Washington Spirit W v Portland Thorns W prediction

NWSL Women · Sun, 08 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · Audi Field

Updated 8 Nov 2026, 02:04 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Washington Spirit W · Portland Thorns W · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Washington Spirit W v Portland Thorns W, NWSL Women on Sun, 08 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home or Away

Best price: 1.25 at William Hill

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.9% of 5118 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Washington Spirit W host Portland Thorns W in the NWSL Women on Sunday 8 November (kick-off 20:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Washington Spirit W or Portland Thorns W (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Portland Thorns W’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Portland Thorns W have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Six of Washington Spirit W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Washington Spirit W’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). At home, Washington Spirit W have four wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 0.89 and conceding 1.11. Washington Spirit W have scored 43 goals, the eighth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 30 games). Washington Spirit W have conceded 28 goals, the second-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Nine of Portland Thorns W’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Away from home, Portland Thorns W have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 2.14 and conceding 2.00. Portland Thorns W have scored 50 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far, after 30 games). Portland Thorns W have conceded 41 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 16 clubs.

Portland Thorns W are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Washington Spirit W (third) and Portland Thorns W (sixth) are five points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Washington Spirit W the stronger side, 44 rating points above Portland Thorns W (Washington Spirit W 1587, Portland Thorns W 1543, after at least 186 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 6 September 2026, finished Portland Thorns W 1–2 Washington Spirit W.

Team news

Predicted Washington Spirit W XI (4-1-4-1): S. MacIver, G. Carle, E. Morgan, T. McKeown, L. Di Guglielmo, A. Sullivan, M. Bethi, T. Rodman, H. Hershfelt, L. Santos, C. Luvanga — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Trinity Rodman (5.0 per match over 22 appearances, eight goals and four assists) and Leicy Santos (4.3 per match over 14 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Washington Spirit W’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Washington Spirit W (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Trinity Rodman averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1771 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Leicy Santos averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1008 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Portland Thorns W XI (4-2-3-1): M. Arnold, J. Perry, R. Reyes, M. Vignola, I. Obaze, J. Fleming, N. Nijstad, C. Hanks, P. Tordin, M. Weaver, S. Wilson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sophia Wilson (6.4 per match over 19 appearances, 12 goals and four assists) and Pietra Tordin (4.9 per match over 21 appearances, five goals and four assists) have been Portland Thorns W’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Portland Thorns W (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Sophia Wilson averages 4.5 shots per 90 over 1594 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Pietra Tordin averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1751 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 20:00 GMT · NWSL Women · Audi Field
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Washington Spirit W 4 · draws 0 · Portland Thorns W 2 · 2.33 goals/game
Recent form: Washington Spirit W 3W 0D 2L · Portland Thorns W 2W 2D 1L

Washington Spirit W v Portland Thorns W (NWSL Women): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 8 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 1.75

Goals

against 1.13 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.88 / 6.38

Corners

against 5.5 / 5.5 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4.25 / 7.5

Shots on target

against 4.38 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.13 / 1.38

Cards

against 1.75 / 1.5 · 0 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 1 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 1 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Washington Spirit W for / against	Line	Portland Thorns W for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.88 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.38 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.75 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	17.13 for · 13.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.25 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	7.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	10.63 for · 11.5 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.13 for · 1.75 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.38 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5

Washington Spirit W

Washington Spirit W Goalkeeper

Washington Spirit W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Sandy MacIver	13	801034 min	282.4 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
Sandy MacIver	9	91820 min	303.3 /90	40.4 /90	00 /90

Washington Spirit W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Washington Spirit W before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Sandy MacIver n 8	80.6	2.8 6/4
Sandy MacIver n 8	91.3	3.2 7/5

Washington Spirit W Defensive

Washington Spirit W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Tara McKeown	21	841764 min	170.9 /90	301.5 /90	150.8 /90	502.6 /90	100.5 /90	20.1 /90
Esme Morgan	19	811544 min	291.7 /90	231.3 /90	100.6 /90	482.8 /90	50.3 /90	00 /90
G. Carle	19	801512 min	533.2 /90	261.5 /90	40.2 /90	885.2 /90	150.9 /90	20.1 /90
Kate Wiesner	11	65713 min	172.1 /90	81 /90	20.3 /90	273.4 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
Lucia Di Guglielmo	10	79791 min	222.5 /90	151.7 /90	20.2 /90	384.3 /90	80.9 /90	00 /90
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Washington Spirit W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Washington Spirit W before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Trinity Rodman n 8	91.3	1.2 6/2	1.4 8/3	—
Tara McKeown n 8	91.3	0.5 2/2	0.2 2/0	—
Hal Hershfelt n 8	79.5	1.3 6/2	0.7 3/1	—
Sofia Cantore n 8	74.3	0.5 2/1	0.8 5/0	—
Esme Morgan n 8	91.3	0.1 1/0	0.2 2/0	—
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Washington Spirit W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Washington Spirit W before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Trinity Rodman n 8	91.3	1.6 7/2
Tara McKeown n 8	91.3	0.4 3/0
Hal Hershfelt n 8	79.5	2.4 7/6
Sofia Cantore n 8	74.3	0.9 4/2
Esme Morgan n 8	91.3	1 3/1
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Washington Spirit W Attacking

Washington Spirit W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Sofia Cantore	21	621300 min	20.1 /90	00 /90	221.5 /90	70.5 /90	151 /90	70.5 /90
Rosemonde Kouassi	15	56844 min	00 /90	00 /90	121.3 /90	30.3 /90	111.2 /90	121.3 /90
Claudia Martínez	8	33266 min	10.3 /90	00 /90	51.7 /90	31 /90	00 /90	10.3 /90
Ashley Hatch	7	38268 min	00 /90	00 /90	72.4 /90	31 /90	72.4 /90	10.3 /90
Tamara Bolt	6	34204 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	52.2 /90	20.9 /90	62.6 /90	41.8 /90
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Washington Spirit W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Washington Spirit W before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Trinity Rodman n 8	91.3	3.6 8/6	1.4 8/3
Tara McKeown n 8	91.3	1.6 7/3	0.4 3/0
Hal Hershfelt n 8	79.5	0.7 4/1	0.1 1/0
Sofia Cantore n 8	74.3	1.7 6/3	0.5 3/0
Esme Morgan n 8	91.3	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
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Washington Spirit W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Washington Spirit W before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Trinity Rodman n 8	91.3	0.2 2/0	0.4 3/0
Tara McKeown n 8	91.3	0.2 2/0	0 0/0
Hal Hershfelt n 8	79.5	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
Sofia Cantore n 8	74.3	0.2 1/0	0 0/0
Esme Morgan n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
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Portland Thorns W

Portland Thorns W Goalkeeper

Portland Thorns W — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Mackenzie Arnold	21	881842 min	703.4 /90	221.1 /90	00 /90

Portland Thorns W — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Thorns W before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Mackenzie Arnold n 8	91.3	3.2 7/6

Portland Thorns W Defensive

Portland Thorns W — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Mary Alice Vignola	18	741335 min	261.8 /90	281.9 /90	30.2 /90	594 /90	130.9 /90	10.1 /90
Reyna Reyes	16	781250 min	261.9 /90	171.2 /90	100.7 /90	594.2 /90	70.5 /90	20.1 /90
Marie Müller	16	651041 min	252.2 /90	141.2 /90	30.3 /90	403.5 /90	70.6 /90	30.3 /90
Jayden Perry	14	841180 min	141.1 /90	141.1 /90	40.3 /90	473.6 /90	151.1 /90	50.4 /90
Sam Hiatt	14	811138 min	120.9 /90	100.8 /90	110.9 /90	272.1 /90	70.6 /90	00 /90
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Portland Thorns W — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Thorns W before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jessie Fleming n 8	91.3	1.2 7/3	0.6 4/1	—
Mackenzie Arnold n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0.4 2/1	—
Pietra Tordin n 8	85	0.5 2/1	1.2 6/3	—
Sophia Wilson n 8	82.8	1 5/2	0.8 3/2	—
Mary Alice Vignola n 8	66.1	0.7 4/0	0.2 1/0	—
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Portland Thorns W — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Thorns W before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jessie Fleming n 8	91.3	2.8 7/6
Pietra Tordin n 8	85	1.5 7/3
Sophia Wilson n 8	82.8	1.2 6/3
Mary Alice Vignola n 8	66.1	1.5 6/3
Reyna Reyes n 8	75.3	2.1 8/3
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Portland Thorns W Attacking

Portland Thorns W — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Sophia Wilson	19	841594 min	120.7 /90	40.2 /90	804.5 /90	442.5 /90	321.8 /90	251.4 /90
Reilyn Turner	13	60778 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	192.2 /90	91 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90
Jessie Fleming	21	881842 min	10 /90	20.1 /90	70.3 /90	30.1 /90	432.1 /90	110.5 /90
Pietra Tordin	21	831751 min	50.3 /90	40.2 /90	432.2 /90	180.9 /90	402.1 /90	271.4 /90
Cassandra Bogere	11	55610 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	10.1 /90	30.4 /90	20.3 /90
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Portland Thorns W — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Thorns W before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jessie Fleming n 8	91.3	0.2 2/0	0.1 1/0
Mackenzie Arnold n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pietra Tordin n 8	85	3 8/6	1.3 6/2
Sophia Wilson n 8	82.8	5.8 8/7	2.7 7/7
Mary Alice Vignola n 8	66.1	0.3 1/1	0.2 1/0
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Portland Thorns W — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Portland Thorns W before kick-off, to 1 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Mackenzie Arnold n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jessie Fleming n 8	91.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Pietra Tordin n 8	85	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
Sophia Wilson n 8	82.8	0.8 5/1	0.4 2/1
Mary Alice Vignola n 8	66.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Washington Spirit W v Portland Thorns W — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Washington Spirit WLWWLW

Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.4 scored / 1 conceded per game

Portland Thorns WDLDWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Washington Spirit W 4 · 0 draws · Portland Thorns W 2 · 2.33 goals/game

2026-09-06 Portland Thorns W 1–2 Washington Spirit W
2026-03-14 Washington Spirit W 0–1 Portland Thorns W
2025-11-15 Washington Spirit W 2–0 Portland Thorns W
2025-08-03 Washington Spirit W 2–1 Portland Thorns W
2025-06-15 Portland Thorns W 2–0 Washington Spirit W
2024-09-07 Washington Spirit W 2–1 Portland Thorns W

League standing · 2026

Washington Spirit W#3 pos55 pts30 pl+15 GD

Portland Thorns W#6 pos50 pts30 pl+9 GD

Goals per game

Washington Spirit W scored1.43

Portland Thorns W scored1.67

Washington Spirit W conceded0.93

Portland Thorns W conceded1.37

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Washington Spirit W v Portland Thorns W?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Washington Spirit W v Portland Thorns W is Home or Away (best price 1.25 at William Hill).
What is the head-to-head record between Washington Spirit W and Portland Thorns W?: In their last 6 meetings, Washington Spirit W won 4, Portland Thorns W won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Washington Spirit W and Portland Thorns W?: Recent form — Washington Spirit W 3W 0D 2L; Portland Thorns W 2W 2D 1L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 8 Nov 2026, 02:04 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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