This Matchweek

EvertonIpswich

Everton v Ipswich result

Full-time · Everton 1–0 Ipswich

Premier League · · Hill Dickinson Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Everton 1–0 Ipswich — Everton won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.

Free pick
Home or Away
Best price: 1.27 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.8% of 5059 landed (95% range 76.7–79%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
How often calls like this land: when the model rated home or away, not the draw (double chance) between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 1,935 of 2,588 times (74.8%), against an average rating of 73.4%. How we measure →
Match report, in numbers

What xG said

xG said Everton: 2.59 to 1.10 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).

The result

Everton beat Ipswich 1–0 at Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 19 September. Everton are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.

The goals

Everton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Everton: Thierno Barry (11’, assisted by James Tarkowski). A. Fatawu (67’) was sent off.

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Thierno Barry’s goal on 11 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Everton: Vitalii Mykolenko (42’) and Harrison Armstrong (90+6’); Ipswich: A. Fatawu (35’), A. Fatawu (67’) and Zian Flemming (90+2’).

What it changes

Everton move up from seventh to fifth (five league matches played). Everton have scored six goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Everton have conceded three goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.

Ipswich move down from sixth to 10th (five league matches played). Ipswich have scored seven goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Ipswich have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.

Everton have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Tarkowski (Everton) 7.4, Thierno Barry (Everton) 5.4 and Jordan Pickford (Everton) 5.0 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Everton or Ipswich (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).

Next up

Everton next travel to Brentford on 21 November 2026.

Ipswich next host Bournemouth on 8 November 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Everton: Brentford v Everton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview.

The Numbers

  • Result: Everton 1–0 Ipswich · Premier League
  • Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool, Merseyside
  • Referee: Stuart Attwell, England
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Everton 1 · draws 1 · Ipswich 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Everton 2W 3D 0L · Ipswich 2W 0D 3L

Everton 1–0 Ipswich (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1.38 / 2.13
Goals
against 0.88 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.75
over 8 matches
5.25 / 4.38
Corners
against 4 / 4.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.25 / 5.88
Shots on target
against 2.75 / 6.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 16 September 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEverton for / againstLineIpswich for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.75our book
2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
5.25 for · 4 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8
Shots
15.5 for · 11.75 against n 8
19.5standard
12.63 for · 16.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.25 for · 2.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5.88 for · 6.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.63 for · 11.38 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.5 against n 8

Referee: Stuart Attwell, England.

Everton

Everton Goalkeeper

Everton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
J. Pickford690540 min142.3 /9030.5 /9000 /90
Everton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Pickford n 890
1.94/2

Everton Defensive

Everton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
V. Mykolenko690540 min132.2 /9081.3 /9050.8 /90305 /9040.7 /9000 /90
J. Tarkowski590450 min102 /90112.2 /9040.8 /90336.6 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Jarrad Branthwaite490360 min51.3 /9051.3 /9082 /90174.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90
M. Röhl485341 min51.3 /9020.5 /9000 /90133.4 /9030.8 /9010.3 /90
M. Keane290180 min21 /9021 /9000 /90126 /9010.5 /9000 /90
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Everton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
V. Mykolenko n 890
0.64/1
0.95/2
I. Diop
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
0.41/1
—
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 888
0.43/0
1.76/5
Jack Clarke
T. Barry n 871.3
1.13/2
0.84/1
—
J. Tarkowski n 890
0.84/2
0.94/2
Leif Davis
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Everton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Mykolenko n 890
26/3
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 888
1.87/4
T. Barry n 871.3
0.32/0
J. Tarkowski n 890
2.37/4
H. Armstrong n 871.9
1.46/2
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Everton Attacking

Everton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
T. Barry678469 min40.8 /9010.2 /90183.5 /90112.1 /9091.7 /9051 /90
B. Johnson545227 min10.4 /9010.4 /9031.2 /9020.8 /9062.4 /9000 /90
Beto12020 min00 /9000 /9014.5 /9000 /9000 /9000 /90
K. Dewsbury-Hall688530 min10.2 /9000 /90122 /9071.2 /90152.5 /9061 /90
H. Armstrong589446 min00 /9010.2 /9020.4 /9000 /9030.6 /9020.4 /90
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Everton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Mykolenko n 890
0.32/0
00/0
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 888
1.77/4
0.95/2
T. Barry n 871.3
37/6
1.75/3
J. Tarkowski n 890
0.86/0
0.43/0
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Everton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Everton before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Mykolenko n 890
00/0
0.11/0
J. Pickford n 890
00/0
00/0
K. Dewsbury-Hall n 888
0.11/0
00/0
T. Barry n 871.3
0.62/1
0.21/0
J. Tarkowski n 890
0.32/0
0.11/0
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Ipswich

Ipswich Goalkeeper

Ipswich — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsSavesGoals concededPenalties saved
K. Scherpen490360 min153.8 /90102.5 /9000 /90
Christian Walton290180 min94.5 /9010.5 /9000 /90
Ipswich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
K. Scherpen n 490
3.84/2
Christian Walton n 890
3.87/4

Ipswich Defensive

Ipswich — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsTacklesInterceptionsBlocksDuels wonFouls committedYellow cards
Leif Davis668409 min20.4 /9030.7 /9030.7 /9061.3 /9010.2 /9000 /90
Dara O'Shea590450 min71.4 /9040.8 /9051 /90255 /9030.6 /9000 /90
Jacob Greaves590448 min81.6 /9040.8 /9051 /90204 /9020.4 /9010.2 /90
I. Diop490360 min41 /9082 /9051.3 /9092.3 /9041 /9000 /90
Darnell Furlong366197 min00 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9020.9 /9000 /9000 /90
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Ipswich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Leif Davis n 873.6
0.52/1
0.64/0
J. Tarkowski
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.63/1
0.95/2
—
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
0.95/2
0.84/2
—
Jack Clarke n 841.5
0.83/0
1.44/1
K. Dewsbury-Hall
I. Diop n 490
13/1
00/0
V. Mykolenko
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Ipswich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Leif Davis n 873.6
0.62/2
Dara O'Shea n 890
1.14/4
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
27/5
Jack Clarke n 841.5
2.27/1
I. Diop n 490
13/1
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Ipswich Attacking

Ipswich — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
PlayerAppsAvg minsGoalsAssistsShotsShots on targetKey passesDribbles completed
Jack Clarke543216 min10.4 /9020.8 /9041.7 /9031.3 /9062.5 /9041.7 /90
Emersonn460240 min20.8 /9010.4 /9062.3 /9031.1 /9041.5 /9031.1 /90
Chuba Akpom447188 min21 /9010.5 /9052.4 /9041.9 /9010.5 /9010.5 /90
Z. Flemming337112 min10.8 /9000 /9054 /9032.4 /9010.8 /9021.6 /90
S. Egeli256111 min10.8 /9000 /9021.6 /9010.8 /9010.8 /9000 /90
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Ipswich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Leif Davis n 873.6
0.94/2
0.63/1
Dara O'Shea n 890
0.43/0
0.11/0
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
0.11/0
00/0
Jack Clarke n 841.5
2.76/2
1.44/1
I. Diop n 490
00/0
00/0
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Ipswich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Ipswich before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Leif Davis n 873.6
0.32/0
0.32/0
Dara O'Shea n 890
00/0
00/0
Jacob Greaves n 889.8
00/0
00/0
Jack Clarke n 841.5
0.52/0
0.52/0
I. Diop n 490
00/0
00/0
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The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match Statistics & Details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
EvertonIpswich
52%Possession48%
2.24Expected goals (xG)1.44
21Shots13
2Shots on target4
11Shots off target5
8Blocked shots4
13Shots inside the box9
4Corners4
1Offsides0
6Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
4Saves1
513Passes472
84%Pass accuracy82%

Everton Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
J. Pickford9000000007.9
T. Barry9010311006.3
H. Armstrong90002022Y6.6
James Garner9000001006.9
V. Mykolenko90000003Y7.3
Jarrad Branthwaite9000000007.3
J. Tarkowski9001101107.9
K. Dewsbury-Hall8900302207.5
A. Maitland-Niles8900002307.9
J. Grealish7900005007.6
B. Johnson6600200306.3
T. Dibling sub2400212007.3
Tyrique George sub1100000006.9
H. Hackney sub800000006.3
J. O'Brien sub800000006.6

Ipswich Player Stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
Christian Walton9000000007
Leif Davis9000100006.2
I. Diop9000001007.2
Dara O'Shea9000001006.9
A. Ouattara9000111306.6
Emersonn8100210106.2
E. Palacios8100000106.9
J. Enciso7400211006.6
S. Lukić7300001106.9
A. Fatawu67002110RY6
Jack Clarke6600002006.7
Jaden Philogene-Bidace sub2400000006.6
Florentino sub1700000006.2
D. Maeda sub1600000106.9
Z. Flemming sub9001011Y6.2
Chuba Akpom sub900000006.5

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Everton v Ipswich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
EvertonWDDDW
Last 5: 2W 3D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
IpswichWLLWL
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 2 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Everton 1 · 1 draw · Ipswich 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-05-03 Everton 2–2 Ipswich
  • 2024-10-19 Ipswich 0–2 Everton
League standing · 2026/27
Everton#5 pos16 pts10 pl+2 GD
Ipswich#14 pos11 pts9 pl-4 GD
Goals per game
Everton scored1.2
Ipswich scored1.56
Everton conceded1
Ipswich conceded2

Shot Map and Expected Goals

Everton 2.59 xG from 21 shots, Ipswich 1.10 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.

Leif Davis 37' · 0.51 xGBrennan Johnson 4' · 0.38 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 75' · 0.37 xGThierno Barry 63' · 0.30 xGThierno Barry 32' · 0.29 xGBrennan Johnson 65' · 0.11 xGJulio Enciso 17' · 0.11 xGJulio Enciso 45' · 0.10 xGTyler Dibling 81' · 0.10 xGTyler Dibling 76' · 0.09 xGVitalii Mykolenko 31' · 0.09 xGHarrison Armstrong 85' · 0.07 xGChuba Akpom 85' · 0.07 xGIssa Diop 96' · 0.07 xGEmersonn 8' · 0.06 xGTyler Dibling 75' · 0.06 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 68' · 0.06 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 32' · 0.06 xGZian Flemming 93' · 0.06 xGJames Garner 32' · 0.05 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 70' · 0.05 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 30' · 0.04 xGEmersonn 34' · 0.04 xGJames Garner 43' · 0.03 xGKiernan Dewsbury-Hall 1' · 0.03 xGJulio Enciso 62' · 0.03 xGHarrison Armstrong 72' · 0.02 xGTyrique George 88' · 0.02 xGJaden Philogene-Bidace 84' · 0.02 xGAbdul Fatawu 18' · 0.02 xGJames Tarkowski 10' · 0.02 xGGuemissongui Ouattara 48' · 0.01 xGAbdul Fatawu 25' · 0.01 xGThierno Barry 10' · 0.35 xG · goal
Everton (attacking right)Ipswich (attacking left)mark size = expected goals
TeamShotsGoalsxG
Everton2112.59
Ipswich1301.10

Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.

Expected Goals Race

At half-time, Everton led on xG, 1.33 to 0.85. At full time, Everton led on xG, 2.59 to 1.10. The widest gap was 1.67 xG to Everton, in the 85th minute.

xG timeline (cumulative)
2.61.300′15′30′45′60′75′90′105′MinutesCumulative xGGoal - Everton 10 min
Everton 2.59 xGIpswich 1.10 xGdots = goals · 34 shots

The Full Post-Match Picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What was the model’s pick for Everton v Ipswich?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Everton v Ipswich was Home or Away (best price 1.27 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Ipswich?
In their last 2 meetings, Everton won 1, Ipswich won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Everton and Ipswich?
Recent form — Everton 2W 3D 0L; Ipswich 2W 0D 3L.

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