Chelsea v Liverpool prediction

Premier League · Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Stamford Bridge

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Chelsea · Liverpool · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Chelsea v Liverpool, Premier League on Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Chelsea host Liverpool in the Premier League on Saturday 5 December (kick-off 15:00 UK).

Form and the table

Nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Chelsea’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Chelsea have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 1.50. Chelsea have scored 19 goals, the third-most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Chelsea have conceded 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in nine of Liverpool’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Liverpool have five wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 2.50 points per game, scoring 2.67 and conceding 1.33. Liverpool have scored 14 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 10 games). Liverpool have conceded 10 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Chelsea (fifth) and Liverpool (fourth) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Liverpool the stronger side, 178 rating points above Chelsea (Liverpool 1782, Chelsea 1604, after at least 352 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Chelsea are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Liverpool. The most recent meeting, on 28 October 2026, finished Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea.

Team news

Predicted Chelsea XI (4-2-3-1): M. Penders, L. Colwill, W. Fofana, J. Acheampong, M. Lacroix, M. Caicedo, J. Henderson, M. Rogers, C. Palmer, R. Lavia, D. Welbeck — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, João Pedro (5.9 per match over seven appearances, five goals and three assists) and Morgan Rogers (5.6 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and four assists) have been Chelsea’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Chelsea (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), João Pedro averages 2.0 shots per 90 over 638 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last nine appearances. Morgan Rogers averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1817 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Liverpool XI (4-2-3-1): A. Becker, V. van Dijk, J. Jacquet, R. Araújo, M. Kerkez, A. Mac Allister, F. Wirtz, T. Nyoni, B. Barcola, C. Gakpo, A. Isak — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Cody Gakpo (5.6 per match over 12 appearances, three goals and six assists) and Florian Wirtz (4.2 per match over 15 appearances, two goals and four assists) have been Liverpool’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Liverpool (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Cody Gakpo averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 1674 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Florian Wirtz averages 2.8 key passes per 90 over 1947 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT · Premier League · Stamford Bridge
Head-to-head (last 6): Chelsea 2 · draws 2 · Liverpool 2 · 2.5 goals/game
Recent form: Chelsea 2W 1D 2L · Liverpool 2W 1D 2L

Chelsea v Liverpool (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.5 / 2.5

Goals

against 1.25 / 1.63 · 0 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

6.29 / 8.14

Corners

against 5 / 3.14 · 3 of the last 4 over 9.5

over 7 matches

5.71 / 5.57

Shots on target

against 4.43 / 4 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.14 / 1.71

Cards

against 3.86 / 2.57 · 4 of the last 4 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 8 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 8 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Chelsea for / against	Line	Liverpool for / against
Goals scored	1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	2.5 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	6.29 for · 5 against n 7 Last 5	9.5standard	8.14 for · 3.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	12.57 for · 11.14 against n 7 Last 5	19.5standard	20.14 for · 14.14 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	5.71 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5	8.5standard	5.57 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	9.43 for · 13.71 against n 7 Last 5	21.5standard	12.86 for · 9.43 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.14 for · 3.86 against n 7 Last 5	3.5standard	1.71 for · 2.57 against n 7 Last 5

Chelsea

Chelsea Goalkeeper

Chelsea — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded
E. Martínez	6	88525 min	254.3 /90	111.9 /90
M. Penders	6	78465 min	122.3 /90	20.4 /90
Robert Sánchez	1	9090 min	44 /90	22 /90

Chelsea — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Martínez n 6	87.5	4.3 6/6
M. Penders n 6	77.5	2.3 3/3
Robert Sánchez n 8	87	3.1 6/5

Chelsea Defensive

Chelsea — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Levi Colwill	10	82823 min	101.1 /90	60.7 /90	40.4 /90	434.7 /90	91 /90	20.2 /90
Joshua Kofi Acheampong	10	76761 min	273.2 /90	50.6 /90	30.4 /90	455.3 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
Pep Chavarría	10	57573 min	101.6 /90	91.4 /90	00 /90	193 /90	60.9 /90	00 /90
M. Lacroix	9	90810 min	151.7 /90	91 /90	50.6 /90	384.2 /90	60.7 /90	10.1 /90
J. Hato	7	62437 min	122.5 /90	40.8 /90	30.6 /90	234.7 /90	40.8 /90	00 /90
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Chelsea — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.1 5/3	1.9 6/4	—
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	1.1 6/2	2 7/5	—
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	1.3 5/3	0.6 4/0	—
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	1.1 5/2	0.5 3/1	—
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.8 5/0	0.3 2/0	—
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Chelsea — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	1.3 6/3
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	1.7 7/4
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	2 7/4
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	1 5/1
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	2.9 7/5
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Chelsea Attacking

Chelsea — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
João Pedro	7	77538 min	50.8 /90	30.5 /90	142.3 /90	91.5 /90	71.2 /90	71.2 /90
Estêvão	5	55275 min	00 /90	00 /90	92.9 /90	31 /90	103.3 /90	103.3 /90
D. Welbeck	4	66262 min	31 /90	00 /90	82.7 /90	41.4 /90	20.7 /90	10.3 /90
J. Bynoe-Gittens	1	4545 min	00 /90	00 /90	24 /90	24 /90	12 /90	12 /90
C. Palmer	12	851023 min	50.4 /90	30.3 /90	332.9 /90	151.3 /90	292.6 /90	181.6 /90
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Chelsea — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	2.4 6/4	0.9 5/2
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	1.2 6/3	0.8 5/1
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	1.9 8/3	1.7 8/3
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0.3 1/1	0.2 1/0
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Chelsea — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Chelsea before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
C. Palmer n 8	83.8	0.4 2/1	0.3 2/0
M. Rogers n 8	83.6	0.4 3/0	0.4 1/1
Pedro Neto n 8	78.4	0.4 2/1	0.1 1/0
Levi Colwill n 8	82.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Joshua Kofi Acheampong n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
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Liverpool

Liverpool Goalkeeper

Liverpool — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
Alisson Becker	14	901260 min	342.4 /90	120.9 /90	00 /90
G. Mamardashvili	1	9090 min	55 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Liverpool — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Alisson Becker n 8	90	2.1 4/2
G. Mamardashvili n 8	86	3.7 8/6

Liverpool Defensive

Liverpool — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
Jérémy Jacquet	15	821226 min	352.6 /90	251.8 /90	110.8 /90	805.9 /90	141 /90	20.1 /90
V. van Dijk	14	861198 min	100.8 /90	141.1 /90	20.2 /90	604.5 /90	110.8 /90	30.2 /90
R. Araújo	13	72939 min	121.2 /90	101 /90	70.7 /90	565.4 /90	90.9 /90	30.3 /90
M. Kerkez	12	841003 min	211.9 /90	121.1 /90	40.4 /90	544.8 /90	191.7 /90	40.4 /90
Jeremie Frimpong	7	58404 min	92 /90	51.1 /90	00 /90	163.6 /90	61.3 /90	20.4 /90
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Liverpool — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0.9 6/1	0.7 3/2	—
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	1.2 5/4	0.7 3/2	—
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	1.3 5/2	0.9 4/3	—
F. Wirtz n 8	68.9	2.1 6/4	1.3 4/3	—
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Liverpool — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	2.8 7/5
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0.7 4/1
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	1.4 6/4
F. Wirtz n 8	68.9	1.6 5/3
R. Araújo n 8	72.1	1.4 5/3
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Liverpool Attacking

Liverpool — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
A. Isak	12	74886 min	80.8 /90	10.1 /90	262.6 /90	121.2 /90	90.9 /90	90.9 /90
L. Koumas	4	79317 min	10.3 /90	10.3 /90	72 /90	30.9 /90	10.3 /90	20.6 /90
A. Mac Allister	14	781097 min	50.4 /90	10.1 /90	252.1 /90	100.8 /90	191.6 /90	80.7 /90
F. Wirtz	14	751044 min	20.2 /90	40.3 /90	242.1 /90	90.8 /90	322.8 /90	141.2 /90
B. Barcola	13	65841 min	30.3 /90	30.3 /90	222.4 /90	80.9 /90	121.3 /90	171.8 /90
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Liverpool — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0.8 5/1	0.1 1/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	1.2 6/2	0.3 1/1
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	2.3 7/5	0.9 5/2
F. Wirtz n 8	68.9	3.1 6/4	1 3/3
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Liverpool — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Liverpool before kick-off, to 8 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Jérémy Jacquet n 8	84.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
Alisson Becker n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
V. van Dijk n 8	82.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
A. Mac Allister n 8	90	0.4 2/1	0 0/0
F. Wirtz n 8	68.9	0.3 2/0	0.5 3/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Chelsea v Liverpool — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

ChelseaWLDWL

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

LiverpoolWDLLW

Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.2 conceded per game

Head-to-head last 6

Chelsea 2 · 2 draws · Liverpool 2 · 2.5 goals/game

2026-10-28 Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
2026-05-09 Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
2025-10-04 Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool
2025-05-04 Chelsea 3–1 Liverpool
2024-10-20 Liverpool 2–1 Chelsea
2024-02-25 Chelsea 0–1 Liverpool

League standing · 2026/27

Chelsea#5 pos16 pts10 pl+3 GD

Liverpool#4 pos18 pts10 pl+4 GD

Goals per game

Chelsea scored1.9

Liverpool scored1.4

Chelsea conceded1.6

Liverpool conceded1

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Liverpool?: In their last 6 meetings, Chelsea won 2, Liverpool won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Chelsea and Liverpool?: Recent form — Chelsea 2W 1D 2L; Liverpool 2W 1D 2L.

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