San Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City

San Jose Earthquakes v St. Louis City result

Full-time · San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 St. Louis City

Major League Soccer · · PayPal Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 St. Louis City — St. Louis City won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.50 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.7% of 492 landed (95% range 64.5–72.6%); it had given them 75.8% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 596 of 928 times (64.2%), against an average rating of 67.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

St. Louis City won 3–1 at PayPal Park in Major League Soccer on Sunday 16 August. St. Louis City have scored in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

St. Louis City led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — St. Louis City: D. Edelman (8’, assisted by C. Wallem) and S. Becher (27’, assisted by E. Lowen; 55’, assisted by T. Totland); San Jose Earthquakes: Beau Leroux (47’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Becher’s goal on 55 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: San Jose Earthquakes 0.19, St. Louis City 2.63, from 6 shots to 14 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

J. Freemon showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — San Jose Earthquakes: R. Roberts (82’); St. Louis City: C. Wallem (77’) and T. Totland (84’).

What it changes

San Jose Earthquakes have scored 36 goals, the second-most of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 18 games, ranked per game). San Jose Earthquakes have conceded 23 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

St. Louis City have scored 27 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 19 games, ranked per game). St. Louis City have conceded 25 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 15 clubs.

San Jose Earthquakes are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. St. Louis City are unbeaten in their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, S. Becher (St. Louis City) 9.4, D. Edelman (St. Louis City) 7.1 and D. Polvara (St. Louis City) 7.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Result: San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 St. Louis City · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: PayPal Park · San Jose
  • Referee: J. Freemon
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): San Jose Earthquakes 1 · draws 0 · St. Louis City 5 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: San Jose Earthquakes 1W 1D 3L · St. Louis City 4W 1D 0L

San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 St. Louis City (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2
Goals
against 2.38 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
5.86 / 6.14
Corners
against 5.43 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.71 / 4.57
Shots on target
against 7.29 / 2.86 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.86 / 2.43
Cards
against 1.86 / 2.86 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 August 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 August 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSan Jose Earthquakes for / againstLineSt. Louis City for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.25our book
2 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
5.86 for · 5.43 against n 7
9.5standard
6.14 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
12 for · 16.71 against n 7
19.5standard
16.29 for · 10.29 against n 7
Shots on target
4.71 for · 7.29 against n 7
8.5standard
4.57 for · 2.86 against n 7
Fouls committed
12.57 for · 13.14 against n 7
21.5standard
15.43 for · 11 against n 7
Cards shown
2.86 for · 1.86 against n 7
3.5standard
2.43 for · 2.86 against n 7

Referee: J. Freemon.

San Jose Earthquakes

San Jose Earthquakes Goalkeeper

San Jose Earthquakes — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Daniel15901356 min453 /90151 /9000 /90
A. Gunn290180 min52.5 /9052.5 /9000 /90
San Jose Earthquakes — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 2 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Daniel n 889.1
3.45/5

San Jose Earthquakes Defensive

San Jose Earthquakes — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
D. Munie16921470 min130.8 /90150.9 /9070.4 /90382.3 /9080.5 /9030.2 /90
R. Roberts16911461 min271.7 /90161 /90120.7 /90573.5 /90120.7 /9040.2 /90
J. Ricketts15691041 min161.4 /90111 /9040.3 /90655.6 /90171.5 /9020.2 /90
Benjamin Kikanović14861206 min221.6 /90131 /90100.7 /90685.1 /90161.2 /9050.4 /90
D. Romney855442 min61.2 /9030.6 /9030.6 /90183.7 /9030.6 /9000 /90
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San Jose Earthquakes — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 2 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Bouda n 876.6
15/2
2.27/5
—
D. Munie n 892.1
0.52/2
0.54/0
D. Polvara
R. Roberts n 891
14/3
0.94/3
T. Baumgartl
P. Judd n 879
2.16/4
1.46/3
S. Becher
Beau Leroux n 881.5
1.25/3
2.25/5
D. Edelman
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San Jose Earthquakes — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 2 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
O. Bouda n 876.6
2.16/4
D. Munie n 892.1
14/2
R. Roberts n 891
1.66/5
P. Judd n 879
00/0
Beau Leroux n 881.5
37/5
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San Jose Earthquakes Attacking

San Jose Earthquakes — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
P. Judd16811298 min110.8 /9020.1 /90433 /90261.8 /9050.3 /9050.3 /90
D. Johnson32368 min00 /9000 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /9011.3 /90
O. Bouda17811385 min50.3 /9010.1 /90241.6 /90130.8 /90181.2 /90130.8 /90
Beau Leroux16791268 min20.1 /9030.2 /90211.5 /9090.6 /90201.4 /90221.6 /90
R. Vieira14831158 min00 /9000 /90100.8 /9040.3 /9080.6 /9080.6 /90
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San Jose Earthquakes — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 2 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
O. Bouda n 876.6
1.34/2
0.42/1
D. Munie n 892.1
0.43/0
0.22/0
R. Roberts n 891
0.42/1
0.42/1
P. Judd n 879
3.17/6
27/5
Beau Leroux n 881.5
1.96/4
14/2
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San Jose Earthquakes — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for San Jose Earthquakes before kick-off, to 2 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
O. Bouda n 876.6
00/0
0.11/0
D. Munie n 892.1
0.11/0
00/0
R. Roberts n 891
0.22/0
00/0
P. Judd n 879
1.16/2
00/0
Beau Leroux n 881.5
0.11/0
00/0
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St. Louis City

St. Louis City Goalkeeper

St. Louis City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Burki16921467 min442.7 /90221.3 /9000 /90
B. Lundt290180 min31.5 /9021 /9000 /90
St. Louis City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 2 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Burki n 892.5
2.16/3
B. Lundt n 890
3.16/4

St. Louis City Defensive

St. Louis City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Baumgartl18921647 min231.3 /90241.3 /90100.5 /90543 /90100.5 /9020.1 /90
D. Polvara18871573 min291.7 /90321.8 /90130.7 /90704 /90211.2 /9030.2 /90
Jaziel Orozco1083826 min171.9 /90212.3 /9030.3 /90374 /90151.6 /9030.3 /90
L. MacNaughton1069688 min121.6 /90131.7 /9030.4 /90425.5 /90101.3 /9010.1 /90
F. Fall457227 min93.6 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90228.7 /9010.4 /9010.4 /90
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St. Louis City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 2 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Baumgartl n 890.6
0.43/0
15/2
R. Roberts
D. Polvara n 882.3
1.86/3
0.83/2
D. Munie
S. Becher n 880.1
2.17/5
2.87/7
P. Judd
D. Edelman n 882.3
1.16/2
0.74/1
Beau Leroux
R. Burki n 892.5
00/0
0.42/1
—
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St. Louis City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 2 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 890.6
1.26/3
D. Polvara n 882.3
2.17/6
S. Becher n 880.1
0.32/0
D. Edelman n 882.3
1.46/3
M. Hartel n 882.9
15/1
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St. Louis City Attacking

St. Louis City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Becher18791424 min20.1 /9040.3 /90322 /90110.7 /90201.3 /90140.9 /90
M. Hartel16871398 min60.4 /9030.2 /90463 /90251.6 /90463 /90100.6 /90
Jeong Sang-Bin1053532 min20.3 /9010.2 /9071.2 /9030.5 /90111.9 /9050.8 /90
S. Cordova1051506 min10.2 /9000 /9040.7 /9020.4 /9020.4 /9040.7 /90
E. Lowen861486 min10.2 /9010.2 /90101.9 /9020.4 /9091.7 /9050.9 /90
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St. Louis City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 2 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 890.6
00/0
00/0
D. Polvara n 882.3
0.32/0
00/0
S. Becher n 880.1
2.17/4
0.82/2
D. Edelman n 882.3
0.42/1
0.11/0
R. Burki n 892.5
00/0
00/0
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St. Louis City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 2 August 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 890.6
00/0
00/0
D. Polvara n 882.3
00/0
00/0
S. Becher n 880.1
0.11/0
0.32/0
D. Edelman n 882.3
0.11/0
00/0
R. Burki n 892.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
San Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City
53%Possession47%
0.19Expected goals (xG)2.63
6Shots14
1Shots on target7
4Shots off target6
1Blocked shots1
4Shots inside the box12
4Corners5
1Offsides4
16Fouls17
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves0
450Passes411
85%Pass accuracy80%

San Jose Earthquakes Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Gunn9000000008.7
D. Munie9000000006.2
R. Roberts90001002Y6.3
J. Ricketts9000000206.5
Beau Leroux9010111107.2
T. Werner9000002006.5
P. Judd9000200006.2
R. Vieira7100000105.9
O. Bouda7100001206.3
Benjamin Kikanović4500100006.2
N. Tsakiris4500001106.7
Jack Jasinski sub4500000106.3
L. Jovanović sub4500000106.7
I. Harkes sub1900000106.9
J. Skahan sub1900000106.7

St. Louis City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
R. Burki9000000006.5
L. MacNaughton9000001206.3
T. Baumgartl9000101306.6
D. Polvara9000000507.7
C. Durkin9000000607.6
D. Edelman9010220307.7
T. Totland90010034Y7
C. Wallem89010024Y7.5
S. Becher8920740008.6
Jeong Sang-Bin6900113007.3
E. Lowen6901102007.7
C. Holse sub2100101006.2
A. Mățan sub2100000106.9
Jaziel Orozco sub10000010–
P. Ault sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind San Jose Earthquakes v St. Louis City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
San Jose EarthquakesLWLDL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
St. Louis CityWWWWD
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
San Jose Earthquakes 1 · 0 draws · St. Louis City 5 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-04-26 St. Louis City 2–3 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2025-09-21 San Jose Earthquakes 1–3 St. Louis City
  • 2025-05-31 St. Louis City 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2024-09-22 San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 St. Louis City
  • 2024-07-04 St. Louis City 2–0 San Jose Earthquakes
  • 2023-06-25 San Jose Earthquakes 1–2 St. Louis City
League standing · 2026
San Jose Earthquakes#4 pos52 pts34 pl+6 GD
St. Louis City#3 pos54 pts34 pl+11 GD
Goals per game
San Jose Earthquakes scored1.68
St. Louis City scored1.74
San Jose Earthquakes conceded1.5
St. Louis City conceded1.41

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for San Jose Earthquakes v St. Louis City?
TACTIX’s free model pick for San Jose Earthquakes v St. Louis City was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.50 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between San Jose Earthquakes and St. Louis City?
In their last 6 meetings, San Jose Earthquakes won 1, St. Louis City won 5 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of San Jose Earthquakes and St. Louis City?
Recent form — San Jose Earthquakes 1W 1D 3L; St. Louis City 4W 1D 0L.

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