Arsenal v Hull City prediction

Premier League · Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Emirates Stadium

Updated 6 Nov 2026, 01:52 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Arsenal · Hull City

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Arsenal v Hull City, Premier League on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT.

Free pick

Home win

Best price: 1.18 at Betano

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home win in the last 90 days, 78.5% of 279 landed (95% range 73.3–82.9%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated a home win between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 178 of 266 times (66.9%), against an average rating of 68.4%. How we measure →

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Arsenal host Hull City in the Premier League on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Arsenal to win, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Arsenal have conceded five goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Arsenal are unbeaten in their last eight matches in all competitions. Hull City are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Arsenal have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Arsenal’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). At home, Arsenal have five wins, no draws and no defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 3.00 points per game, scoring 2.40 and conceding 0.40. Arsenal have scored 14 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Five of Hull City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Hull City’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Hull City have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.00. Hull City have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Hull City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Arsenal (first) and Hull City (11th) are 13 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arsenal the stronger side, 413 rating points above Hull City (Arsenal 1931, Hull City 1518, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Arsenal XI (4-2-3-1): D. Raya, G. Magalhães, E. Konsa, B. White, J. Timber, D. Rice, M. Ødegaard, N. Madueke, E. Eze, M. Merino, V. Gyökeres — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bukayo Saka (4.7 per match over 11 appearances, four goals and one assist) and Declan Rice (4.2 per match over 14 appearances, one goal and five assists) have been Arsenal’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arsenal (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bukayo Saka averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1364 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Declan Rice averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1803 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Hull City XI (5-4-1): K. Tzolakis, S. Ajayi, L. Coyle, J. Egan, R. Giles, N. Mendy, R. Slater, M. Belloumi, T. Iroegbunam, E. Stroud, O. McBurnie — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mohamed Belloumi (5.5 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Konstantinos Tzolakis (3.8 per match over nine appearances) have been Hull City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hull City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mohamed Belloumi averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 703 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Konstantinos Tzolakis averages 3.5 saves per 90 over 1328 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Premier League · Emirates Stadium
Referee: Farai Hallam
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Arsenal 3W 2D 0L · Hull City 0W 3D 2L

Arsenal v Hull City (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 6 November 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.75 / 1

Goals

against 0.63 / 1.38 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.25

over 8 matches

5.43 / 5.75

Corners

against 4.14 / 6.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

4.57 / 3

Shots on target

against 3 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

1.86 / 2.63

Cards

against 2 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 4 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 4 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Arsenal for / against	Line	Hull City for / against
Goals scored	1.75 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5	3.25our book	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.43 for · 4.14 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	5.75 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	13.43 for · 12.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	11.13 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	4.57 for · 3 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	3 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	10 for · 14.86 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.25 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.86 for · 2 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	2.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Arsenal

Arsenal Goalkeeper

Arsenal — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
David Raya	14	901260 min	322.3 /90	50.4 /90	10.1 /90
Kepa Arrizabalaga	1	9090 min	11 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Arsenal — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
David Raya n 8	90	2.3 6/4
Kepa Arrizabalaga n 8	89.6	1.8 5/2

Arsenal Defensive

Arsenal — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Gabriel Magalhães	15	871305 min	171.2 /90	191.3 /90	90.6 /90	634.3 /90	161.1 /90	20.1 /90
E. Konsa	12	841007 min	191.7 /90	100.9 /90	20.2 /90	585.2 /90	111 /90	20.2 /90
Riccardo Calafiori	11	77852 min	151.6 /90	60.6 /90	20.2 /90	363.8 /90	70.7 /90	10.1 /90
Ben White	10	78784 min	182.1 /90	60.7 /90	20.2 /90	434.9 /90	50.6 /90	00 /90
J. Timber	7	59414 min	81.7 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90	235 /90	51.1 /90	10.2 /90
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Arsenal — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	1.1 6/2	0.9 6/1	—
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0.5 3/1	—
Declan Rice n 8	88.8	0.8 5/1	0.5 3/1	—
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.1	0.4 2/1	1.3 5/3	—
K. Havertz n 8	63.5	1.8 6/3	1.2 5/2	—
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Arsenal — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	1.6 7/4
Declan Rice n 8	88.8	2.2 6/5
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.1	0.6 3/1
K. Havertz n 8	63.5	0.4 2/0
E. Konsa n 8	86.5	1.7 5/3
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Arsenal Attacking

Arsenal — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
K. Havertz	13	66858 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	161.7 /90	90.9 /90	101 /90	30.3 /90
Viktor Gyökeres	10	48479 min	10.2 /90	30.6 /90	40.8 /90	20.4 /90	132.4 /90	00 /90
Declan Rice	14	841169 min	10.1 /90	50.4 /90	100.8 /90	20.2 /90	201.5 /90	60.5 /90
Martin Ødegaard	13	791023 min	40.4 /90	10.1 /90	141.2 /90	80.7 /90	292.6 /90	111 /90
Bruno Guimarães	12	50594 min	20.3 /90	00 /90	142.1 /90	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	71.1 /90
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Arsenal — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	0.5 3/1	0.3 1/1
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	88.8	0.8 4/1	0.3 2/0
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.1	0.9 3/2	0.4 2/1
K. Havertz n 8	63.5	1.9 6/4	0.7 4/0
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Arsenal — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Arsenal before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Gabriel Magalhães n 8	90	0.1 1/0	0 0/0
David Raya n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Declan Rice n 8	88.8	0.1 1/0	0.4 3/0
Martin Ødegaard n 8	78.1	0 0/0	0.1 1/0
K. Havertz n 8	63.5	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
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Hull City

Hull City Goalkeeper

Hull City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Tzolakis	9	90810 min	323.6 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
D. Phillips	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Hull City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Tzolakis n 8	90	3.4 6/6
D. Phillips n 3	91.7	2.6 3/2

Hull City Defensive

Hull City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Egan	10	80798 min	131.5 /90	91 /90	91 /90	343.8 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90
L. Coyle	10	76763 min	121.4 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90	242.8 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
S. Ajayi	9	87784 min	172 /90	101.1 /90	00 /90	394.5 /90	30.3 /90	20.2 /90
R. Giles	9	76686 min	101.3 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90	202.6 /90	20.3 /90	10.1 /90
L. Herrington	8	53422 min	71.5 /90	40.9 /90	51.1 /90	194.1 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Hull City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Egan n 8	77.3	0.7 3/2	0.4 3/0	—
R. Slater n 8	77.1	0.9 4/2	0.6 3/1	—
L. Coyle n 8	81	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1	—
K. Tzolakis n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 4/1	—
Oliver McBurnie n 8	88.5	1.4 7/3	1.8 8/4	—
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Hull City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Egan n 8	77.3	1.6 6/4
R. Slater n 8	77.1	2 7/3
L. Coyle n 8	81	1.5 6/3
Oliver McBurnie n 8	88.5	0.5 3/1
S. Ajayi n 8	90	2.1 8/5
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Hull City Attacking

Hull City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Oliver McBurnie	9	89798 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	101.1 /90	50.6 /90	91 /90	91 /90
M. Cho	5	40202 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.7 /90	31.3 /90	52.2 /90	20.9 /90
J. Gelhardt	3	39117 min	10.8 /90	00 /90	53.8 /90	43.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
L. Millar	2	2550 min	11.8 /90	00 /90	35.4 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Slater	10	80797 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	91 /90	60.7 /90
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Hull City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Egan n 8	77.3	0.9 5/1	0.1 1/0
R. Slater n 8	77.1	1 6/1	0.3 2/0
L. Coyle n 8	81	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
K. Tzolakis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Oliver McBurnie n 8	88.5	1 5/2	0.4 3/0
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Hull City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 4 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Egan n 8	77.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Slater n 8	77.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Coyle n 8	81	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Tzolakis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Oliver McBurnie n 8	88.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Arsenal v Hull City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ArsenalDWDWW

Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

Hull CityLDLDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Arsenal#1 pos24 pts9 pl+9 GD

Hull City#11 pos11 pts9 pl+1 GD

Goals per game

Arsenal scored1.56

Hull City scored1.22

Arsenal conceded0.56

Hull City conceded1.11

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Expected goals (xG)

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Win probability & value

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who is predicted to win Arsenal v Hull City?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Arsenal v Hull City is Home win (best price 1.18 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Arsenal and Hull City?: Recent form — Arsenal 3W 2D 0L; Hull City 0W 3D 2L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 6 Nov 2026, 01:52 UK. How it works → · Report an error

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