BrightonWolves

Brighton v Wolves result

Full-time · Brighton 3–0 Wolves

Premier League · · American Express Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Brighton · Wolves · Head-to-head

The model’s pre-match pick

Brighton 3–0 Wolves — Brighton won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 67.4% of 543 landed (95% range 63.4–71.2%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 544 of 845 times (64.4%), against an average rating of 67.7%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Brighton: 2.22 to 0.52 in expected goals, from 13 shots to 5, ahead on xG from the 0th minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Brighton beat Wolves 3–0 at American Express Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May. Wolves are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Brighton led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Brighton: Jack Hinshelwood (1’, assisted by Maxim De Cuyper), Lewis Dunk (5’, assisted by Maxim De Cuyper) and Y. Minteh (86’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Jack Hinshelwood’s goal on 1 minutes.

Discipline

J. Brooks showed three yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Brighton: K. Mitoma (24’); Wolves: Hwang Hee-Chan (49’) and André (68’).

What it changes

Brighton move up from seventh to sixth (36 league matches played). Brighton have scored 52 goals, the 10th-most of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Brighton have conceded 46 goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Wolves stay 20th after this result (36 league matches played). Wolves have scored 27 goals, the fewest of the 20 clubs (2025/26 so far, after 38 games). Wolves have conceded 68 goals, the second-most of the 20 clubs.

Brighton have scored in seven consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton) 9.2, Y. Minteh (Brighton) 7.5 and João Gomes (Wolves) 7.0 led the match.

Head-to-head

Brighton are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Wolves.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included.

Next up

Brighton next host Brentford on 8 November 2026.

Wolves next travel to Wrexham on 7 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Brighton: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview. Next for Wolves: Wrexham v Wolves, Saturday 7 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Brighton 3–0 Wolves · Premier League
  • Venue: American Express Stadium · Falmer, East Sussex
  • Referee: J. Brooks
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Brighton 2 · draws 3 · Wolves 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Brighton 3W 1D 1L · Wolves 0W 2D 3L

Brighton 3–0 Wolves (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.63 / 1
Goals
against 1 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.25
Corners
against 5.5 / 5.75 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4 / 5.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 2.13
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
4.09 yellows
Referee · J. Brooks
18.91 fouls a game
Home and away split · Pro
over 11 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 2 May 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 2 May 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameBrighton for / againstLineWolves for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1 against n 8
3.25our book
1 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 5.75 against n 8
Shots
13 for · 11 against n 8
19.5standard
10.25 for · 14.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5.38 for · 4 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
11 for · 12 against n 8
Cards shown
2.5 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 2.5 against n 8

Referee: J. Brooks — 4.09 yellow cards a game, 0.18 red cards, 18.91 fouls over 11 matches.

The referee's home and away split · Pro

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Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen35903150 min992.8 /90421.2 /9010 /90
Jason Steele590450 min224.4 /9061.2 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
2.96/6
Jason Steele n 890
3.86/5

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
F. Kadıoğlu39833246 min631.7 /90270.7 /9070.2 /901464 /90240.7 /9070.2 /90
J. van Hecke36873128 min521.5 /90381.1 /90310.9 /902055.9 /90270.8 /90100.3 /90
L. Dunk30892655 min331.1 /90291 /90280.9 /901143.9 /90150.5 /90110.4 /90
M. Wieffer25731836 min643.1 /90251.2 /9070.3 /901366.7 /90301.5 /9080.4 /90
M. De Cuyper21581214 min171.3 /90100.7 /9010.1 /90453.3 /90181.3 /9020.1 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
0.63/1
1.46/4
S. Bueno
J. van Hecke n 890
0.84/2
15/2
S. Bueno
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
D. Gómez n 873.4
3.48/8
0.21/0
—
D. Welbeck n 875.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
1.34/3
J. van Hecke n 890
2.38/6
D. Gómez n 873.4
3.17/6
D. Welbeck n 875.4
0.73/2
Y. Minteh n 870.3
37/5
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
D. Welbeck33672203 min130.5 /9020.1 /90451.8 /90261.1 /90230.9 /90120.5 /90
G. Rutter30641909 min30.1 /9030.1 /90301.4 /90160.8 /90281.3 /90271.3 /90
C. Kostoulas943385 min00 /9010.2 /9092.1 /9030.7 /9051.2 /9071.6 /90
S. Tzimas934309 min30.9 /9020.6 /9072 /9051.5 /9061.7 /9020.6 /90
H. Howell460238 min10.4 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9020.8 /9031.1 /9020.8 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
15/2
0.52/1
J. van Hecke n 890
0.53/1
0.32/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 873.4
1.26/1
0.64/0
D. Welbeck n 875.4
1.97/5
1.36/2
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
F. Kadıoğlu n 890
0.11/0
00/0
J. van Hecke n 890
00/0
0.11/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 873.4
0.32/0
0.21/0
D. Welbeck n 875.4
0.63/1
0.11/0
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Wolves

Wolves Goalkeeper

Wolves — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
José Sá22901980 min542.5 /90391.8 /9000 /90
S. Johnstone17901537 min523 /90301.8 /9000 /90
D. Bentley290180 min42 /9042 /9000 /90
Wolves — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
José Sá n 890
3.56/4
S. Johnstone n 890
2.86/3

Wolves Defensive

Wolves — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
S. Bueno31882740 min531.7 /90311 /90250.8 /901183.9 /90301 /9060.2 /90
L. Krejčí30842520 min321.1 /90361.3 /90180.6 /901134 /90321.1 /9060.2 /90
Y. Mosquera27822213 min592.4 /90230.9 /90150.6 /901576.4 /90331.3 /90120.5 /90
Rodrigo Gomes2144926 min201.9 /9080.8 /9020.2 /90393.8 /9070.7 /9010.1 /90
Toti Gomes18821477 min241.5 /90120.7 /90120.7 /90704.3 /90110.7 /9020.1 /90
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Wolves — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
João Gomes n 889.4
1.88/4
2.18/5
—
André n 889.9
1.57/3
1.36/3
—
Hugo Bueno n 888.1
0.85/1
1.16/2
—
S. Bueno n 890
0.94/3
0.43/0
J. van Hecke
L. Krejčí n 884.5
0.73/2
0.11/0
—
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Wolves — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.4
3.58/6
André n 889.9
2.87/7
Hugo Bueno n 888.1
2.46/5
S. Bueno n 890
1.56/2
L. Krejčí n 884.5
1.56/4
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Wolves Attacking

Wolves — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Arokodare27591591 min60.3 /9020.1 /90442.5 /90181 /90120.7 /90181 /90
J. Strand Larsen26611593 min60.3 /9020.1 /90261.5 /90140.8 /9090.5 /9050.3 /90
Hwang Hee-Chan25591475 min30.2 /9030.2 /90211.3 /9070.4 /90150.9 /9090.5 /90
M. Mane24721726 min20.1 /9000 /90311.6 /90130.7 /90221.1 /90261.4 /90
A. Armstrong13791029 min10.1 /9020.2 /90111 /9050.4 /9090.8 /9090.8 /90
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Wolves — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.4
0.43/0
0.32/0
André n 889.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Hugo Bueno n 888.1
0.43/0
0.11/0
S. Bueno n 890
0.42/1
0.32/0
L. Krejčí n 884.5
0.53/1
0.31/1
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Wolves — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Wolves before kick-off, to 2 May 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
João Gomes n 889.4
0.11/0
0.11/0
André n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
Hugo Bueno n 888.1
00/0
0.11/0
S. Bueno n 890
0.11/0
00/0
L. Krejčí n 884.5
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
BrightonWolves
72%Possession28%
1.62Expected goals (xG)0.49
14Shots5
6Shots on target1
5Shots off target4
3Blocked shots0
10Shots inside the box4
7Corners1
1Offsides3
9Fouls11
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Saves3
578Passes225
86%Pass accuracy68%

Brighton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
B. Verbruggen9000000007
F. Kadıoğlu9000000106.9
J. van Hecke9000000107.3
L. Dunk9010410008.2
P. Groß9000111407
Y. Minteh9010112208
M. De Cuyper8802006109.3
J. Hinshelwood8810110008
C. Baleba7600100306.9
D. Welbeck7600220206.9
K. Mitoma58001001Y6.6
J. Veltman sub3200000006.9
G. Rutter sub1400000006.2
Y. Ayari sub1400000006.3
S. March sub1000000006.3
C. Kostoulas sub1000000006.3

Wolves Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
D. Bentley9000000007.3
Y. Mosquera9000100406.3
S. Bueno9000000005.9
Toti Gomes9000000106.2
André90000011Y6.2
A. Armstrong9000000006.2
João Gomes8900000806.9
Hwang Hee-Chan89001000Y5.9
Pedro Lima6700000106.2
M. Mane6700111107
Hugo Bueno4500000106.2
D. Møller Wolfe sub4500001006.5
Rodrigo Gomes sub2300000006
J. Bellegarde sub2300002007.3
A. Gomes sub900100006.3
T. Arokodare sub900100006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Brighton v Wolves — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
BrightonWWDWL
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
WolvesDLLLD
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.6 scored / 2.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Brighton 2 · 3 draws · Wolves 1 · 2.33 goals/game
  • 2025-10-05 Wolves 1–1 Brighton
  • 2025-05-10 Wolves 0–2 Brighton
  • 2024-10-26 Brighton 2–2 Wolves
  • 2024-09-18 Brighton 3–2 Wolves
  • 2024-02-28 Wolves 1–0 Brighton
  • 2024-01-22 Brighton 0–0 Wolves
League standing · 2025/26
Brighton#8 pos53 pts38 pl+6 GD
Wolves#20 pos20 pts38 pl-41 GD
Goals per game
Brighton scored1.37
Wolves scored0.71
Brighton conceded1.21
Wolves conceded1.79

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Brighton 2.22 xG from 13 shots, Wolves 0.52 from 5. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Kaoru Mitoma 13' · 0.51 xGTolu Arokodare 92' · 0.26 xGPascal Groß 77' · 0.15 xGDanny Welbeck 47' · 0.10 xGCarlos Baleba 53' · 0.09 xGYerson Mosquera 52' · 0.09 xGDanny Welbeck 20' · 0.08 xGHee-Chan Hwang 52' · 0.08 xGMateus Mané 65' · 0.07 xGKaoru Mitoma 45' · 0.05 xGKaoru Mitoma 32' · 0.03 xGLewis Dunk 35' · 0.03 xGJack Hinshelwood 74' · 0.03 xGLewis Dunk 39' · 0.03 xGAngel Gomes 96' · 0.02 xGJack Hinshelwood 0' · 0.45 xG · goalYankuba Minteh 85' · 0.38 xG · goalLewis Dunk 4' · 0.29 xG · goal
Brighton (attacking right)Wolves (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Brighton1332.22
Wolves500.52

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Brighton led on xG, 1.47 to 0.00. At full time, Brighton led on xG, 2.22 to 0.52. The widest gap was 1.98 xG to Brighton, in the 85th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.21.100′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Brighton 0 minGoal - Brighton 4 minGoal - Brighton 85 min
Brighton 2.22 xGWolves 0.52 xGdots = goals · 18 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Brighton v Wolves?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Brighton v Wolves was Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Brighton and Wolves?
In their last 6 meetings, Brighton won 2, Wolves won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 2.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Brighton and Wolves?
Recent form — Brighton 3W 1D 1L; Wolves 0W 2D 3L.

Today’s Boards

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

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