Everton v Ipswich result
The model’s pre-match pick
Everton 1–0 Ipswich — Everton won this Premier League match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Away.
What xG said
xG said Everton: 2.59 to 1.10 in expected goals, from 21 shots to 13, ahead on xG from the first minute (per-shot expected goals for this match).
The result
Everton beat Ipswich 1–0 at Hill Dickinson Stadium in the Premier League on Saturday 19 September. Everton are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions.
The goals
Everton led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Everton: Thierno Barry (11’, assisted by James Tarkowski). A. Fatawu (67’) was sent off.
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Thierno Barry’s goal on 11 minutes.
Discipline
The bookings — Everton: Vitalii Mykolenko (42’) and Harrison Armstrong (90+6’); Ipswich: A. Fatawu (35’), A. Fatawu (67’) and Zian Flemming (90+2’).
What it changes
Everton move up from seventh to fifth (five league matches played). Everton have scored six goals, the seventh-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Everton have conceded three goals, the third-fewest of the 20 clubs.
Ipswich move down from sixth to 10th (five league matches played). Ipswich have scored seven goals, the ninth-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 5 games, ranked per game). Ipswich have conceded 11 goals, the fourth-most of the 20 clubs.
Everton have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.
Who stood out
By TACTIX Impact for this match, James Tarkowski (Everton) 7.4, Thierno Barry (Everton) 5.4 and Jordan Pickford (Everton) 5.0 led the match.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, Everton or Ipswich (no draw), a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record, misses included. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 77.8% of the time in the last 90 days (3938 of 5059).
Next up
Everton next travel to Brentford on 21 November 2026.
Ipswich next host Bournemouth on 8 November 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Everton: Brentford v Everton, Saturday 21 November — the preview. Next for Ipswich: Ipswich v Bournemouth, Sunday 8 November — the preview.
The Numbers
- Result: Everton 1–0 Ipswich · Premier League
- Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium · Liverpool, Merseyside
- Referee: Stuart Attwell, England
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 2): Everton 1 · draws 1 · Ipswich 0 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Everton 2W 3D 0L · Ipswich 2W 0D 3L
Everton 1–0 Ipswich (Premier League): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 3 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key Stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Everton for / against | Line | Ipswich for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.38 for · 0.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.75our book | 2.13 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.25 for · 4 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.38 for · 4.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.5 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 12.63 for · 16.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.25 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.88 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.63 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.88 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Referee: Stuart Attwell, England.
Everton
Everton Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford | 6 | 90540 min | 142.3 /90 | 30.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford n 8 | 90 | 1.9 |
Everton Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Mykolenko | 6 | 90540 min | 132.2 /90 | 81.3 /90 | 50.8 /90 | 305 /90 | 40.7 /90 | 00 /90 |
| J. Tarkowski | 5 | 90450 min | 102 /90 | 112.2 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 336.6 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Jarrad Branthwaite | 4 | 90360 min | 51.3 /90 | 51.3 /90 | 82 /90 | 174.3 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| M. Röhl | 4 | 85341 min | 51.3 /90 | 20.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 133.4 /90 | 30.8 /90 | 10.3 /90 |
| M. Keane | 2 | 90180 min | 21 /90 | 21 /90 | 00 /90 | 126 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Mykolenko n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.9 | I. Diop |
| J. Pickford n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8 | 88 | 0.4 | 1.7 | Jack Clarke |
| T. Barry n 8 | 71.3 | 1.1 | 0.8 | — |
| J. Tarkowski n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.9 | Leif Davis |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| V. Mykolenko n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8 | 88 | 1.8 |
| T. Barry n 8 | 71.3 | 0.3 |
| J. Tarkowski n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| H. Armstrong n 8 | 71.9 | 1.4 |
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Everton Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Barry | 6 | 78469 min | 40.8 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 183.5 /90 | 112.1 /90 | 91.7 /90 | 51 /90 |
| B. Johnson | 5 | 45227 min | 10.4 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 31.2 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 62.4 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Beto | 1 | 2020 min | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 14.5 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall | 6 | 88530 min | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 | 122 /90 | 71.2 /90 | 152.5 /90 | 61 /90 |
| H. Armstrong | 5 | 89446 min | 00 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 00 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 20.4 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Mykolenko n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0 |
| J. Pickford n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8 | 88 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| T. Barry n 8 | 71.3 | 3 | 1.7 |
| J. Tarkowski n 8 | 90 | 0.8 | 0.4 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Mykolenko n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.1 |
| J. Pickford n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall n 8 | 88 | 0.1 | 0 |
| T. Barry n 8 | 71.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| J. Tarkowski n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
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Ipswich
Ipswich Goalkeeper
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Saves | Goals conceded | Penalties saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Scherpen | 4 | 90360 min | 153.8 /90 | 102.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Christian Walton | 2 | 90180 min | 94.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| K. Scherpen n 4 | 90 | 3.8 |
| Christian Walton n 8 | 90 | 3.8 |
Ipswich Defensive
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Tackles | Interceptions | Blocks | Duels won | Fouls committed | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Davis | 6 | 68409 min | 20.4 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 30.7 /90 | 61.3 /90 | 10.2 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Dara O'Shea | 5 | 90450 min | 71.4 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 51 /90 | 255 /90 | 30.6 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Jacob Greaves | 5 | 90448 min | 81.6 /90 | 40.8 /90 | 51 /90 | 204 /90 | 20.4 /90 | 10.2 /90 |
| I. Diop | 4 | 90360 min | 41 /90 | 82 /90 | 51.3 /90 | 92.3 /90 | 41 /90 | 00 /90 |
| Darnell Furlong | 3 | 66197 min | 00 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 20.9 /90 | 00 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Davis n 8 | 73.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | J. Tarkowski |
| Dara O'Shea n 8 | 90 | 0.6 | 0.9 | — |
| Jacob Greaves n 8 | 89.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | — |
| Jack Clarke n 8 | 41.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | K. Dewsbury-Hall |
| I. Diop n 4 | 90 | 1 | 0 | V. Mykolenko |
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| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Leif Davis n 8 | 73.6 | 0.6 |
| Dara O'Shea n 8 | 90 | 1.1 |
| Jacob Greaves n 8 | 89.8 | 2 |
| Jack Clarke n 8 | 41.5 | 2.2 |
| I. Diop n 4 | 90 | 1 |
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Ipswich Attacking
| Player | Apps | Avg mins | Goals | Assists | Shots | Shots on target | Key passes | Dribbles completed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Clarke | 5 | 43216 min | 10.4 /90 | 20.8 /90 | 41.7 /90 | 31.3 /90 | 62.5 /90 | 41.7 /90 |
| Emersonn | 4 | 60240 min | 20.8 /90 | 10.4 /90 | 62.3 /90 | 31.1 /90 | 41.5 /90 | 31.1 /90 |
| Chuba Akpom | 4 | 47188 min | 21 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 52.4 /90 | 41.9 /90 | 10.5 /90 | 10.5 /90 |
| Z. Flemming | 3 | 37112 min | 10.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 54 /90 | 32.4 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 21.6 /90 |
| S. Egeli | 2 | 56111 min | 10.8 /90 | 00 /90 | 21.6 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 10.8 /90 | 00 /90 |
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| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Davis n 8 | 73.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
| Dara O'Shea n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| Jacob Greaves n 8 | 89.8 | 0.1 | 0 |
| Jack Clarke n 8 | 41.5 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| I. Diop n 4 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Davis n 8 | 73.6 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Dara O'Shea n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| Jacob Greaves n 8 | 89.8 | 0 | 0 |
| Jack Clarke n 8 | 41.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| I. Diop n 4 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
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The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Match Statistics & Details
| Everton | Ipswich | |
|---|---|---|
| 52% | Possession | 48% |
| 2.24 | Expected goals (xG) | 1.44 |
| 21 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 11 | Shots off target | 5 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 4 |
| 13 | Shots inside the box | 9 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 6 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 513 | Passes | 472 |
| 84% | Pass accuracy | 82% |
Everton Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pickford | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.9 |
| T. Barry | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| H. Armstrong | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Y | 6.6 |
| James Garner | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| V. Mykolenko | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | Y | 7.3 |
| Jarrad Branthwaite | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| J. Tarkowski | 90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7.9 |
| K. Dewsbury-Hall | 89 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7.5 |
| A. Maitland-Niles | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7.9 |
| J. Grealish | 79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7.6 |
| B. Johnson | 66 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.3 |
| T. Dibling sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7.3 |
| Tyrique George sub | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| H. Hackney sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.3 |
| J. O'Brien sub | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
Ipswich Player Stats
| Player | Min | G | A | Sh | SoT | KP | Tkl | Cards | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Walton | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Leif Davis | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| I. Diop | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.2 |
| Dara O'Shea | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Ouattara | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Emersonn | 81 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 |
| E. Palacios | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| J. Enciso | 74 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| S. Lukić | 73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| A. Fatawu | 67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | RY | 6 |
| Jack Clarke | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.7 |
| Jaden Philogene-Bidace sub | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.6 |
| Florentino sub | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2 |
| D. Maeda sub | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 |
| Z. Flemming sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Y | 6.2 |
| Chuba Akpom sub | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.5 |
Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.
Form, Head-to-Head & Standings
The numbers behind Everton v Ipswich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2025-05-03 Everton 2–2 Ipswich
- 2024-10-19 Ipswich 0–2 Everton
Shot Map and Expected Goals
Everton 2.59 xG from 21 shots, Ipswich 1.10 from 13. Every mark is one shot, placed where it was taken and sized by the chance it had of becoming a goal. Filled marks with a white ring are goals.
| Team | Shots | Goals | xG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 21 | 1 | 2.59 |
| Ipswich | 13 | 0 | 1.10 |
Shot locations and expected-goals values from per-shot data. Per-shot tables, situation and shot-type breakdowns are part of TACTIX Pro.
Expected Goals Race
At half-time, Everton led on xG, 1.33 to 0.85. At full time, Everton led on xG, 2.59 to 1.10. The widest gap was 1.67 xG to Everton, in the 85th minute.
The Full Post-Match Picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently Asked Questions
- What was the model’s pick for Everton v Ipswich?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Everton v Ipswich was Home or Away (best price 1.27 at Betano).
- What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Ipswich?
- In their last 2 meetings, Everton won 1, Ipswich won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Everton and Ipswich?
- Recent form — Everton 2W 3D 0L; Ipswich 2W 0D 3L.
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