Newcastle v Arsenal prediction

Premier League · Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Newcastle · Arsenal · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Newcastle v Arsenal, Premier League on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Newcastle host Arsenal in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Arsenal have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game).

Arsenal have scored in nine consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Newcastle’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Newcastle have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.71 and conceding 1.43. Newcastle have scored 13 goals, the eighth-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game). Newcastle have conceded 16 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs.

Seven of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in six of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Arsenal have seven wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 10 away matches in all competitions — 2.30 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.90. Arsenal have scored 15 goals, the seventh-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games, ranked per game).

Newcastle are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Arsenal are unbeaten in their last nine matches in all competitions. Newcastle (11th) and Arsenal (first) are 15 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arsenal the stronger side, 403 rating points above Newcastle (Arsenal 1937, Newcastle 1534, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Arsenal are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Newcastle. The most recent meeting, on 25 April 2026, finished Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle.

Team news

Predicted Newcastle XI (4-2-3-1): L. Horníček, L. Hall, A. Dedić, D. Burn, M. Thiaw, H. Barnes, N. González, J. Willock, J. Murphy, Joelinton, W. Osula — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Lewis Hall (5.2 per match over 13 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Harvey Barnes (3.9 per match over 13 appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Newcastle’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Newcastle (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Lewis Hall averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1462 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. Harvey Barnes averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1087 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Arsenal XI (4-2-3-1): D. Raya, G. Magalhães, E. Konsa, J. Timber, R. Calafiori, D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, N. Madueke, B. Guimarães, E. Eze, V. Gyökeres — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bukayo Saka (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Declan Rice (4.1 per match over 15 appearances, one goal and five assists) have been Arsenal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arsenal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bukayo Saka averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1364 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Declan Rice averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1866 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Premier League
Head-to-head (last 6): Newcastle 3 · draws 0 · Arsenal 3 · 1.67 goals/game
Recent form: Newcastle 1W 1D 3L · Arsenal 4W 1D 0L

Newcastle v Arsenal (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.63

Goals

against 1.88 / 0.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5 / 6.14

Corners

against 4.75 / 4.14 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.38 / 5.14

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 2.57 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.63 / 1.71

Cards

against 2.25 / 2.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 7 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 7 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Newcastle for / against	Line	Arsenal for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.63 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6.14 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	14.75 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	14.57 for · 11.57 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	4.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	5.14 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	11.5 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	9.14 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.71 for · 2.14 against n 7 Last 5

Newcastle

Newcastle Goalkeeper

Newcastle — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
L. Horníček	12	901080 min	413.4 /90	131.1 /90	00 /90
E. Jaouen	1	9090 min	11 /90	22 /90	00 /90

Newcastle — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
L. Horníček n 8	90	3.1 8/5

Newcastle Defensive

Newcastle — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Lewis Hall	13	901169 min	282.2 /90	231.8 /90	110.8 /90	816.2 /90	120.9 /90	10.1 /90
A. Dedić	11	77850 min	161.7 /90	60.6 /90	50.5 /90	363.8 /90	121.3 /90	10.1 /90
S. Botman	9	90810 min	60.7 /90	80.9 /90	91 /90	596.6 /90	30.3 /90	20.2 /90
M. Thiaw	9	89805 min	20.2 /90	70.8 /90	121.3 /90	374.1 /90	91 /90	10.1 /90
F. Schär	5	77384 min	10.2 /90	20.5 /90	92.1 /90	174 /90	51.2 /90	30.7 /90
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Newcastle — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Lewis Hall n 8	90	0.8 4/2	2.3 8/5	—
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.4 3/0	1.1 6/1	—
J. Willock n 8	61.8	0.7 2/2	1.3 4/2	—
L. Horníček n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0	—
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	1.6 5/3	1.2 3/2	—
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Newcastle — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	1.9 7/3
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.8 5/1
J. Willock n 8	61.8	1.5 7/1
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	0.5 3/0
A. Dedić n 8	72.5	1.4 5/3
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Newcastle Attacking

Newcastle — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Y. Wissa	12	69833 min	10.1 /90	10.1 /90	272.9 /90	70.8 /90	70.8 /90	101.1 /90
M. Fernandez-Pardo	7	49345 min	00 /90	00 /90	20.5 /90	10.3 /90	30.8 /90	51.3 /90
W. Osula	6	65387 min	10.2 /90	10.2 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90	61.4 /90	10.2 /90
B. Touré	6	30181 min	21 /90	00 /90	63 /90	42 /90	31.5 /90	42 /90
N. Woltemade	2	55109 min	00 /90	10.8 /90	10.8 /90	00 /90	21.7 /90	21.7 /90
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Newcastle — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	1 5/2	0.6 5/0
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	2.4 8/7	1.1 6/2
J. Willock n 8	61.8	2 7/4	0.9 4/1
L. Horníček n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	3.3 8/5	0.8 4/1
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Newcastle — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Newcastle before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Lewis Hall n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
H. Barnes n 8	82.8	0.1 1/0	0.3 1/1
J. Willock n 8	61.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
L. Horníček n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Wissa n 8	68.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
David Raya	15	901350 min	342.3 /90	60.4 /90	10.1 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
David Raya n 8	90	2.3 6/4
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 8	89.6	1.8 5/2

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães	16	871395 min	181.2 /90	191.2 /90	110.7 /90	684.4 /90	171.1 /90	20.1 /90
E. Konsa	13	841097 min	201.6 /90	121 /90	30.2 /90	655.3 /90	110.9 /90	20.2 /90
Riccardo Calafiori	12	77921 min	151.5 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	393.8 /90	80.8 /90	10.1 /90
Ben White	10	78784 min	182.1 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	434.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
J. Timber	8	63504 min	101.8 /90	50.9 /90	10.2 /90	285 /90	61.1 /90	10.2 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.8 5/1	—
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 4/1	—
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	0.7 4/1	0.5 3/1	—
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	0.4 2/1	1.3 5/3	—
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	1.5 5/2	1.1 4/2	—
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	1.4 7/3
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	2 5/4
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	0.4 2/1
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	0.4 2/0
E. Konsa n 8	86.5	1.8 6/3
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Havertz	14	66921 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	161.6 /90	90.9 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90
Viktor Gyökeres	11	46506 min	10.2 /90	30.5 /90	40.7 /90	30.5 /90	132.3 /90	00 /90
Declan Rice	15	821232 min	10.1 /90	50.4 /90	130.9 /90	40.3 /90	201.5 /90	80.6 /90
Martin Ødegaard	14	801113 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	161.3 /90	90.7 /90	342.7 /90	110.9 /90
Bruno Guimarães	13	53683 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	162.1 /90	50.7 /90	50.7 /90	70.9 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 1/1
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	1.1 4/2	0.5 3/1
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	1.1 4/3	0.6 3/1
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	1.5 5/3	0.6 3/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 7 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	85.4	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.8	0.1 1/0	0.1 1/0
K. Havertz n 8	60.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Newcastle v Arsenal — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

NewcastleLWLLD

Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

ArsenalWDWWW

Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 1.4 scored / 0.4 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Newcastle 3 · 0 draws · Arsenal 3 · 1.67 goals/game

2026-04-25 Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle
2025-09-28 Newcastle 1–2 Arsenal
2025-05-18 Arsenal 1–0 Newcastle
2025-02-05 Newcastle 2–0 Arsenal
2025-01-07 Arsenal 0–2 Newcastle
2024-11-02 Newcastle 1–0 Arsenal

League standing · 2026/27

Newcastle#11 pos12 pts10 pl-3 GD

Arsenal#1 pos27 pts10 pl+10 GD

Goals per game

Newcastle scored1.3

Arsenal scored1.5

Newcastle conceded1.6

Arsenal conceded0.5

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle and Arsenal?: In their last 6 meetings, Newcastle won 3, Arsenal won 3 and there were 0 draws, averaging 1.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Newcastle and Arsenal?: Recent form — Newcastle 1W 1D 3L; Arsenal 4W 1D 0L.

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