Altrincham v Carlisle prediction

National League · · Moss Lane

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Altrincham v Carlisle, National League on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.57 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Altrincham host Carlisle in the National League on Saturday 31 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Altrincham are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions. Carlisle are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Altrincham’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 10 of Altrincham’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Altrincham have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 0.57. Altrincham have scored 22 goals, the 12th-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Altrincham have conceded 20 goals, the sixth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Carlisle’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Carlisle’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Carlisle have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.00. Carlisle have scored 28 goals, the sixth-most of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Carlisle have conceded 21 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Altrincham (sixth) and Carlisle (ninth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Carlisle the stronger side, 60 rating points above Altrincham (Carlisle 1708, Altrincham 1647, after at least 62 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 31 January 2026, finished Carlisle 3–1 Altrincham.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

  • Kick-off: · National League · Moss Lane
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Altrincham 0 · draws 0 · Carlisle 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Altrincham 3W 2D 0L · Carlisle 4W 1D 0L

Altrincham v Carlisle (National League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 29 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Altrincham v Carlisle — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AltrinchamWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
CarlisleWDWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Altrincham 0 · 0 draws · Carlisle 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-31 Carlisle 3–1 Altrincham
  • 2025-09-20 Altrincham 1–2 Carlisle
League standing · 2026/27
Altrincham#6 pos28 pts15 pl+2 GD
Carlisle#9 pos23 pts15 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Altrincham scored1.47
Carlisle scored1.87
Altrincham conceded1.33
Carlisle conceded1.4

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 19 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Altrincham v Carlisle?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Altrincham v Carlisle is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Altrincham and Carlisle?
In their last 2 meetings, Altrincham won 0, Carlisle won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Altrincham and Carlisle?
Recent form — Altrincham 3W 2D 0L; Carlisle 4W 1D 0L.

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