Real Salt LakePortland Timbers

Real Salt Lake v Portland Timbers result

Full-time · Real Salt Lake 2–0 Portland Timbers

Major League Soccer · · Rio Tinto Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Real Salt Lake 2–0 Portland Timbers — Real Salt Lake won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Real Salt Lake beat Portland Timbers 2–0 at Rio Tinto Stadium in Major League Soccer on Saturday 2 May.

The goals

Real Salt Lake led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Real Salt Lake: Zavier Gozo (10’, assisted by S. Solans) and D. Luna (28’, assisted by J. Sanabria).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Zavier Gozo’s goal on 10 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Real Salt Lake 3.77, Portland Timbers 1.15, from 25 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Rosendo Mendoza, USA showed three yellow cards — against 4.8 yellows a game across the last 16 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Real Salt Lake: J. Sanabria (85’); Portland Timbers: J. Fory (60’) and Ian Smith (82’).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, D. Luna (Real Salt Lake) 11.2, Zavier Gozo (Real Salt Lake) 6.9 and J. Caicedo (Portland Timbers) 5.9 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.7% of the time in the last 90 days (338 of 492).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: Real Salt Lake 2–0 Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Rio Tinto Stadium · Sandy
  • Referee: Rosendo Mendoza, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Real Salt Lake 1 · draws 2 · Portland Timbers 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Real Salt Lake 2W 1D 2L · Portland Timbers 2W 1D 2L

Real Salt Lake 2–0 Portland Timbers (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.63 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4 / 3.75
Corners
against 5.63 / 7.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.63 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 5.25 / 6.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.38 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.75 yellows
Referee · Rosendo Mendoza, USA
26.75 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 16 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 27 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 27 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameReal Salt Lake for / againstLinePortland Timbers for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5our book
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
3.75 for · 7.63 against n 8
Shots
16.88 for · 12.75 against n 8
19.5standard
10.75 for · 18.63 against n 8
Shots on target
6.63 for · 5.25 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 6.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.38 for · 13 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: Rosendo Mendoza, USA — 4.75 yellow cards a game, 0.06 red cards, 26.75 fouls over 16 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake Goalkeeper

Real Salt Lake — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Rafael Cabral991818 min323.5 /90141.5 /9000 /90
Real Salt Lake — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Rafael Cabral n 891
3.58/6

Real Salt Lake Defensive

Real Salt Lake — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Glad991818 min91 /9060.7 /9040.4 /90262.9 /9070.8 /9000 /90
Philip Quinton687521 min40.7 /9040.7 /9030.5 /90162.8 /9030.5 /9010.2 /90
L. Engel685511 min30.5 /9081.4 /9050.9 /90122.1 /9010.2 /9000 /90
S. Junqua658345 min82.1 /9020.5 /9010.3 /90153.9 /9051.3 /9020.5 /90
D. Yedlin467267 min72.4 /9010.3 /9000 /90113.7 /9072.4 /9010.3 /90
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Real Salt Lake — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Glad n 891
0.95/2
0.64/1
J. Fory
N. Caliskan n 891
0.53/1
0.74/2
—
Rafael Cabral n 891
00/0
00/0
—
Z. Gozo n 890.9
15/2
1.57/3
—
S. Solans n 863.8
1.24/2
1.64/2
—
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Real Salt Lake — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Glad n 891
1.16/2
N. Caliskan n 891
0.95/2
Z. Gozo n 890.9
2.87/5
S. Solans n 863.8
1.15/1
M. Guilavogui n 873
2.27/4
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Real Salt Lake Attacking

Real Salt Lake — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Solans960541 min50.8 /9010.2 /90203.3 /90122 /90101.7 /9061 /90
M. Guilavogui873584 min10.2 /9020.3 /90172.6 /90101.5 /90162.5 /9071.1 /90
A. Hezarkhani757398 min20.5 /9000 /9051.1 /9030.7 /9040.9 /9071.6 /90
V. Olatunji429116 min10.8 /9000 /9075.4 /9064.7 /9000 /9000 /90
D. Marczuk32368 min00 /9000 /9022.6 /9000 /9000 /9011.3 /90
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Real Salt Lake — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
N. Caliskan n 891
0.54/0
0.11/0
J. Glad n 891
0.22/0
00/0
Rafael Cabral n 891
00/0
00/0
Z. Gozo n 890.9
2.18/6
17/1
S. Solans n 863.8
3.47/6
2.16/4
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Real Salt Lake — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Real Salt Lake before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
N. Caliskan n 891
00/0
0.21/1
J. Glad n 891
00/0
0.11/0
Rafael Cabral n 891
00/0
00/0
Z. Gozo n 890.9
0.22/0
0.43/0
S. Solans n 863.8
0.94/1
0.21/0
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Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers Goalkeeper

Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pantemis992825 min384.1 /90171.9 /9000 /90
Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pantemis n 891.9
4.48/7

Portland Timbers Defensive

Portland Timbers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Surman992825 min182 /90161.7 /90192.1 /90465 /9020.2 /9000 /90
B. Bye986771 min141.6 /9050.6 /9040.5 /90354.1 /9070.8 /9020.2 /90
J. Fory887695 min121.6 /90151.9 /9040.5 /90334.3 /90131.7 /9020.3 /90
A. Bonetig787606 min60.9 /90111.6 /9071 /90142.1 /9040.6 /9010.1 /90
Ian Smith535177 min52.5 /9031.5 /9031.5 /90126.1 /9021 /9021 /90
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Portland Timbers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Surman n 891.9
0.22/0
0.74/2
—
J. Pantemis n 891.9
0.11/0
0.11/0
—
K. Velde n 887
1.77/4
2.88/6
—
B. Bye n 885.1
0.84/2
0.11/0
—
J. Fory n 886.9
1.76/4
0.85/1
J. Glad
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Portland Timbers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Surman n 891.9
1.87/3
K. Velde n 887
1.27/2
B. Bye n 885.1
1.56/4
J. Fory n 886.9
1.66/3
Antony n 874.6
0.63/1
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Portland Timbers Attacking

Portland Timbers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
K. Kelsy745316 min10.3 /9010.3 /9041.1 /9020.6 /9030.9 /9020.6 /90
F. Mora655330 min10.3 /9000 /9061.6 /9020.5 /9020.5 /9000 /90
A. Aravena646275 min00 /9000 /9062 /9051.6 /9020.7 /9041.3 /90
Gage Guerra469274 min10.3 /9010.3 /9041.3 /9020.7 /9020.7 /9000 /90
A. Lassiter433130 min10.7 /9000 /9032.1 /9021.4 /9010.7 /9010.7 /90
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Portland Timbers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Surman n 891.9
0.21/1
0.21/1
J. Pantemis n 891.9
00/0
00/0
K. Velde n 887
1.67/4
0.85/1
B. Bye n 885.1
0.53/1
00/0
J. Fory n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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Portland Timbers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 27 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Surman n 891.9
00/0
0.11/0
J. Pantemis n 891.9
00/0
00/0
K. Velde n 887
0.43/0
00/0
B. Bye n 885.1
00/0
0.11/0
J. Fory n 886.9
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Real Salt LakePortland Timbers
53%Possession47%
3.77Expected goals (xG)1.15
25Shots11
15Shots on target2
8Shots off target4
2Blocked shots5
15Shots inside the box8
6Corners2
0Offsides1
15Fouls12
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
2Saves13
515Passes458
86%Pass accuracy85%

Real Salt Lake Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Rafael Cabral9000000007.3
D. Yedlin9000000107
S. Junqua9000001006.9
N. Caliskan9000212307.9
J. Sanabria90012142Y7.3
M. Guilavogui9000522008
S. Spierings8900110107.2
D. Luna89103310109.7
Z. Gozo7710750008.2
S. Solans7601322006.3
J. Glad6100000007
Philip Quinton sub2900000006.9
V. Olatunji sub1400000006.3
Chadwick Zachary Booth sub1300000006.7
P. Ruiz sub800000106.7
A. Hezarkhani sub800000006.5

Portland Timbers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pantemis90000000010
B. Bye9000000406.3
J. Fory90000003Y6.5
J. Caicedo9000001407
K. Velde9000200106.5
David Pereira da Costa9000100106.3
Antony9000112006.6
K. Kelsy8900213006.2
A. Bonetig5900000106.3
C. Bassett5900002007.2
F. Surman4500000206.7
K. Miller sub4500000007.2
Ian Smith sub31000001Y6.6
A. Aravena sub3100002006.9
Gage Guerra sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Real Salt Lake v Portland Timbers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Real Salt LakeDWWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Portland TimbersDLWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Real Salt Lake 1 · 2 draws · Portland Timbers 3 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-10-23 Portland Timbers 3–1 Real Salt Lake
  • 2025-07-17 Portland Timbers 0–1 Real Salt Lake
  • 2025-05-15 Real Salt Lake 0–0 Portland Timbers
  • 2024-09-22 Real Salt Lake 3–3 Portland Timbers
  • 2024-07-14 Portland Timbers 3–0 Real Salt Lake
  • 2023-08-31 Portland Timbers 2–1 Real Salt Lake
League standing · 2026
Real Salt Lake#9 pos45 pts34 pl+1 GD
Portland Timbers#7 pos46 pts34 pl+1 GD
Goals per game
Real Salt Lake scored1.56
Portland Timbers scored1.82
Real Salt Lake conceded1.53
Portland Timbers conceded1.79

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Real Salt Lake v Portland Timbers?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Real Salt Lake v Portland Timbers was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers?
In their last 6 meetings, Real Salt Lake won 1, Portland Timbers won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Real Salt Lake and Portland Timbers?
Recent form — Real Salt Lake 2W 1D 2L; Portland Timbers 2W 1D 2L.

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