Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo prediction

Major League Soccer · Mon, 02 Nov 2026 02:30 GMT · Providence Park

Updated 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Portland Timbers · Houston Dynamo · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo, Major League Soccer on Mon, 02 Nov 2026 02:30 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 475 of 722 times (65.8%), against an average rating of 68.1%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Portland Timbers host Houston Dynamo in Major League Soccer on Monday 2 November (kick-off 02:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Portland Timbers’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Form and the table

11 of Portland Timbers’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). At home, Portland Timbers have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.63. Portland Timbers have scored 54 goals, the 12th-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Portland Timbers have conceded 58 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Six of Houston Dynamo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Houston Dynamo’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Houston Dynamo have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.00. Houston Dynamo have scored 41 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs (2026 so far). Houston Dynamo have conceded 39 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Portland Timbers are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Houston Dynamo are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions. Portland Timbers (11th) and Houston Dynamo (fifth) are 11 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Houston Dynamo the stronger side, 27 rating points above Portland Timbers (Houston Dynamo 1483, Portland Timbers 1457, after at least 338 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Houston Dynamo 3–2 Portland Timbers.

Team news

Predicted Portland Timbers XI (4-3-3): J. Pantemis, R. Hernandez, J. Waterman, K. Miller, J. Fory, D. da Costa, D. Chara, J. Ortiz, K. Velde, V. Janssen, A. Lassiter — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, K. Velde (5.1 per match over 34 appearances, 11 goals and seven assists) and David Pereira da Costa (4.1 per match over 31 appearances, seven goals and 10 assists) have been Portland Timbers’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Portland Timbers (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), K. Velde averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 2890 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. David Pereira da Costa averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 2571 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Houston Dynamo XI (4-2-3-1): J. Bond, L. Halter, L. Ennali, F. Negri, A. Carlos, Artur, H. Herrera, M. Bogusz, A. Bouzat, D. Samassekou, Guilherme — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Guilherme (6.9 per match over 30 appearances, 16 goals and eight assists) and M. Bogusz (3.3 per match over 31 appearances, eight goals and one assist) have been Houston Dynamo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Houston Dynamo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Guilherme averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 2571 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. M. Bogusz averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 2630 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Mon, 02 Nov 2026 02:30 GMT · Major League Soccer · Providence Park
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Portland Timbers 1 · draws 1 · Houston Dynamo 4 · 3.17 goals/game
Recent form: Portland Timbers 2W 2D 1L · Houston Dynamo 0W 4D 1L

Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo (Major League Soccer): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 1.38

Goals

against 1.88 / 1.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

4.88 / 4

Corners

against 4.38 / 4.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

5.5 / 3.63

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 5 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.63 / 1.88

Cards

against 1.5 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 29 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 29 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Portland Timbers for / against	Line	Houston Dynamo for / against
Goals scored	1.38 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.88 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	15.63 for · 10.13 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.13 for · 14.88 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	5.5 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.63 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	8.88 for · 15.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.88 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers Goalkeeper

Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Pantemis	32	912918 min	1223.8 /90	531.6 /90	10 /90
T. Muse	2	90180 min	31.5 /90	42 /90	00 /90

Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Pantemis n 8	90.6	2.4 6/3

Portland Timbers Defensive

Portland Timbers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Fory	32	822636 min	582 /90	632.2 /90	90.3 /90	1364.6 /90	341.2 /90	50.2 /90
F. Surman	29	902603 min	441.5 /90	441.5 /90	491.7 /90	1184.1 /90	140.5 /90	20.1 /90
K. Miller	27	812182 min	241 /90	261.1 /90	160.7 /90	803.3 /90	271.1 /90	50.2 /90
B. Bye	22	861883 min	311.5 /90	211 /90	50.2 /90	1065.1 /90	201 /90	50.2 /90
Ian Smith	18	33588 min	162.4 /90	101.5 /90	60.9 /90	467 /90	101.5 /90	40.6 /90
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Portland Timbers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
K. Velde n 8	89.4	0.9 4/1	2.9 7/6	—
J. Pantemis n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
J. Fory n 8	75.8	1 4/2	1 6/1	—
David Pereira da Costa n 8	80.5	0.6 3/1	1 4/3	—
F. Surman n 8	91.3	0.5 3/1	0.6 4/1	—
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Portland Timbers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
K. Velde n 8	89.4	1.8 8/4
J. Fory n 8	75.8	1.8 6/5
David Pereira da Costa n 8	80.5	1.3 6/3
F. Surman n 8	91.3	1.2 6/4
C. Bassett n 8	64.5	1.7 6/2
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Portland Timbers Attacking

Portland Timbers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Antony	29	561634 min	40.2 /90	30.2 /90	281.5 /90	130.7 /90	241.3 /90	251.4 /90
A. Lassiter	27	581577 min	100.6 /90	40.2 /90	341.9 /90	211.2 /90	271.5 /90	150.9 /90
K. Kelsy	20	701402 min	90.6 /90	30.2 /90	412.6 /90	161 /90	191.2 /90	80.5 /90
A. Aravena	15	35519 min	10.2 /90	00 /90	152.6 /90	81.4 /90	50.9 /90	101.7 /90
V. Janssen	12	54646 min	40.6 /90	00 /90	121.7 /90	81.1 /90	121.7 /90	71 /90
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Portland Timbers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
K. Velde n 8	89.4	3.3 7/6	1.1 5/4
J. Pantemis n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fory n 8	75.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
David Pereira da Costa n 8	80.5	0.8 4/2	0.8 4/2
F. Surman n 8	91.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Portland Timbers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
K. Velde n 8	89.4	0.3 1/1	0 0/0
J. Pantemis n 8	90.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
J. Fory n 8	75.8	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
David Pereira da Costa n 8	80.5	0.4 3/0	0.1 1/0
F. Surman n 8	91.3	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
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Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo Goalkeeper

Houston Dynamo — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
J. Bond	31	892748 min	832.7 /90	341.1 /90	10 /90
J. Maurer	1	4545 min	36 /90	00 /90	00 /90
Blake Gillingham	1	1515 min	16 /90	16 /90	00 /90

Houston Dynamo — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
J. Bond n 8	88.1	3.3 7/5

Houston Dynamo Defensive

Houston Dynamo — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Ennali	30	852543 min	281 /90	160.6 /90	50.2 /90	1053.7 /90	170.6 /90	60.2 /90
A. Resch	24	741777 min	371.9 /90	281.4 /90	170.9 /90	924.7 /90	311.6 /90	70.4 /90
Felipe Andrade	22	831834 min	381.9 /90	231.1 /90	100.5 /90	844.1 /90	291.4 /90	80.4 /90
Antonio Carlos	20	841679 min	231.2 /90	311.7 /90	160.9 /90	693.7 /90	110.6 /90	10.1 /90
Lucas Halter	19	871656 min	241.3 /90	130.7 /90	241.3 /90	643.5 /90	170.9 /90	50.3 /90
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Houston Dynamo — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Bond n 8	88.1	0.1 1/0	0.5 3/1	—
M. Bogusz n 8	88.8	1.1 6/2	1.9 6/4	—
Guilherme n 8	87.9	1 3/3	4.5 8/7	—
L. Ennali n 8	84.1	0.5 3/1	1.6 6/5	—
Artur n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0	—
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Houston Dynamo — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
M. Bogusz n 8	88.8	0.5 4/0
Guilherme n 8	87.9	1 5/2
L. Ennali n 8	84.1	1.7 8/4
Artur n 8	90	1.3 3/3
A. Resch n 8	90	1.9 8/5
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Houston Dynamo Attacking

Houston Dynamo — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Guilherme	30	862571 min	160.6 /90	80.3 /90	672.3 /90	361.3 /90	702.5 /90	642.2 /90
E. Ponce	16	701118 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	151.2 /90	40.3 /90	80.6 /90	80.6 /90
I. Aliyu	12	50603 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	81.2 /90	20.3 /90	81.2 /90	40.6 /90
Duncan McGuire	12	42507 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.4 /90	10.2 /90	40.7 /90	40.7 /90
L. Foster	5	51255 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	10.4 /90	10.4 /90	31.1 /90
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Houston Dynamo — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Bond n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Bogusz n 8	88.8	2.5 8/7	1.1 6/1
Guilherme n 8	87.9	2.6 8/6	1 6/2
L. Ennali n 8	84.1	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
Artur n 8	90	0.6 5/0	0.3 2/0
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Houston Dynamo — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Houston Dynamo before kick-off, to 29 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Bond n 8	88.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Bogusz n 8	88.8	0.5 4/0	0 0/0
Guilherme n 8	87.9	0.5 3/1	0.4 3/0
L. Ennali n 8	84.1	0 0/0	0.3 2/0
Artur n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Portland TimbersDLDWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Houston DynamoLDDDD

Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Portland Timbers 1 · 1 draw · Houston Dynamo 4 · 3.17 goals/game

2026-03-15 Houston Dynamo 3–2 Portland Timbers
2025-09-21 Houston Dynamo 1–0 Portland Timbers
2025-03-30 Portland Timbers 3–1 Houston Dynamo
2024-06-02 Portland Timbers 2–2 Houston Dynamo
2024-03-17 Houston Dynamo 1–0 Portland Timbers
2023-10-22 Portland Timbers 1–3 Houston Dynamo

League standing · 2026

Portland Timbers#11 pos37 pts31 pl-4 GD

Houston Dynamo#5 pos48 pts31 pl+2 GD

Goals per game

Portland Timbers scored1.74

Houston Dynamo scored1.32

Portland Timbers conceded1.87

Houston Dynamo conceded1.26

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Portland Timbers v Houston Dynamo is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo?: In their last 6 meetings, Portland Timbers won 1, Houston Dynamo won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo?: Recent form — Portland Timbers 2W 2D 1L; Houston Dynamo 0W 4D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 29 Oct 2026, 02:03 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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