Rochdale v York result

Full-time · Rochdale 1–1 York

National League ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Rochdale 1–1 York — this National League match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Rochdale and York drew 1–1 in the National League on Saturday 25 April. York have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Rochdale: Emmanuel Dieseruvwe (90’); York: J. Stones (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Emmanuel Dieseruvwe’s goal on 90 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Rochdale: Ryan East (35’), Harvey Gilmour (59’), J. Pritchard (90+2’), Tyler Smith (90+6’) and Emmanuel Dieseruvwe (90+6’); York: Oliver Banks (23’) and J. Stones (90+13’).

What it changes

Rochdale are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions. York are unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or York, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Rochdale next host Grimsby on 20 October 2026.

York next host Accrington ST on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Rochdale: Rochdale v Grimsby, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for York: York v Accrington ST, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Rochdale 1–1 York · National League
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Rochdale 1 · draws 1 · York 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rochdale 3W 1D 1L · York 5W 0D 0L

Rochdale 1–1 York (National League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rochdale v York — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
RochdaleWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
YorkWWWWW
Last 5: 5W 0D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Rochdale 1 · 1 draw · York 4 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2025-11-11 York 4–1 Rochdale
  • 2025-10-11 Rochdale 1–2 York
  • 2025-03-25 Rochdale 0–4 York
  • 2024-08-20 York 1–0 Rochdale
  • 2023-12-16 Rochdale 0–0 York
  • 2023-08-28 York 1–3 Rochdale
League standing · 2025/26
Rochdale#2 pos106 pts46 pl+47 GD
York#1 pos108 pts46 pl+73 GD
Goals per game
Rochdale scored1.91
York scored2.48
Rochdale conceded0.89
York conceded0.89

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Rochdale v York?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rochdale v York was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Rochdale and York?
In their last 6 meetings, Rochdale won 1, York won 4 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rochdale and York?
Recent form — Rochdale 3W 1D 1L; York 5W 0D 0L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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