Bohemians v Shelbourne prediction

Premier Division · · Dalymount Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Bohemians vs Shelbourne, Premier Division on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 19:45 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 645 landed (95% range 61.8–69.1%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Bohemians host Shelbourne in the Premier Division (Ireland) on Friday 23 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Bohemians have scored in nine consecutive matches. Bohemians have scored 60 goals, the most of the 10 clubs (2026 so far).

Shelbourne have scored in five consecutive matches.

Form and the table

11 of Bohemians’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Bohemians’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Bohemians have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.13. Bohemians have conceded 41 goals, the third-fewest of the 10 clubs (2026 so far).

Shelbourne are unbeaten in their last four matches. 10 of Shelbourne’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 12 of Shelbourne’s last 15 results (80%). Away from home, Shelbourne have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.38. Shelbourne have scored 49 goals, the fifth-most of the 10 clubs (2026 so far). Shelbourne have conceded 47 goals, the fifth-fewest of the 10 clubs.

Bohemians (second) and Shelbourne (fourth) are 16 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bohemians the stronger side, 146 rating points above Shelbourne (Bohemians 1766, Shelbourne 1620, after at least 196 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Bohemians are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Shelbourne. The most recent meeting, on 22 June 2026, finished Shelbourne 0–3 Bohemians.

Team news

Predicted Bohemians XI (4-2-3-1): P. Walters, P. Hickey, D. Power, C. Byrne, S. Mullen, R. Tierney, J. Flores, C. Parsons, D. Devoy, H. Vaughan, D. James-Taylor — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Dawson Devoy (4.7 per match over 30 appearances, four goals and five assists) and Ross Tierney (3.9 per match over 33 appearances, 10 goals and three assists) have been Bohemians’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Bohemians (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Dawson Devoy averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 2731 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Ross Tierney averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 2663 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Shelbourne XI (5-4-1): E. Beach, O. Casey, K. Ledwidge, J. Norris, M. Mbeng, S. Gannon, K. McInroy, J. Henry-Francis, E. Caffrey, D. Kelly, M. Odubeko — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Harry Wood (5.0 per match over 21 appearances, six goals and five assists) and Jack Henry-Francis (3.7 per match over 26 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Shelbourne’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Shelbourne (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Harry Wood averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 2450 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Jack Henry-Francis averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1824 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Premier Division · Dalymount Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Bohemians 2 · draws 3 · Shelbourne 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Bohemians 4W 0D 1L · Shelbourne 3W 1D 1L

Bohemians v Shelbourne (Premier Division): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

2.5 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.63 / 1.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 5.25
Corners
against 3.25 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 4.5
Shots on target
against 4.13 / 3.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 3.13
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameBohemians for / againstLineShelbourne for / against
Goals scored
2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 3.25 against n 8
9.5standard
5.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
Shots
18.13 for · 9.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15.38 for · 14.25 against n 8
Shots on target
6.88 for · 4.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.75 for · 13.38 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 9.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
3.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
Bohemians
Bohemians — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Mullen n 870.9
1.96/2
1.35/2
—
Markuss Strods n 826.4
1.73/1
00/0
—
D. Rooney n 842.1
1.64/1
1.13/1
—
Zane Myers n 820.8
1.62/1
1.12/0
—
N. Morahan n 814.1
1.62/0
0.81/0
—
Bohemians — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Zane Myers n 820.8
3.34/2
1.12/0
D. James-Taylor n 856.6
36/3
1.25/1
R. Tierney n 887.8
2.77/5
1.56/3
C. Whelan n 846.3
2.76/3
1.95/2
P. Madden n 825.3
2.24/1
0.92/0
Bohemians — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Whelan n 846.3
0.72/1
0.52/0
Zane Myers n 820.8
0.51/0
0.51/0
N. Morahan n 814.1
00/0
0.81/0
D. James-Taylor n 856.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
D. Devoy n 889.6
0.32/0
0.31/1
Bohemians — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Morahan n 814.1
3.21/1
A. McDonnell n 815.1
2.22/1
S. Mullen n 870.9
2.16/2
D. Rooney n 842.1
2.15/1
D. Devoy n 889.6
28/6
Bohemians — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
P. Walters n 890
2.56/5
Shelbourne
Shelbourne — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
O. Casey n 890
2.37/5
1.57/3
—
S. Boyd n 844.1
2.36/2
1.84/3
—
J. Martin n 856.6
2.26/2
1.86/3
—
A. Coote n 832.1
2.15/1
0.72/0
—
Sean Boyd n 821
2.14/0
1.62/1
—
Shelbourne — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Odubeko n 852.4
3.78/6
1.34/1
D. Kelly n 886.6
3.47/7
14/3
S. Moore n 857.1
2.66/4
1.86/3
J. Martin n 856.6
2.65/4
1.64/2
Sean Boyd n 821
2.13/1
1.62/1
Shelbourne — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Sean Boyd n 821
1.11/1
00/0
D. Kelly n 886.6
0.43/0
0.53/1
J. Martin n 856.6
0.62/1
0.21/0
S. Moore n 857.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
M. Odubeko n 852.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
Shelbourne — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
W. Jarvis n 828.4
4.46/4
Jack Henry-Francis n 870.1
3.78/6
James Roche n 615.2
33/0
Sean Gannon n 832
2.84/2
O. Casey n 890
2.57/6
Shelbourne — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Eddie Beach n 880.8
3.36/5
C. Walsh n 878.9
33/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Bohemians v Shelbourne — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BohemiansWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
ShelbourneLWDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Bohemians 2 · 3 draws · Shelbourne 1 · 2.83 goals/game
  • 2026-06-22 Shelbourne 0–3 Bohemians
  • 2026-05-04 Bohemians 2–2 Shelbourne
  • 2026-03-16 Shelbourne 0–0 Bohemians
  • 2025-10-26 Bohemians 2–3 Shelbourne
  • 2025-08-09 Shelbourne 2–2 Bohemians
  • 2025-05-16 Bohemians 1–0 Shelbourne
League standing · 2026
Bohemians#2 pos62 pts34 pl+19 GD
Shelbourne#4 pos46 pts34 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Bohemians scored1.76
Shelbourne scored1.44
Bohemians conceded1.21
Shelbourne conceded1.38

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Bohemians vs Shelbourne?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Bohemians v Shelbourne is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Bohemians and Shelbourne?
In their last 6 meetings, Bohemians won 2, Shelbourne won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Bohemians and Shelbourne?
Recent form — Bohemians 4W 0D 1L; Shelbourne 3W 1D 1L.

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