Toronto FC v Columbus Crew result

Full-time · Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew

Major League Soccer ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew — this Major League Soccer match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1302 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Toronto FC and Columbus Crew drew 1–1 in Major League Soccer on Sunday 17 August. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Columbus Crew out-shot Toronto FC 12 to 7 and created the better chances, 1.47 xG to 1.02 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

The goals

Columbus Crew led 1–0 at half-time and were pegged back. The goals — Columbus Crew: Diego Rossi (8’); Toronto FC: Jules-Anthony Vilsaint (77’, assisted by D. Mihailovic).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jules-Anthony Vilsaint’s goal on 77 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Columbus Crew: Diego Rossi (68’).

What it changes

Toronto FC are winless in their last four matches.

Columbus Crew are unbeaten in their last four matches. Columbus Crew have scored in six consecutive matches.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alonso Coello (Toronto FC) 7.9, Taha Habroune (Columbus Crew) 5.7 and D. Mihailovic (Toronto FC) 5.6 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Columbus Crew, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (872 of 1302).

Next up

Toronto FC next travel to New York Red Bulls on 17 October 2026.

Columbus Crew next travel to FC Cincinnati on 18 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Toronto FC: New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC, Sunday 18 October — the preview. Next for Columbus Crew: FC Cincinnati v Columbus Crew, Sunday 18 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew · Major League Soccer
  • Referee: Chris Penso, USA
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Toronto FC 0 · draws 1 · Columbus Crew 5 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Toronto FC 1W 2D 2L · Columbus Crew 3W 1D 1L

Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.14 / 4.38
Corners
against 4.14 / 2.63 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 7 matches
3.14 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 3.43 / 4 · 0 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 7 matches
2.43 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.29 / 3.5 · 3 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameToronto FC for / againstLineColumbus Crew for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
4.14 for · 4.14 against n 7
9.5standard
4.38 for · 2.63 against n 8
Shots
10.57 for · 8.71 against n 7
19.5standard
14 for · 10.5 against n 8
Shots on target
3.14 for · 3.43 against n 7
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.71 for · 12.14 against n 7
21.5standard
9.88 for · 13.88 against n 8
Cards shown
2.43 for · 2.29 against n 7
3.5standard
2.13 for · 3.5 against n 8

Referee: Chris Penso, USA.

Toronto FC
Toronto FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Malik Henry n 315
42/0
21/0
—
O. Brynhildsen n 878.8
1.97/4
1.76/3
—
M. Dominguez n 878.3
1.97/3
1.26/2
Taha Habroune
K. Long n 881
1.47/2
0.74/1
Andres Herrera
D. Flores n 872
1.46/2
26/3
—
Toronto FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Theo Corbeanu n 883.9
2.48/7
1.36/3
O. Brynhildsen n 878.8
27/5
0.74/1
Tyrese Spicer n 839.1
1.44/1
0.92/1
Derrick Etienne n 843.3
13/1
00/0
D. Mihailovic n 886
0.94/2
0.32/0
Toronto FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Malik Henry n 315
00/0
21/0
D. Mihailovic n 886
0.32/0
0.52/1
D. Flores n 872
0.21/0
0.32/0
Deandre Kerr n 842.4
0.52/0
00/0
Theo Corbeanu n 883.9
0.32/0
00/0
Toronto FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Markus Cimermancic n 546
4.34/3
Malik Henry n 315
41/1
D. Flores n 872
3.86/6
Tyrese Spicer n 839.1
3.74/4
K. Thompson n 868.4
3.36/4
Toronto FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Luka Gavran n 891.4
3.26/5
Sean Johnson n 891
2.66/4
Columbus Crew
Columbus Crew — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Derrick Jones n 827
2.93/2
2.14/1
—
Taha Habroune n 840.1
2.87/2
0.81/1
M. Dominguez
C. Mrowka n 49.5
2.41/0
7.13/0
—
J. Russell-Rowe n 858
2.36/4
13/1
—
Andres Herrera n 862
2.25/5
1.55/3
K. Long
Columbus Crew — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Diego Rossi n 884.5
3.27/7
1.77/4
C. Mrowka n 49.5
2.41/0
2.41/0
J. Russell-Rowe n 858
1.93/3
0.62/1
L. Lappalainen n 823.1
1.93/1
11/1
Aziel Jackson n 840
1.76/0
0.83/0
Columbus Crew — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Lappalainen n 823.1
0.51/0
0.51/0
Taha Habroune n 840.1
0.31/0
0.61/1
Diego Rossi n 884.5
0.75/0
0.11/0
Cesar Ruvalcaba n 816.3
0.71/0
00/0
Andres Herrera n 862
0.42/0
0.21/0
Columbus Crew — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Taha Habroune n 840.1
4.85/4
Tristan Brown n 58.4
4.31/1
L. Lappalainen n 823.1
3.93/2
Amar Sejdic n 822.9
3.45/2
Maximilian Arfsten n 887.1
2.88/5
Columbus Crew — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Patrick Schulte n 890
2.46/3
E. Bush n 883.9
1.74/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Toronto FCColumbus Crew
44%Possession56%
1.02Expected goals (xG)1.47
7Shots12
3Shots on target7
2Shots off target3
2Blocked shots2
5Shots inside the box10
2Corners7
2Offsides4
13Fouls15
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
6Saves2
409Passes534
83%Pass accuracy88%

Toronto FC player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Sean Johnson9000000007.6
R. Laryea9000000106.9
K. Long9000100306.7
R. Petretta9000000306.9
Jonathan Osorio9000002007.3
D. Mihailovic9001004107.9
M. Dominguez8900000206.9
Alonso Coello8900001807.9
Deandre Kerr7500210106.5
S. Rosted6600000106.2
O. Brynhildsen6600000206.3
Theo Corbeanu sub2500000006.7
Malik Henry sub2500001006.9
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint sub1610110007.5
Kobe Franklin sub1000000006.3
Derrick Etienne sub1000110006.9

Columbus Crew player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Patrick Schulte9000000006.9
Sean Zawadzki9000000407.7
Maximilian Arfsten9000112107.3
Dylan Chambost9000001107
Taha Habroune9000211306.9
Dániel Gazdag9000220107.2
Steven Moreira8800001407.5
Andres Herrera8300110206.6
Diego Rossi83103210Y7.3
Malte Amundsen4500001107.2
I. Aliyu4500100106.3
Yevhen Cheberko sub4500001006.6
J. Russell-Rowe sub4500000106.7
Cesar Ruvalcaba sub1100000006.6
L. Lappalainen sub800000006.5
Hugo Picard sub800001006.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Toronto FC v Columbus Crew — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Toronto FCDWLLD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 0.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Columbus CrewWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Toronto FC 0 · 1 draw · Columbus Crew 5 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2024-09-18 Toronto FC 0–2 Columbus Crew
  • 2024-07-06 Columbus Crew 4–0 Toronto FC
  • 2023-08-26 Columbus Crew 2–0 Toronto FC
  • 2023-03-12 Toronto FC 1–1 Columbus Crew
  • 2022-06-29 Toronto FC 1–2 Columbus Crew
  • 2022-03-12 Columbus Crew 2–1 Toronto FC
League standing · 2025
Last recorded position — not updated during the season.
Toronto FC#12 pos32 pts34 pl-7 GD
Columbus Crew#7 pos54 pts34 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Toronto FC scored1.09
Columbus Crew scored1.62
Toronto FC conceded1.29
Columbus Crew conceded1.5

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Toronto FC v Columbus Crew?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Toronto FC v Columbus Crew was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Toronto FC and Columbus Crew?
In their last 6 meetings, Toronto FC won 0, Columbus Crew won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Toronto FC and Columbus Crew?
Recent form — Toronto FC 1W 2D 2L; Columbus Crew 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

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