Hull City v Brighton prediction

Premier League · Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · MKM Stadium

Updated 30 Jul 2026, 10:24 UK · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Hull City v Brighton, Premier League on Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hull City host Brighton in the Premier League on Saturday 21 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Brighton have scored 24 goals, the most of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Hull City are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions. Brighton are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Five of Hull City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (33%). Both teams scored in seven of Hull City’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Hull City have three wins, five draws and no defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 0.75. Hull City have scored 11 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games). Hull City have conceded 10 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 20 clubs.

Nine of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in four of Brighton’s last 15 results in all competitions (27%). Away from home, Brighton have five wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.89 points per game, scoring 1.89 and conceding 1.11. Brighton have conceded seven goals, the second-fewest of the 20 clubs (2026/27 so far, after 9 games).

Hull City (11th) and Brighton (third) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Brighton the stronger side, 335 rating points above Hull City (Brighton 1853, Hull City 1518, after at least nine rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Hull City XI (5-4-1): K. Tzolakis, S. Ajayi, L. Coyle, J. Egan, R. Giles, N. Mendy, R. Slater, M. Belloumi, T. Iroegbunam, E. Stroud, O. McBurnie — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mohamed Belloumi (5.5 per match over 10 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Konstantinos Tzolakis (3.8 per match over nine appearances) have been Hull City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hull City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mohamed Belloumi averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 703 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Konstantinos Tzolakis averages 3.5 saves per 90 over 1328 minutes, with two or more saves in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Brighton XI (4-2-3-1): B. Verbruggen, O. Boscagli, Costinha, L. Vušković, L. Dunk, P. Groß, Y. Ayari, D. Gómez, M. Yalcouyé, M. De Cuyper, G. Rutter — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Pascal Groß (4.5 per match over 16 appearances, four goals and four assists) and Charalampos Kostoulas (4.5 per match over 12 appearances, five goals and three assists) have been Brighton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Brighton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Pascal Groß averages 3.6 key passes per 90 over 1434 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Charalampos Kostoulas averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 943 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The Numbers

Kick-off: Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT · Premier League · MKM Stadium
Recent form: Hull City 0W 3D 2L · Brighton 2W 2D 1L

Hull City v Brighton (Premier League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key Stats

1 / 1.88

Goals

against 1.38 / 0.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5

over 8 matches

5.75 / 6

Corners

against 6.25 / 4.43 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 7 matches

3 / 4.71

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 3.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 7 matches

2.63 / 2

Cards

against 1.25 / 1 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 7 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 5 November 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 played matches, friendlies left out, to 5 November 2026. Goals in a match that went to extra time count at the 90-minute score; its other figures are left out. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game	Hull City for / against	Line	Brighton for / against
Goals scored	1 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5	2.5standard	1.88 for · 0.5 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	5.75 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	6 for · 4.43 against n 7 Last 5
Shots	11.13 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	18.29 for · 10.29 against n 7 Last 5
Shots on target	3 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	4.71 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.25 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	12 for · 9.14 against n 7 Last 5
Cards shown	2.63 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	2 for · 1 against n 7 Last 5

Hull City

Hull City Goalkeeper

Hull City — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
K. Tzolakis	9	90810 min	323.6 /90	80.9 /90	10.1 /90
D. Phillips	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Hull City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
K. Tzolakis n 8	90	3.4 6/6
D. Phillips n 3	91.7	2.6 3/2

Hull City Defensive

Hull City — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
J. Egan	10	80798 min	131.5 /90	91 /90	91 /90	343.8 /90	50.6 /90	20.2 /90
L. Coyle	10	76763 min	121.4 /90	40.5 /90	00 /90	242.8 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
S. Ajayi	9	87784 min	172 /90	101.1 /90	00 /90	394.5 /90	30.3 /90	20.2 /90
R. Giles	9	76686 min	101.3 /90	50.7 /90	00 /90	202.6 /90	20.3 /90	10.1 /90
L. Herrington	8	53422 min	71.5 /90	40.9 /90	51.1 /90	194.1 /90	40.9 /90	10.2 /90
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Hull City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
J. Egan n 8	77.3	0.7 3/2	0.4 3/0	—
R. Slater n 8	77.1	0.9 4/2	0.6 3/1	—
L. Coyle n 8	81	0.4 2/1	0.4 2/1	—
K. Tzolakis n 8	90	0 0/0	0.6 4/1	—
Oliver McBurnie n 8	88.5	1.4 7/3	1.8 8/4	—
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Hull City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
J. Egan n 8	77.3	1.6 6/4
R. Slater n 8	77.1	2 7/3
L. Coyle n 8	81	1.5 6/3
Oliver McBurnie n 8	88.5	0.5 3/1
S. Ajayi n 8	90	2.1 8/5
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Hull City Attacking

Hull City — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
Oliver McBurnie	9	89798 min	20.2 /90	20.2 /90	101.1 /90	50.6 /90	91 /90	91 /90
M. Cho	5	40202 min	10.4 /90	00 /90	62.7 /90	31.3 /90	52.2 /90	20.9 /90
J. Gelhardt	3	39117 min	10.8 /90	00 /90	53.8 /90	43.1 /90	00 /90	00 /90
L. Millar	2	2550 min	11.8 /90	00 /90	35.4 /90	11.8 /90	00 /90	00 /90
R. Slater	10	80797 min	00 /90	10.1 /90	70.8 /90	20.2 /90	91 /90	60.7 /90
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Hull City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
J. Egan n 8	77.3	0.9 5/1	0.1 1/0
R. Slater n 8	77.1	1 6/1	0.3 2/0
L. Coyle n 8	81	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
K. Tzolakis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Oliver McBurnie n 8	88.5	1 5/2	0.4 3/0
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Hull City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Hull City before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
J. Egan n 8	77.3	0 0/0	0 0/0
R. Slater n 8	77.1	0 0/0	0 0/0
L. Coyle n 8	81	0 0/0	0 0/0
K. Tzolakis n 8	90	0 0/0	0 0/0
Oliver McBurnie n 8	88.5	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
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Brighton

Brighton Goalkeeper

Brighton — Goalkeeper: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Saves	Goals conceded	Penalties saved
B. Verbruggen	14	901257 min	362.6 /90	70.5 /90	00 /90
Jason Steele	1	9090 min	22 /90	00 /90	00 /90

Brighton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
B. Verbruggen n 8	89.6	3.1 6/5
Jason Steele n 8	90	3.6 6/4

Brighton Defensive

Brighton — Defensive: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Tackles	Interceptions	Blocks	Duels won	Fouls committed	Yellow cards
L. Vušković	15	781177 min	161.2 /90	181.4 /90	80.6 /90	876.7 /90	151.1 /90	10.1 /90
O. Boscagli	15	761140 min	90.7 /90	171.3 /90	20.2 /90	383 /90	141.1 /90	30.2 /90
L. Dunk	11	72794 min	70.8 /90	70.8 /90	50.6 /90	404.5 /90	50.6 /90	10.1 /90
Costinha	9	69624 min	101.4 /90	81.2 /90	10.1 /90	426.1 /90	81.2 /90	30.4 /90
F. Kadıoğlu	8	77617 min	40.6 /90	50.7 /90	20.3 /90	142 /90	30.4 /90	20.3 /90
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Brighton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
P. Groß n 8	78.3	1.3 5/2	0.6 3/1	—
L. Vušković n 8	69.9	1.4 4/2	1.1 5/1	—
O. Boscagli n 8	67.4	0.5 3/0	0.8 4/1	—
B. Verbruggen n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0	—
Y. Ayari n 8	70.8	0.5 3/0	1.4 5/3	—
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Brighton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
P. Groß n 8	78.3	2 5/3
L. Vušković n 8	69.9	1.1 5/2
O. Boscagli n 8	67.4	0.7 3/1
Y. Ayari n 8	70.8	1 4/2
D. Gómez n 8	70.4	2.6 6/4
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Brighton Attacking

Brighton — Attacking: season totals in played matches, friendlies left out, appearances of 15+ minutes; per 90 minutes under each figure; total minutes under the average, before kick-off.
Player	Apps	Avg mins	Goals	Assists	Shots	Shots on target	Key passes	Dribbles completed
C. Kostoulas	12	70843 min	50.5 /90	30.3 /90	293.1 /90	111.2 /90	111.2 /90	131.4 /90
G. Rutter	7	67469 min	20.4 /90	20.4 /90	132.5 /90	71.3 /90	81.5 /90	91.7 /90
I. Osman	5	55274 min	00 /90	20.7 /90	93 /90	10.3 /90	72.3 /90	41.3 /90
P. David	2	2855 min	00 /90	00 /90	34.9 /90	00 /90	11.6 /90	11.6 /90
Z. Yohanna	1	2424 min	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	00 /90	13.8 /90	00 /90
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Brighton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
P. Groß n 8	78.3	0.7 5/0	0.3 2/0
L. Vušković n 8	69.9	1.6 6/3	0.2 1/0
O. Boscagli n 8	67.4	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
B. Verbruggen n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Ayari n 8	70.8	2.1 8/4	0.5 2/1
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Brighton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances of 15+ minutes in played matches, friendlies left out for Brighton before kick-off, to 5 November 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
P. Groß n 8	78.3	0.1 1/0	0.3 2/0
L. Vušković n 8	69.9	0 0/0	0 0/0
O. Boscagli n 8	67.4	0 0/0	0.2 1/0
B. Verbruggen n 8	89.6	0 0/0	0 0/0
Y. Ayari n 8	70.8	0.3 2/0	0 0/0
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Form, Head-to-Head & Standings

The numbers behind Hull City v Brighton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Hull CityLDLDD

Last 5: 0W 3D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

BrightonDLDWW

Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 0.8 scored / 0.8 conceded per game

League standing · 2026/27

Hull City#11 pos11 pts9 pl+1 GD

Brighton#3 pos19 pts9 pl+17 GD

Goals per game

Hull City scored1.22

Brighton scored2.67

Hull City conceded1.11

Brighton conceded0.78

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