New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC result

Full-time · New York Red Bulls 0–2 Toronto FC

Major League Soccer · Sun, 18 Oct 2026 00:30 BST · Red Bull Arena

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: New York Red Bulls · Toronto FC · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

New York Red Bulls 0–2 Toronto FC — Toronto FC won this Major League Soccer match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.26 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5235 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,042 of 2,728 times (74.9%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Toronto FC won 2–0 at Red Bull Arena in Major League Soccer on Sunday 18 October. New York Red Bulls are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Toronto FC, every meeting checked.

The goals

Toronto FC led 1–0 at half-time. The goals TACTIX’s match events name — New York Red Bulls: an own goal by J. Che (3’); Toronto FC: Dániel Sallói (82’, assisted by Jonathan Osorio).

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: New York Red Bulls 0.94, Toronto FC 0.60, from 15 shots to 6 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Marcos de Oliveira, USA showed three yellow cards — against 2.8 yellows a game across the last 13 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Toronto FC: Zane Monlouis (52’), L. Morgan (67’) and Derrick Etienne (87’).

What it changes

New York Red Bulls have scored 39 goals, the fourth-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 30 games, ranked per game). New York Red Bulls have conceded 56 goals, the fourth-most of the 15 clubs.

Toronto FC have scored 46 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 15 clubs (2026 so far, after 30 games, ranked per game). Toronto FC have conceded 55 goals, the fifth-most of the 15 clubs.

Toronto FC are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, J. Bazan (New York Red Bulls) 6.5, N. Dorsch (Toronto FC) 5.7 and Jonathan Osorio (Toronto FC) 5.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, New York Red Bulls or Toronto FC (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4075 of 5235).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Result: New York Red Bulls 0–2 Toronto FC · Major League Soccer
Venue: Red Bull Arena · Harrison, New Jersey
Referee: Marcos de Oliveira, USA
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): New York Red Bulls 3 · draws 3 · Toronto FC 0 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: New York Red Bulls 3W 0D 2L · Toronto FC 1W 1D 3L

New York Red Bulls 0–2 Toronto FC (Major League Soccer): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 2 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.38 / 2.25 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.75

over 8 matches

5.38 / 4.88

Corners

against 6.38 / 5.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.75 / 5.25

Shots on target

against 5.63 / 6.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.13 / 1.75

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.85 yellows

Referee · Marcos de Oliveira, USA

25.46 fouls a game

Home and away split · Pro

over 13 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 15 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	New York Red Bulls for / against	Line	Toronto FC for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.75our book	1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.38 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	4.88 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.38 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.63 for · 14.38 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.75 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.25 for · 6.38 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	14.63 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Marcos de Oliveira, USA — 2.85 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 25.46 fouls over 13 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls Goalkeeper

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ethan Horvath	29	892588 min	963.3 /90	541.9 /90	10 /90

New York Red Bulls — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	4 6/6

New York Red Bulls Defensive

New York Red Bulls — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Dylan Nealis	25	842109 min	411.7 /90	291.2 /90	170.7 /90	1406 /90	291.2 /90	50.2 /90
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty	21	681433 min	301.9 /90	140.9 /90	70.4 /90	623.9 /90	120.8 /90	30.2 /90
Matthew Dos Santos	21	681422 min	251.6 /90	261.6 /90	00 /90	513.2 /90	161 /90	10.1 /90
J. Che	18	821478 min	332 /90	231.4 /90	201.2 /90	814.9 /90	140.9 /90	50.3 /90
J. Bazan	14	821151 min	302.3 /90	262 /90	100.8 /90	846.6 /90	161.3 /90	40.3 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	1.1 5/2	2.1 7/4	—
Adri Mehmeti n 8	74.8	0.6 4/0	0.8 3/2	—
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	57.4	1.4 4/1	0.2 1/0	—
Cade Cowell n 8	64.5	0.9 3/1	1.7 6/2	—
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New York Red Bulls — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	0.6 3/1
Adri Mehmeti n 8	74.8	1.4 5/3
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	57.4	0.6 3/0
Cade Cowell n 8	64.5	0.5 3/0
Ronald Donkor n 8	80.6	3.3 8/7
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New York Red Bulls Attacking

New York Red Bulls — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Julian Hall	28	862400 min	110.4 /90	30.1 /90	532 /90	331.2 /90	190.7 /90	371.4 /90
Jorge Ruvalcaba	27	701883 min	80.4 /90	10 /90	381.8 /90	201 /90	251.2 /90	140.7 /90
Cade Cowell	27	671818 min	20.1 /90	60.3 /90	341.7 /90	241.2 /90	402 /90	261.3 /90
Mohammed Sofo	19	50945 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	151.4 /90	60.6 /90	131.2 /90	80.8 /90
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting	11	40437 min	40.8 /90	10.2 /90	132.7 /90	91.9 /90	71.4 /90	51 /90
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New York Red Bulls — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	2.5 6/5	1.8 6/3
Adri Mehmeti n 8	74.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	57.4	1.6 5/1	0.6 3/0
Cade Cowell n 8	64.5	1.9 8/3	1.6 6/3
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New York Red Bulls — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for New York Red Bulls before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ethan Horvath n 8	84.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Julian Hall n 8	80.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
Adri Mehmeti n 8	74.8	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jorge Ruvalcaba n 8	57.4	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Cade Cowell n 8	64.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
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Toronto FC

Toronto FC Goalkeeper

Toronto FC — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Luka Gavran	29	882556 min	943.3 /90	511.8 /90	00 /90
William Yarbrough	1	6767 min	68.1 /90	11.3 /90	00 /90

Toronto FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Luka Gavran n 8	81.6	4 5/5

Toronto FC Defensive

Toronto FC — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
R. Laryea	23	912083 min	361.6 /90	210.9 /90	60.3 /90	1375.9 /90	311.3 /90	50.2 /90
Walker Zimmerman	21	831751 min	321.6 /90	371.9 /90	150.8 /90	1045.3 /90	201 /90	50.3 /90
Zane Monlouis	19	671273 min	181.3 /90	100.7 /90	70.5 /90	362.5 /90	70.5 /90	10.1 /90
Benjamin Kuscevic	16	831330 min	201.4 /90	241.6 /90	60.4 /90	583.9 /90	211.4 /90	50.3 /90
Kobe Franklin	15	781165 min	272.1 /90	211.6 /90	90.7 /90	544.2 /90	151.2 /90	00 /90
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Toronto FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Luka Gavran n 8	81.6	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Dániel Sallói n 8	79.8	0.3 2/0	1.3 4/3	—
Alonso Coello n 8	77.5	1.6 6/3	0.6 4/0	—
R. Laryea n 8	90	1 4/3	2.3 8/4	—
Josh Sargent n 8	86.1	1 6/2	2.2 7/6	—
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Toronto FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Dániel Sallói n 8	79.8	0 0/0
Alonso Coello n 8	77.5	1.5 5/3
R. Laryea n 8	90	1.3 5/3
Josh Sargent n 8	86.1	0.1 1/0
Walker Zimmerman n 8	81.5	1.9 6/5
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Toronto FC Attacking

Toronto FC — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Josh Sargent	22	781713 min	70.4 /90	20.1 /90	371.9 /90	180.9 /90	180.9 /90	221.2 /90
Derrick Etienne	19	611160 min	30.2 /90	00 /90	171.3 /90	100.8 /90	131 /90	60.5 /90
Theo Corbeanu	15	65976 min	30.3 /90	50.5 /90	161.5 /90	70.6 /90	201.8 /90	222 /90
Emilio Aristizábal	13	44567 min	40.6 /90	00 /90	121.9 /90	71.1 /90	71.1 /90	71.1 /90
Deandre Kerr	10	46457 min	00 /90	00 /90	91.8 /90	20.4 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90
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Toronto FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Luka Gavran n 8	81.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Dániel Sallói n 8	79.8	1.4 5/3	0.4 3/0
Alonso Coello n 8	77.5	0.9 5/1	0.4 2/1
R. Laryea n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Josh Sargent n 8	86.1	2.5 6/5	0.9 3/1
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Toronto FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Toronto FC before kick-off, to 15 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Luka Gavran n 8	81.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Dániel Sallói n 8	79.8	0.3 2/0	0.4 3/0
Alonso Coello n 8	77.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
R. Laryea n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Josh Sargent n 8	86.1	0.4 1/1	0 0/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
New York Red Bulls		Toronto FC
68%	Possession	32%
0.94	Expected goals (xG)	0.60
15	Shots	6
4	Shots on target	4
8	Shots off target	1
3	Blocked shots	1
11	Shots inside the box	2
7	Corners	1
3	Offsides	1
14	Fouls	15
0	Yellow cards	3
0	Red cards	0
3	Saves	3
517	Passes	249
86%	Pass accuracy	71%

New York Red Bulls Player Stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
Mohammed Sofo	90	0	0	2	0	6.6
J. Bazan	90	1	0	2	4	6.9
Ronald Donkor	90	0	0	1	1	7.3
Julian Hall	90	3	1	2	1	6.7
D. Padelford	90	0	0	0	5	6.6
Ethan Horvath	90	0	0	0	0	6.5
J. Che	71	2	1	0	1	7.3
Dylan Nealis	60	0	0	1	1	6.3
C. Harper	60	1	0	0	0	6.3
Cade Cowell	45	2	2	0	1	6.7
Adri Mehmeti	45	0	0	0	5	7.2
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting sub	45	1	0	1	0	6.7
Emil Forsberg sub	45	1	0	1	0	6.5
Jorge Ruvalcaba sub	30	0	0	0	0	6.5
Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty sub	30	0	0	1	0	6.5
Pedro Castro sub	19	1	0	0	0	6.5

Toronto FC Player Stats

Player	Min	G	A	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
N. Dorsch	90	0	0	2	1	0	7	0	7.6
Matheus Pereira	90	0	0	1	1	0	4	0	7.9
Zane Monlouis	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.9
Luka Gavran	90	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	8.2
Nickseon Gomis	90	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.6
Jonathan Osorio	90	0	1	0	0	2	0	0	7.2
Josh Sargent	86	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	8.5
L. Morgan	86	0	0	0	0	1	3	Y	6.9
Theo Corbeanu	68	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	6.2
D. Mihailovic	68	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	6.3
Kobe Franklin	28	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Jackson Gilman sub	62	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.9
Dániel Sallói sub	22	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	7.5
Derrick Etienne sub	22	0	0	0	0	0	1	Y	6.7
Alonso Coello sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
R. Chukwu sub	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6.6

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

New York Red BullsWWLWL

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Toronto FCLLLWD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

New York Red Bulls 3 · 3 draws · Toronto FC 0 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-03-14 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls
2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls
2025-03-22 New York Red Bulls 2–1 Toronto FC
2024-10-02 Toronto FC 1–4 New York Red Bulls
2024-07-28 New York Red Bulls 0–0 Toronto FC
2024-06-22 New York Red Bulls 3–0 Toronto FC

League standing · 2026

New York Red Bulls#10 pos42 pts34 pl-14 GD

Toronto FC#12 pos39 pts34 pl-15 GD

Goals per game

New York Red Bulls scored1.41

Toronto FC scored1.53

New York Red Bulls conceded1.82

Toronto FC conceded1.97

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC?: TACTIX’s free model pick for New York Red Bulls v Toronto FC was Home or Away (best price 1.26 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC?: In their last 6 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 3, Toronto FC won 0 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of New York Red Bulls and Toronto FC?: Recent form — New York Red Bulls 3W 0D 2L; Toronto FC 1W 1D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 2 Nov 2026, 03:25 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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