This Matchweek

St. Louis CityPortland Timbers

St. Louis City v Portland Timbers result

Full-time · St. Louis City 2–3 Portland Timbers

Major League Soccer · · CITYPARK

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: St. Louis City · Portland Timbers · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

St. Louis City 2–3 Portland Timbers — Portland Timbers won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home win.

Free pick
Home win
Best price: 2.05 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Portland Timbers won 3–2 at CITYPARK in Major League Soccer on Thursday 29 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: St. Louis City out-shot Portland Timbers 13 to 12 and created the better chances, 1.98 xG to 1.20 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

Portland Timbers led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Portland Timbers: K. Velde (42’, assisted by C. Bassett; 48’, assisted by David Pereira da Costa) and David Pereira da Costa (45+3’, assisted by J. Fory); St. Louis City: D. Edelman (58’, assisted by C. Holse) and Rafael Navarro (90+1’, assisted by Jeong Sang-Bin). K. Miller (90+6’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with David Pereira da Costa’s goal on 45+3’.

Discipline

R. Vazquez showed three yellow cards and one red — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

St. Louis City have scored 58 goals, the 11th-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). St. Louis City have conceded 48 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 30 clubs.

Portland Timbers have scored 60 goals, the ninth-most of the 30 clubs (2026 so far, after 33 games). Portland Timbers have conceded 61 goals, the ninth-most of the 30 clubs.

St. Louis City are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Portland Timbers are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, David Pereira da Costa (Portland Timbers) 11.5, K. Velde (Portland Timbers) 11.0 and C. Holse (St. Louis City) 7.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, St. Louis City to win, did not land — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

St. Louis City next travel to Houston Dynamo on 8 November 2026.

Portland Timbers next travel to Austin on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for St. Louis City: Houston Dynamo v St. Louis City, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Portland Timbers: Austin v Portland Timbers, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: St. Louis City 2–3 Portland Timbers · Major League Soccer
  • Venue: CITYPARK · St. Louis, Missouri
  • Referee: R. Vazquez
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): St. Louis City 2 · draws 3 · Portland Timbers 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: St. Louis City 1W 2D 2L · Portland Timbers 1W 2D 2L

St. Louis City 2–3 Portland Timbers (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.17 / 5.5
Corners
against 5.67 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
5.67 / 5.13
Shots on target
against 5.5 / 4.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.17 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.83 / 2 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 25 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 25 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameSt. Louis City for / againstLinePortland Timbers for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
3.5our book
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.17 for · 5.67 against n 6
9.5standard
5.5 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
11.5 for · 17 against n 6
19.5standard
16.13 for · 9.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.67 for · 5.5 against n 6
8.5standard
5.13 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
14.33 for · 12.83 against n 6
21.5standard
9.5 for · 13.5 against n 8
Cards shown
2.17 for · 1.83 against n 6
3.5standard
1.25 for · 2 against n 8

Referee: R. Vazquez.

St. Louis City

St. Louis City Goalkeeper

St. Louis City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
R. Burki28912547 min742.6 /90391.4 /9000 /90
B. Lundt390270 min72.3 /9020.7 /9000 /90
St. Louis City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
R. Burki n 890
2.64/3
B. Lundt n 890
36/4

St. Louis City Defensive

St. Louis City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
T. Baumgartl31912817 min451.4 /90361.2 /90210.7 /901003.2 /90210.7 /9030.1 /90
D. Polvara30852538 min552 /90461.6 /90230.8 /901354.8 /90260.9 /9040.1 /90
Jaziel Orozco17831409 min402.6 /90291.9 /9050.3 /90694.4 /90291.9 /9040.3 /90
L. MacNaughton17671132 min231.8 /90171.4 /9070.6 /90665.2 /90231.8 /9010.1 /90
F. Fall1266796 min212.4 /90111.2 /90101.1 /90546.1 /90121.4 /9030.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

St. Louis City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
T. Baumgartl n 890
14/3
0.96/1
J. Fory
D. Polvara n 875.6
0.73/1
1.24/3
J. Fory
S. Becher n 850.6
1.34/1
1.64/2
—
D. Edelman n 871
1.15/1
1.65/4
—
R. Burki n 890
00/0
00/0
—
See more players · Pro
St. Louis City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 890
1.88/4
D. Polvara n 875.6
2.57/4
S. Becher n 850.6
0.21/0
D. Edelman n 871
0.85/0
C. Durkin n 874.5
2.38/5
See more players · Pro

St. Louis City Attacking

St. Louis City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
S. Becher30722159 min90.4 /9040.2 /90562.3 /90281.2 /90220.9 /90170.7 /90
Jeong Sang-Bin18571027 min30.3 /9010.1 /90161.4 /9090.8 /90211.8 /9090.8 /90
M. Hartel16871398 min60.4 /9030.2 /90463 /90251.6 /90463 /90100.6 /90
E. Lowen1062617 min20.3 /9020.3 /90121.8 /9030.4 /90111.6 /9091.3 /90
C. Holse1056558 min61 /9010.2 /90203.2 /90121.9 /90132.1 /9040.6 /90
See more players · Pro
St. Louis City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 890
0.11/0
00/0
D. Polvara n 875.6
0.63/1
0.11/0
S. Becher n 850.6
2.97/3
26/2
D. Edelman n 871
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Burki n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro
St. Louis City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for St. Louis City before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Baumgartl n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Polvara n 875.6
00/0
00/0
S. Becher n 850.6
0.73/0
00/0
D. Edelman n 871
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Burki n 890
00/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers Goalkeeper

Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pantemis31912828 min1203.8 /90531.7 /9010 /90
T. Muse290180 min31.5 /9042 /9000 /90
Portland Timbers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pantemis n 890.6
2.46/3

Portland Timbers Defensive

Portland Timbers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Fory31832569 min562 /90622.2 /9090.3 /901304.6 /90341.2 /9050.2 /90
F. Surman29902603 min441.5 /90441.5 /90491.7 /901184.1 /90140.5 /9020.1 /90
K. Miller26802086 min231 /90251.1 /90160.7 /90773.3 /90241 /9050.2 /90
B. Bye22861883 min311.5 /90211 /9050.2 /901065.1 /90201 /9050.2 /90
Ian Smith1733565 min162.5 /90101.6 /9061 /90467.3 /90101.6 /9030.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Portland Timbers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Velde n 890.3
14/2
3.47/6
—
J. Pantemis n 890.6
00/0
00/0
—
J. Fory n 878.6
14/2
16/1
D. Polvara
David Pereira da Costa n 879.5
0.84/2
14/3
—
F. Surman n 891.3
0.53/1
0.64/1
—
See more players · Pro
Portland Timbers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. Velde n 890.3
1.57/3
J. Fory n 878.6
1.96/5
David Pereira da Costa n 879.5
1.36/3
F. Surman n 891.3
1.26/4
Antony n 838.5
1.84/2
See more players · Pro

Portland Timbers Attacking

Portland Timbers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Antony29561634 min40.2 /9030.2 /90281.5 /90130.7 /90241.3 /90251.4 /90
A. Lassiter26581502 min100.6 /9040.2 /90321.9 /90201.2 /90251.5 /90140.8 /90
K. Kelsy20701402 min90.6 /9030.2 /90412.6 /90161 /90191.2 /9080.5 /90
A. Aravena1435489 min10.2 /9000 /90132.4 /9071.3 /9050.9 /90101.8 /90
V. Janssen1157631 min40.6 /9000 /90121.7 /9081.1 /90121.7 /9071 /90
See more players · Pro
Portland Timbers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Velde n 890.3
3.47/6
1.15/4
J. Pantemis n 890.6
00/0
00/0
J. Fory n 878.6
0.11/0
0.11/0
David Pereira da Costa n 879.5
0.63/1
0.63/1
F. Surman n 891.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
See more players · Pro
Portland Timbers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Timbers before kick-off, to 25 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Velde n 890.3
0.21/1
00/0
J. Pantemis n 890.6
00/0
00/0
J. Fory n 878.6
00/0
0.11/0
David Pereira da Costa n 879.5
0.32/0
0.11/0
F. Surman n 891.3
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
St. Louis CityPortland Timbers
61%Possession39%
1.98Expected goals (xG)1.20
13Shots12
6Shots on target6
3Shots off target4
4Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box10
5Corners4
3Offsides1
15Fouls12
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
3Saves4
444Passes290

St. Louis City Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Lundt9000000005.7
T. Baumgartl9000000006.4
L. MacNaughton9000200106.4
D. Polvara9000220007
C. Wallem9000002206.6
C. Durkin9000000206.7
C. Holse9001114407.6
Rafael Navarro9010312007.5
D. Edelman7910211107.5
T. Totland7900110106.3
Jeong Sang-Bin4501002006.8
D. Downs4500200006
F. Fall1100000106
S. Becher1100000006.2

Portland Timbers Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
K. Miller96000001R5.7
R. Hernandez9000000106.2
J. Waterman9000100005.9
David Pereira da Costa9011226109
J. Pantemis9000000006
K. Velde8320331209.1
D. Chara7500001405.8
A. Lassiter7500102006.4
J. Fory6701001106.5
J. Ortiz6000100106
C. Bassett6001101006.5
A. Aravena3000210006.6
Eric Izoita30000000Y5.8
Ian Smith23000000Y5.7
J. Caicedo1500100006.1
V. Janssen15000001Y6.3
F. Surman700000006.2

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind St. Louis City v Portland Timbers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
St. Louis CityWDLDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Portland TimbersLDLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
St. Louis City 2 · 3 draws · Portland Timbers 1 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-10 Portland Timbers 2–2 St. Louis City
  • 2025-07-13 St. Louis City 2–1 Portland Timbers
  • 2025-06-08 Portland Timbers 2–1 St. Louis City
  • 2024-08-25 Portland Timbers 4–4 St. Louis City
  • 2024-08-10 St. Louis City 3–1 Portland Timbers
  • 2024-06-09 St. Louis City 0–0 Portland Timbers
League standing · 2026
St. Louis City#4 pos51 pts33 pl+10 GD
Portland Timbers#8 pos43 pts33 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
St. Louis City scored1.76
Portland Timbers scored1.82
St. Louis City conceded1.45
Portland Timbers conceded1.85

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for St. Louis City v Portland Timbers?
TACTIX’s free model pick for St. Louis City v Portland Timbers was Home win (best price 2.05 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between St. Louis City and Portland Timbers?
In their last 6 meetings, St. Louis City won 2, Portland Timbers won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of St. Louis City and Portland Timbers?
Recent form — St. Louis City 1W 2D 2L; Portland Timbers 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+