Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers prediction

Premier Division · Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT · Oriel Park

Updated 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Dundalk · Shamrock Rovers · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers, Premier Division on Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.57 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67% of 581 landed (95% range 63–70.7%); it had given them 76.4% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Dundalk host Shamrock Rovers in the Premier Division (Ireland) on Friday 30 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 14 of Dundalk’s last 15 results in all competitions (93%).

Dundalk are winless in their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of Dundalk’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). At home, Dundalk have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 0.14 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 2.43. Dundalk have scored 52 goals, the fourth-most of the 10 clubs (2026 so far). Dundalk have conceded 58 goals, the third-most of the 10 clubs.

Nine of Shamrock Rovers’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Shamrock Rovers’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Shamrock Rovers have no wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.33 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 2.17. Shamrock Rovers have scored 58 goals, the second-most of the 10 clubs (2026 so far). Shamrock Rovers have conceded 35 goals, the second-fewest of the 10 clubs.

Dundalk (seventh) and Shamrock Rovers (first) are 26 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Shamrock Rovers the stronger side, 290 rating points above Dundalk (Shamrock Rovers 1724, Dundalk 1434, after at least 233 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 August 2026, finished Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Dundalk.

Team news

Predicted Dundalk XI (4-2-3-1): E. Minogue, T. Grivosti, B. Burns, E. Vassenin, M. Animasahun, D. Horgan, A. Dervin, K. Buckley, R. Teahan, T. Clarke, C. Dillon — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Eoin Kenny (5.1 per match over 18 appearances, four goals and three assists) and D. Horgan (4.9 per match over 30 appearances, 11 goals and 10 assists) have been Dundalk’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Dundalk (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Eoin Kenny averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1357 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. D. Horgan averages 2.5 key passes per 90 over 2565 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Shamrock Rovers XI (3-1-4-2): E. McGinty, Pico, L. Grace, D. Cleary, D. Watts, T. Sobowale, M. Healy, A. Brennan, G. Burke, J. McGovern, M. Noonan — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lee Grace (3.6 per match over 27 appearances, one goal and one assist) and Dylan Watts (3.1 per match over 25 appearances, seven goals and five assists) have been Shamrock Rovers’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Shamrock Rovers (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Lee Grace averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 2123 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Dylan Watts averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1501 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT · Premier Division · Oriel Park
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Head-to-head (last 6): Dundalk 2 · draws 1 · Shamrock Rovers 3 · 1.83 goals/game
Recent form: Dundalk 0W 1D 4L · Shamrock Rovers 4W 0D 1L

Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers (Premier Division): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 28 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1.88

Goals

against 2.13 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

4.75 / 6

Corners

against 3.5 / 3.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

4 / 5.63

Shots on target

against 5 / 4.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

2.25 / 2.88

Cards

against 2.13 / 1.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 23 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 23 October 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Dundalk for / against	Line	Shamrock Rovers for / against
Goals scored	1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1.88 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	4.75 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	14.88 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	12.88 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.63 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10.5 for · 13.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11.88 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2.88 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5

Dundalk

Dundalk Goalkeeper

Dundalk — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
E. Minogue	26	892324 min	722.8 /90	311.2 /90
C. Kearns	5	91453 min	163.2 /90	61.2 /90
P. Cherrie	1	2323 min	13.9 /90	00 /90

Dundalk — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundalk before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Minogue n 8	90	2.8 4/3
C. Kearns n 5	90.6	3.2 5/3

Dundalk Defensive

Dundalk — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
B. Burns	31	822543 min	572 /90	471.7 /90	100.4 /90	1696 /90	411.5 /90	80.3 /90
T. Wilson	21	781637 min	170.9 /90	100.5 /90	80.4 /90	764.2 /90	80.4 /90	30.2 /90
M. Animasahun	20	751491 min	321.9 /90	231.4 /90	100.6 /90	1499 /90	241.4 /90	40.2 /90
T. Wilson	16	871397 min	372.4 /90	110.7 /90	90.6 /90	654.2 /90	120.8 /90	30.2 /90
R. Cornwall	16	771237 min	141 /90	141 /90	80.6 /90	836 /90	171.2 /90	40.3 /90
See more players · Pro Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Dundalk — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundalk before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
B. Burns n 8	82.4	0.8 3/2	0.7 4/1	—
D. Horgan n 8	90	0.6 4/1	0.4 2/1	—
A. Dervin n 8	63	0.5 2/1	1.1 4/2	—
K. Buckley n 8	76.6	1.6 6/3	1 6/1	—
D. McDaid n 8	37.9	0.9 2/1	0.9 2/1	—
See more players · Pro

Dundalk — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundalk before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
B. Burns n 8	82.4	2.6 7/4
D. Horgan n 8	90	0.8 4/1
A. Dervin n 8	63	1.3 4/1
K. Buckley n 8	76.6	1.6 7/2
D. McDaid n 8	37.9	0.9 3/0
See more players · Pro

Dundalk Attacking

Dundalk — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
G. Arubi	19	741411 min	70.4 /90	20.1 /90	392.5 /90	191.2 /90	221.4 /90	90.6 /90
C. Dillon	11	64701 min	10.1 /90	00 /90	131.7 /90	40.5 /90	50.6 /90	50.6 /90
Leonardo Gaxha	10	41410 min	00 /90	00 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90	30.7 /90	30.7 /90
D. Mullen	9	53480 min	20.4 /90	00 /90	193.6 /90	91.7 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
D. Horgan	30	862565 min	110.4 /90	100.4 /90	652.3 /90	250.9 /90	712.5 /90	190.7 /90
See more players · Pro

Dundalk — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundalk before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
B. Burns n 8	82.4	1.5 8/2	0.1 1/0
D. Horgan n 8	90	2.3 7/5	0.4 3/0
A. Dervin n 8	63	0.7 4/0	0.2 1/0
K. Buckley n 8	76.6	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
D. McDaid n 8	37.9	0.9 2/1	0.6 2/0
See more players · Pro

Dundalk — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Dundalk before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
B. Burns n 8	82.4	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. Horgan n 8	90	0.3 2/0	0.1 1/0
A. Dervin n 8	63	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Buckley n 8	76.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
D. McDaid n 8	37.9	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0
See more players · Pro

Shamrock Rovers

Shamrock Rovers Goalkeeper

Shamrock Rovers — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Ed McGinty	32	912899 min	722.2 /90	210.7 /90	00 /90

Shamrock Rovers — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shamrock Rovers before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Ed McGinty n 8	90	3.1 8/4

Shamrock Rovers Defensive

Shamrock Rovers — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Tunmise Sobowale	29	812355 min	371.4 /90	240.9 /90	100.4 /90	1104.2 /90	281.1 /90	60.2 /90
L. Grace	27	792123 min	612.6 /90	200.8 /90	150.6 /90	1536.5 /90	160.7 /90	20.1 /90
Pico	20	881765 min	321.6 /90	191 /90	50.3 /90	1025.2 /90	140.7 /90	40.2 /90
Cory O'Sullivan	18	711284 min	251.8 /90	80.6 /90	60.4 /90	513.6 /90	171.2 /90	50.4 /90
Enda Stevens	12	891071 min	211.8 /90	110.9 /90	60.5 /90	564.7 /90	151.3 /90	60.5 /90
See more players · Pro

Shamrock Rovers — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shamrock Rovers before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Ed McGinty n 8	90	0 0/0	0.1 1/0	—
Jack Byrne n 8	59.9	0.8 3/1	0.8 2/1	—
M. Healy n 8	80.5	2.1 8/5	1.4 5/3	—
Tunmise Sobowale n 8	74.5	0.6 4/0	0.9 4/2	—
L. Grace n 8	84.4	1.1 5/3	1.3 5/2	—
See more players · Pro

Shamrock Rovers — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shamrock Rovers before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jack Byrne n 8	59.9	0.2 1/0
M. Healy n 8	80.5	1.5 6/5
Tunmise Sobowale n 8	74.5	1.4 7/2
L. Grace n 8	84.4	3.2 8/7
Graham Burke n 8	78.6	0.4 3/0
See more players · Pro

Shamrock Rovers Attacking

Shamrock Rovers — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Graham Burke	27	651749 min	70.4 /90	40.2 /90	492.5 /90	201 /90	291.5 /90	160.8 /90
Michael Noonan	26	591537 min	60.4 /90	00 /90	281.6 /90	150.9 /90	60.4 /90	80.5 /90
John McGovern	25	501243 min	90.7 /90	50.4 /90	282 /90	171.2 /90	130.9 /90	110.8 /90
Aaron Greene	22	461006 min	50.4 /90	00 /90	201.8 /90	90.8 /90	211.9 /90	50.4 /90
Maleace Asamoah	6	41246 min	00 /90	00 /90	31.1 /90	31.1 /90	20.7 /90	62.2 /90
See more players · Pro

Shamrock Rovers — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shamrock Rovers before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Ed McGinty n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jack Byrne n 8	59.9	0.8 4/0	0 0/0
M. Healy n 8	80.5	1 6/1	0.4 3/0
Tunmise Sobowale n 8	74.5	0.6 4/0	0.2 1/0
L. Grace n 8	84.4	0.8 4/2	0.3 1/1
See more players · Pro

Shamrock Rovers — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Shamrock Rovers before kick-off, to 23 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Ed McGinty n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Jack Byrne n 8	59.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
M. Healy n 8	80.5	0 0/0	0 0/0
Tunmise Sobowale n 8	74.5	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
L. Grace n 8	84.4	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
See more players · Pro

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

DundalkLLLDL

Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1 scored / 2.4 conceded per game

Shamrock RoversWWWLW

Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Dundalk 2 · 1 draw · Shamrock Rovers 3 · 1.83 goals/game

2026-08-07 Shamrock Rovers 3–2 Dundalk
2026-05-15 Dundalk 1–0 Shamrock Rovers
2026-02-23 Shamrock Rovers 1–1 Dundalk
2024-10-27 Dundalk 0–1 Shamrock Rovers
2024-07-04 Shamrock Rovers 1–0 Dundalk
2024-05-17 Dundalk 1–0 Shamrock Rovers

League standing · 2026

Dundalk#7 pos42 pts35 pl-6 GD

Shamrock Rovers#1 pos68 pts35 pl+23 GD

Goals per game

Dundalk scored1.49

Shamrock Rovers scored1.66

Dundalk conceded1.66

Shamrock Rovers conceded1

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 246 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)

Pro

Win probability & value

Pro

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers is Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.57 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Dundalk and Shamrock Rovers?: In their last 6 meetings, Dundalk won 2, Shamrock Rovers won 3 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dundalk and Shamrock Rovers?: Recent form — Dundalk 0W 1D 4L; Shamrock Rovers 4W 0D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 28 Oct 2026, 20:36 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.