Portland TimbersSan Diego

Portland Timbers v San Diego result

Full-time · Portland Timbers 3–1 San Diego

Major League Soccer · · Providence Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Portland Timbers · San Diego · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Portland Timbers 3–1 San Diego — Portland Timbers won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.40 at Bet365
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portland Timbers beat San Diego 3–1 at Providence Park in Major League Soccer on Thursday 20 August. Portland Timbers have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions. San Diego have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Portland Timbers: K. Velde (29’, assisted by C. Bassett), A. Lassiter (51’, assisted by J. Fory) and David Pereira da Costa (68’, assisted by K. Velde); San Diego: Gabriel Pirani (45’, assisted by L. Morgan).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with A. Lassiter’s goal on 51 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Portland Timbers 1.50, San Diego 1.57, from 11 shots to 21 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Rubiel Vazquez, USA showed three yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Portland Timbers: A. Lassiter (17’) and K. Kelsy (90+6’); San Diego: O. Verhoeven (90+1’).

What it changes

Portland Timbers have scored 35 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 19 games, ranked per game). Portland Timbers have conceded 35 goals, the third-most of the 15 clubs.

San Diego have scored 34 goals, the sixth-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 20 games, ranked per game). San Diego have conceded 32 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, K. Velde (Portland Timbers) 11.4, J. Fory (Portland Timbers) 7.2 and Gabriel Pirani (San Diego) 7.1 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Portland Timbers 3–1 San Diego · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Providence Park · Portland
  • Referee: Rubiel Vazquez, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Portland Timbers 1 · draws 2 · San Diego 3 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portland Timbers 3W 0D 2L · San Diego 3W 1D 1L

Portland Timbers 3–1 San Diego (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.63 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 4.75
Corners
against 3.38 / 5.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 3.75
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.5 yellows
Referee · Rubiel Vazquez, USA
23 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gamePortland Timbers for / againstLineSan Diego for / against
Goals scored
2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5our book
1.25 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 3.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
15.13 for · 10.25 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 14.5 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.75 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 13.38 against n 8
21.5standard
9.88 for · 13.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Rubiel Vazquez, USA — 3.5 yellow cards a game, 0.25 red cards, 23 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers Goalkeeper

Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pantemis19921743 min804.1 /90331.7 /9000 /90
T. Muse290180 min31.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pantemis n 892.3
3.26/4

Portland Timbers Defensive

Portland Timbers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Surman22891968 min351.6 /90321.5 /90381.7 /90984.5 /90100.5 /9010 /90
B. Bye21871821 min301.5 /90201 /9050.2 /901045.1 /90201 /9050.2 /90
J. Fory20861719 min311.6 /90402.1 /9070.4 /90784.1 /90241.3 /9040.2 /90
K. Miller16751195 min100.8 /90151.1 /90110.8 /90463.5 /90161.2 /9050.4 /90
Ian Smith1034338 min112.9 /9071.9 /9051.3 /90297.7 /9061.6 /9030.8 /90
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Portland Timbers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Surman n 890.6
0.64/1
0.73/3
M. Duah
B. Bye n 885.6
1.26/3
0.53/1
M. Duah
K. Velde n 876.4
15/2
3.47/6
M. Ingvartsen
J. Fory n 890.5
17/1
0.54/0
M. Duah
Antony n 854.9
13/2
2.36/3
—
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Portland Timbers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Surman n 890.6
1.27/2
B. Bye n 885.6
1.16/2
K. Velde n 876.4
0.42/1
J. Fory n 890.5
1.77/6
Antony n 854.9
2.14/3
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Portland Timbers Attacking

Portland Timbers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Kelsy18691242 min90.7 /9030.2 /90372.7 /90151.1 /90181.3 /9070.5 /90
A. Lassiter1448672 min50.7 /9020.3 /90121.6 /9081.1 /90111.5 /9040.5 /90
A. Aravena1336473 min10.2 /9000 /90132.5 /9071.3 /9051 /9091.7 /90
F. Mora852417 min30.6 /9000 /9091.9 /9040.9 /9020.4 /9000 /90
Gage Guerra469274 min10.3 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
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Portland Timbers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Surman n 890.6
0.22/0
0.11/0
B. Bye n 885.6
0.54/0
0.43/0
K. Velde n 876.4
2.58/6
1.57/3
J. Fory n 890.5
0.22/0
00/0
Antony n 854.9
2.15/2
1.24/1
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Portland Timbers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Surman n 890.6
0.11/0
00/0
B. Bye n 885.6
0.11/0
0.32/0
K. Velde n 876.4
0.11/0
0.64/0
J. Fory n 890.5
00/0
0.22/0
Antony n 854.9
0.42/0
0.21/0
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San Diego

San Diego Goalkeeper

San Diego — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
D. Ferree15911367 min543.6 /90261.7 /9000 /90
C. J. dos Santos892734 min313.8 /90101.2 /9000 /90
P. Sisniega390270 min155 /9051.7 /9000 /90
San Diego — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Ferree n 891.4
3.17/6
C. J. dos Santos n 891.8
3.86/4

San Diego Defensive

San Diego — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Duah23892041 min271.2 /90301.3 /90190.8 /90773.4 /90130.6 /9030.1 /90
C. McVey22841846 min271.3 /90311.5 /90100.5 /90552.7 /90211 /90110.5 /90
O. Verhoeven21701462 min241.5 /90130.8 /9070.4 /90452.8 /90130.8 /9030.2 /90
Luca Bombino20781569 min382.2 /90201.1 /9080.5 /90965.5 /90261.5 /9060.3 /90
Kieran Sargeant1362801 min161.8 /90111.2 /9000 /90242.7 /9050.6 /9000 /90
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San Diego — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Dreyer n 888.1
0.43/0
0.62/2
—
O. Valakari n 863.8
0.94/1
2.35/4
—
M. Ingvartsen n 868.4
1.36/2
0.73/1
K. Velde
M. Duah n 891.9
0.63/2
1.24/2
J. Fory
C. McVey n 886.3
0.11/0
0.53/1
—
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San Diego — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 888.1
0.82/2
O. Valakari n 863.8
2.56/3
M. Ingvartsen n 868.4
0.84/1
M. Duah n 891.9
0.95/2
C. McVey n 886.3
14/3
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San Diego Attacking

San Diego — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
A. Dreyer25872184 min90.4 /9080.3 /90471.9 /90341.4 /90652.7 /90180.7 /90
M. Ingvartsen24711714 min110.6 /9020.1 /90422.2 /90191 /90170.9 /90100.5 /90
L. Morgan1448675 min00 /9020.3 /90101.3 /9030.4 /9060.8 /9020.3 /90
A. Mighten1448668 min10.1 /9020.3 /9081.1 /9040.5 /90101.3 /90141.9 /90
A. Pellegrino13771004 min20.2 /9020.2 /90161.4 /9070.6 /90131.2 /9050.4 /90
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San Diego — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 888.1
1.56/4
15/2
O. Valakari n 863.8
1.24/2
0.73/1
M. Ingvartsen n 868.4
26/4
0.32/0
M. Duah n 891.9
00/0
00/0
C. McVey n 886.3
0.11/0
00/0
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San Diego — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Diego before kick-off, to 16 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Dreyer n 888.1
0.32/0
0.31/1
O. Valakari n 863.8
00/0
00/0
M. Ingvartsen n 868.4
00/0
00/0
M. Duah n 891.9
00/0
0.11/0
C. McVey n 886.3
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Portland TimbersSan Diego
30%Possession70%
1.50Expected goals (xG)1.57
11Shots21
5Shots on target6
5Shots off target6
1Blocked shots9
6Shots inside the box12
0Corners7
3Offsides1
15Fouls11
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
5Saves2
321Passes743
83%Pass accuracy92%

Portland Timbers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pantemis9000000007.2
F. Surman9000000207.2
K. Miller9000000207.6
J. Fory9001001507.3
J. Caicedo9000000107.5
K. Kelsy90003111Y6.7
A. Lassiter83103211Y7
David Pereira da Costa8310110007.6
C. Bassett7401102107
K. Velde7411213208.5
B. Bye6200000106.3
E. Miller sub2800000006.6
Antony sub1600000006.6
J. Ortiz sub1600000006.9
D. Chara sub1400000106.7
V. Janssen sub1400000006.7

San Diego Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
C. J. dos Santos9000000006
M. Duah9000000307
I. Murphy9000000206.2
J. Tverskov9000103307.5
Gabriel Pirani9010432007.3
L. Morgan9001214106.3
Dagur Dan Þórhallsson7400002406.3
Kieran Sargeant7400001406.5
M. Ingvartsen7400211006.2
A. Mighten5900000006.3
O. Valakari5800004006.6
A. Alvarado Jr sub3200100006.6
Elias Achouri sub3100101006.3
O. Verhoeven sub16001110Y6.9
Luca Bombino sub1600000307
A. Pellegrino sub1600000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Portland Timbers v San Diego — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Portland TimbersWWLWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
San DiegoDLWWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Portland Timbers 1 · 2 draws · San Diego 3 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 San Diego 1–2 Portland Timbers
  • 2025-11-10 San Diego 4–0 Portland Timbers
  • 2025-11-02 Portland Timbers 2–2 San Diego
  • 2025-10-27 San Diego 2–1 Portland Timbers
  • 2025-10-19 Portland Timbers 0–4 San Diego
  • 2025-08-24 San Diego 0–0 Portland Timbers
League standing · 2026
Portland Timbers#7 pos46 pts34 pl+1 GD
San Diego#13 pos38 pts34 pl-6 GD
Goals per game
Portland Timbers scored1.82
San Diego scored1.68
Portland Timbers conceded1.79
San Diego conceded1.85

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Portland Timbers v San Diego?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portland Timbers v San Diego was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.40 at Bet365).
What is the head-to-head record between Portland Timbers and San Diego?
In their last 6 meetings, Portland Timbers won 1, San Diego won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portland Timbers and San Diego?
Recent form — Portland Timbers 3W 0D 2L; San Diego 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s Boards

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