ArsenalBournemouth

Arsenal v Bournemouth result

Full-time · Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth

Premier League · · Emirates Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Arsenal · Bournemouth · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth — Bournemouth won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5270 landed (95% range 76.7–78.9%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 2,041 of 2,727 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Arsenal: 3.16 to 1.40 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 15 shots to 8, ahead on xG from the 52nd minute (per-shot expected goals for this match). The result went the other way.

The result

Bournemouth won 2–1 at Emirates Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 11 April. Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 1–1 at half-time. The goals — Bournemouth: E. Kroupi (17’) and Alex Scott (74’, assisted by Evanilson); Arsenal: Viktor Gyökeres (35’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Alex Scott’s goal on 74 minutes.

Discipline

M. Oliver showed four yellow cards — against 3.3 yellows a game across the last 22 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Arsenal: Viktor Gyökeres (80’); Bournemouth: Adrien Truffert (77’), E. Kroupi (79’) and James Hill (90+6’).

What it changes

Arsenal stay first after this result (32 league matches played). Arsenal have scored 67 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 35 games, ranked per game). Arsenal have conceded 26 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs.

Bournemouth move up from 10th to ninth (32 league matches played). Bournemouth have scored 55 goals, the fifth-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 35 games, ranked per game). Bournemouth have conceded 52 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Alex Scott (Bournemouth) 6.5, Marcus Tavernier (Bournemouth) 5.1 and Ben White (Arsenal) 4.5 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Arsenal or Bournemouth (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (4101 of 5270).

Next up

Arsenal next travel to Newcastle on 21 November 2026.

Bournemouth next host Nottingham Forest on 21 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Arsenal: Newcastle v Arsenal, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Bournemouth: Bournemouth v Nottingham Forest, Saturday 21 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth · Premier League
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium · London
  • Referee: M. Oliver
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Arsenal 4 · draws 0 · Bournemouth 2 · 3.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arsenal 3W 0D 2L · Bournemouth 0W 5D 0L

Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.25 / 1
Goals
against 0.75 / 0.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6 / 6.13
Corners
against 3.88 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 4.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 2
Cards
against 2.13 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
3.27 yellows
Referee · M. Oliver
22.77 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 22 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 April 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 April 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameArsenal for / againstLineBournemouth for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 0.75 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 0.63 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 3.88 against n 8
9.5standard
6.13 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
14.88 for · 10.75 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
10.5 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.75 against n 8

Referee: M. Oliver — 3.27 yellow cards a game, 0.09 red cards, 22.77 fouls over 22 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

Create free account Try Pro for £1.00 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
David Raya41903690 min771.9 /90250.6 /9000 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga990807 min212.3 /90101.1 /9000 /90
Robert Sánchez19090 min11 /9011 /9000 /90
Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
David Raya n 890
2.87/4
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 889.6
2.66/4

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
J. Timber41763129 min832.4 /90290.8 /9060.2 /901805.2 /90451.3 /9060.2 /90
Gabriel Magalhães39813145 min461.3 /90210.6 /90441.3 /901935.5 /90240.7 /9040.1 /90
William Saliba37853139 min431.2 /90210.6 /9090.3 /901494.3 /90310.9 /9020.1 /90
Piero Hincapié28732044 min492.2 /90251.1 /90100.4 /901165.1 /90190.8 /9030.1 /90
Riccardo Calafiori28661849 min401.9 /90211 /9030.1 /901185.7 /90311.5 /9070.3 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Martín Zubimendi n 884
0.85/1
0.32/0
Alex Scott
Viktor Gyökeres n 867.1
1.36/1
1.36/2
Evanilson
David Raya n 890
00/0
0.43/0
—
Declan Rice n 888.3
0.94/2
0.52/1
Alex Scott
J. Timber n 871.6
0.84/1
0.84/1
—
See more players · Pro
Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 884
1.67/3
Viktor Gyökeres n 867.1
00/0
Declan Rice n 888.3
1.97/5
J. Timber n 871.6
27/3
Bukayo Saka n 884
2.17/4
See more players · Pro

Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Viktor Gyökeres42672804 min170.5 /9020.1 /90561.8 /90311 /90260.8 /90100.3 /90
Bukayo Saka40712832 min90.3 /9050.2 /90611.9 /90431.4 /90762.4 /90591.9 /90
Leandro Trossard36642321 min60.2 /9070.3 /90421.6 /90170.7 /90401.6 /90271 /90
Gabriel Martinelli30571697 min100.5 /9050.3 /90392.1 /90201.1 /90271.4 /90382 /90
Noni Madueke27581575 min60.3 /9030.2 /90281.6 /90171 /90301.7 /90422.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 884
0.43/0
00/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 867.1
0.74/0
0.74/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 888.3
0.42/1
0.31/1
J. Timber n 871.6
0.52/1
0.31/1
See more players · Pro
Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Martín Zubimendi n 884
00/0
00/0
Viktor Gyökeres n 867.1
0.32/0
00/0
David Raya n 890
00/0
00/0
Declan Rice n 888.3
0.11/0
0.11/0
J. Timber n 871.6
0.21/0
0.32/0
See more players · Pro

Bournemouth

Bournemouth Goalkeeper

Bournemouth — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
Đ. Petrović32902886 min942.9 /90461.4 /9000 /90
Bournemouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Đ. Petrović n 890
3.68/6

Bournemouth Defensive

Bournemouth — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Adrien Truffert31892750 min832.7 /90401.3 /9090.3 /901715.6 /90321 /9030.1 /90
M. Senesi31872711 min501.7 /90471.6 /90371.2 /901575.2 /90270.9 /9080.3 /90
Álex Jiménez26751961 min542.5 /90241.1 /90110.5 /901145.2 /90261.2 /9080.4 /90
J. Hill20781566 min271.6 /90301.7 /90110.6 /901277.3 /90110.6 /9020.1 /90
B. Diakité16821305 min201.4 /90120.8 /9050.3 /90604.1 /9080.6 /9010.1 /90
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
Adrien Truffert n 890
1.17/2
0.43/0
—
M. Senesi n 890
15/2
0.95/1
—
Alex Scott n 890
1.45/4
1.96/5
Declan Rice
Evanilson n 876.5
0.43/0
0.94/2
Viktor Gyökeres
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Adrien Truffert n 890
27/5
M. Senesi n 890
1.16/2
Alex Scott n 890
2.37/4
Evanilson n 876.5
0.11/0
M. Tavernier n 886.1
0.94/3
See more players · Pro

Bournemouth Attacking

Bournemouth — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Evanilson30752236 min60.2 /9000 /90502 /90230.9 /90251 /90130.5 /90
A. Adli23481097 min30.2 /9010.1 /90131.1 /9080.7 /90151.2 /9090.7 /90
E. Kroupi21561184 min70.5 /9000 /90221.7 /90141.1 /90191.4 /9090.7 /90
E. Ünal425101 min00 /9000 /9021.8 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
B. Doak23162 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9011.5 /90
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Senesi n 890
0.85/1
0.32/0
Alex Scott n 890
1.36/3
0.64/1
Evanilson n 876.5
1.95/3
14/3
See more players · Pro
Bournemouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Bournemouth before kick-off, to 7 April 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Đ. Petrović n 890
00/0
00/0
Adrien Truffert n 890
00/0
0.32/0
M. Senesi n 890
00/0
00/0
Alex Scott n 890
0.11/0
00/0
Evanilson n 876.5
0.11/0
00/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
ArsenalBournemouth
52%Possession48%
2.32Expected goals (xG)1.19
15Shots8
3Shots on target3
4Shots off target3
8Blocked shots2
10Shots inside the box5
10Corners1
2Offsides0
12Fouls18
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
1Saves2
389Passes367
81%Pass accuracy80%

Arsenal Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
David Raya9000000006.2
William Saliba9000001106.3
Gabriel Magalhães9000000106.9
Myles Lewis-Skelly9000000206.9
Declan Rice9000112307.9
Viktor Gyökeres90103100Y6.7
Ben White7600001206.6
Martín Zubimendi7600000306.7
Noni Madueke5400000206.9
K. Havertz5400200206
Gabriel Martinelli5400001006.5
Eberechi Eze sub3600001106.9
Leandro Trossard sub3600001006.3
Max Dowman sub3600001006.2
Cristhian Mosquera sub1400000007
Gabriel Jesus sub1400111006.6

Bournemouth Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Đ. Petrović9000000006
J. Hill90000013Y7.2
M. Senesi9000000406.9
Adrien Truffert90000002Y6.9
Alex Scott9010211108.3
M. Tavernier9000101306.9
Álex Jiménez8900000206.9
Evanilson8901111006.5
E. Kroupi85101100Y6.5
R. Christie7000100206.7
Rayan7000001106.3
D. Brooks sub2000000107
T. Adams sub2000000106.6
A. Tóth sub1100000006.3
A. Smith sub10000000–
E. Ünal sub10000000–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arsenal v Bournemouth — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ArsenalWWLLW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
BournemouthDDDDD
Last 5: 0W 5D 0L · 0.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Arsenal 4 · 0 draws · Bournemouth 2 · 3.67 goals/game
  • 2026-01-03 Bournemouth 2–3 Arsenal
  • 2025-05-03 Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth
  • 2024-10-19 Bournemouth 2–0 Arsenal
  • 2024-05-04 Arsenal 3–0 Bournemouth
  • 2023-09-30 Bournemouth 0–4 Arsenal
  • 2023-03-04 Arsenal 3–2 Bournemouth
League standing · 2025/26
Arsenal#1 pos85 pts38 pl+44 GD
Bournemouth#6 pos57 pts38 pl+4 GD
Goals per game
Arsenal scored1.87
Bournemouth scored1.53
Arsenal conceded0.71
Bournemouth conceded1.42

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Arsenal 3.16 xG from 15 shots, Bournemouth 1.40 from 8. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kai Havertz 52' · 0.86 xGKai Havertz 19' · 0.55 xGViktor Gyokeres 78' · 0.45 xGGabriel Jesus 85' · 0.12 xGEli Junior Kroupi 25' · 0.11 xGViktor Gyokeres 92' · 0.09 xGTyler Adams 71' · 0.07 xGGabriel 69' · 0.07 xGEvanilson 39' · 0.06 xGGabriel 33' · 0.06 xGMyles Lewis-Skelly 68' · 0.06 xGViktor Gyokeres 91' · 0.05 xGDeclan Rice 86' · 0.03 xGMarcus Tavernier 92' · 0.02 xGDeclan Rice 32' · 0.02 xGDeclan Rice 51' · 0.02 xGDeclan Rice 67' · 0.02 xGRyan Christie 65' · 0.02 xGAlex Scott 71' · 0.01 xGBen White 69' · 0.01 xGViktor Gyokeres 34' · 0.76 xG · goalEli Junior Kroupi 16' · 0.76 xG · goalAlex Scott 73' · 0.35 xG · goal
Arsenal (attacking right)Bournemouth (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Arsenal1513.16
Bournemouth821.40

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Arsenal led on xG, 1.39 to 0.93, 0.76 of it from a penalty, level on open-play xG. At full time, Arsenal led on xG, 3.16 to 1.40, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.78 xG to Arsenal, in the 92nd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
3.21.600′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Bournemouth 16 minGoal - Arsenal 34 minGoal - Bournemouth 73 min
Arsenal 3.16 xGBournemouth 1.40 xGdots = goals · 23 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Arsenal v Bournemouth?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arsenal v Bournemouth was Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Arsenal and Bournemouth?
In their last 6 meetings, Arsenal won 4, Bournemouth won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arsenal and Bournemouth?
Recent form — Arsenal 3W 0D 2L; Bournemouth 0W 5D 0L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+