This Matchweek

CoventryBrighton

Coventry v Brighton result

Full-time · Coventry 0–5 Brighton

Premier League · · Coventry Building Society Arena

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Coventry 0–5 Brighton — Brighton won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.79 at Unibet
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 68.5% of 505 landed (95% range 64.3–72.4%); it had given them 75.9% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 556 of 865 times (64.3%), against an average rating of 67.6%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Brighton: 2.81 to 1.07 in expected goals, 0.76 of it from a penalty, from 22 shots to 14, ahead on xG from the fifth minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Brighton won 5–0 at Coventry Building Society Arena in the Premier League on Sunday 13 September. Brighton have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Brighton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Brighton: Charalampos Kostoulas (35’, assisted by Pascal Groß), Malick Yalcouyé (51’, assisted by Maxim De Cuyper), Pascal Groß (70’ pen), Lewis Dunk (83’, assisted by José María Andrés Baixauli) and Yasin Ayari (90’, assisted by Pascal Groß). Taiwo Awoniyi (53’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s six key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Charalampos Kostoulas’s goal on 35 minutes.

Discipline

Tony Harrington, England showed no yellow cards and one red — against 3.2 yellows a game across the last 5 matches refereed (all competitions).

What it changes

Coventry move down from 18th to 20th (four league matches played).

Brighton move up from ninth to fourth (four league matches played).

Brighton’s five-goal margin was the biggest of round 4, across 10 matches. Coventry have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Coventry have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Pascal Groß (Brighton) 14.3, Charalampos Kostoulas (Brighton) 6.7 and Malick Yalcouyé (Brighton) 6.7 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 68.5% of the time in the last 90 days (346 of 505).

Next up

Coventry next host Crystal Palace on 21 November 2026.

Brighton next host Brentford on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Coventry: Coventry v Crystal Palace, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Brighton: Brighton v Brentford, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Coventry 0–5 Brighton · Premier League
  • Venue: Coventry Building Society Arena · Coventry
  • Referee: Tony Harrington, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Coventry 0 · draws 0 · Brighton 1 · 4 goals/game
  • Recent form: Coventry 2W 0D 3L · Brighton 2W 2D 1L

Coventry 0–5 Brighton (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 27 September 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

2.13 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
4 / 6.5
Corners
against 3.13 / 3.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.13 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.38
Cards
against 2 / 1.63 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameCoventry for / againstLineBrighton for / against
Goals scored
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.75our book
1.88 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
4 for · 3.13 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 3.5 against n 8
Shots
12.38 for · 11.13 against n 8
19.5standard
18.5 for · 8.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.13 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 2.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 12.63 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 9.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.38 for · 1.63 against n 8

Referee: Tony Harrington, England.

Coventry

Coventry Goalkeeper

Coventry — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
C. Rushworth390270 min51.7 /9051.7 /9000 /90
D. Bentley19090 min33 /9022 /9000 /90
Coventry — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
C. Rushworth n 890
1.43/1

Coventry Defensive

Coventry — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
A. Amenda479315 min10.3 /9020.6 /9030.9 /90144 /9061.7 /9010.3 /90
B. Thomas476303 min20.6 /9041.2 /9030.9 /90175 /9030.9 /9000 /90
M. van Ewijk390270 min51.7 /9051.7 /9020.7 /9072.3 /9041.3 /9010.3 /90
J. Dasilva388265 min41.4 /9020.7 /9031 /90113.7 /9010.3 /9000 /90
E. Pinnock19090 min11 /9022 /9011 /9011 /9011 /9011 /90
See more players · Pro

Try Pro for £1, then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Coventry — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Amenda n 478.8
1.74/2
00/0
O. Boscagli
B. Thomas n 882.9
0.42/1
1.27/1
L. Vušković
T. Awoniyi n 462.8
1.13/0
1.13/0
—
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 457.5
2.34/2
1.63/1
—
J. Rudoni n 860.6
0.62/1
25/3
D. Gómez
See more players · Pro
Coventry — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Amenda n 478.8
0.31/0
B. Thomas n 882.9
1.26/2
T. Awoniyi n 462.8
00/0
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 457.5
00/0
J. Rudoni n 860.6
1.57/1
See more players · Pro

Coventry Attacking

Coventry — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Awoniyi463251 min10.4 /9010.4 /9062.2 /9031.1 /9051.8 /9031.1 /90
B. Thomas-Asante435141 min00 /9000 /9010.6 /9000 /9000 /9021.3 /90
E. Simms24589 min00 /9000 /9011 /9011 /9022 /9011 /90
S. Cherif12020 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9014.5 /90
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi458230 min00 /9010.4 /9000 /9000 /9020.8 /9010.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Coventry — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Amenda n 478.8
0.31/0
00/0
B. Thomas n 882.9
15/1
0.11/0
T. Awoniyi n 462.8
2.23/2
1.12/1
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 457.5
00/0
00/0
J. Rudoni n 860.6
26/3
0.74/0
See more players · Pro
Coventry — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Coventry before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Amenda n 478.8
00/0
00/0
B. Thomas n 882.9
0.11/0
00/0
T. Awoniyi n 462.8
0.41/0
0.41/0
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi n 457.5
00/0
0.41/0
J. Rudoni n 860.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
B. Verbruggen590450 min51 /9051 /9000 /90
Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 890
1.52/2

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
L. Vušković590450 min61.2 /9061.2 /9020.4 /90357 /9051 /9010.2 /90
O. Boscagli590449 min20.4 /9051 /9010.2 /90153 /9081.6 /9010.2 /90
L. Dunk479315 min20.6 /9020.6 /9041.1 /90164.6 /9041.1 /9010.3 /90
M. Wieffer473293 min92.8 /90103.1 /9041.2 /90247.4 /9030.9 /9000 /90
F. Kadıoğlu385255 min20.7 /9010.4 /9000 /9051.8 /9020.7 /9010.4 /90
See more players · Pro
Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Vušković n 590
15/0
1.23/3
B. Thomas
P. Groß n 890
0.95/2
00/0
—
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
0.11/0
—
O. Boscagli n 889.9
14/2
1.57/5
A. Amenda
D. Gómez n 863
1.45/3
0.42/0
J. Rudoni
See more players · Pro
Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Vušković n 590
1.24/2
P. Groß n 890
1.14/2
O. Boscagli n 889.9
0.84/2
D. Gómez n 863
2.16/4
C. Kostoulas n 863.9
1.25/2
See more players · Pro

Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
C. Kostoulas562308 min10.3 /9010.3 /90144.1 /9041.2 /9041.2 /9061.8 /90
I. Osman339117 min00 /9000 /9021.5 /9010.8 /9043.1 /9032.3 /90
G. Rutter284168 min00 /9010.5 /9031.6 /9010.5 /9042.1 /9031.6 /90
Z. Yohanna12424 min00 /9000 /9000 /9000 /9013.8 /9000 /90
P. Groß590450 min10.2 /9000 /9081.6 /9030.6 /90153 /9000 /90
See more players · Pro
Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Groß n 890
1.57/3
0.96/1
L. Vušković n 590
1.45/2
0.63/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Boscagli n 889.9
0.43/0
0.32/0
D. Gómez n 863
2.76/4
0.73/1
See more players · Pro
Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Vušković n 590
0.21/0
00/0
P. Groß n 890
0.11/0
00/0
B. Verbruggen n 890
00/0
00/0
O. Boscagli n 889.9
0.11/0
00/0
D. Gómez n 863
00/0
0.21/0
See more players · Pro

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
CoventryBrighton
31%Possession69%
1.33Expected goals (xG)2.81
14Shots22
6Shots on target7
6Shots off target10
2Blocked shots5
12Shots inside the box14
5Corners3
2Offsides2
9Fouls15
1Red cards0
2Saves6
249Passes584
70%Pass accuracy90%

Coventry Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
A. Amenda9000001006
C. Rushworth9000000006.3
B. Thomas9000300005.3
E. Pinnock9000100205.7
M. van Ewijk9000001107.2
J. Dasilva9000002006.5
M. Grimes8400000106.9
F. Onyeka7300110106.9
J. Rudoni7300214008.3
E. Mason-Clark6000220006.5
T. Awoniyi53001011R5.5
S. Cherif sub3000000006.7
Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi sub1700001006.2
B. Thomas-Asante sub1700220006.7
V. Torp sub1300000006.5

Brighton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. De Cuyper9001104006.9
Y. Ayari9010320107.9
P. Groß9012216208.6
L. Dunk9010110109.2
F. Kadıoğlu9000001006.6
B. Verbruggen9000000009.9
C. Kostoulas8410310107.6
D. Gómez8400100006.7
O. Boscagli7800101106.9
L. Vušković7800100107.5
M. Yalcouyé6510221207.7
José María Andrés Baixauli sub2501101106.3
Costinha sub1300000006.7
M. O'Riley sub1300001006.7
P. Struijk sub1200000006.9
I. Osman sub1200100006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Coventry v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
CoventryWLWLL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.6 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
BrightonDWWLD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Coventry 0 · 0 draws · Brighton 1 · 4 goals/game
  • 2018-02-17 Brighton 3–1 Coventry
League standing · 2026/27
Coventry#17 pos9 pts10 pl-9 GD
Brighton#3 pos19 pts9 pl+17 GD
Goals per game
Coventry scored1
Brighton scored2.67
Coventry conceded1.9
Brighton conceded0.78

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Coventry 1.07 xG from 14 shots, Brighton 2.81 from 22. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Jack Rudoni 26' · 0.33 xGCharalampos Kostoulas 16' · 0.32 xGMalick Yalcouyé 17' · 0.15 xGYasin Ayari 80' · 0.15 xGEphron Mason-Clark 37' · 0.14 xGMalick Yalcouyé 16' · 0.11 xGEphron Mason-Clark 20' · 0.10 xGCharalampos Kostoulas 10' · 0.10 xGLuka Vuskovic 45' · 0.10 xGTaiwo Awoniyi 20' · 0.09 xGEphron Mason-Clark 45' · 0.08 xGDiego Gómez 5' · 0.07 xGBrandon Thomas-Asante 77' · 0.07 xGIbrahim Osman 80' · 0.07 xGIbrahim Osman 85' · 0.07 xGDiego Gómez 45' · 0.06 xGBobby Thomas 26' · 0.05 xGFrank Onyeka 31' · 0.04 xGYasin Ayari 90' · 0.04 xGJack Rudoni 22' · 0.03 xGBrandon Thomas-Asante 92' · 0.03 xGMaxim De Cuyper 88' · 0.03 xGMatt Grimes 41' · 0.03 xGEthan Pinnock 38' · 0.03 xGBobby Thomas 81' · 0.03 xGLuka Vuskovic 46' · 0.02 xGPascal Groß 36' · 0.02 xGBobby Thomas 32' · 0.02 xGYasin Ayari 8' · 0.01 xGOlivier Boscagli 12' · 0.01 xGChema Andres 73' · 0.01 xGPascal Groß 69' · 0.76 xG · goalCharalampos Kostoulas 34' · 0.35 xG · goalMalick Yalcouyé 50' · 0.27 xG · goalYasin Ayari 93' · 0.07 xG · goalLewis Dunk 82' · 0.02 xG · goal
Coventry (attacking right)Brighton (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Coventry1401.07
Brighton2252.81

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Brighton led on xG, 1.31 to 0.95. At full time, Brighton led on xG, 2.81 to 1.07, 0.76 of it from a penalty. The widest gap was 1.74 xG to Brighton, in the 93rd minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.81.400′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Brighton 34 minGoal - Brighton 50 minGoal - Brighton 69 minGoal - Brighton 82 minGoal - Brighton 93 min
Coventry 1.07 xGBrighton 2.81 xGdots = goals · 36 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1

then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Coventry v Brighton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Coventry v Brighton was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.79 at Unibet).
What is the head-to-head record between Coventry and Brighton?
In their last 1 meetings, Coventry won 0, Brighton won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 4 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Coventry and Brighton?
Recent form — Coventry 2W 0D 3L; Brighton 2W 2D 1L.

Today’s Boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all 246 predictions, advanced stats & the model v the market with ProTry Pro for £1 then £9.99 a month unless you cancel · 18+