to-head

FC Dallas are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Portland Timbers.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Providence Park · Portland
  • Referee: Alexis Da Silva, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Portland Timbers 1 · draws 3 · FC Dallas 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portland Timbers 2W 1D 2L · FC Dallas 4W 0D 1L

Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.5 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.13 / 6 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.88 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 7.13 / 4.25 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1 / 2.63
Cards
against 2.63 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.93 yellows
Referee · Alexis Da Silva, USA
27.27 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 15 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 17 July 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePortland Timbers for / againstLineFC Dallas for / against
Goals scored
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.25our book
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 6 against n 8
Shots
14.5 for · 15.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.25 for · 11.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.88 for · 7.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.25 for · 14.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.75 for · 9.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8

Referee: Alexis Da Silva, USA — 4.93 yellow cards a game, 0.27 red cards, 27.27 fouls over 15 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers Goalkeeper

Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pantemis15921378 min744.8 /90271.8 /9000 /90
Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pantemis n 893
5.28/7

Portland Timbers Defensive

Portland Timbers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Surman15891333 min261.8 /90201.4 /90312.1 /90654.4 /9050.3 /9010.1 /90
B. Bye15861296 min221.5 /9080.6 /9040.3 /90694.8 /90120.8 /9020.1 /90
J. Fory14851183 min211.6 /90342.6 /9050.4 /90554.2 /90181.4 /9030.2 /90
K. Miller1066657 min30.4 /9071 /9071 /90233.2 /90101.4 /9020.3 /90
Ian Smith1034338 min112.9 /9071.9 /9051.3 /90297.7 /9061.6 /9030.8 /90
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Portland Timbers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Pantemis n 893
00/0
0.11/0
—
F. Surman n 887.4
0.43/0
0.65/0
S. Moore
B. Bye n 889.5
0.95/2
0.43/0
S. Moore
K. Velde n 892.4
15/2
3.88/8
—
J. Fory n 884.9
1.17/1
0.53/1
S. Moore
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Portland Timbers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Surman n 887.4
1.87/4
B. Bye n 889.5
1.15/2
K. Velde n 892.4
1.16/3
J. Fory n 884.9
27/4
Antony n 867.5
1.54/2
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Portland Timbers Attacking

Portland Timbers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Kelsy1364832 min60.6 /9020.2 /90212.3 /90101.1 /90171.8 /9050.5 /90
A. Aravena1238455 min10.2 /9000 /90112.2 /9071.4 /9051 /9081.6 /90
F. Mora749345 min10.3 /9000 /9061.6 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
A. Lassiter735247 min20.7 /9010.4 /9072.6 /9041.5 /9051.8 /9010.4 /90
Gage Guerra469274 min10.3 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
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Portland Timbers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Pantemis n 893
00/0
00/0
F. Surman n 887.4
00/0
00/0
B. Bye n 889.5
0.64/1
0.11/0
K. Velde n 892.4
1.88/5
0.75/1
J. Fory n 884.9
00/0
00/0
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Portland Timbers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Pantemis n 893
00/0
00/0
F. Surman n 887.4
00/0
00/0
B. Bye n 889.5
00/0
0.11/0
K. Velde n 892.4
0.22/0
0.11/0
J. Fory n 884.9
00/0
0.11/0
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FC Dallas

FC Dallas Goalkeeper

FC Dallas — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Michael Collodi13911177 min332.5 /90171.3 /9010.1 /90
J. Sirois290180 min94.5 /9031.5 /9010.5 /90
FC Dallas — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Dallas before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Michael Collodi n 890
2.97/6

FC Dallas Defensive

FC Dallas — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Moore15871303 min211.5 /90120.8 /9040.3 /90523.6 /90181.2 /9020.1 /90
S. Ibeagha1375976 min131.2 /90121.1 /9040.4 /90403.7 /9090.8 /9000 /90
O. Urhoghide12911086 min151.2 /90211.7 /9040.3 /90806.6 /90141.2 /9040.3 /90
N. Norris1181890 min181.8 /90191.9 /9070.7 /90495 /90171.7 /9040.4 /90
C. Cappis1556835 min222.4 /9040.4 /9030.3 /90465 /90101.1 /9030.3 /90
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FC Dallas — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Dallas before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Moore n 883.3
1.15/2
0.94/3
J. Fory
C. Cappis n 844.1
13/1
1.33/1
—
Kaick n 884.1
1.36/4
0.85/1
—
J. Valiente n 869.1
0.73/1
0.32/0
—
Michael Collodi n 890
00/0
00/0
—
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FC Dallas — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Dallas before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Moore n 883.3
1.45/3
C. Cappis n 844.1
2.56/3
Kaick n 884.1
1.97/4
J. Valiente n 869.1
2.16/3
P. Musa n 879.9
1.35/3
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FC Dallas Attacking

FC Dallas — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
J. Valiente1462870 min00 /9020.2 /9060.6 /9020.2 /90202.1 /9040.4 /90
P. Musa13811051 min121 /9020.2 /90353 /90221.9 /90151.3 /9080.7 /90
L. Farrington1263760 min60.7 /9010.1 /90172 /90111.3 /9070.8 /90151.8 /90
S. Moreno956503 min20.4 /9010.2 /9040.7 /9040.7 /90132.3 /9071.3 /90
Samuel Sarver631188 min10.5 /9000 /9021 /9010.5 /9000 /9021 /90
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FC Dallas — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Dallas before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Moore n 883.3
0.42/1
0.32/0
C. Cappis n 844.1
0.82/1
00/0
Kaick n 884.1
0.95/2
0.43/0
J. Valiente n 869.1
0.53/0
0.21/0
Michael Collodi n 890
00/0
00/0
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FC Dallas — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for FC Dallas before kick-off, to 17 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Moore n 883.3
00/0
00/0
C. Cappis n 844.1
00/0
0.31/0
Kaick n 884.1
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Valiente n 869.1
00/0
00/0
Michael Collodi n 890
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Portland TimbersFC Dallas
62%Possession38%
2.40Expected goals (xG)1.01
16Shots11
4Shots on target3
7Shots off target4
5Blocked shots4
10Shots inside the box6
5Corners3
0Offsides2
12Fouls13
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves2
592Passes365
85%Pass accuracy79%

Portland Timbers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pantemis9000000006.3
B. Bye90001102Y6.5
F. Surman9000000207.2
K. Miller90000000Y7.2
J. Fory9000000206.5
David Pereira da Costa9000003207.3
Antony9000102206.9
C. Bassett8100201006.3
K. Kelsy8110410107.2
J. Caicedo5500001206.9
A. Lassiter5500000106.7
D. Chara sub35000002Y6.7
K. Velde sub3501212007.3
F. Mora sub910111007.7
A. Aravena sub900001006

FC Dallas Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Daniel9000000007
S. Moore9000000207
O. Urhoghide9000000306.7
N. Norris9000001106.9
Kaick9000000307.3
C. Cappis9000000207.2
H. Johansson84000002Y6.2
J. Valiente8401001106.9
P. Delgado6210210007.7
L. Farrington6200111106.5
S. Moreno6200102106.5
B. Kamungo sub2800000006.6
Samuel Sarver sub2800100106.7
P. Musa sub2810210007.9
S. Ibeagha sub16000000Y6.5
R. Binyamin sub1600001006.7

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Portland Timbers v FC Dallas — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Portland TimbersWDLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
FC DallasWWLWW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Portland Timbers 1 · 3 draws · FC Dallas 2 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-09-28 Portland Timbers 2–2 FC Dallas
  • 2025-08-10 FC Dallas 2–0 Portland Timbers
  • 2024-10-06 Portland Timbers 0–0 FC Dallas
  • 2024-07-05 FC Dallas 3–2 Portland Timbers
  • 2023-06-12 Portland Timbers 1–0 FC Dallas
  • 2023-04-02 FC Dallas 1–1 Portland Timbers
League standing · 2026
Portland Timbers#7 pos46 pts34 pl+1 GD
FC Dallas#2 pos58 pts34 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
Portland Timbers scored1.82
FC Dallas scored1.82
Portland Timbers conceded1.79
FC Dallas conceded1.5

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Portland Timbers v FC Dallas?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portland Timbers v FC Dallas was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.46 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Portland Timbers and FC Dallas?
In their last 6 meetings, Portland Timbers won 1, FC Dallas won 2 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portland Timbers and FC Dallas?
Recent form — Portland Timbers 2W 1D 2L; FC Dallas 4W 0D 1L.

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