This Matchweek

San Jose EarthquakesNashville SC

San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC result

Full-time · San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC

Major League Soccer · · Avaya Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.26 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.6% of 5130 landed (95% range 76.5–78.8%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,909 of 2,555 times (74.7%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC drew 1–1 at Avaya Stadium in Major League Soccer on Sunday 18 October. San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Nashville SC are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

The goals

Nashville SC led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Nashville SC: H. Mukhtar (34’); San Jose Earthquakes: P. Judd (70’, assisted by E. Lowen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with P. Judd’s goal on 70 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: San Jose Earthquakes out-shot Nashville SC 14 to 6 and created the better chances, 0.81 xG to 0.43 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

The bookings — San Jose Earthquakes: Beau Leroux (39’), P. Judd (45+3’) and I. Harkes (90’); Nashville SC: S. Mohammed (28’).

What it changes

San Jose Earthquakes have scored 56 goals, the 13th-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). San Jose Earthquakes have conceded 48 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Nashville SC have scored 69 goals, the third-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Nashville SC have conceded 25 goals, the fewest of the 30 clubs.

San Jose Earthquakes have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions. Nashville SC have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC) 6.2, Beau Leroux (San Jose Earthquakes) 5.5 and A. Gunn (San Jose Earthquakes) 4.2 led the match.

Head-to-head

San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Nashville SC, every meeting checked.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, San Jose Earthquakes or Nashville SC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.6% of the time in the last 90 days (3983 of 5130).

Next up

San Jose Earthquakes next travel to Minnesota United FC on 8 November 2026.

Nashville SC next travel to FC Cincinnati on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for San Jose Earthquakes: Minnesota United FC v San Jose Earthquakes, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Nashville SC: FC Cincinnati v Nashville SC, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: Avaya Stadium · San Jose
  • Referee: Joseph Dickerson
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): San Jose Earthquakes 0 · draws 4 · Nashville SC 0 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: San Jose Earthquakes 2W 3D 0L · Nashville SC 4W 1D 0L

San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.5
Goals
against 1 / 0.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.38 / 5.88
Corners
against 5.13 / 3.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.5 / 6.88
Shots on target
against 5 / 3.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSan Jose Earthquakes for / againstLineNashville SC for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1 against n 8
3.25our book
2.5 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
5.88 for · 3.38 against n 8
Shots
12.63 for · 12.88 against n 8
19.5standard
17.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
Shots on target
4.5 for · 5 against n 8
8.5standard
6.88 for · 3.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
13 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.25 against n 8

Referee: Joseph Dickerson.

San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes Goalkeeper

San Jose Earthquakes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel15901356 min453 /90151 /9000 /90
A. Gunn11911000 min343.1 /90201.8 /9000 /90
E. Edwards368204 min167.1 /9000 /9000 /90
San Jose Earthquakes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel n 889.1
3.45/5
A. Gunn n 891.3
3.15/4

San Jose Earthquakes Defensive

San Jose Earthquakes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Munie25892235 min251 /90271.1 /9090.4 /90592.4 /90120.5 /9030.1 /90
R. Roberts24892146 min391.6 /90301.3 /90140.6 /90873.6 /90200.8 /9080.3 /90
J. Ricketts23701618 min281.6 /90201.1 /9060.3 /90945.2 /90271.5 /9030.2 /90
Benjamin Kikanović21781642 min281.5 /90201.1 /90120.7 /90915 /90261.4 /9070.4 /90
D. Romney16721151 min141.1 /9090.7 /9060.5 /90383 /9060.5 /9010.1 /90
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San Jose Earthquakes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Beau Leroux n 879.3
1.37/2
1.78/4
M. Corcoran
O. Bouda n 868.8
2.37/4
1.65/3
—
P. Judd n 858.6
1.55/2
2.16/4
H. Mukhtar
D. Munie n 884.4
0.43/0
00/0
M. Woledzi
R. Roberts n 885.6
1.16/2
0.11/0
A. Najar
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San Jose Earthquakes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Beau Leroux n 879.3
1.44/2
O. Bouda n 868.8
0.52/1
P. Judd n 858.6
0.21/0
D. Munie n 884.4
1.67/4
R. Roberts n 885.6
1.66/4
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San Jose Earthquakes Attacking

San Jose Earthquakes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Judd26731886 min150.7 /9020.1 /90592.8 /90371.8 /90100.5 /90110.5 /90
T. Werner16641028 min50.4 /9040.4 /90221.9 /90161.4 /90343 /9080.7 /90
D. Johnson425101 min00 /9000 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9010.9 /9021.8 /90
L. Jovanović350151 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9010.6 /9000 /90
Beau Leroux27782111 min40.2 /9070.3 /90271.2 /90130.6 /90361.5 /90351.5 /90
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San Jose Earthquakes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Beau Leroux n 879.3
0.64/0
0.43/0
O. Bouda n 868.8
1.67/3
0.84/1
P. Judd n 858.6
2.16/2
1.96/2
D. Munie n 884.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
R. Roberts n 885.6
0.85/1
0.42/1
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San Jose Earthquakes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Beau Leroux n 879.3
0.11/0
0.64/0
O. Bouda n 868.8
0.21/0
00/0
P. Judd n 858.6
0.83/1
00/0
D. Munie n 884.4
0.11/0
00/0
R. Roberts n 885.6
0.11/0
00/0
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Nashville SC

Nashville SC Goalkeeper

Nashville SC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Schwake37903333 min1022.8 /90220.6 /9010 /90
X. Valdez294188 min31.4 /9031.4 /9000 /90
J. Willis19090 min33 /9000 /9000 /90
Nashville SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Schwake n 890.8
2.54/4

Nashville SC Defensive

Nashville SC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
M. Woledzi35903153 min481.4 /90361 /90180.5 /901313.7 /90220.6 /9010 /90
A. Najar34702381 min281.1 /90281.1 /9060.2 /901033.9 /90281.1 /9050.2 /90
J. Palacios30872616 min511.8 /90341.2 /90190.7 /901585.4 /90240.8 /9050.2 /90
D. Lovitz28671888 min401.9 /90170.8 /9060.3 /90803.8 /90311.5 /9070.3 /90
R. Baker-Whiting27731960 min432 /90170.8 /9070.3 /90954.4 /90221 /9020.1 /90
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Nashville SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Mukhtar n 888.3
0.96/1
1.76/4
P. Judd
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
0.11/0
—
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.63/2
0.43/0
D. Munie
M. Corcoran n 871.8
1.45/3
0.21/0
Beau Leroux
A. Najar n 874.4
1.15/2
1.24/2
R. Roberts
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Nashville SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 888.3
0.53/1
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.65/0
M. Corcoran n 871.8
3.68/5
A. Najar n 874.4
0.95/1
C. Espinoza n 882.8
1.16/2
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Nashville SC Attacking

Nashville SC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Surridge28792206 min180.7 /9010 /90672.7 /90391.6 /90130.5 /90110.4 /90
A. Qasem23581331 min30.2 /9010.1 /90161.1 /90100.7 /9060.4 /90151 /90
W. Madrigal22631378 min50.3 /9020.1 /90241.6 /90100.7 /90151 /90110.7 /90
Woobens Pacius860478 min20.4 /9000 /9071.3 /9020.4 /9010.2 /9040.8 /90
H. Mukhtar38803049 min160.5 /9070.2 /90792.3 /90411.2 /90531.6 /90300.9 /90
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Nashville SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 888.3
3.68/7
1.86/4
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Woledzi n 890.8
0.42/1
0.11/0
M. Corcoran n 871.8
0.64/0
0.32/0
A. Najar n 874.4
1.15/2
0.32/0
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Nashville SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Nashville SC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Mukhtar n 888.3
0.85/1
0.32/0
B. Schwake n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Woledzi n 890.8
00/0
00/0
M. Corcoran n 871.8
00/0
00/0
A. Najar n 874.4
0.21/0
0.53/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
San Jose EarthquakesNashville SC
47%Possession53%
0.81Expected goals (xG)0.43
14Shots6
2Shots on target4
9Shots off target1
3Blocked shots1
7Shots inside the box4
4Corners0
0Offsides3
11Fouls15
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Saves1
389Passes458

San Jose Earthquakes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Munie9000000206.4
E. Lowen9001102006.4
A. Gunn9000000006.6
D. Romney9000100006.6
R. Roberts9000000306.8
Beau Leroux90004011Y6.6
R. Vieira8600202206.7
Jack Jasinski8600102006.3
J. Ricketts7600003307.1
P. Judd76104200Y7.6
T. Werner6700101106.3
O. Bouda2300000006.5
P. Marie1400000106.1
N. Fernandez1400000106.2
M. Floriani400000005.9
I. Harkes4000000Y6

Nashville SC Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Woledzi9000000107.3
S. Surridge9000000006.3
J. Palacios9000000107
A. Najar9000101107
H. Mukhtar9010221107.8
M. Corcoran9000000406.7
B. Schwake9000000006
C. Espinoza7900000106.4
P. Yazbek7200001106.6
D. Lovitz7200001107.5
S. Mohammed45000000Y6.1
E. Saad4500320207.1
E. Tagseth1800000006.9
R. Baker-Whiting1800000006.5
W. Madrigal1100000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
San Jose EarthquakesWDWDD
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Nashville SCDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 3 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
San Jose Earthquakes 0 · 4 draws · Nashville SC 0 · 2 goals/game
  • 2024-04-28 Nashville SC 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2023-09-24 San Jose Earthquakes 1–1 Nashville SC
  • 2022-06-12 Nashville SC 0–0 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2022-04-16 San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 Nashville SC
League standing · 2026
San Jose Earthquakes#3 pos52 pts33 pl+8 GD
Nashville SC#1 pos74 pts33 pl+44 GD
Goals per game
San Jose Earthquakes scored1.7
Nashville SC scored2.09
San Jose Earthquakes conceded1.45
Nashville SC conceded0.76

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for San Jose Earthquakes v Nashville SC was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC?
In their last 4 meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 0, Nashville SC won 0 and there were 4 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC?
Recent form — San Jose Earthquakes 2W 3D 0L; Nashville SC 4W 1D 0L.

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